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Myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) is frequently used to provide risk stratification, but methods to improve the accuracy of these predictions are needed.We developed an explainable deep learning (DL) model (HARD MACE [major adverse cardiac events]-DL) for the prediction of death or nonfatal myocardial infarction (MI) and validated its performance in large internal and external testing groups.Patients undergoing single-photon emission computed tomography MPI were included, with 20,401 patients in the training and internal testing group (5 sites) and 9,019 in the external testing group (2 different sites). HARD MACE-DL uses myocardial perfusion, motion, thickening, and phase polar maps combined with age, sex, and cardiac volumes. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality or nonfatal MI. Prognostic accuracy was evaluated using area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC).During internal testing, patients with normal perfusion and elevated HARD-MACE-DL risk were at higher risk than patients with abnormal perfusion and low HARD-MACE-DL risk (annualized event rate, 2.9% vs 1.2%; P 0.001). Patients in the highest quartile of HARD MACE-DL score had an annual rate of death or MI (4.8%) 10-fold higher than patients in the lowest quartile (0.48% per year). In external testing, the AUC for HARD MACE-DL (0.73; 95% CI: 0.71-0.75) was higher than a logistic regression model (AUC: 0.70), stress TPD (AUC: 0.65), and ischemic TPD (AUC: 0.63; all P 0.01). Calibration, a measure of how well predicted risk matches actual risk, was excellent in both groups (Brier score, 0.079 for internal and 0.070 for external).The DL model predicts death or MI directly from MPI, by estimating patient-level risk with good calibration and improved accuracy compared with traditional quantitative approaches. The model incorporates mechanisms to explain to the physician which image regions contribute to the adverse event prediction.

PURPOSE: Artificial intelligence (AI) has high diagnostic accuracy for coronary artery disease (CAD) from myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI). However, when trained using high-risk populations (such as patients with correlating invasive testing), the disease probability can be overestimated due to selection bias. We evaluated different strategies for training AI models to improve the calibration (accurate estimate of disease probability), using external testing. METHODS: Deep learning was trained using 828 patients from 3 sites, with MPI and invasive angiography within 6-months. Perfusion was assessed using upright (U-TPD) and supine total perfusion deficit (S-TPD). AI training without data augmentation (Model 1) was compared to training with augmentation (increased sampling) of patients without obstructive CAD (Model 2), and patients without CAD and TPD

Purpose Patients with known coronary artery disease (CAD) comprise a heterogenous population with varied clinical and imaging characteristics. Unsupervised machine learning can identify new risk phenotypes in an unbiased fashion. We use cluster analysis to risk-stratify patients with known CAD undergoing single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI). Methods From 37,298 patients in the REFINE SPECT registry, we identified 9221 patients with known coronary artery disease. Unsupervised machine learning was performed using clinical (23), acquisition (17), and image analysis (24) parameters from 4774 patients (internal cohort) and validated with 4447 patients (external cohort). Risk stratification for all-cause mortality was compared to stress total perfusion deficit ( Results Three clusters were identified, with patients in Cluster 3 having a higher body mass index, more diabetes mellitus and hypertension, and less likely to be male, have dyslipidemia, or undergo exercise stress imaging (p p p p Conclusions Our unsupervised cluster analysis in patients with known CAD undergoing SPECT MPI identified three distinct phenotypic clusters and predicted all-cause mortality better than ischemia alone.

BACKGROUND: Diabetes mellitus (DM) is increasingly prevalent among contemporary populations referred for cardiac stress testing, but its potency as a predictor for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) versus other clinical variables is not well delineated. METHODS & RESULTS: From 19,658 patients underwent SPECT-MPI, we identified 3,122 diabetic patients without known coronary artery disease (CAD) (DM+/CAD−) and 3,564 nondiabetics with known CAD (DM−/CAD+). Propensity score matching was used to control for the differences in characteristics between DM+/CAD− and DM−/CAD+ groups. There was comparable MACE in the matched DM+/CAD− and DM−/CAD+ groups (HR:1.15, 95%CI: 0.97–1.37). By Chi-square analysis, type of stress (exercise or pharmacologic), total perfusion deficit (TPD), and left ventricular function were the most potent predictors of MACE, followed by CAD and diabetes status. The combined consideration of mode of stress, TPD, and diabetes provided synergistic stratification, an 8.87-fold (HR:8.87, 95%CI: 7.27–10.82) increase in MACE among pharmacologically stressed patients with diabetes and TPD>10% (versus non-ischemic, exercised stressed patients without diabetes). CONCLUSIONS: Propensity-matched patients with diabetes and no known CAD have similar MACE risk compared to patients with known CAD and no diabetes. Diabetes is synergistic with mode of stress testing and TPD in predicting the risk of cardiac stress test patients.

