1. A Comparison of Diagnostics for AMOC Heat Transport Applied to the CESM Large Ensemble.
- Author
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Jones, C Spencer, Jiang, Scout, and Abernathey, Ryan P.
- Subjects
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ATLANTIC meridional overturning circulation , *OCEAN gyres , *ENTHALPY , *BELT conveyors , *SURFACE temperature - Abstract
Atlantic time‐mean heat transport is northward at all latitudes and exhibits strong multidecadal variability between about 30°N and 55°N. Atlantic heat transport variability influences many aspects of the climate system, including regional surface temperatures, subpolar heat content, Arctic sea‐ice concentration and tropical precipitation patterns. Atlantic heat transport and heat transport variability are commonly partitioned into two components: the heat transport by the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) and the heat transport by the gyres. In this paper we compare four different methods for performing this partition, and we apply these methods to the Community Earth System Model Large Ensemble at 34°N, 26°N and 5°S. We discuss the strengths and weaknesses of each method. The four methods all give significantly different estimates for the proportion of the time‐mean heat transport performed by AMOC. One of these methods is a new physically‐motivated method based on the pathway of the northward‐flowing part of AMOC. This paper presents a preliminary version of our method that works only when the AMOC follows the western boundary of the basin. All the methods agree that at 26°N, 80%–100% of heat transport variability at 2–10 years timescales is performed by AMOC, but there is more disagreement between methods in attributing multidecadal variability, with some methods showing a compensation between the AMOC and gyre heat transport variability. Plain Language Summary: Scientists often want to quantify how much heat is transported by the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (sometimes called the "Conveyor Belt" circulation) and how much heat is transported by the ocean's gyres. This paper compares some different methods for estimating the heat transport by the overturning circulation and by the gyres, including a new method that has not been used before. There are significant differences in the results of each method, and here we discuss the strengths and weaknesses of each method. The heat transport at about 30°N has a lot of variability: all the methods agree that short‐timescale variability (2–10 years timescale) is due to the overturning circulation. All methods agree that more than half of the time‐mean heat transport across 30°N is performed by the overturning, but the exact proportion varies from 65% to 120% depending on the method we use. Key Points: We compare four diagnostics for Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) heat transport that partition the flow into mass‐conserving gyre and overturning componentsA new physically‐motivated method is compared with the standard method that relies on zonally averaging the temperature and velocity fieldsAll four methods yield different estimates of the fraction of time‐mean heat transport performed by AMOC [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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