580 results on '"Montzka, Stephen A."'
Search Results
2. A renewed rise in global HCFC-141b emissions between 2017-2021.
- Author
-
Western, Luke, Redington, Alison, Manning, Alistair, Trudinger, Cathy, Hu, Lei, Henne, Stephan, Fang, Xuekun, Kuijpers, Lambert, Theodoridi, Christina, Godwin, David, Arduini, Jgor, Dunse, Bronwyn, Engel, Andreas, Fraser, Paul, Harth, Christina, Krummel, Paul, Maione, Michela, Mühle, Jens, ODoherty, Simon, Park, Hyeri, Park, Sunyoung, Reimann, Stefan, Salameh, Peter, Say, Daniel, Schmidt, Roland, Schuck, Tanja, Siso, Carolina, Stanley, Kieran, Vimont, Isaac, Vollmer, Martin, Young, Dickon, Prinn, Ronald, Weiss, Ray, Montzka, Stephen, and Rigby, Matthew
- Abstract
Global emissions of the ozone-depleting gas HCFC-141b (1,1-dichloro-1-fluoroethane, CH3CCl2F) derived from measurements of atmospheric mole fractions increased between 2017 and 2021 despite a fall in reported production and consumption of HCFC-141b for dispersive uses. HCFC-141b is a controlled substance under the Montreal Protocol, and its phase-out is currently underway, after a peak in reported consumption and production in developing (Article 5) countries in 2013. If reported production and consumption are correct, our study suggests that the 2017-2021 rise is due to an increase in emissions from the bank when appliances containing HCFC-141b reach the end of their life, or from production of HCFC-141b not reported for dispersive uses. Regional emissions have been estimated between 2017-2020 for all regions where measurements have sufficient sensitivity to emissions. This includes the regions of northwestern Europe, east Asia, the United States and Australia, where emissions decreased by a total of 2.3 ± 4.6 Ggyr-1, compared to a mean global increase of 3.0 ± 1.2 Ggyr-1 over the same period. Collectively these regions only account for around 30% of global emissions in 2020. We are not able to pinpoint the source regions or specific activities responsible for the recent global emission rise.
- Published
- 2022
3. Hydrocarbon Tracers Suggest Methane Emissions from Fossil Sources Occur Predominately Before Gas Processing and That Petroleum Plays Are a Significant Source
- Author
-
Tribby, Ariana L, Bois, Justin S, Montzka, Stephen A, Atlas, Elliot L, Vimont, Isaac, Lan, Xin, Tans, Pieter P, Elkins, James W, Blake, Donald R, and Wennberg, Paul O
- Subjects
Earth Sciences ,Atmospheric Sciences ,Air Pollutants ,Bayes Theorem ,Fossils ,Gases ,Hydrocarbons ,Methane ,Natural Gas ,Petroleum ,ethane ,propane ,natural gas ,methane ,energy ,Environmental Sciences - Abstract
We use global airborne observations of propane (C3H8) and ethane (C2H6) from the Atmospheric Tomography (ATom) and HIAPER Pole-to-Pole Observations (HIPPO), as well as U.S.-based aircraft and tower observations by NOAA and from the NCAR FRAPPE campaign as tracers for emissions from oil and gas operations. To simulate global mole fraction fields for these gases, we update the default emissions' configuration of C3H8 used by the global chemical transport model, GEOS-Chem v13.0.0, using a scaled C2H6 spatial proxy. With the updated emissions, simulations of both C3H8 and C2H6 using GEOS-Chem are in reasonable agreement with ATom and HIPPO observations, though the updated emission fields underestimate C3H8 accumulation in the arctic wintertime, pointing to additional sources of this gas in the high latitudes (e.g., Europe). Using a Bayesian hierarchical model, we estimate global emissions of C2H6 and C3H8 from fossil fuel production in 2016-2018 to be 13.3 ± 0.7 (95% CI) and 14.7 ± 0.8 (95% CI) Tg/year, respectively. We calculate bottom-up hydrocarbon emission ratios using basin composition measurements weighted by gas production and find their magnitude is higher than expected and is similar to ratios informed by our revised alkane emissions. This suggests that emissions are dominated by pre-processing activities in oil-producing basins.
- Published
- 2022
4. Projections of hydrofluorocarbon (HFC) emissions and the resulting global warming based on recent trends in observed abundances and current policies
- Author
-
Velders, Guus JM, Daniel, John S, Montzka, Stephen A, Vimont, Isaac, Rigby, Matthew, Krummel, Paul B, Muhle, Jens, O'Doherty, Simon, Prinn, Ronald G, Weiss, Ray F, and Young, Dickon
- Subjects
Climate Action ,Astronomical and Space Sciences ,Atmospheric Sciences ,Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences - Abstract
Abstract. The emissions of hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) have increased significantly in the past 2 decades, primarily as a result of the phaseout of ozone-depleting substances under the Montreal Protocol and the use of HFCs as their replacements. In 2015, large increases were projected in HFC use and emissions in this century in the absence of regulations, contributing up to 0.5 ∘C to global surface warming by 2100. In 2019, the Kigali Amendment to the Montreal Protocol came into force with the goal of limiting the use of HFCs globally, and currently, regulations to limit the use of HFCs are in effect in several countries. Here, we analyze trends in HFC emissions inferred from observations of atmospheric abundances and compare them with previous projections. Total CO2 eq. inferred HFC emissions continue to increase through 2019 (to about 0.8 GtCO2eq.yr-1) but are about 20 % lower than previously projected for 2017–2019, mainly because of the lower global emissionsof HFC-143a. This indicates that HFCs are used much less in industrial and commercial refrigeration (ICR) applications than previously projected. This is supported by data reported by the developed countries and the lower reported consumption of HFC-143a in China. Because this time period preceded the beginning of the Kigali provisions, this reduction cannot be linked directly to the provisions of the Kigali Amendment. However, it could indicate that companies transitioned away from the HFC-143a with its high global warming potential (GWP) for ICR applications in anticipation of national or global mandates. There are two new HFC scenarios developed based (1) on current trends in HFC use and Kigali-independent (K-I) control policies currently existing in several countries and (2) current HFC trends and compliance with the Kigali Amendment (KA-2022). These current policies reduce projected emissions in 2050 from the previously calculated 4.0–5.3 GtCO2eq.yr-1 to 1.9–3.6 GtCO2eq.yr-1. The added provisions of the Kigali Amendment are projected toreduce the emissions further to 0.9–1.0 GtCO2eq.yr-1 in 2050. Without any controls, projections suggest a HFC contribution of0.28–0.44 ∘C to global surface warming by 2100, compared to a temperature contribution of 0.14–0.31 ∘C that is projectedconsidering the national K-I policies current in place. Warming from HFCs is additionally limited by the Kigali Amendment controls to a contribution of about 0.04 ∘C by 2100.
- Published
- 2022
5. Global increase of ozone-depleting chlorofluorocarbons from 2010 to 2020
- Author
-
Western, Luke M., Vollmer, Martin K., Krummel, Paul B., Adcock, Karina E., Crotwell, Molly, Fraser, Paul J., Harth, Christina M., Langenfelds, Ray L., Montzka, Stephen A., Mühle, Jens, O’Doherty, Simon, Oram, David E., Reimann, Stefan, Rigby, Matt, Vimont, Isaac, Weiss, Ray F., Young, Dickon, and Laube, Johannes C.