BACKGROUND: The utility of cardiac stress testing depends on the prevalence of myocardial ischemia within candidate populations. However, a comprehensive assessment of the factors influencing frequency of myocardial ischemia within contemporary populations referred for stress testing has not been performed. METHODS: We assessed 19,690 patients undergoing nuclear stress testing from a multicenter registry. The chi-square test was used to assess the relative importance of features for predicting myocardial ischemia. RESULTS: In the overall cohort, LVEF, male gender, and rest total perfusion deficit (TPD) were the top three predictors of ischemia, followed by CAD status, age, typical angina, and CAD risk factors. Myocardial ischemia was observed in 13.6% of patients with LVEF>55%, in 26.2% of patients with LVEF 45-54%, and in 48.3% among patients with LVEF

BACKGROUND: Stress-only myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) markedly reduces radiation dose, scanning time, and cost. We developed an automated clinical algorithm to safely cancel unnecessary rest imaging with high sensitivity for obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD). METHODS AND RESULTS: Patients without known CAD undergoing both MPI and invasive coronary angiography from REFINE SPECT were studied. A machine learning score (MLS) for prediction of obstructive CAD was generated using stress-only MPI and pre-test clinical variables. An MLS threshold with a pre-defined sensitivity of 95% was applied to the automated patient selection algorithm. Obstructive CAD was present in 1,309/2,079 (63%) patients. MLS had higher area under the receiver-operator-characteristic curve (AUC) for prediction of CAD than reader diagnosis and TPD (0.84 vs 0.70 vs 0.78, p

AIMS Optimal risk stratification with machine learning (ML) from myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) includes both clinical and imaging data. While most imaging variables can be derived automatically, clinical variables require manual collection, which is time consuming and prone to error. We determined the fewest manually input and imaging variables required to maintain the prognostic accuracy for major adverse cardiac events (MACE) in patients undergoing single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) MPI. METHODS AND RESULTS This study included 20,414 patients from the multicenter REFINE SPECT registry and 2,984 from the University of Calgary for training and external testing of the ML models, respectively. ML models were trained using all variables (ML-All) and all image-derived variables (including age and sex, ML-Image). Next, ML models were sequentially trained by incrementally adding manually input and imaging variables to baseline ML models based on their importance ranking. The fewest variables were determined as the ML models (ML-Reduced, ML-Minimum, and ML-Image-Reduced) that achieved comparable prognostic performance to ML-All and ML-Image. Prognostic accuracy of the ML models was compared with visual diagnosis, stress total perfusion deficit (TPD), and traditional multivariable models using area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC).ML-Minimum (AUC 0.798) obtained comparable prognostic accuracy to ML-All (AUC 0.798, p = 0.18) by including 12 of 40 manually input variables and 11 of 58 imaging variables. ML-Reduced achieved comparable accuracy (AUC 0.795) with a reduced set of manually input variables and all imaging variables. In external validation, the ML models also obtained comparable or higher prognostic accuracy than traditional multivariable models. CONCLUSION Reduced ML models, including a minimum set of manually collected or imaging variables, achieved slightly lower accuracy compared to a full ML model, but outperformed standard interpretation methods and risk models. ML models with fewer collected variables may be more practical for clinical implementation. TRANSLATIONAL PERSPECTIVE A reduced machine learning model, with 12 out of 40 manually collected variables and 11 of 58 imaging variables, achieved >99% of the prognostic accuracy of the full model. Models with fewer manually collected features require less infrastructure to implement, are easier for physicians to utilize, and are potentially critical to ensuring broader clinical implementation. Additionally, these models can integrate mechanisms to explain patient-specific risk estimates to improve physician confidence in the machine learning prediction.

