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Internal migration fell in high-income countries such as Australia, the UK, and the United States during the late twentieth and early twenty-first centuries. High-level explanations for these declines have referred to developmental stage (Zelinsky’s super-advanced society), changed values and preferences (secular rootedness), and long-run socio-demographic change (second demographic transition). We assess the relevance of these overlapping interpretations in the Norwegian context via a combination of direct empirical tests (using full-population register data for 1981–2015 and Oaxaca–Blinder analysis) and indirect assessments based on the inherent features of the Norwegian case study. The net effect of changes in population composition and behaviours has been to increase migration: the upward effects of a more educated population and changed household structures have outweighed the downward effects of population ageing. Our results raise questions about how far these macro explanations of migration decline are generally applicable. We offer some suggestions for future conceptual and empirical investigation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Population ageing has long been perceived as a domestic socioeconomic issue that places a growing burden on government budgets. This has led to a prevailing argument in the literature that ageing-induced financial strain would consequently lead to a crowding-out effect on military expenditures. However, this article challenges the notion by arguing that population ageing in China is securitized by the government as a threat to national security on three dimensions: military, regime, and structural security. As a result, population ageing eventually exerts a crowding-in effect on military spending in China. To explore this mechanism, this article departs from a 'butter-versus-guns' paradigm and instead adopts a security framework, using primarily Chinese-language sources to explore the impact of population ageing on active-duty personnel, demobilized servicemen, and prospective soldiers. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A response to pressures on pension finance caused by population ageing and economic turbulence has been a substantial move from traditional defined-benefit plans in which, at least in principle, all risk falls on the contributions side, to defined-contribution plans in which risk during accumulation all falls on the benefits side. This paper argues that both designs are 'corner solutions' and hence generally suboptimal, and goes on to set out a range of designs that offer different ways of sharing risk among workers, employers, future pensioners and current pensioners. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

BACKGROUND: Population aging significantly affects the social, economic, and political landscapes of countries, including their health systems. This study aimed to develop a conceptual framework that illustrates the consequences of population aging on the functions and goals of health systems. METHODS: This multi-method study consisted of four stages. First, the WHO-2000 framework for health systems was selected after a comprehensive review and consensus. Second, a systematic review identified the impacts of population aging. Third, an initial conceptual framework was designed. Finally, the framework was validated, completed, and finalized through semi-structured interviews. RESULTS: The study identified 120 concepts related to the consequences of population aging, which were categorized within the functions and goals of the WHO framework. Key consequences for "stewardship" included adapting to demographic changes, modifying system design, and enhancing performance assessment. "Creating resources" faces increased demand, particularly for trained healthcare workers and geriatric care teams. "Financing" requires sustainable resources and strategic purchasing to address the higher healthcare costs associated with an aging population. "Service delivery" needs to focus on meeting the complex needs of older adults. The goals of health systems are also impacted, with implications for improving health outcomes, financial fairness, and responsiveness to non-medical expectations, including a clientoriented approach and respect for vulnerable older adults. CONCLUSION: Adopting strategies and policies based on these identified consequences, coupled with effective implementation, will help policymakers manage the impacts of population aging within health systems. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Population ageing is a significant and global concern, particularly pronounced in China, where rapid ageing growth has been observed. This growth is uneven across regions, presenting urgent challenges for local governments. Accurate forecast of regional ageing structure is vital for developing and adjusting population, social, and economic policies. To address this, based on the compositional data, population ageing is firstly delineated into two stages: the structure of the elderly and that of the disabled elderly, and a data collection and pre-processing framework based on this division is constructed. Then, a novel non-linear dynamic grey Markov compositional model is developed to tackle this two-stage issue. Finally, using this model, the ageing structure is predicted and studied in Jiangsu Province, China, as an illustrative case. Experimental results show that the ageing structure will be further "aged" and "disabled", and moderate disability is the core component of the rise in the disabled elderly. These forecasts align with current trends in ageing and provide a quantitative basis for governmental policy-making and adjustments. