1. Modeling of Temporal Exposure to the Ambient Environment and Eczema Severity
- Author
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Edel A. O'Toole, H. Khanam, R.J. Knell, S. Javadzadeh, E.J. Robinson, J. Grigg, B.S. McDonald, X.L. Tan, M.A. Krupiczojc, S. Rahman, David P. Kelsell, R.A. Ahmed, B.R. Thomas, and R. Begum
- Subjects
THEA, Tower Hamlets Eczema Assessment ,GAM, generalized additive model ,IGA, Investigators Global Assessment ,MAv, moving average ,Complex disease ,O3, ozone ,Dermatology ,PM, particulate matter ,Clinical study ,Primary outcome ,SCORAD, SCORing Atopic Dermatitis ,otorhinolaryngologic diseases ,Medicine ,skin and connective tissue diseases ,VOC, volatile organic compound ,NO, nitric oxide ,EASI, Eczema Area and Severity Index ,EseC, European Socio-Economic Classification ,SE, standard error ,business.industry ,Generalized additive model ,AIC, Akaike Information Criterion ,RL1-803 ,East london ,Original Article ,business ,NOx, nitrogen oxide ,Demography ,NO2, nitrogen dioxide - Abstract
Atopic eczema is a common and complex disease. Missing genetic hereditability and increasing prevalence in industrializing nations point toward an environmental driver. We investigated the temporal association of weather and pollution parameters with eczema severity. This cross-sectional clinical study was performed between May 2018 and March 2020 and is part of the Tower Hamlets Eczema Assessment. All participants had a diagnosis of eczema, lived in East London, were of Bangladeshi ethnicity, and were aged 10 after previous ambient exposure to commonly studied meteorological variables and pollutants. There were 430 participants in the groups with Eczema Area and Severity Index ≤ 10 and 149 in those with Eczema Area and Severity Index > 10. Using logistic generalized additive models and a model selection process, we found that tropospheric ozone averaged over the preceding 270 days was strongly associated with eczema severity alongside the exposure to fine particles with diameters of 2.5 μm or less (fine particulate matter) averaged over the preceding 120 days. In our models and analyses, fine particulate matter appeared to largely act in a supporting role to ozone. We show that long-term exposure to ground-level ozone at high levels has the strongest association with eczema severity.
- Published
- 2022