17 results on '"Orellana, Salomon"'
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2. Using Natural Language Processing to Analyze Political Party Manifestos from New Zealand
- Author
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Orellana, Salomon, primary and Bisgin, Halil, additional
- Published
- 2023
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- View/download PDF
3. Using Natural Language Processing to Analyze Political Party Manifestos from New Zealand
- Author
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Orellana, Salomon Elbin
- Subjects
Sentiment analysis ,topic modeling ,natural language processing (NLP) ,political science ,computer science ,electoral reforms ,artificial intelligence ,Document similarity ,political texts - Abstract
This study explores how natural language processing (NLP) can supplement content analyses of political documents, particularly the manifestos of political parties. NLP is particularly useful for tasks such as: estimating the similarity between documents, identifying the topics discussed in documents (topic modeling), and sentiment analysis. This study applies each of these techniques to the study of political party manifestos. Document similarity may be used to gain some insight into the way parties change over time and which political parties are successful at bringing attention to their policy agenda. Categorizing text into topics may help objectively categorize and visualize the ideas political parties are discussing. Finally, sentiment analysis has the potential to show each political party’s attitude towards a policy area/topic. This study specifically applies these techniques to the manifestos produced by the political parties of New Zealand, from 1987 to 2017 (a period of significant party system change in New Zealand). It finds that NLP techniques are promising, though there is a need for significant fine-tuning.
- Published
- 2022
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- View/download PDF
4. How electoral systems can influence policy innovation
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Orellana, Salomon
- Subjects
Same-sex marriage -- Political aspects -- Laws, regulations and rules -- Analysis ,Electoral systems -- Influence -- Analysis -- Laws, regulations and rules -- Political aspects ,Environmental policy -- Political aspects -- Analysis -- Laws, regulations and rules ,Government regulation ,Political science - Abstract
This paper argues that in certain areas of policy, electoral systems can influence policy innovation (how early countries will adopt certain policies). Electoral systems influence the number of parties that win representation and thereby influence the diversity of perspectives included in the policymaking process. It is argued here that this diversity facilitates elite and public consideration of new issues and ideas, and consequently, it leads to earlier debate and action on these issues and ideas. This dynamic is particularly relevant to controversial issues and ideas that major parties may be hesitant to address and that minor parties may be more incentivized to promote. In this paper, two issues/ideas are considered: extending rights to same-sex couples and making material sacrifices to protect the environment. I show that countries with more proportional electoral systems tend to act earlier to protect the environment and that they tend to be early adopters of civil union legislation. These results are also supported by World Values Survey data showing public preference patterns that support these policy outcomes. KEY WORDS: electoral systems, parties, information diversity, policy innovation, public preferences, Introduction This paper argues that a particular feature of political information environments--the diversity of perspectives magnified by the electoral system--influences policy innovation or how quickly countries will adopt certain policies. [...]
- Published
- 2010
5. Coping with policy-making complexity
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Orellana, Salomon E.
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- 2008
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6. Electoral Systems and Governance
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Orellana, Salomon, primary
- Published
- 2014
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7. Hybrid Political Institutions and Governability: The Budgetary Process in Brazil
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Pereira, Carlos, primary and Orellana, Salomon, additional
- Published
- 2009
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
8. Legislative Diversity and Social Tolerance: How Multiparty Systems Lead to Tolerant Citizens
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Dunn, Kris, primary, Orellana, Salomon, additional, and Singh, Shane, additional
- Published
- 2009
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9. Electoral Institutions, Diversity, Dissent, and Groupthink.
- Author
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Orellana, Salomon
- Subjects
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ELECTIONS , *SOCIAL pressure , *PLURALITY voting , *DISSENTERS , *GOVERNMENT policy - Abstract
Experimental research has demonstrated that strains to uniformity, or âGroupthink,â can lead individuals to give answers they know are incorrect and can lead groups to adopt under-considered solutions. As famously documented by Solomon Asch (1955, 1956), dissent can diminish the negative influences of social pressures. Moreover, dissent is more likely to emerge when groups are diverse, rather than homogeneous. .x000d.I argue that this framework can be applied to the study of electoral systems. Pluralitarian systems tend to exacerbate this phenomenon because they limit dissent. On issues such as crime, major parties can become enthralled in a âone-upsmanshipâ dynamic, where they emphasize their tough-on-crime credentials. In a multi-party setting, dissenting positions are more likely to receive attention..x000d.I argue that this framework helps explain why countries with pluralitarian electoral systems tend to exhibit more aggressive policy outcomes than countries with proportional electoral institutions, especially for policy areas linked to personal security (e.g., crime and national defense). ..PAT.-Unpublished Manuscript [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2009