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
6. Correction: COS-derived GPP relationships with temperature and light help explain high-latitude atmospheric CO₂ seasonal cycle amplification
- Author
-
Hu, Lei, Montzka, Stephen A., Kaushik, Aleya, Andrews, Arlyn E., Sweeney, Colm, Miller, John, Baker, Ian T., Denning, Scott, Campbell, Elliott, Shiga, Yoichi P., Tans, Pieter, Siso, M. Carolina, Crotwell, Molly, McKain, Kathryn, Thoning, Kirk, Hall, Bradley, Vimont, Isaac, Elkins, James W., Whelan, Mary E., and Suntharalingam, Parvadha
- Published
- 2021
7. Ocean Biogeochemistry Control on the Marine Emissions of Brominated Very Short‐Lived Ozone‐Depleting Substances: A Machine‐Learning Approach
- Author
-
Wang, Siyuan, Kinnison, Douglas, Montzka, Stephen A, Apel, Eric C, Hornbrook, Rebecca S, Hills, Alan J, Blake, Donald R, Barletta, Barbara, Meinardi, Simone, Sweeney, Colm, Moore, Fred, Long, Matthew, Saiz‐Lopez, Alfonso, Fernandez, Rafael Pedro, Tilmes, Simone, Emmons, Louisa K, and Lamarque, Jean‐François
- Subjects
Climate Action ,very short lived substances ,air-sea exchange ,ocean biogeochemistry ,machine Learning ,Atmospheric Sciences ,Physical Geography and Environmental Geoscience - Abstract
Halogenated very short lived substances (VSLS) affect the ozone budget in the atmosphere. Brominated VSLS are naturally emitted from the ocean, and current oceanic emission inventories vary dramatically. We present a new global oceanic emission inventory of Br-VSLS (bromoform and dibromomethane), considering the physical forcing in the ocean and the atmosphere, as well as the ocean biogeochemistry control. A data-oriented machine-learning emulator was developed to couple the air-sea exchange with the ocean biogeochemistry. The predicted surface seawater concentrations and the surface atmospheric mixing ratios of Br-VSLS are evaluated with long-term, global-scale observations; and the predicted vertical distributions of Br-VSLS are compared to the global airborne observations in both boreal summer and winter. The global marine emissions of bromoform and dibromomethane are estimated to be 385 and 54 Gg Br per year, respectively. The new oceanic emission inventory of Br-VSLS is more skillful than the widely used top-down approaches for representing the seasonal/spatial variations and the annual means of atmospheric concentrations. The new approach improves the model predictability for the coupled Earth system model and can be used as a basis for investigating the past and future ocean emissions and feedbacks under climate change. This model framework can be used to calculate the bidirectional oceanic fluxes for other compounds of interest.
- Published
- 2019
8. Enhanced North American carbon uptake associated with El Niño.
- Author
-
Hu, Lei, Andrews, Arlyn E, Thoning, Kirk W, Sweeney, Colm, Miller, John B, Michalak, Anna M, Dlugokencky, Ed, Tans, Pieter P, Shiga, Yoichi P, Mountain, Marikate, Nehrkorn, Thomas, Montzka, Stephen A, McKain, Kathryn, Kofler, Jonathan, Trudeau, Michael, Michel, Sylvia E, Biraud, Sébastien C, Fischer, Marc L, Worthy, Doug EJ, Vaughn, Bruce H, White, James WC, Yadav, Vineet, Basu, Sourish, and van der Velde, Ivar R
- Abstract
Long-term atmospheric CO2 mole fraction and δ13CO2 observations over North America document persistent responses to the El Niño-Southern Oscillation. We estimate these responses corresponded to 0.61 (0.45 to 0.79) PgC year-1 more North American carbon uptake during El Niño than during La Niña between 2007 and 2015, partially offsetting increases of net tropical biosphere-to-atmosphere carbon flux around El Niño. Anomalies in derived North American net ecosystem exchange (NEE) display strong but opposite correlations with surface air temperature between seasons, while their correlation with water availability was more constant throughout the year, such that water availability is the dominant control on annual NEE variability over North America. These results suggest that increased water availability and favorable temperature conditions (warmer spring and cooler summer) caused enhanced carbon uptake over North America near and during El Niño.
- Published
- 2019
9. Long‐Term Measurements Show Little Evidence for Large Increases in Total U.S. Methane Emissions Over the Past Decade
- Author
-
Lan, Xin, Tans, Pieter, Sweeney, Colm, Andrews, Arlyn, Dlugokencky, Edward, Schwietzke, Stefan, Kofler, Jonathan, McKain, Kathryn, Thoning, Kirk, Crotwell, Molly, Montzka, Stephen, Miller, Benjamin R, and Biraud, Sébastien C
- Subjects
Earth Sciences ,Atmospheric Sciences ,Climate Action ,Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences - Abstract
Recent studies show conflicting estimates of trends in methane (CH4) emissions from oil and natural gas (ONG) operations in the United States. We analyze atmospheric CH4 measurements from 20 North American sites in the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Global Greenhouse Gas Reference Network and determined trends for 2006–2015. Using CH4 vertical gradients as an indicator of regional surface emissions, we find no significant increase in emissions at most sites and modest increases at three sites heavily influenced by ONG activities. Our estimated increases in North American ONG CH4 emissions (on average approximately 3.4 ± 1.4 %/year for 2006–2015, ±σ) are much smaller than estimates from some previous studies and below our detection threshold for total emissions increases at the east coast sites that are sensitive to U.S. outflows. We also find an increasing trend in ethane/methane emission ratios, which has resulted in major overestimation of oil and gas emissions trends in some previous studies.
- Published
- 2019
10. Recent Trends in Stratospheric Chlorine From Very Short‐Lived Substances
- Author
-
Hossaini, Ryan, Atlas, Elliot, Dhomse, Sandip S, Chipperfield, Martyn P, Bernath, Peter F, Fernando, Anton M, Mühle, Jens, Leeson, Amber A, Montzka, Stephen A, Feng, Wuhu, Harrison, Jeremy J, Krummel, Paul, Vollmer, Martin K, Reimann, Stefan, O'Doherty, Simon, Young, Dickon, Maione, Michela, Arduini, Jgor, and Lunder, Chris R
- Subjects
Earth Sciences ,Atmospheric Sciences ,chlorine ,stratosphere ,VSLS ,chloroform ,dichloromethane ,ozone ,Physical Geography and Environmental Geoscience ,Atmospheric sciences ,Climate change science - Abstract
Very short-lived substances (VSLS), including dichloromethane (CH2Cl2), chloroform (CHCl3), perchloroethylene (C2Cl4), and 1,2-dichloroethane (C2H4Cl2), are a stratospheric chlorine source and therefore contribute to ozone depletion. We quantify stratospheric chlorine trends from these VSLS (VSLCltot) using a chemical transport model and atmospheric measurements, including novel high-altitude aircraft data from the NASA VIRGAS (2015) and POSIDON (2016) missions. We estimate VSLCltot increased from 69 (±14) parts per trillion (ppt) Cl in 2000 to 111 (±22) ppt Cl in 2017, with >80% delivered to the stratosphere through source gas injection, and the remainder from product gases. The modeled evolution of chlorine source gas injection agrees well with historical aircraft data, which corroborate reported surface CH2Cl2 increases since the mid-2000s. The relative contribution of VSLS to total stratospheric chlorine increased from ~2% in 2000 to ~3.4% in 2017, reflecting both VSLS growth and decreases in long-lived halocarbons. We derive a mean VSLCltot growth rate of 3.8 (±0.3) ppt Cl/year between 2004 and 2017, though year-to-year growth rates are variable and were small or negative in the period 2015-2017. Whether this is a transient effect, or longer-term stabilization, requires monitoring. In the upper stratosphere, the modeled rate of HCl decline (2004-2017) is -5.2% per decade with VSLS included, in good agreement to ACE satellite data (-4.8% per decade), and 15% slower than a model simulation without VSLS. Thus, VSLS have offset a portion of stratospheric chlorine reductions since the mid-2000s.
- Published
- 2019
11. COS-derived GPP relationships with temperature and light help explain high-latitude atmospheric CO₂ seasonal cycle amplification
- Author
-
Hu, Lei, Montzka, Stephen A., Kaushik, Aleya, Andrews, Arlyn E., Sweeney, Colm, Miller, John, Baker, Ian T., Denning, Scott, Campbell, Elliott, Shiga, Yoichi P., Tans, Pieter, Siso, M. Carolina, Crotwell, Molly, McKain, Kathryn, Thoning, Kirk, Hall, Bradley, Vimont, Isaac, Elkins, James W., Whelan, Mary E., and Suntharalingam, Parvadha
- Published
- 2021
12. Reviews and syntheses: Carbonyl sulfide as a multi-scale tracer for carbon and water cycles
- Author
-
Whelan, Mary E, Lennartz, Sinikka T, Gimeno, Teresa E, Wehr, Richard, Wohlfahrt, Georg, Wang, Yuting, Kooijmans, Linda MJ, Hilton, Timothy W, Belviso, Sauveur, Peylin, Philippe, Commane, Róisín, Sun, Wu, Chen, Huilin, Kuai, Le, Mammarella, Ivan, Maseyk, Kadmiel, Berkelhammer, Max, Li, King-Fai, Yakir, Dan, Zumkehr, Andrew, Katayama, Yoko, Ogée, Jérôme, Spielmann, Felix M, Kitz, Florian, Rastogi, Bharat, Kesselmeier, Jürgen, Marshall, Julia, Erkkilä, Kukka-Maaria, Wingate, Lisa, Meredith, Laura K, He, Wei, Bunk, Rüdiger, Launois, Thomas, Vesala, Timo, Schmidt, Johan A, Fichot, Cédric G, Seibt, Ulli, Saleska, Scott, Saltzman, Eric S, Montzka, Stephen A, Berry, Joseph A, and Campbell, J Elliott
- Subjects
Climate Action ,Earth Sciences ,Environmental Sciences ,Biological Sciences ,Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences - Abstract
For the past decade, observations of carbonyl sulfide (OCS or COS) have been investigated as a proxy for carbon uptake by plants. OCS is destroyed by enzymes that interact with CO2 during photosynthesis, namely carbonic anhydrase (CA) and RuBisCO, where CA is the more important one. The majority of sources of OCS to the atmosphere are geographically separated from this large plant sink, whereas the sources and sinks of CO2 are co-located in ecosystems. The drawdown of OCS can therefore be related to the uptake of CO2 without the added complication of co-located emissions comparable in magnitude. Here we review the state of our understanding of the global OCS cycle and its applications to ecosystem carbon cycle science. OCS uptake is correlated well to plant carbon uptake, especially at the regional scale. OCS can be used in conjunction with other independent measures of ecosystem function, like solar-induced fluorescence and carbon and water isotope studies. More work needs to be done to generate global coverage for OCS observations and to link this powerful atmospheric tracer to systems where fundamental questions concerning the carbon and water cycle remain.