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The study compares the conditions created by ageing processes. It recognises differences in the situation of people aged 65 and older from a macrolevel perspective in 34 OECD countries in 2020, that is, the first year of the Covid‐19 pandemic. The paper analyses the (dis)similarities of OECD economies with regard to a set of selected variables that represent different macrolevel dimensions. Cluster analysis and linear ordering were applied, which made it possible to group the countries into separate clusters. The most obvious difference was found for the cluster consisting of Luxembourg, Belgium, France, and Spain, relative to the group that includes Mexico and Türkiye and the cluster that comprises Korea, Latvia, Japan, and Lithuania. Influential variables for grouping countries were old‐age income poverty, public transfers in the form of pensions, effective labour market exit age, and differences between expected years in retirement for women and men. The cluster analysis for 2020 also revealed the general difference between European countries and the rest of the OECD economies, as well as the importance of regional differences. The results also indicate that the clusters partially correspond to the differentiation of OECD countries based on the typology of the pension regimes, as outlined in the literature. Finally, comparing the 2020 clusters with the pre‐Covid‐19 pandemic results (2018) indicates that countries in the top and bottom‐ranked groups were resistant to the pandemic shock. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The increasing number of elderly tourists requires adapting tourism services to address their specific health and comfort needs, which presents a new challenge for the industry. The aim of this study is to check the readiness of the tourism sector for demographic changes, to identify the characteristics of seniors that should be taken into account when constructing tourist offers, and to learn about the reasons for non-participation in tourism by different age groups. The study used data from a survey conducted among Polish companies from the tourism sector and data from Statistics Poland regarding the travelling habits of Polish people. Correspondence analysis and Sequence, Association and Link Analysis (SAL) were used. The surveyed companies from the tourism sector have noticed demographic changes related to the ageing of the population and are actively responding to these changes. The most important factors influencing the construction of offers for seniors are health and mobility issues and problems with modern technology. Seniors give up tourism mainly because they prefer to stay at home followed by health or mobility issues.

Abstract Background China is currently at a turning point as its total population has started to decline, and therefore faces issues related to caring for an ageing population, which will require an increase in Total Health Expenditure (THE). Therefore, the ability to forecast China’s future THE is essential. Methods We developed two THE System Dynamics (SD) models using Stella Architect 3.4 to simulate China’s THE from 2000 to 2060. The constant prices THE SD model estimates THE under low, medium, and high Total Fertility Rate (TFR) scenarios. The current prices THE SD model serves as a robust calibration check. In addition, we developed a new total Gross Domestic Production (GDP) forecast model to estimate THE/GDP over the same period. Results Our simulation results reveal a significant upward trend in China’s THE from 2000 to 2060. Specifically, under the low TFR scenario, THE is projected to reach approximately $33.4 trillion in 2015 constant USD by 2060. However, with the introduction of efficiency impact factors, THE is expected to fall to around $8.6 trillion by 2060. Additionally, the per capita Health Expenditure is anticipated to rise from $102 in 2000 to roughly $30,800 by 2060, though it could see a decrease to nearly $7,900 with efficiency improvements. Our GDP forecast for 2060 is nearly $87 trillion, with THE to GDP ratio expected to be about 9.7%. In our scenario analysis, as TFR increases, the growing new births and decreased ageing rate are expected to lead to a rise in THE and a decrease in per capita Health Expenditure. Conclusion The efficiency of THE utilization needs to be improved. Increasing TFR can help alleviate population decline and ageing to some extent. Enhancing workforce productivity and sustained economic growth is needed to counteract the challenges posed by an ageing population.

Despite the theoretical debate on its impact on economic growth, saving is a key macroeconomic variable. This issue has received even more attention since the emergence of endogenous growth models, which argued that by holding technology constant, economic growth would be determined by a country’s population growth rate and national saving rate. Later growth models have continued to include savings among the variables affecting economic growth. At this point, demographic change becomes important because household savings, which is an important component of national savings, will be directly affected by the ageing of the population. This relationship came to the fore in the mid-20th century with the emergence of two closely related theories linking the age of individuals to their saving and consumption behaviour: the life cycle hypothesis and the permanent income hypothesis. Both hypotheses assume that individuals seek to maximise their utility through a consumption profile consistent with their lifetime earnings. In Turkey, there has been a significant decline in fertility and mortality rates in recent years. Considering the rapid demographic transition that the country is going through, this study investigates the impact of population ageing on the overall saving volume. According to the findings obtained from the econometric analysis based on the Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model, which includes a series of control variables such as income, interest rate and inflation as well as the amount of the elderly population, the aging of the population positively affects the volume of savings. Inflation and interest rate also have a positive effect on savings, but it is much weaker. Accordingly, it can be concluded that the life cycle hypothesis is not valid in Turkey.