10. Information Diversity and Cosmopolitanism.
- Author
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Orellana, Salomon
- Subjects
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ELECTIONS , *COSMOPOLITANISM , *MODERNIZATION theory , *INDUSTRIALIZATION , *ECONOMIC development , *SOCIAL interaction , *SOCIAL change - Abstract
Modernization theory argues that industrialization and socio-economic development lead to significant cultural changes. A key mechanisms identified by this theory is that socio-economic development contributes to the diversification of human interactions. A tractable way to explore the effects of information diversity is to focus on how electoral institutions influence individual preferences. Electoral institutions meaningfully affect the number and breadth of political perspectives to which citizens have access and we should therefore expect them to affect information optimality, and consequently, they should affect public preferences. I use data from the World Values Survey to demonstrate that citizens in parliamentary, proportional representation systems tend to hold preferences that are more cosmopolitan than those of citizens in more majoritarian systems. ..PAT.-Unpublished Manuscript [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2007
11. Major Electoral Reforms and Party Position-Taking.
- Author
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Orellana, Salomon and Shomer, Yael
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ELECTION law , *POLITICAL parties , *POLITICAL change , *ELECTIONS , *SPATIAL analysis (Statistics) - Abstract
Downs (1957) first suggested that competitors will face different positioning incentives under different electoral rules. This version of spatial modeling (often referred to as proximity theory) takes perhaps the clearest position on how parties will behave under two-party and multi-party systems, in that it can predict quite opposite influences on parties operating under the respective types of electoral systems. Generally, in a one-dimensional setting, parties are expected to converge on the median voter in two-party systems, and to disperse themselves in multiparty systems. We use a quasi-experimental approach to examine whether or not these expectations hold. Particularly, we examine the patterns of party behavior observed in Israel and New Zealand as they experimented with major electoral reforms. Each of these countries operated under relatively pure versions of archetypal electoral systems (majoritarian or proportional) and then either adopted core elements belonging to the opposite archetype, or switched archetypes altogether. We use manifesto data to track party positioning behavior before and after these cases of electoral reform. We find that the account related by the manifesto data corroborate the story of convergent versus divergent dynamics posited by proximity theory particularly in the case of New Zealand. For the Israeli case, the theoretical expectations with regard to the major parties are corroborated. The results for the minor parties, however, were mixed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2005
12. Electoral Institutions and the Cross-national Variation of Attitudes Toward Sensitive Issues.
- Author
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Orellana, Salomon E.
- Subjects
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POLITY (Religion) , *POLITICAL science , *ENVIRONMENTAL protection , *HOMOSEXUALITY , *EUTHANASIA - Abstract
The article presents an analysis of the argument that electoral institutions affect the ideological diversity of the political discourse of polity. The author argues that electoral institutions should facilitate the discussion of more sensitive political issues. The author examines, using 1999 World Values survey data, whether such intuition helps explain cross-national variations in attitudes toward 3 issue areas, such as the economic sacrifices for the sake of gains in environmental protection, the justifiability of homosexuality, and the justifiability of euthanasia.
- Published
- 2005
13. Electoral Systems and the Diversity of the Political News Agenda.
- Author
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Orellana, Salomon Elbin and Monroe, Burt L.
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POLITICAL systems , *POLITICAL parties , *ELECTIONS , *DEMOCRACY - Abstract
At least since Duverger (1954) and Downs (1957), and as confirmed and given more specific form in much recent literature, we know that ? generally speaking ? electoral systems play an important role in shaping the number and diversity of parties in any given political system. We have also begun to understand how electoral systems shape the diversity of political elites (e.g., Reynolds 1999 on women?s representation) and shape policy outcomes (e.g., Powell 2000). To many democratic theorists, however, democracy is defined as much by the nature of the deliberations of its citizens as its outcomes (e.g., Dryzen 1990, Fishkin 1992, Chambers 1996, Gutmann and Thompson 1996, Elster 1998, Elkin and Soltan 1999, Macedo 1999). Combining these two perspectives, we are led to wonder if electoral systems affect the nature of democratic deliberations. In particular, do electoral systems that encourage a larger number of parties with a greater diversity of policy and ideological positions also encourage more diversity in media discussions of politics? To get a partial answer to this question, we investigate newspaper coverage of elections in New Zealand before and after the 1993-96 electoral reform ? a quasi-experimental (interrupted time series) design ? and find support for the idea. We also discuss other research designs that might provide additional leverage on the issue. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2004