- Published
- 2018
13. Supplementary material to "On the atmospheric budget of ethylene dichloride and its impact on stratospheric chlorine and ozone (2002–2020)"
- Author
-
Hossaini, Ryan, primary, Sherry, David, additional, Wang, Zihao, additional, Chipperfield, Martyn, additional, Feng, Wuhu, additional, Oram, David, additional, Adcock, Karina, additional, Montzka, Stephen, additional, Simpson, Isobel, additional, Mazzeo, Andrea, additional, Leeson, Amber, additional, Atlas, Elliot, additional, and Chou, Charles C.-K., additional
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
14. On the atmospheric budget of ethylene dichloride and its impact on stratospheric chlorine and ozone (2002–2020)
- Author
-
Hossaini, Ryan, primary, Sherry, David, additional, Wang, Zihao, additional, Chipperfield, Martyn, additional, Feng, Wuhu, additional, Oram, David, additional, Adcock, Karina, additional, Montzka, Stephen, additional, Simpson, Isobel, additional, Mazzeo, Andrea, additional, Leeson, Amber, additional, Atlas, Elliot, additional, and Chou, Charles C.-K., additional
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
15. Deriving Global OH Abundance and Atmospheric Lifetimes for Long-Lived Gases: A Search for CH3CCl3 Alternatives.
- Author
-
Liang, Qing, Chipperfield, Martyn, Fleming, Eric, Abraham, N, Braesicke, Peter, Burkholder, James, Daniel, John, Dhomse, Sandip, Fraser, Paul, Hardiman, Steven, Jackman, Charles, Kinnison, Douglas, Krummel, Paul, Montzka, Stephen, Morgenstern, Olaf, McCulloch, Archie, Mühle, Jens, Newman, Paul, Orkin, Vladimir, Pitari, Giovanni, Prinn, Ronald, Rigby, Matthew, Rozanov, Eugene, Stenke, Andrea, Tummon, Fiona, Velders, Guus, Visioni, Daniele, and Weiss, Ray
- Abstract
An accurate estimate of global hydroxyl radical (OH) abundance is important for projections of air quality, climate, and stratospheric ozone recovery. As the atmospheric mixing ratios of methyl chloroform (CH3CCl3) (MCF), the commonly used OH reference gas, approaches zero, it is important to find alternative approaches to infer atmospheric OH abundance and variability. The lack of global bottom-up emission inventories is the primary obstacle in choosing a MCF alternative. We illustrate that global emissions of long-lived trace gases can be inferred from their observed mixing ratio differences between the Northern Hemisphere (NH) and Southern Hemisphere (SH), given realistic estimates of their NH-SH exchange time, the emission partitioning between the two hemispheres, and the NH versus SH OH abundance ratio. Using the observed long-term trend and emissions derived from the measured hemispheric gradient, the combination of HFC-32 (CH2F2), HFC-134a (CH2FCF3, HFC-152a (CH3CHF2), and HCFC-22 (CHClF2), instead of a single gas, will be useful as a MCF alternative to infer global and hemispheric OH abundance and trace gas lifetimes. The primary assumption on which this multispecies approach relies is that the OH lifetimes can be estimated by scaling the thermal reaction rates of a reference gas at 272 K on global and hemispheric scales. Thus, the derived hemispheric and global OH estimates are forced to reconcile the observed trends and gradient for all four compounds simultaneously. However, currently, observations of these gases from the surface networks do not provide more accurate OH abundance estimate than that from MCF.
- Published
- 2017
16. Reviews and Syntheses: Carbonyl Sulfide as a Multi-scale Tracer for Carbon and Water Cycles
- Author
-
Whelan, Mary E, Lennartz, Sinikka T, Gimeno, Teresa E, Wehr, Richard, Wohlfahrt, Georg, Wang, Yuting, Kooijmans, Linda MJ, Hilton, Timothy W, Belviso, Sauveur, Peylin, Philippe, Commane, Róisín, Sun, Wu, Chen, Huilin, Kuai, Le, Mammarella, Ivan, Maseyk, Kadmiel, Berkelhammer, Max, Li, King-Fai, Yakir, Dan, Zumkehr, Andrew, Katayama, Yoko, Ogée, Jérôme, Spielmann, Felix M, Kitz, Florian, Rastogi, Bharat, Kesselmeier, Jürgen, Marshall, Julia, Erkkilä, Kukka-Maaria, Wingate, Lisa, Meredith, Laura K, He, Wei, Bunk, Rüdiger, Launois, Thomas, Vesala, Timo, Schmidt, Johan A, Fichot, Cédric G, Seibt, Ulli, Saleska, Scott, Saltzman, Eric S, Montzka, Stephen A, Berry, Joseph A, and Campbell, J Elliott
- Abstract
Abstract. For the past decade, observations of carbonyl sulfide (OCS or COS) have been investigated as a proxy for carbon uptake by plants. OCS is destroyed by enzymes that interact with CO2 during photosynthesis, namely carbonic anhydrase (CA) and RuBisCO, where CA is the more important. The majority of sources of OCS to the atmosphere are geographically separated from this large plant sink, whereas the sources and sinks of CO2 are co-located in ecosystems. The drawdown of OCS can therefore be related to the uptake of CO2 without the added complication of co-located emissions comparable in magnitude. Here we review the state of our understanding of the global OCS cycle and its applications to ecosystem carbon cycle science. OCS uptake is correlated well to plant carbon uptake, especially at the regional scale. OCS can be used in conjunction with other independent measures of ecosystem function, like solar-induced fluorescence and carbon and water isotope studies. More work needs to be done to generate global coverage for OCS observations and to link this powerful atmospheric tracer to systems where fundamental questions concerning the carbon and water cycle remain.
- Published
- 2017
17. Considerable contribution of the Montreal Protocol to declining greenhouse gas emissions from the United States
- Author
-
Hu, Lei, Montzka, Stephen A, Lehman, Scott J, Godwin, David S, Miller, Benjamin R, Andrews, Arlyn E, Thoning, Kirk, Miller, John B, Sweeney, Colm, Siso, Caroline, Elkins, James W, Hall, Bradley D, Mondeel, Debra J, Nance, David, Nehrkorn, Thomas, Mountain, Marikate, Fischer, Marc L, Biraud, Sébastien C, Chen, Huilin, and Tans, Pieter P
- Subjects
Earth Sciences ,Atmospheric Sciences ,Climate Action ,Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences - Abstract
Ozone depleting substances (ODSs) controlled by the Montreal Protocol are potent greenhouse gases (GHGs), as are their substitutes, the hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs). Here we provide for the first time a comprehensive estimate of U.S. emissions of ODSs and HFCs based on precise measurements in discrete air samples from across North America and in the remote atmosphere. Derived emissions show spatial and seasonal variations qualitatively consistent with known uses and largely confirm U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) national emissions inventories for most gases. The measurement-based results further indicate a substantial decline of ODS emissions from 2008 to 2014, equivalent to ~50% of the CO2-equivalent decline in combined emissions of CO2 and all other long-lived GHGs inventoried by the EPA for the same period. Total estimated CO2-equivalent emissions of HFCs were comparable to the sum of ODS emissions in 2014, but can be expected to decline in the future in response to recent policy measures.