Background There is a paucity of data comparing 30-day morbidity and mortality of sleeve gastrectomy (SG), Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB), and one anastomosis gastric bypass (OAGB). This study aimed to compare the 30-day safety of SG, RYGB, and OAGB in propensity score-matched cohorts. Materials and methods This analysis utilised data collected from the GENEVA study which was a multicentre observational cohort study of bariatric and metabolic surgery (BMS) in 185 centres across 42 countries between 01/05/2022 and 31/10/2020 during the Coronavirus Disease-2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. 30-day complications were categorised according to the Clavien–Dindo classification. Patients receiving SG, RYGB, or OAGB were propensity-matched according to baseline characteristics and 30-day complications were compared between groups. Results In total, 6770 patients (SG 3983; OAGB 702; RYGB 2085) were included in this analysis. Prior to matching, RYGB was associated with highest 30-day complication rate (SG 5.8%; OAGB 7.5%; RYGB 8.0% (p = 0.006)). On multivariate regression modelling, Insulin-dependent type 2 diabetes mellitus and hypercholesterolaemia were associated with increased 30-day complications. Being a non-smoker was associated with reduced complication rates. When compared to SG as a reference category, RYGB, but not OAGB, was associated with an increased rate of 30-day complications. A total of 702 pairs of SG and OAGB were propensity score-matched. The complication rate in the SG group was 7.3% (n = 51) as compared to 7.5% (n = 53) in the OAGB group (p = 0.68). Similarly, 2085 pairs of SG and RYGB were propensity score-matched. The complication rate in the SG group was 6.1% (n = 127) as compared to 7.9% (n = 166) in the RYGB group (p = 0.09). And, 702 pairs of OAGB and RYGB were matched. The complication rate in both groups was the same at 7.5 % (n = 53; p = 0.07). Conclusions This global study found no significant difference in the 30-day morbidity and mortality of SG, RYGB, and OAGB in propensity score-matched cohorts.

BACKGROUND: Accurately predicting which patients will have abnormal perfusion on MPI based on pre-test clinical information may help physicians make test selection decisions. We developed and validated a machine learning (ML) model for predicting abnormal perfusion using pre-test features. METHODS: We included consecutive patients who underwent SPECT MPI, with 20,418 patients from a multi-center (5 sites) international registry in the training population and 9,019 patients (from 2 separate sites) in the external testing population. The ML (extreme gradient boosting) model utilized 30 pre-test features to predict the presence of abnormal myocardial perfusion by expert visual interpretation. RESULTS: In external testing, the ML model had higher prediction performance for abnormal perfusion (area under receiver-operating characteristic curve [AUC] 0.762, 95% CI 0.750 – 0.774) compared to the clinical CAD consortium (AUC 0.689) basic CAD consortium (AUC 0.657), and updated Diamond-Forrester models (AUC 0.658, p

Background: Semiquantitative assessment of stress myocardial perfusion defect has been shown to have greater prognostic value for prediction of major adverse cardiac events (MACE) in women compared with men in single-center studies with conventional single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) cameras. We evaluated sex-specific difference in the prognostic value of automated quantification of ischemic total perfusion defect (ITPD) and the interaction between sex and ITPD using high-efficiency SPECT cameras with solid-state detectors in an international multicenter imaging registry (REFINE SPECT [Registry of Fast Myocardial Perfusion Imaging With Next-Generation SPECT]). Methods: Rest and exercise or pharmacological stress SPECT myocardial perfusion imaging were performed in 17 833 patients from 5 centers. MACE was defined as the first occurrence of death or myocardial infarction. Total perfusion defect (TPD) at rest, stress, and ejection fraction were quantified automatically by software. ITPD was given by stressTPD-restTPD. Cox proportional hazards model was used to evaluate the association between ITPD versus MACE-free survival and expressed as a hazard ratio. Results: In 10614 men and 7219 women, with a median follow-up of 4.75 years (interquartile range, 3.7–6.1), there were 1709 MACE. In a multivariable Cox model, after adjusting for revascularization and other confounding variables, ITPD was associated with MACE (hazard ratio, 1.08 [95% CI, 1.05–1.1]; P P P Conclusions: In the international, multicenter REFINE SPECT registry, moderate and severe ischemia as quantified by ITPD from high-efficiency SPECT is associated with a worse prognosis in women compared with men.

We hypothesized early post-stress left ventricular ejection fraction reserve (EFR) on solid-state-SPECT is associated with major cardiac adverse events (MACE). 151 patients (70 ± 12 years, male 50%) undergoing same-day rest/regadenoson stress 99mTc-sestamibi solid-state SPECT were followed for MACE. Rest imaging was performed in the upright and supine positions. Early stress imaging was started 2 minutes after the regadenoson injection in the supine position and followed by late stress acquisition in the upright position. Total perfusion deficit (TPD) and functional parameters were quantified automatically. EFR, ∆end-diastolic volume (EDV), and end-systolic volume (ESV) were calculated as the difference between stress and rest values in the same position. EFR