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Chronic total occlusion (CTO) percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) can improve patient symptoms, but it remains controversial whether it impacts subsequent clinical outcomes.In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we queried PubMed, ScienceDirect, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, and Embase databases (last search: September 15, 2021). We investigated the impact of CTO-PCI on clinical events including all-cause mortality, cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction (MI), major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE), stroke, subsequent coronary artery bypass surgery, target-vessel revascularization, and heart failure hospitalizations. Pooled analysis was performed using a random-effects model.A total of 58 publications with 54,540 patients were included in this analysis, of which 33 were observational studies of successful vs failed CTO-PCI, 19 were observational studies of CTO-PCI vs no CTO-PCI, and 6 were randomized controlled trials (RCTs). In observational studies, but not RCTs, CTO-PCI was associated with better clinical outcomes. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for all-cause mortality, MACE, and MI were 0.52 (95% CI, 0.42-0.64), 0.46 (95% CI, 0.37-0.58), 0.66 (95% CI, 0.50-0.86), respectively for successful vs failed CTO-PCI studies; 0.38 (95% CI, 0.31-0.45), 0.57 (95% CI, 0.42-0.78), 0.65 (95% CI, 0.42-0.99), respectively, for observational studies of CTO-PCI vs no CTO-PCI; 0.72 (95% CI, 0.39-1.32), 0.69 (95% CI, 0.38-1.25), and 1.04 (95% CI, 0.46-2.37), respectively for RCTs.CTO-PCI is associated with better subsequent clinical outcomes in observational studies but not in RCTs. Appropriately powered RCTs are needed to conclusively determine the impact of CTO-PCI on clinical outcomes.

Chronic total occlusion (CTO) percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is associated with increased risk of periprocedural complications. Estimating the risk of complications facilitates risk-benefit assessment and procedural planning.This study sought to develop risk scores for in-hospital major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), mortality, pericardiocentesis, and acute myocardial infarction (MI) in patients undergoing CTO PCI.The study analyzed the PROGRESS-CTO (Prospective Global Registry for the Study of Chronic Total Occlusion Intervention; NCT02061436) and created risk scores for MACE, mortality, pericardiocentesis, and acute MI. Logistic regression prediction modeling was used to identify independently associated variables, and models were internally validated with bootstrapping.The incidence of periprocedural complications among 10,480 CTO PCIs was as follows: MACE 215 (2.05%), mortality 47 (0.45%), pericardiocentesis 83 (1.08%), and acute MI 66 (0.63%). The final model for MACE included ≥65 years of age (1 point), moderate-severe calcification (1 point), blunt stump (1 point), antegrade dissection and re-entry (ADR) (1 point), female (2 points), and retrograde (2 points); the final model for mortality included ≥65 years of age (1 point), left ventricular ejection fraction ≤45% (1 point), moderate-severe calcification (1 point), ADR (1 point), and retrograde (1 point); the final model for pericardiocentesis included ≥65 years of age (1 point), female (1 point), moderate-severe calcification (1 point), ADR (1 point), and retrograde (2 points); the final model for acute MI included prior coronary artery bypass graft surgery (1 point), atrial fibrillation (1 point), and blunt stump (1 point). The C-statistics of the models were 0.74, 0.80, 0.78, 0.72 for MACE, mortality, pericardiocentesis, and acute MI, respectively.The PROGRESS-CTO complication risk scores can facilitate estimation of the periprocedural complication risk in patients undergoing CTO PCI.