- Published
- 2017
18. Assessing a New Clue to How Much Carbon Plants Take Up
- Author
-
Campbell, J, Kesselmeier, Jürgen, Yakir, Dan, Berry, Joe, Peylin, Philippe, Belviso, Sauveur, Vesala, Timo, Maseyk, Kadmiel, Seibt, Ulrike, Chen, Huilin, Whelan, Mary, Hilton, Timothy, Montzka, Stephen, Berkelhammer, Max, Lennartz, Sinikka, Kuai, Le, Wohlfahrt, Georg, Wang, Yuting, Blake, Nicola, Blake, Donald, Stinecipher, James, Baker, Ian, and Sitch, Stephen
- Subjects
Life on Land ,Climate Action ,Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences - Abstract
Current climate models disagree on how much carbon dioxide land ecosystems take up for photosynthesis. Tracking the stronger carbonyl sulfide signal could help.
- Published
- 2017
19. Role of atmospheric oxidation in recent methane growth
- Author
-
Rigby, Matthew, Montzka, Stephen A, Prinn, Ronald G, White, James WC, Young, Dickon, O’Doherty, Simon, Lunt, Mark F, Ganesan, Anita L, Manning, Alistair J, Simmonds, Peter G, Salameh, Peter K, Harth, Christina M, Mühle, Jens, Weiss, Ray F, Fraser, Paul J, Steele, L Paul, Krummel, Paul B, McCulloch, Archie, and Park, Sunyoung
- Subjects
methane ,hydroxyl ,inversion ,methyl chloroform ,1 ,1 ,1-trichloroethane - Abstract
The growth in global methane (CH4) concentration, which had been ongoing since the industrial revolution, stalled around the year 2000 before resuming globally in 2007. We evaluate the role of the hydroxyl radical (OH), the major CH4 sink, in the recent CH4 growth. We also examine the influence of systematic uncertainties in OH concentrations on CH4 emissions inferred from atmospheric observations. We use observations of 1,1,1-trichloroethane (CH3CCl3), which is lost primarily through reaction with OH, to estimate OH levels as well as CH3CC3 emissions, which have uncertainty that previously limited the accuracy of OH estimates. We find a 64-70% probability that a decline in OH has contributed to the post-2007 methane rise. Our median solution suggests that CH4 emissions increased relatively steadily during the late 1990s and early 2000s, after which growth was more modest. This solution obviates the need for a sudden statistically significant change in total CH4 emissions around the year 2007 to explain the atmospheric observations and can explain some of the decline in the atmospheric 13CH4/12CH4 ratio and the recent growth in C2H6 Our approach indicates that significant OH-related uncertainties in the CH4 budget remain, and we find that it is not possible to implicate, with a high degree of confidence, rapid global CH4 emissions changes as the primary driver of recent trends when our inferred OH trends and these uncertainties are considered.
- Published
- 2017
20. Estimating methane emissions from biological and fossil‐fuel sources in the San Francisco Bay Area
- Author
-
Jeong, Seongeun, Cui, Xinguang, Blake, Donald R, Miller, Ben, Montzka, Stephen A, Andrews, Arlyn, Guha, Abhinav, Martien, Philip, Bambha, Ray P, LaFranchi, Brian, Michelsen, Hope A, Clements, Craig B, Glaize, Pierre, and Fischer, Marc L
- Subjects
Climate Action ,methane ,greenhouse gas ,natural gas ,emission inventory ,atmospheric transport ,inverse model ,Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences - Abstract
We present the first sector-specific analysis of methane (CH4) emissions from the San Francisco Bay Area (SFBA) using CH4 and volatile organic compound (VOC) measurements from six sites during September – December 2015. We apply a hierarchical Bayesian inversion to separate the biological from fossil-fuel (natural gas and petroleum) sources using the measurements of CH4 and selected VOCs, a source-specific 1 km CH4 emission model, and an atmospheric transport model. We estimate that SFBA CH4 emissions are 166–289 Gg CH4/yr (at 95% confidence), 1.3–2.3 times higher than a recent inventory with much of the underestimation from landfill. Including the VOCs, 82 ± 27% of total posterior median CH4 emissions are biological and 17 ± 3% fossil fuel, where landfill and natural gas dominate the biological and fossil-fuel CH4 of prior emissions, respectively.
- Published
- 2017
21. Combined assimilation of NOAA surface and MIPAS satellite observations to constrain the global budget of carbonyl sulfide
- Author
-
Ma, Jin, Kooijmans, Linda M.J., Glatthor, Norbert, Montzka, Stephen A., Von Hobe, Marc, Röckmann, Thomas, Krol, Maarten C., Ma, Jin, Kooijmans, Linda M.J., Glatthor, Norbert, Montzka, Stephen A., Von Hobe, Marc, Röckmann, Thomas, and Krol, Maarten C.
- Abstract
Carbonyl sulfide (COS), a trace gas in our atmosphere that leads to the formation of aerosols in the stratosphere, is largely taken up by terrestrial ecosystems. Quantifying the biosphere uptake of COS could provide a useful quantity to estimate gross primary productivity (GPP). Some COS sources and sinks still contain large uncertainties, and several top-down estimates of the COS budget point to an underestimation of sources, especially in the tropics. We extended the inverse model TM5-4DVAR to assimilate Michelson Interferometer for Passive Atmospheric Sounding (MIPAS) satellite data, in addition to National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) surface data as used in a previous study. To resolve possible discrepancies among the two observational data sets, a bias correction scheme is necessary and implemented. A set of inversions is presented that explores the influence of the different measurement streams and the settings of the prior fluxes. To evaluate the performance of the inverse system, the HIAPER Pole-to-Pole Observations (HIPPO) aircraft observations and NOAA airborne profiles are used. All inversions reduce the COS biosphere uptake from a prior value of 1053 GgS a1 to much smaller values, depending on the inversion settings. These large adjustments of the biosphere uptake often turn parts of Amazonia into a COS source. Only inversions that exclusively use MIPAS observations, or strongly reduce the prior errors on the biosphere flux, maintain the Amazon as a COS sink. Inclusion of MIPAS data in the inversion leads to a better separation of land and ocean fluxes. Over the Amazon, these inversions reduce the biosphere uptake from roughly 300 to 100 GgS a1, indicating a strongly overestimated prior uptake in this region. Although a recent study also reported reduced COS uptake over the Amazon, we emphasise that a careful construction of prior fluxes and their associated errors remains important. For instance, an inversion that gives large freedo
- Published
- 2024
22. Combined assimilation of NOAA surface and MIPAS satellite observations to constrain the global budget of carbonyl sulfide
- Author
-
Sub Atmospheric physics and chemistry, Ma, Jin, Kooijmans, Linda M.J., Glatthor, Norbert, Montzka, Stephen A., Von Hobe, Marc, Röckmann, Thomas, Krol, Maarten C., Sub Atmospheric physics and chemistry, Ma, Jin, Kooijmans, Linda M.J., Glatthor, Norbert, Montzka, Stephen A., Von Hobe, Marc, Röckmann, Thomas, and Krol, Maarten C.
- Published
- 2024
23. Measurements and Modeling of the Interhemispheric Differences of Atmospheric Chlorinated Very Short-Lived Substances
- Author
-
Roozitalab, Behrooz, Emmons, Louisa K., Hornbrook, Rebecca S., Kinnison, Douglas E., Fernandez, Rafael P., Li, Qinyi, Saiz-Lopez, Alfonso, Hossaini, Ryan, Cuevas, Carlos A., Hills, Alan J., Montzka, Stephen A., Blake, Donald R., Brune, William H., Veres, Patrick R., Apel, Eric C., Roozitalab, Behrooz, Emmons, Louisa K., Hornbrook, Rebecca S., Kinnison, Douglas E., Fernandez, Rafael P., Li, Qinyi, Saiz-Lopez, Alfonso, Hossaini, Ryan, Cuevas, Carlos A., Hills, Alan J., Montzka, Stephen A., Blake, Donald R., Brune, William H., Veres, Patrick R., and Apel, Eric C.