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
14. The Institutional Determinants of Postmaterialism.
- Author
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Orellana, Salomon
- Subjects
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MODERNIZATION theory , *INDUSTRIALIZATION , *SOCIOECONOMICS , *SOCIAL change , *SOCIAL interaction - Abstract
Modernization theory argues that industrialization and socio-economic development lead to significant cultural changes. A key mechanisms identified by this theory is that socio-economic development contributes to the diversification of human interactions. A feasible way to explore the impact of information diversity is to focus on how electoral institutions impact individual preferences. Electoral institutions greatly affect the number and breadth of political perspectives to which citizens have access and we should therefore expect them to affect information diversity, and consequently, they should affect public preferences. Data from the World Values Survey are used to demonstrate that citizens in parliamentary systems with proportional representation tend to hold preferences that are generally more cosmopolitan than those of citizens in presidential, more majoritarian systems. ..PAT.-Unpublished Manuscript [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2007
15. Electoral Institutions, Legislative Diversity, and Cosmopolitan Citizens.
- Author
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Dunn, Kris, Orellana, Salomon, and Singh, Shane
- Subjects
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PUBLIC opinion , *COSMOPOLITANISM , *POLITICAL attitudes , *SOCIAL attitudes , *RELIGIOUSNESS - Abstract
This paper posits that electoral institutions affect public attitudes on social issues. Individuals with countries with more diverse political discourse will express greater levels of cosmopolitanism across three areas of social attitudes. We argue that certain facets of electoral institutions facilitate the discussion of more sensitive political issues and greater public exposure to these issues should lead to more positive attitudes toward them. We also expect that diversity of information affects traditional values. In particular, we expect this diversity to decrease levels of religiosity. Finally, we argue that greater ideological diversity in the legislature leads to greater levels of societal tolerance for outgroups. To explore these relationships we create three indicators of cosmopolitan attitudes for thirty-five countries based on data from the World Values Survey: acceptance of sensitive issues, religiosity, and tolerance of outgroups. We find that both the effective number of parties and the effective threshold are significant predictors of a nation's cosmopolitanism. ..PAT.-Unpublished Manuscript [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2007
16. Electoral Systems and Policy Sophistication.
- Author
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Orellana, Salomon
- Subjects
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IDEOLOGY , *LEGISLATIVE bodies , *CONSTITUTIONAL law , *POLICY sciences , *SOCIAL sciences - Abstract
In this paper I explore whether ideological diversity helps legislatures cope with the massive complexity involved in policy-making, and whether two-party systems tend to produce more reactionary policy-making than multi-party systems. ..PAT.-Conference Proceeding [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2006
17. The Effects of Electoral Systems on Public Discourse: Newspapers in New Zealand.
- Author
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Orellana, Salomon
- Subjects
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ELECTIONS , *POLITICAL parties , *REPRESENTATIVE government , *DEMOCRACY , *MASS media - Abstract
This is the first phase of a multi-stage research process that aims to uncover how constitutional designs (electoral systems in particular) impact the political discourse of a polity. The hypothesis of this project is derived from Anthony Downs’ theory of democracy1 , which argues that electoral systems create diverging incentives for parties. Single member district plurality (SMDP) systems are said to favor the creation of two-party systems in which the parties will substantively gravitate toward the median voter. Systems that use proportional representation (PR) to dole out legislative seats, on the other hand, will lead to the creation of multi-party systems with parties that will tend to adhere more firmly to particularistic ideologies. This project specifically aims to observe whether or not this phenomenon is captured by the political discourse covered in the media. I hypothesize two things. First, the media in proportional democracies should give greater amounts of coverage to more parties than the media in SMDP systems. Second, because of this coverage we should also expect to observe a broader range, substantively (policy-wise and ideologically), of political discourse in the media of proportional democracies. To ease the burdens of definitions and scope, one country is chosen for examination. New Zealand is a country which has converted from a clear version of SMDP to a clear version of PR (a mixed system patterned on the German model, which Sartori2 assures us is nonetheless fully proportional because the ultimate distribution of seats is determined by the proportional component). In this sense it provides a case of natural experimentation. The independent variable has been applied and we can now observe some of the consequences. Consequently, this is a time series design that will involve a content of analysis of the media. It should prove easiest to examine the content of New Zealand’s major newspapers. This should allow for a straight forward quantification of the coverage afforded to minor parties should prove, perhaps via a straight count of the number of articles in which they receive even the briefest of mentions. Quantifying the impact of this coverage on political substance, on the other hand, will surely prove more complicated. Some kind of operationalization will have to be developed to permit an objective quantification of content related to policy or ideology. Currently, two possibilities comes to mind. One, I could focus on marginal concepts which only minor parties can and do promote (e.g. The Greens’ promotion of the precautionary principle), counting the number of articles in which the item is discussed. Second, I could simply count the number of articles in which marginal parties have the opportunity to express policy positions of any kind. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2004
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