1. Maternal viral load and rate of disease progression among vertically HIV-1-infected children: an international meta-analysis
- Author
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Ioannidis, J. P., Tatsioni, A., Abrams, E. J., Bulterys, M., Coombs, R. W., Goedert, J. J., Korber, B. T., Mayaux, M. J., Mofenson, L. M., Moye, J., Jr., Newell, M. L., Shapiro, D. E., Teglas, J. P., Thompson, B., and Wiener, J.
- Subjects
Infectious Disease Transmission, Vertical ,Infant, Newborn ,Infant ,Mothers ,HIV Infections/blood/transmission/*virology ,Prognosis ,Anti-Retroviral Agents/therapeutic use ,CD4 Lymphocyte Count ,Hiv-1 ,Viral Load/*methods ,Disease Progression ,Odds Ratio ,Humans ,Female ,Prospective Studies ,RNA, Viral/blood - Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether maternal human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) RNA levels in the serum/plasma of mothers at or close to the time of delivery affects the rate of disease progression among vertically HIV-1-infected children and whether it correlates with other parameters affecting infant disease progression. METHODS: International meta-analysis of eight studies with 574 HIV-1 infected infants with available maternal HIV-1 RNA measurements at or close to delivery and clinical follow-up. The primary outcome was disease progression (stage C disease or death, n = 178). Cohort-stratified Cox models were used. RESULTS: Higher maternal HIV-1 RNA level at or close to delivery significantly increased disease progression risk [hazard ratio (HR), 1.25; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.04-1.52 per 1 log10 increase; P = 0.02) with a borderline effect on mortality (HR, 1.26; 95% CI, 0.96-1.65; P = 0.10]. The association with disease progression risk was strong in the first 6 months of life (HR, 1.77; 95% CI, 1.28-2.45; P = 0.001), but not subsequently (HR, 1.03; 95% CI, 0.81-1.30). Maternal HIV-1 RNA, early infant HIV-1 RNA (at 30-200 days after birth) and infant CD4 were independent predictors of disease progression in the first 6 months. Maternal HIV-1 RNA at or close to delivery correlated with early infant HIV-1 RNA (r = 0.26, P < 0.001). Effects were independent of maternal and infant treatment. CONCLUSIONS: Higher maternal HIV-1 RNA at or close to delivery strongly predicts disease progression for HIV-1-infected infants, especially in their first 6 months of life and correlates with the early peak of viremia in the infected child. AIDS
- Published
- 2004