- Abstract
Chlorinated very short-lived substances (Cl-VSLS) are ubiquitous in the troposphere and can contribute to the stratospheric chlorine budget. In this study, we present measurements of atmospheric dichloromethane (CH2Cl2), tetrachloroethene (C2Cl4), chloroform (CHCl3), and 1,2-dichloroethane (1,2-DCA) obtained during the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Atmospheric Tomography (ATom) global-scale aircraft mission (2016?2018), and use the Community Earth System Model (CESM) updated with recent chlorine chemistry to further investigate their global tropospheric distribution. The measured global average Cl-VSLS mixing ratios, from 0.2 to 13 km altitude, were 46.6 ppt (CH2Cl2), 9.6 ppt (CHCl3), 7.8 ppt (1,2-DCA), and 0.84 ppt (C2Cl4) measured by the NSF NCAR Trace Organic Analyzer (TOGA) during ATom. Both measurements and model show distinct hemispheric gradients with the mean measured Northern to Southern Hemisphere (NH/SH) ratio of 2 or greater for all four Cl-VSLS. In addition, the TOGA profiles over the NH mid-latitudes showed general enhancements in the Pacific basin compared to the Atlantic basin, with up to ?18 ppt difference for CH2Cl2 in the mid troposphere. We tagged regional source emissions of CH2Cl2 and C2Cl4 in the model and found that Asian emissions dominate the global distributions of these species both at the surface (950 hPa) and at high altitudes (150 hPa). Overall, our results confirm relatively high mixing ratios of Cl-VSLS in the UTLS region and show that the CESM model does a reasonable job of simulating their global abundance but we also note the uncertainties with Cl-VSLS emissions and active chlorine sources in the model. These findings will be used to validate future emission inventories and to investigate the fast convective transport of Cl-VSLS to the UTLS region and their impact on stratospheric ozone.
- Published
- 2024
24. On the atmospheric budget of ethylene dichloride and its impact on stratospheric chlorine and ozone (2002–2020)
- Author
-
Hossaini, Ryan, Sherry, David, Wang, Zihao, Chipperfield, Martyn, Feng, Wuhu, Oram, David, Adcock, Karina, Montzka, Stephen, Simpson, Isobel, Mazzeo, Andrea, Leeson, Amber, Atlas, Elliot, Chou, Charles C.-K., Hossaini, Ryan, Sherry, David, Wang, Zihao, Chipperfield, Martyn, Feng, Wuhu, Oram, David, Adcock, Karina, Montzka, Stephen, Simpson, Isobel, Mazzeo, Andrea, Leeson, Amber, Atlas, Elliot, and Chou, Charles C.-K.
- Published
- 2024
25. Supplementary material to 'On the atmospheric budget of ethylene dichloride and its impact on stratospheric chlorine and ozone (2002–2020)'
- Author
-
Hossaini, Ryan, Sherry, David, Wang, Zihao, Chipperfield, Martyn, Feng, Wuhu, Oram, David, Adcock, Karina, Montzka, Stephen, Simpson, Isobel, Mazzeo, Andrea, Leeson, Amber, Atlas, Elliot, Chou, Charles C.-K., Hossaini, Ryan, Sherry, David, Wang, Zihao, Chipperfield, Martyn, Feng, Wuhu, Oram, David, Adcock, Karina, Montzka, Stephen, Simpson, Isobel, Mazzeo, Andrea, Leeson, Amber, Atlas, Elliot, and Chou, Charles C.-K.
- Published
- 2024
26. A decline in global CFC-11 emissions during 2018-2019
- Author
-
Montzka, Stephen A., Dutton, Geoffrey S., Portmann, Robert W., Chipperfield, Martyn P., Davis, Sean, Feng, Wuhu, and Manning, Alistair J.
- Subjects
Ozone layer depletion -- Forecasts and trends -- Laws, regulations and rules ,Emissions (Pollution) -- Forecasts and trends -- Environmental aspects ,Government regulation ,Market trend/market analysis ,Company distribution practices ,Environmental issues ,Science and technology ,Zoology and wildlife conservation - Abstract
The atmospheric concentration of trichlorofluoromethane (CFC-11) has been in decline since the production of ozone-depleting substances was phased out under the Montreal Protocol.sup.1,2. Since 2013, the concentration decline of CFC-11 slowed unexpectedly owing to increasing emissions, probably from unreported production, which, if sustained, would delay the recovery of the stratospheric ozone layer.sup.1-12. Here we report an accelerated decline in the global mean CFC-11 concentration during 2019 and 2020, derived from atmospheric concentration measurements at remote sites around the world. We find that global CFC-11 emissions decreased by 18 [plus or minus] 6 gigagrams per year (26 [plus or minus] 9 per cent; one standard deviation) from 2018 to 2019, to a 2019 value (52 [plus or minus] 10 gigagrams per year) that is similar to the 2008-2012 mean. The decline in global emissions suggests a substantial decrease in unreported CFC-11 production. If the sharp decline in unexpected global emissions and unreported production is sustained, any associated future ozone depletion is likely to be limited, despite an increase in the CFC-11 bank (the amount of CFC-11 produced, but not yet emitted) by 90 to 725 gigagrams by the beginning of 2020. Atmospheric concentration measurements at remote sites around the world reveal an accelerated decline in the global mean CFC-11 concentration during 2018 and 2019, reversing recent trends and building confidence in the timely recovery of the stratospheric ozone layer., Author(s): Stephen A. Montzka [sup.1] , Geoffrey S. Dutton [sup.1] [sup.2] , Robert W. Portmann [sup.3] , Martyn P. Chipperfield [sup.4] [sup.5] , Sean Davis [sup.3] , Wuhu Feng [sup.4] [...]
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
27. Measurements and Modeling of the Interhemispheric Differences of Atmospheric Chlorinated Very Short‐Lived Substances
- Author
-
Roozitalab, Behrooz, primary, Emmons, Louisa K., additional, Hornbrook, Rebecca S., additional, Kinnison, Douglas E., additional, Fernandez, Rafael P., additional, Li, Qinyi, additional, Saiz‐Lopez, Alfonso, additional, Hossaini, Ryan, additional, Cuevas, Carlos A., additional, Hills, Alan J., additional, Montzka, Stephen A., additional, Blake, Donald R., additional, Brune, William H., additional, Veres, Patrick R., additional, and Apel, Eric C., additional
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
28. A decline in emissions of CFC-11 and related chemicals from eastern China
- Author
-
Park, Sunyoung, Western, Luke M., Saito, Takuya, Redington, Alison L., Henne, Stephan, Fang, Xuekun, Prinn, Ronald G., Manning, Alistair J., Montzka, Stephen A., Fraser, Paul J., Ganesan, Anita L., Harth, Christina M., Kim, Jooil, Krummel, Paul B., Liang, Qing, Mühle, Jens, O’Doherty, Simon, Park, Hyeri, Park, Mi-Kyung, Reimann, Stefan, Salameh, Peter K., Weiss, Ray F., and Rigby, Matthew
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
29. Continued emissions of carbon tetrachloride from the United States nearly two decades after its phaseout for dispersive uses
- Author
-
Hu, Lei, Montzka, Stephen A, Miller, Ben R, Andrews, Arlyn E, Miller, John B, Lehman, Scott J, Sweeney, Colm, Miller, Scot M, Thoning, Kirk, Siso, Carolina, Atlas, Elliot L, Blake, Donald R, de Gouw, Joost, Gilman, Jessica B, Dutton, Geoff, Elkins, James W, Hall, Bradley, Chen, Huilin, Fischer, Marc L, Mountain, Marikate E, Nehrkorn, Thomas, Biraud, Sebastien C, Moore, Fred L, and Tans, Pieter
- Subjects
Earth Sciences ,Atmospheric Sciences ,carbon tetrachloride ,emissions ,United States ,ozone-depleting substances ,greenhouse gases - Abstract
National-scale emissions of carbon tetrachloride (CCl4) are derived based on inverse modeling of atmospheric observations at multiple sites across the United States from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's flask air sampling network. We estimate an annual average US emission of 4.0 (2.0-6.5) Gg CCl4 y(-1) during 2008-2012, which is almost two orders of magnitude larger than reported to the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) Toxics Release Inventory (TRI) (mean of 0.06 Gg y(-1)) but only 8% (3-22%) of global CCl4 emissions during these years. Emissive regions identified by the observations and consistently shown in all inversion results include the Gulf Coast states, the San Francisco Bay Area in California, and the Denver area in Colorado. Both the observation-derived emissions and the US EPA TRI identified Texas and Louisiana as the largest contributors, accounting for one- to two-thirds of the US national total CCl4 emission during 2008-2012. These results are qualitatively consistent with multiple aircraft and ship surveys conducted in earlier years, which suggested significant enhancements in atmospheric mole fractions measured near Houston and surrounding areas. Furthermore, the emission distribution derived for CCl4 throughout the United States is more consistent with the distribution of industrial activities included in the TRI than with the distribution of other potential CCl4 sources such as uncapped landfills or activities related to population density (e.g., use of chlorine-containing bleach).
