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Over the last decades, air pollution emissions have decreased substantially; however, inequities in air pollution persist. We evaluate county-level racial/ethnic and socioeconomic disparities in emissions changes from six air pollution source sectors (industry [SO2], energy [SO2, NOx], agriculture [NH3], commercial [NOx], residential [particulate organic carbon], and on-road transportation [NOx]) in the contiguous United States during the 40 years following the Clean Air Act (CAA) enactment (1970-2010). We calculate relative emission changes and examine the differential changes given county demographics using hierarchical nested models. The results show racial/ethnic disparities, particularly in the industry and energy generation source sectors. We also find that median family income is a driver of variation in relative emissions changes in all sectors-counties with median family income >$75 K vs. less generally experience larger relative declines in industry, energy, transportation, residential, and commercial-related emissions. Emissions from most air pollution source sectors have, on a national level, decreased following the United States CAA. In this work, we show that the relative reductions in emissions varied across racial/ethnic and socioeconomic groups.

Abstract. Aerosols over Earth's remote and spatially extensive ocean surfaces have important influences on planetary climate. However, these aerosols and their effects remain poorly understood, in part due to the remoteness and limited observations over these regions. In this study, we seek to understand factors that shape marine aerosol size distributions and composition in the Northwest Atlantic Ocean region. We use the GEOS-Chem-TOMAS model to interpret measurements collected from ship and aircraft during the four seasonal campaigns of the North Atlantic Aerosols and Marine Ecosystems Study (NAAMES) conducted between 2015 and 2018. Observations from the NAAMES campaigns show enhancements in aerosol total number concentration at atmospheric altitudes of about 1 km, most pronounced during the phytoplankton bloom maxima (May/June). Our simulations, combined with NAAMES ship and aircraft measurements, suggest several key factors contribute to aerosol number and size in the Northwest Atlantic lower troposphere, with significant regional-mean (40–60° N, 20–50° W) aerosol-cloud albedo indirect effects (AIE) and direct radiative effects (DRE) during the phytoplankton bloom. These key factors and their associated radiative effects in the region are: (1) particle formation above/near the marine boundary layer (MBL) top (AIE: −3.37 W m−2, DRE: −0.62 W m−2), (2) particle growth due to marine secondary organic aerosol (MSOA) as the nascent particles subside into the MBL, enabling them to become cloud-condensation-nuclei-size particles (AIE: −2.27 W m−2, DRE: −0.10 W m−2), (3) particle formation/growth due to the products of dimethyl sulfide, above/within the MBL (−1.29 W m−2, DRE: −0.06 W m−2), and (4) ship emissions (AIE: −0.62 W m−2, DRE: −0.05 W m−2). Our results suggest a synergy of particle formation near the MBL top and growth by MSOA that contributes strongly to cloud-condensation-nuclei-sized particles with significant regional radiative effects in the Northwest Atlantic. Future work is needed to understand the sources and temperature-dependence of condensable marine vapors forming MSOA and to understand the species that can form new particles at the boundary layer top and grow these particles as they descend into the marine boundary layer.

Atmospheric methane directly affects surface temperatures and indirectly affects ozone, impacting human welfare, the economy, and environment. The social cost of methane (SC‐CH4) metric estimates the costs associated with an additional marginal metric ton of emissions. Current SC‐CH4 estimates do not consider the indirect impacts associated with ozone production from changes in methane. We use global model simulations and a new BenMAP webtool to estimate respiratory‐related deaths associated with increases in ozone from a pulse of methane emissions in 2020. By using an approach consistent with the current SC‐CH4 framework, we monetize and discount annual damages back to present day values. We estimate that the methane‐ozone mechanism is attributable to 760 (95% CI: 330–1200) respiratory‐related deaths per million metric tons of methane globally, for a global net present damage of $1800/mT (95% CI: $760–$2800/mT CH4; 2% Ramsey discount rate); this would double the current SC‐CH4 if included. These physical impacts are consistent with recent studies, but comparing direct costs is challenging. Economic damages are sensitive to uncertainties in the exposure and health risks associated with tropospheric ozone, assumptions about future projections of NOx emissions, socioeconomic conditions, and mortality rates, monetization parameters, and other factors. Our estimates are highly sensitive to uncertainties in ozone health risks. We also develop a reduced form model to test sensitivities to other parameters. The reduced form tool runs with a user‐supplied emissions pulse, as well as socioeconomic and precursor projections, enabling future integration of the methane‐ozone mechanism into the SC‐CH4 modeling framework. Plain Language Summary: The social cost of methane is used to assess the costs and benefits associated with emissions mitigation in U.S. regulations, in addition to other decision‐making applications. The current social cost of methane used by the U.S. Government is $1500/metric ton of methane emissions. This estimate does not include damages related to deaths associated with changes in exposure to background ozone, resulting from increases in atmospheric methane. Using an approach consistent with the social cost of methane framework, we estimate that damages from the methane‐ozone mechanism are $1800/metric ton, which, if included, would double the current social cost of methane. These costs have uncertainties related to the health risks associated with exposure to ozone, assumptions about future NOx emissions, choice of discount rates, and other factors. We also develop a reduced form model that allows rapid estimation of many of these sensitivities and enables consideration of this mechanism in the social cost methodology. Key Points: Increases in mortality attributable to ozone produced from methane are not currently considered in the government's social cost of methaneOzone from a 2020 methane emissions pulse results in 760 deaths per million metric ton and a net present value of $1800 per metric tonA reduced form tool is developed to assess uncertainties and facilitate additional social cost of methane calculations [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

