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Purpose: To externally validate an algorithm for non-invasive differentiation of hepatic mucinous cystic neoplasms (MCN) from benign hepatic cysts (BHC), which differ in management. Methods: Patients with cystic liver lesions pathologically confirmed as MCN or BHC between January 2005 and March 2022 from multiple institutions were retrospectively included. Five readers (2 radiologists, 3 non-radiologist physicians) independently reviewed contrast-enhanced CT or MRI examinations before tissue sampling and applied the 3-feature classification algorithm described by Hardie et al. to differentiate between MCN and BHC, which had a reported accuracy of 93.5%. The classification was then compared to the pathology results. Interreader agreement between readers across different levels of experience was evaluated with Fleiss' Kappa. Results: The final cohort included 159 patients, median age of 62 years (IQR [52.0, 70.0]), 66.7% female (106). Of all patients, 89.3% (142) had BHC, and the remaining 10.7% (17) had MCN on pathology. Agreement for class designation between the radiologists was almost perfect (Fleiss' Kappa 0.840, p < 0.001). The algorithm had an accuracy of 98.1% (95% CI [94.6%, 99.6%]), a positive predictive value of 100.0% (95% CI [76.8%, 100.0%]), a negative predictive value of 97.9% (95% CI [94.1%, 99.6%]), and an area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.911 (95% CI [0.818, 1.000]). Conclusion: The evaluated algorithm showed similarly high diagnostic accuracy in our external, multi-institutional validation cohort. This 3-feature algorithm is easily and rapidly applied and its features are reproducible among radiologists, showing promise as a clinical decision support tool. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objectives: To develop and validate a nomogram for the preoperative prediction of pancreatic serous cystic neoplasm (SCN) and mucinous cystic neoplasm (MCN) based on multidetector computed tomography (MDCT). Materials and methods: In this retrospective study, the data of 227 patients with SCN and MCN were analyzed. Each patient underwent MDCT and surgical resection. A multivariable logistic regression model was developed using a training set consisting of 129 patients with SCN and 38 patients with MCN who were admitted between October 2012 and April 2019. The model was validated in 60 consecutive patients, 44 of whom had SCN and 16 of whom had MCN, admitted between May 2019 and April 2020. The regression model was adopted to establish a nomogram. Nomogram performance was determined by its discriminative ability and clinical utility. Result: The multivariable logistic regression model included sex, size, location, shape, cyst characteristic, and cystic wall thickening. The individualized prediction nomogram showed good discrimination in the training sample (AUC 0.89; 95% CI 0.83–0.95) and in the validation sample (AUC 0.81; 95% CI 0.70–0.94). If the threshold probability is between 0.03 and 0.9, and > 0.93 in the prediction model, using the nomogram to predict SCN and MCN is more beneficial than the treat-all-patients as SCN scheme or the treat-all-patients as MCN scheme. The prediction model showed better discrimination than the radiologists' diagnosis (AUC = 0.68). Conclusion: The nomogram could predict SCN and MCN preoperatively and may aid clinical decision-making. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]