- Published
- 2016
30. Renewed and emerging concerns over the production and emission of ozone-depleting substances
- Author
-
Chipperfield, Martyn P., Hossaini, Ryan, Montzka, Stephen A., Reimann, Stefan, Sherry, David, and Tegtmeier, Susann
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
31. The influence of the stratospheric Quasi-Biennial Oscillation on trace gas levels at the Earth’s surface
- Author
-
Ray, Eric A., Portmann, Robert W., Yu, Pengfei, Daniel, John, Montzka, Stephen A., Dutton, Geoffrey S., Hall, Brad D., Moore, Fred L., and Rosenlof, Karen H.
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
32. Estimate of carbonyl sulfide tropical oceanic surface fluxes using Aura Tropospheric Emission Spectrometer observations
- Author
-
Kuai, Le, Worden, John R, Campbell, J Elliott, Kulawik, Susan S, Li, King‐Fai, Lee, Meemong, Weidner, Richard J, Montzka, Stephen A, Moore, Fred L, Berry, Joe A, Baker, Ian, Denning, A Scott, Bian, Huisheng, Bowman, Kevin W, Liu, Junjie, and Yung, Yuk L
- Subjects
Life Below Water ,Atmospheric Sciences ,Physical Geography and Environmental Geoscience - Abstract
Quantifying the carbonyl sulfide (OCS) land/ocean fluxes contributes to the understanding of both the sulfur and carbon cycles. The primary sources and sinks of OCS are very likely in a steady state because there is no significant observed trend or interannual variability in atmospheric OCS measurements. However, the magnitude and spatial distribution of the dominant ocean source are highly uncertain due to the lack of observations. In particular, estimates of the oceanic fluxes range from approximately 280 Gg S yr-1 to greater than 800 Gg S yr-1, with the larger flux needed to balance a similarly sized terrestrial sink that is inferred from NOAA continental sites. Here we estimate summer tropical oceanic fluxes of OCS in 2006 using a linear flux inversion algorithm and new OCS data acquired by the Aura Tropospheric Emissions Spectrometer (TES). Modeled OCS concentrations based on these updated fluxes are consistent with HIAPER Pole-to-Pole Observations during 4th airborne campaign and improve significantly over the a priori model concentrations. The TES tropical ocean estimate of 70±16GgS in June,when extrapolated over the whole year (about 840 ± 192 Gg S yr-1), supports the hypothesis proposed by Berry et al. (2013) that the ocean flux is in the higher range of approximately 800 Gg S yr-1.
- Published
- 2015
33. U.S. emissions of HFC‐134a derived for 2008–2012 from an extensive flask‐air sampling network
- Author
-
Hu, Lei, Montzka, Stephen A, Miller, John B, Andrews, Aryln E, Lehman, Scott J, Miller, Benjamin R, Thoning, Kirk, Sweeney, Colm, Chen, Huilin, Godwin, David S, Masarie, Kenneth, Bruhwiler, Lori, Fischer, Marc L, Biraud, Sebastien C, Torn, Margaret S, Mountain, Marikate, Nehrkorn, Thomas, Eluszkiewicz, Janusz, Miller, Scot, Draxler, Roland R, Stein, Ariel F, Hall, Bradley D, Elkins, James W, and Tans, Pieter P
- Subjects
Earth Sciences ,Atmospheric Sciences ,Climate Action ,HFC-134a ,emissions ,inverse modeling ,atmosphere based ,US ,Physical Geography and Environmental Geoscience ,Atmospheric sciences ,Climate change science - Abstract
U.S. national and regional emissions of HFC-134a are derived for 20082012 based on atmospheric observations from ground and aircraft sites across the U.S. and a newly developed regional inverse model. Synthetic data experiments were first conducted to optimize the model assimilation design and to assess model-data mismatch errors and prior flux error covariances computed using a maximumlikelihood estimation technique. The synthetic data experiments also tested the sensitivity of derived national and regional emissions to a range of assumed prior emissions, with the goal of designing a system that was minimally reliant on the prior. We then explored the influence of additional sources of error in inversions with actual observations, such as those associated with background mole fractions and transport uncertainties. Estimated emissions of HFC-134a range from 52 to 61 Gg yr-1 for the contiguous U.S. during 20082012 for inversions using air transport from Hybrid Single-Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory (HYSPLIT) model driven by the 12km resolution meteorogical data from North American Mesoscale Forecast System (NAM12) and all tested combinations of prior emissions and background mole fractions. Estimated emissions for 20082010 were 20% lower when specifying alternative transport from Stochastic Time-Inverted Lagrangian Transport (STILT) model driven by the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) meteorology. Our estimates (for HYSPLIT-NAM12) are consistent with annual emissions reported by U.S. Environmental Protection Agency for the full study interval. The results suggest a 1020% drop in U.S. national HFC-134a emission in 2009 coincident with a reduction in transportation-related fossil fuel CO2 emissions, perhaps related to the economic recession. All inversions show seasonal variation in national HFC-134a emissions in all years, with summer emissions greater than winter emissions by 2050%.
- Published
- 2015
34. Comparison of halocarbon measurements in an atmospheric dry whole air sample
- Author
-
Rhoderick, George C, Hall, Bradley D, Harth, Christina M, Kim, Jin Seog, Lee, Jeongsoon, Montzka, Stephen A, Mühle, Jens, Reimann, Stefan, Vollmer, Martin K, and Weiss, Ray F
- Subjects
Earth Sciences ,Atmospheric Sciences ,Climate Action - Abstract
The growing awareness of climate change/global warming, and continuing concerns regarding stratospheric ozone depletion, will require continued measurements and standards for many compounds, in particular halocarbons that are linked to these issues. In order to track atmospheric mole fractions and assess the impact of policy on emission rates, it is necessary to demonstrate measurement equivalence at the highest levels of accuracy for assigned values of standards. Precise measurements of these species aid in determining small changes in their atmospheric abundance. A common source of standards/scales and/or well-documented agreement of different scales used to calibrate the measurement instrumentation are key to understanding many sets of data reported by researchers. This report describes the results of a comparison study among National Metrology Institutes and atmospheric research laboratories for the chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) dichlorodifluoromethane (CFC-12), trichlorofluoromethane (CFC-11), and 1,1,2-trichlorotrifluoroethane (CFC-113); the hydrochlorofluorocarbons (HCFCs) chlorodifluoromethane (HCFC-22) and 1-chloro-1,1-difluoroethane (HCFC-142b); and the hydrofluorocarbon (HFC) 1,1,1,2-tetrafluoroethane (HFC-134a), all in a dried whole air sample. The objective of this study is to compare calibration standards/scales and the measurement capabilities of the participants for these halocarbons at trace atmospheric levels. The results of this study show agreement among four independent calibration scales to better than 2.5% in almost all cases, with many of the reported agreements being better than 1.0%.
- Published
- 2015
35. Global emissions of refrigerants HCFC-22 and HFC-134a: Unforeseen seasonal contributions
- Author
-
Xiang, Bin, Patra, Prabir K, Montzka, Stephen A, Miller, Scot M, Elkins, James W, Moore, Fred L, Atlas, Elliot L, Miller, Ben R, Weiss, Ray F, Prinn, Ronald G, and Wofsy, Steven C
- Subjects
Climate Action ,HCFC-22 ,HFC-134a ,refrigerants ,global emissions ,emission seasonality - Abstract
HCFC-22 (CHClF2) and HFC-134a (CH2FCF3) are two major gases currently used worldwide in domestic and commercial refrigeration and air conditioning. HCFC-22 contributes to stratospheric ozone depletion, and both species are potent greenhouse gases. In this work, we study in situ observations of HCFC-22 and HFC-134a taken from research aircraft over the Pacific Ocean in a 3-y span [HIaper-Pole-to-Pole Observations (HIPPO) 2009-2011] and combine these data with long-term ground observations from global surface sites [National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and Advanced Global Atmospheric Gases Experiment (AGAGE) networks]. We find the global annual emissions of HCFC-22 and HFC-134a have increased substantially over the past two decades. Emissions of HFC-134a are consistently higher compared with the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) inventory since 2000, by 60% more in recent years (2009-2012). Apart from these decadal emission constraints, we also quantify recent seasonal emission patterns showing that summertime emissions of HCFC-22 and HFC-134a are two to three times higher than wintertime emissions. This unforeseen large seasonal variation indicates that unaccounted mechanisms controlling refrigerant gas emissions are missing in the existing inventory estimates. Possible mechanisms enhancing refrigerant losses in summer are (i) higher vapor pressure in the sealed compartment of the system at summer high temperatures and (ii) more frequent use and service of refrigerators and air conditioners in summer months. Our results suggest that engineering (e.g., better temperature/vibration-resistant system sealing and new system design of more compact/efficient components) and regulatory (e.g., reinforcing system service regulations) steps to improve containment of these gases from working devices could effectively reduce their release to the atmosphere.