High levels of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) pollution in East Asia often exceed local air quality standards. Observations from the Korea United States-Air Quality (KORUS-AQ) field campaign in May and June 2016 showed that development of extreme pollution (haze) occurred through a combination of long-range transport and favorable meteorological conditions that enhanced local production of PM2.5. Atmospheric models often have difficulty simulating PM2.5 chemical composition during haze, which is of concern for the development of successful control measures. We use observations from KORUS-AQ to examine the ability of the GEOS-Chem chemical transport model to simulate PM2.5 composition throughout the campaign and identify the mechanisms driving the pollution event. In the surface level, the model underestimates campaign average sulfate aerosol by -64% but overestimates nitrate aerosol by 36%. The largest underestimate in sulfate occurs during the pollution event in conditions of high relative humidity, where models typically struggle to generate the high concentrations due to missing heterogeneous chemistry in aerosol liquid water in the polluted boundary layer. Hourly surface observations show that the model nitrate bias is driven by an overestimation of the nighttime peak. In the model, nitrate formation is limited by the supply of nitric acid, which is biased by +100% against aircraft observations. We hypothesize that this is due to a missing sink, which we implement here as a factor of five increase in dry deposition. We show that the resulting increased deposition velocity is consistent with observations of total nitrate as a function of photochemical age. The model does not account for factors such as the urban heat island effect or the heterogeneity of the built-up urban landscape resulting in insufficient model turbulence and surface area over the study area that likely results in insufficient dry deposition. Other species such as NH3 could be similarly affected but were not measured during the campaign. Nighttime production of nitrate is driven by NO2 hydrolysis in the model, while observations show that unexpectedly elevated nighttime ozone (not present in the model) should result in N2O5 hydrolysis as the primary pathway. The model is unable to represent nighttime ozone due to an overly rapid collapse of the afternoon mixed layer and excessive titration by NO. We attribute this to missing nighttime heating driving deeper nocturnal mixing that would be expected to occur in a city like Seoul. This urban heating is not considered in air quality models run at large enough scales to treat both local chemistry and long-range transport. Key model failures in simulating nitrate, mainly overestimated daytime nitric acid, incorrect representation of nighttime chemistry, and an overly shallow and insufficiently turbulent nighttime mixed layer, exacerbate the model's inability to simulate the buildup of PM2.5 during haze pollution. To address the underestimate in sulfate most evident during the haze event, heterogeneous aerosol uptake of SO2 is added to the model which previously only considered aqueous production of sulfate from SO2 in cloud water. Implementing a simple parameterization of this chemistry improves the model abundance of sulfate but degrades the SO2 simulation implying that emissions are underestimated. We find that improving model simulations of sulfate has direct relevance to determining local vs. transboundary contributions to PM2.5. During the haze pollution event, the inclusion of heterogeneous aerosol uptake of SO2 decreases the fraction of PM2.5 attributable to long-range transport from 66% to 54%. Locally-produced sulfate increased from 1% to 46% of locally-produced PM2.5, implying that local emissions controls would have a larger effect than previously thought. However, this additional uptake of SO2 is coupled to the model nitrate prediction which affects the aerosol liquid water abundance and chemistry driving sulfate-nitrate-ammonium partitioning. An additional simulation of the haze pollution with heterogeneous uptake of SO2 to aerosol and simple improvements to the model nitrate simulation results in 30% less sulfate due to 40% less nitrate and aerosol water, and results in an underestimate of sulfate during the haze event. Future studies need to better consider the impact of model physical processes such as dry deposition and boundary layer mixing on the simulation of nitrate and the effect of improved nitrate simulations on the overall simulation of secondary inorganic aerosol (sulfate+nitrate+ammonium) in East Asia. Foreign emissions are rapidly changing, increasing the need to understand the impact of local emissions on PM2.5 in South Korea to ensure continued air quality improvements. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]