- Published
- 2014
36. MALTA: A Zonally Averaged Global Atmospheric Transport Model for Long‐Lived Trace Gases.
- Author
-
Western, Luke M., Bachman, Scott D., Montzka, Stephen A., and Rigby, Matt
- Subjects
ATMOSPHERIC transport ,ATMOSPHERIC models ,QUASI-biennial oscillation (Meteorology) ,TRACE gases ,GREENHOUSE gases ,CHEMICAL processes ,OZONE layer - Abstract
We present a two‐dimensional, zonally averaged global model of atmospheric transport named MALTA: Model of Averaged in Longitude Transport in the Atmosphere. It aims to be accessible to a broad community of users, with the primary function of quantifying emissions of greenhouse gases and ozone depleting substances. The model transport is derived from meteorological reanalysis data and flux‐gradient experiments using a three‐dimensional transport model. Atmospheric sinks are prescribed loss frequency fields. The zonally averaged model simulates important large‐scale transport features such as the influence on trace gas concentrations of the quasi‐biennial oscillation and variations in inter‐hemispheric transport rates. Stratosphere‐troposphere exchange is comparable to a three‐dimensional model and inter‐hemispheric transport is faster by up to 0.3 years than typical transport times of three‐dimensional models, depending on the metric used. Validation of the model shows that it can estimate emissions of CFC‐11 from an incorrect a priori emissions field well using three‐dimensional (3D) mole fraction fields generated using a different 3D model than which the flux gradient relationships were derived. The model is open source and is expected to be applicable to a wide range of studies requiring a fast, simple model of atmospheric transport and chemical processes for estimating associated emissions or mole fractions. Plain Language Summary: We introduce a simplified global model that simulates the movement of gases in the atmosphere. The main goal of this model is to understand how greenhouse gases and substances that deplete the ozone layer are transported and distributed, and to more accurately estimate their global emissions using concentrations measured in the atmosphere over time. To achieve this, the model uses data from weather analysis and experiments conducted with a more complex three‐dimensional model. The model calculates how gases move across different latitudes and altitudes, and accounts for their chemical loss. The simplified model can accurately reproduce large‐scale atmospheric transport phenomena. The model is publicly available. We expect it to be useful for research that requires a fast and easy to use model to understand large‐scale atmospheric transport and related processes. Key Points: A user‐friendly 2D global atmospheric transport model using transport derived from 3D reanalysis data and flux‐gradient experimentsIntended for use with long‐lived greenhouse gases and ozone‐depleting substancesAn open‐source model, which is applicable to diverse studies on emissions and chemical processes [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
37. Validation of Atmospheric Chemistry Experiment Fourier Transform Spectrometer (ACE-FTS) chlorodifluoromethane (HCFC-22) in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere.
- Author
-
Kolonjari, Felicia, Sheese, Patrick E., Walker, Kaley A., Boone, Chris D., Plummer, David A., Engel, Andreas, Montzka, Stephen A., Oram, David E., Schuck, Tanja, Stiller, Gabriele P., and Toon, Geoffrey C.
- Subjects
FOURIER transform spectrometers ,ATMOSPHERIC chemistry ,CHEMISTRY experiments ,STRATOSPHERE ,ATMOSPHERIC models - Abstract
The Atmospheric Chemistry Experiment Fourier Transform Spectrometer (ACE-FTS) is currently providing the only measurements of vertically resolved chlorodifluoromethane (HCFC-22) from space. This study assesses the ACE-FTS HCFC-22 v5.2 product in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere, as well as simulations of HCFC-22 from a 39-year specified dynamics run of the Canadian Middle Atmosphere Model (CMAM39) in the same region. In general, ACE-FTS HCFC-22 observations tend to agree with subsampled CMAM39 data to within ±5 %, except for between ∼ 15 and 25 km in the extratropical regions where ACE-FTS exhibits a negative bias of 5 %–30 % and near 6 km in the tropics where ACE-FTS exhibits a bias of - 15 %. When comparing against correlative satellite, aircraft, and balloon data, ACE-FTS typically exhibits a low bias on the order of 0 %–10 % between ∼ 5 and 15 km and is within ±15 % between ∼ 15 and 25 km. ACE-FTS, CMAM39, and surface flask measurements from the NOAA Global Monitoring Laboratory's surface air-sampling network all exhibit consistent tropospheric HCFC-22 trends ranging between 6.8 and 7.8 ppt yr -1 (within 95 % confidence) for 2004–2012 and between 3.1 and 4.7 ppt yr -1 (within 95 % confidence) for 2012–2018. Interhemispheric differences (IHDs) of HCFC-22 were also derived using ACE-FTS, NOAA, and CMAM39 data, and all three yielded consistent and correlated (r≥0.42) IHD time series, with the results indicating that surface IHD values decreased at a rate of 2.2 ± 1.1 ppt per decade between 2004 and 2018. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
38. Validation of ACE-FTS HCFC-22 concentrations in the upper troposphere – lower stratosphere
- Author
-
Kolonjari, Felicia, primary, Sheese, Patrick E., additional, Walker, Kaley A., additional, Boone, Chris D., additional, Plummer, David A., additional, Engel, Andreas, additional, Montzka, Stephen A., additional, Oram, David E., additional, Schuck, Tanja, additional, Stiller, Gabriele P., additional, and Toon, Geoffrey C., additional
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
39. Intercomparison of Atmospheric Carbonyl Sulfide (TransCom‐COS): 2. Evaluation of Optimized Fluxes Using Ground‐Based and Aircraft Observations
- Author
-
Ma, Jin, primary, Remaud, Marine, additional, Peylin, Philippe, additional, Patra, Prabir, additional, Niwa, Yosuke, additional, Rodenbeck, Christian, additional, Cartwright, Mike, additional, Harrison, Jeremy J., additional, Chipperfield, Martyn P., additional, Pope, Richard J., additional, Wilson, Christopher, additional, Belviso, Sauveur, additional, Montzka, Stephen A., additional, Vimont, Isaac, additional, Moore, Fred, additional, Atlas, Elliot L., additional, Schwartz, Efrat, additional, and Krol, Maarten C., additional
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
40. Observing the atmospheric evolution of ozone-depleting substances
- Author
-
Reimann, Stefan, Elkins, James W., Fraser, Paul J., Hall, Bradley D., Kurylo, Michael J., Mahieu, Emmanuel, Montzka, Stephen A., Prinn, Ronald G., Rigby, Matthew, Simmonds, Peter G., and Weiss, Ray F.
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
41. Observations of greenhouse gases as climate indicators
- Author
-
Bruhwiler, Lori, Basu, Sourish, Butler, James H., Chatterjee, Abhishek, Dlugokencky, Ed, Kenney, Melissa A., McComiskey, Allison, Montzka, Stephen A., and Stanitski, Diane
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
42. A coupled model of the global cycles of carbonyl sulfide and CO2: A possible new window on the carbon cycle
- Author
-
Berry, Joe, Wolf, Adam, Campbell, J Elliott, Baker, Ian, Blake, Nicola, Blake, Don, Denning, A Scott, Kawa, S Randy, Montzka, Stephen A, Seibt, Ulrike, Stimler, Keren, Yakir, Dan, and Zhu, Zhengxin
- Subjects
Climate Action ,Carbonyl Sulfide ,Carbon dioxide ,PCTM ,SiB ,Geophysics - Abstract
Carbonyl sulfide (COS) is an atmospheric trace gas that participates in some key reactions of the carbon cycle and thus holds great promise for studies of carbon cycle processes. Global monitoring networks and atmospheric sampling programs provide concurrent data on COS and CO2 concentrations in the free troposphere and atmospheric boundary layer over vegetated areas. Here we present a modeling framework for interpreting these data and illustrate what COS measurements might tell us about carbon cycle processes. We implemented mechanistic and empirical descriptions of leaf and soil COS uptake into a global carbon cycle model (SiB 3) to obtain new estimates of the COS land flux. We then introduced these revised boundary conditions to an atmospheric transport model (Parameterized Chemical Transport Model) to simulate the variations in the concentration of COS and CO2 in the global atmosphere. To balance the threefold increase in the global vegetation sink relative to the previous baseline estimate, we propose a new ocean COS source. Using a simple inversion approach, we optimized the latitudinal distribution of this ocean source and found that it is concentrated in the tropics. The new model is capable of reproducing the seasonal variation in atmospheric concentration at most background atmospheric sites. The model also reproduces the observed large vertical gradients in COS between the boundary layer and free troposphere. Using a simulation experiment, we demonstrate that comparing drawdown of CO 2 with COS could provide additional constraints on differential responses of photosynthesis and respiration to environmental forcing. The separation of these two distinct processes is essential to understand the carbon cycle components for improved prediction of future responses of the terrestrial biosphere to changing environmental conditions. Key PointsCarbonyl sulfide can help falsify carbon cycle modelsCarbonyl sulfide can aid separation of NPP into GPP and RespThe oceanic COS source is probably much larger than currently thought ©2013. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved.
- Published
- 2013
43. Recent decreases in fossil-fuel emissions of ethane and methane derived from firn air.
- Author
-
Aydin, Murat, Verhulst, Kristal R, Saltzman, Eric S, Battle, Mark O, Montzka, Stephen A, Blake, Donald R, Tang, Qi, and Prather, Michael J
- Subjects
Ethane ,Methane ,Fires ,Biomass ,Fossil Fuels ,Atmosphere ,Snow ,Ice ,Geography ,Models ,Theoretical ,History ,20th Century ,History ,21st Century ,Greenland ,Antarctic Regions ,Biofuels ,Models ,Theoretical ,History ,20th Century ,21st Century ,General Science & Technology - Abstract
Methane and ethane are the most abundant hydrocarbons in the atmosphere and they affect both atmospheric chemistry and climate. Both gases are emitted from fossil fuels and biomass burning, whereas methane (CH(4)) alone has large sources from wetlands, agriculture, landfills and waste water. Here we use measurements in firn (perennial snowpack) air from Greenland and Antarctica to reconstruct the atmospheric variability of ethane (C(2)H(6)) during the twentieth century. Ethane levels rose from early in the century until the 1980s, when the trend reversed, with a period of decline over the next 20 years. We find that this variability was primarily driven by changes in ethane emissions from fossil fuels; these emissions peaked in the 1960s and 1970s at 14-16 teragrams per year (1 Tg = 10(12) g) and dropped to 8-10 Tg yr(-1) by the turn of the century. The reduction in fossil-fuel sources is probably related to changes in light hydrocarbon emissions associated with petroleum production and use. The ethane-based fossil-fuel emission history is strikingly different from bottom-up estimates of methane emissions from fossil-fuel use, and implies that the fossil-fuel source of methane started to decline in the 1980s and probably caused the late twentieth century slow-down in the growth rate of atmospheric methane.
- Published
- 2011
44. Estimation of the atmospheric hydroxyl radical oxidative capacity using multiple hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs)
- Author
-
Thompson, Rona L., primary, Montzka, Stephen A., additional, Vollmer, Martin K., additional, Arduini, Jgor, additional, Crotwell, Molly, additional, Krummel, Paul, additional, Lunder, Chris, additional, Mühle, Jens, additional, O'Doherty, Simon, additional, Prinn, Ronald G., additional, Reimann, Stefan, additional, Vimont, Isaac, additional, Wang, Hsiang, additional, Weiss, Ray F., additional, and Young, Dickon, additional
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
45. Supplementary material to "Estimation of the atmospheric hydroxyl radical oxidative capacity using multiple hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs)"
- Author
-
Thompson, Rona L., primary, Montzka, Stephen A., additional, Vollmer, Martin K., additional, Arduini, Jgor, additional, Crotwell, Molly, additional, Krummel, Paul, additional, Lunder, Chris, additional, Mühle, Jens, additional, O'Doherty, Simon, additional, Prinn, Ronald G., additional, Reimann, Stefan, additional, Vimont, Isaac, additional, Wang, Hsiang, additional, Weiss, Ray F., additional, and Young, Dickon, additional
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
46. Combined assimilation of NOAA surface and MIPAS satellite observations to constrain the global budget of carbonyl sulfide
- Author
-
Ma, Jin, primary, Kooijmans, Linda M. J., additional, Glatthor, Norbert, additional, Montzka, Stephen A., additional, von Hobe, Marc, additional, Röckmann, Thomas, additional, and Krol, Maarten C., additional
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
47. Ambient mixing ratios of atmospheric halogenated compounds at five background stations in China
- Author
-
Zhang, Gen, Yao, Bo, Vollmer, Martin K., Montzka, Stephen A., Mühle, Jens, Weiss, Ray F., O'Doherty, Simon, Li, Yi, Fang, Shuangxi, and Reimann, Stefan
- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
48. Quantifying contributions of chlorofluorocarbon banks to emissions and impacts on the ozone layer and climate
- Author
-
Lickley, Megan, Solomon, Susan, Fletcher, Sarah, Velders, Guus J. M., Daniel, John, Rigby, Matthew, Montzka, Stephen A., Kuijpers, Lambert J. M., and Stone, Kane
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
49. Technical note: A method for calculating offsets to ozone depletion and climate impacts of ozone-depleting substances.
- Author
-
Dreyfus, Gabrielle B., Montzka, Stephen A., Andersen, Stephen O., and Ferris, Richard
- Subjects
OZONE-depleting substances ,OZONE layer depletion ,VIENNA Convention for the Protection of the Ozone Layer (1985). Protocols, etc., 1987 Sept. 15 ,OZONE layer ,GREENHOUSE gases - Abstract
By phasing out production and consumption of most ozone-depleting substances (ODSs), the Montreal Protocol on Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer (Montreal Protocol) has avoided consequences of increased ultraviolet (UV) radiation and will restore stratospheric ozone to pre-1980 conditions by mid-century, assuming compliance with the phaseout. However, several studies have documented an unexpected increase in emissions and suggested unreported production of trichlorofluoromethane (CFC-11) and potentially other ODSs after 2012 despite production phaseouts under the Montreal Protocol. Furthermore, because most ODSs are powerful greenhouse gases (GHGs), there are significant climate protection benefits in collecting and destroying the substantial quantities of historically allowed production of chemicals under the Montreal Protocol that are contained in existing equipment and products and referred to as ODS "banks". This technical note presents a framework for considering offsets to ozone depletion, climate forcing, and other environmental impacts arising from occurrences of unexpected emissions and unreported production of Montreal Protocol controlled substances, as recently experienced and likely to be experienced again. We also show how this methodology could be applied to the destruction of banks of controlled ODSs and GHGs or to halon or other production allowed under a Montreal Protocol Essential Use Exemption or Critical Use Exemption. Further, we roughly estimate the magnitude of offset each type of action could provide for ozone depletion, climate, and other environmental impacts that Montreal Protocol Parties agree warrant remedial action. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
50. Estimation of the atmospheric hydroxyl radical oxidative capacity using multiple hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs).
- Author
-
Thompson, Rona L., Montzka, Stephen A., Vollmer, Martin K., Arduini, Jgor, Crotwell, Molly, Krummel, Paul B., Lunder, Chris, Mühle, Jens, O'Doherty, Simon, Prinn, Ronald G., Reimann, Stefan, Vimont, Isaac, Wang, Hsiang, Weiss, Ray F., and Young, Dickon
- Subjects
HYDROXYL group ,HYDROFLUOROCARBONS ,TRACE gases ,TRICHLOROETHANE - Abstract
The hydroxyl radical (OH) largely determines the atmosphere's oxidative capacity and, thus, the lifetimes of numerous trace gases, including methane (CH 4). Hitherto, observation-based approaches for estimating the atmospheric oxidative capacity have primarily relied on using methyl chloroform (MCF), but as the atmospheric abundance of MCF has declined, the uncertainties associated with this method have increased. In this study, we examine the use of five hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) (HFC-134a, HFC-152a, HFC-365mfc, HFC-245fa, and HFC-32) in multi-species inversions, which assimilate three HFCs simultaneously, as an alternative method to estimate atmospheric OH. We find robust estimates of OH regardless of which combination of the three HFCs are used in the inversions. Our results show that OH has remained fairly stable during our study period from 2004 to 2021, with variations of < 2 % and no significant trend. Inversions including HFC-32 and HFC-152a (the shortest-lived species) indicate a small reduction in OH in 2020 (1.6±0.9 % relative to the mean over 2004–2021 and 0.6±0.9 % lower than in 2019), but considering all inversions, the reduction was only 0.5±1.1 %, and OH was at a similar level to that in 2019. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
Catalog
Discovery Service for Jio Institute Digital Library
For full access to our library's resources, please sign in.