Objectives Considering the rapid growth of the aged population and given that older people are the main consumers of health services, it is important to address the effects of population ageing on the health system function. Therefore, this study aims to review the evidence related to the impacts of population ageing on various functions of the health system, including stewardship, financing, resource development, and service provision. Methods & Materials This is a systematic review study. The data were collected through searching in PubMed, Web of Science, ProQuest and Google Scholar for articles published from 2000 to 2022, using the related keywords. Quality assessment of selected articles was done using the STROBE checklist. To analyze the extracted data, the World Health Organization’s health system performance assessment framework was used. Results Of 1954 identified articles, 23 were finally selected based on inclusion and exclusion criteria. In the function of stewardship, the impacts were related to the managerial and policy aspects and the increased need to respond to the growing health needs of the elderly. In the function of financing, the impacts included the increase of financial burden on the health system and the need to provide financial resources. In the resource generation function, the impacts were categorized into human, information and physical resources. In the function of service provision, the impacts were on the demand for services, the complexity of service provision, and the method of service provision to elderly. Conclusion The impacts of population ageing on the functions of the health system, especially the financing function, are inevitable. The increase in the aged population is associated with the increase in health costs. Policy makers and managers of the health system should use practical strategies to strengthen the health system against the effects of population ageing.

Abstract The rising healthcare costs due to population aging present a complex issue, with debate centering on whether these costs are driven by aging or end-of-life care. This study examines healthcare expenditures in Chinese households using data from the 2005 and 2018 Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey. By applying the Heckman select model and a two-part model, the research innovatively includes time to death, income, social security and health level in the benchmark regression in order to validate the recent some new Red Herring hypothesis. The findings show that time to death is the primary determinant of healthcare expenditures, while the effect of aging is minimal. Income, social security, and health status also significantly influence health expenditure, but they do not function as Red Herring variables.

Background: China is currently at a turning point as its total population has started to decline, and therefore faces issues related to caring for an ageing population, which will require an increase in Total Health Expenditure (THE). Therefore, the ability to forecast China's future THE is essential. Methods: We developed two THE System Dynamics (SD) models using Stella Architect 3.4 to simulate China's THE from 2000 to 2060. The constant prices THE SD model estimates THE under low, medium, and high Total Fertility Rate (TFR) scenarios. The current prices THE SD model serves as a robust calibration check. In addition, we developed a new total Gross Domestic Production (GDP) forecast model to estimate THE/GDP over the same period. Results: Our simulation results reveal a significant upward trend in China's THE from 2000 to 2060. Specifically, under the low TFR scenario, THE is projected to reach approximately $33.4 trillion in 2015 constant USD by 2060. However, with the introduction of efficiency impact factors, THE is expected to fall to around $8.6 trillion by 2060. Additionally, the per capita Health Expenditure is anticipated to rise from $102 in 2000 to roughly $30,800 by 2060, though it could see a decrease to nearly $7,900 with efficiency improvements. Our GDP forecast for 2060 is nearly $87 trillion, with THE to GDP ratio expected to be about 9.7%. In our scenario analysis, as TFR increases, the growing new births and decreased ageing rate are expected to lead to a rise in THE and a decrease in per capita Health Expenditure. Conclusion: The efficiency of THE utilization needs to be improved. Increasing TFR can help alleviate population decline and ageing to some extent. Enhancing workforce productivity and sustained economic growth is needed to counteract the challenges posed by an ageing population. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Immigration is often discussed as a means to counteract population ageing. As the number of Asian countries experiencing population ageing continues to grow, we assess the potential impact of international migration on population ageing in Asia by combining replacement migration and prospective age concept, which accounts for differences in life expectancy. Using data from the UN’s World Population Prospects 2022, we estimate the potential replacement migration required to maintain the old-age dependency ratio and the size of the working-age population in eleven Asian countries over the period 2022–2050. Our results reveal large variation across countries, with the lowest replacement migration observed in countries where population ageing is already most advanced. In most countries, replacement migration exceeds observed net migration. Since increased immigration alone is unlikely to be the sole solution to population ageing, policymakers may consider a combination of different strategies to ensure future development in ageing Asian countries. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The ageing of the population has negative effects on the gross domestic product (GDP), influencing various economic and social aspects. These effects, in turn, contribute to an increase in the debt-to-GDP ratio, raising concerns about the long-term sustainability of public debt. The objective of our study is to evaluate the possible dynamics of debt sustainability with a certain level of probability. The analysis employs the stochastic modelling of risk factors influencing the debt-to-GDP ratio, particularly emphasising the economic consequences of population ageing. Using advanced risk management techniques, we aim to provide a robust assessment of how future demographic outlooks impact debt sustainability. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The increasing number of elderly tourists requires adapting tourism services to address their specific health and comfort needs, which presents a new challenge for the industry. The aim of this study is to check the readiness of the tourism sector for demographic changes, to identify the characteristics of seniors that should be taken into account when constructing tourist offers, and to learn about the reasons for non-participation in tourism by different age groups. The study used data from a survey conducted among Polish companies from the tourism sector and data from Statistics Poland regarding the travelling habits of Polish people. Correspondence analysis and Sequence, Association and Link Analysis (SAL) were used. The surveyed companies from the tourism sector have noticed demographic changes related to the ageing of the population and are actively responding to these changes. The most important factors influencing the construction of offers for seniors are health and mobility issues and problems with modern technology. Seniors give up tourism mainly because they prefer to stay at home followed by health or mobility issues. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Ageing within the social system undergoes the process of disengagement. This process of disengagement is highlighted in the theory of disengagement by Crossman (2017). His observation goes as "complete disengagement happens when both the individual and society are ready for this to occur. A disjunction between the two will occur when one is ready but not the other, and a person is ready to disengage when they are aware of the short time remaining in their life and they no longer wish to fulfil their current social roles". With the disengagement of the elderly in focus, more particularly those retired from regular employment, this particular study was carried out. An attempt was made to find out whether the social and health characteristics of the elderly such as gender, age, family system and health make any difference in the pensioners while performing their social roles after retirement. Exactly two hundred and one pensioners from the Pensioners' Association in Madurai district, Tamil Nadu, India, were selected to participate in this study. The results of the study indicate the state of physical functioning of both male and female elderly as they advance in age. It further shows that the male and female pensioners do not have any differences in disengagement, but there is an increased level of disengagement observed among the pensioners in the age between 76 and 80. Pensioners living in joint family and nuclear family setups are equally disengaged as also the pensioners living in their own houses and rented houses. But in terms of health, pensioners with more than 5 morbidity issues are sensing a greater amount of disengagement as their physical disability does not allow them to carry out their role occupancy. A hypothetical statement namely "disengagement is higher among the elder pensioners than the younger pensioners" is confirmed. Therefore, as the pensioners keep ageing, their inability to perform their social roles deteriorates, and they get disengaged from many social functioning. Moreover, the number of children, grandchildren, years of service rendered prior to retirement and social and income generation activities has reflected in the disengagement of the retired pensioners. The pensioners, who have multi-morbidities, undergo reduced social interactions and support and, thus, this factor complements the disengagement theory of ageing, which posits their withdrawals from social life. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objectives: Our objective was to assess morbidity trends in Europe and to classify European countries based on population ageing theories: the compression, expansion and dynamic equilibrium of morbidity. Methods: The proportions of healthy life years were calculated for 31 European countries for the period 2005--2019 based on life expectancy values and healthy life years at age 65 years adopted from the Eurostat database. European countries were classified according to morbidity patterns applying the standard deviation distance from the average of relative change method between the selected years. Results: A large degree of variation in terms of life expectancy and healthy life years at age 65 years was determined between 2005 and 2019. While the life expectancy differences between men and women were consistent across all the European countries, the gender gap concerning healthy life years was more diverse. Approximately one-third of the countries fell into the expansion, compression and dynamic equilibrium categories, respectively. Conclusion: Significant variations were identified in healthy life year trends across European countries, which underscores the need for preventive strategies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The rising healthcare costs due to population aging present a complex issue, with debate centering on whether these costs are driven by aging or end-of-life care. This study examines healthcare expenditures in Chinese households using data from the 2005 and 2018 Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey. By applying the Heckman select model and a two-part model, the research innovatively includes time to death, income, social security and health level in the benchmark regression in order to validate the recent some new Red Herring hypothesis. The findings show that time to death is the primary determinant of healthcare expenditures, while the effect of aging is minimal. Income, social security, and health status also significantly influence health expenditure, but they do not function as Red Herring variables. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Population ageing is an unprecedented phenomenon witnessed by nations globally. Given contradictory findings in the literature regarding the major drivers behind this phenomenon, this study presents a robust cross-national empirical analysis of the contributions of fertility, life expectancy, and net migration to driving contemporary and future population ageing. The study addresses endogeneity and serial correlation by employing dynamic cointegrating regressions, specifically Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS) and Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (DOLS), based on data extracted from the United Nations Population Division for 72 nations spanning two periods: 1960-2020 and 2020-2050. The results indicate that nations in advanced ageing transitions, primarily developed nations, experienced comparatively lower fertility rates and higher life expectancy rates than those in early stages, with fluctuations observed in net migration. A statistically significant long-run dynamic cointegrating relationship is found among the three major drivers and population ageing. Declining fertility has been the primary driver of global population ageing from 1960 to 2020, followed by increasing life expectancy and, lastly, net migration. These results remain robust across the four sub-panels of nations based on age-transition categories. Projections suggest that population ageing will persist as a reality. However, regression estimates indicate that life expectancy will surpass fertility to become the primary driver of ageing in the future. The study raises doubt about the rejuvenating role of migration as a solution to population ageing and underscores the importance of further research in this area. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The role of care planning in addressing eldercare challenges has received increasing attention. However, the influence of the uncertainty triggered by the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, in conjuction with significant social unrest, on family eldercare planning remains unclear. This study examines eldercare planning experiences of families in Hong Kong, focusing on the evolving changes and adaptations faced by both local residents and mainland Chinese immigrants during the COVID-19 pandemic and the 2019–2020 social unrest. Through purposive sampling, we conducted semi-structured interviews with 93 local residents and 66 migrants from 2020 to 2021. Five main themes emerged: (1) increased awareness of healthcare preparation and planning during the COVID-19 pandemic, (2) residential care homes as a suboptimal choice after the COVID-19 pandemic, (3) influence of the COVID-19 pandemic on financial planning for eldercare, (4) distant family care after the social unrest, and (5) the need to improve remote care under border restrictions. This study contributes to the literature by examining the intersection of crisis events and eldercare planning, viewing the family as a planning unit. It also deepens the understanding of caregiving within the context of health and social crises, providing valuable insights for the development of future support systems for older adults and their caregivers in similar circumstances. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Walking benefits older pedestrians but exposes them to traffic crashes. With an aging population, designing age-friendly cities is crucial, yet research on older pedestrian safety at a micro-level is limited. This study aims to reduce older pedestrian–vehicle collisions and create more livable environments through infrastructure policies derived from statistical data analysis. Special attention is focused on collecting a holistic set of infrastructure variables to reflect most of the street built environment elements, which helps policymakers implement short-term safety measures. Using Bayesian Poisson regression, this study analyzes factors contributing to the occurrence of crashes involving older and non-older pedestrians on road segments in Madrid, Spain. The results indicate that different factors affect the occurrence of crashes for all pedestrians versus older pedestrians specifically. Traffic crashes involving all pedestrians are affected by leisure points of interest, bus stops, and crosswalk density. Older pedestrian traffic crashes are influenced by population density, the presence of trees and trash containers, and contour complexity. Proposed measures include relocating trees and trash containers, modifying bus stops, and adding crosswalks and traffic lights. This paper also shows that these countermeasures, aimed at creating age-friendly streets for older pedestrians, are not expected to worsen the road safety of other pedestrians. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

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The COVID-19 epidemic caused an increase in excess deaths worldwide, most of which were in the elderly. This study aims to identify the impact of the COVID-19 epidemic on reducing the intensity of change in population aging between 2020 and 2022 in selected European countries. Time-series analysis methods with trend and seasonality are used to estimate excess deaths. The study found that of the nearly 1.5 million excess deaths observed between 2020 and 2022 in the 28 European countries analyzed, almost 93% of these were in people aged 60 years and older. The results of the study indicate that in some countries (mainly central and eastern Europe), the scale of deaths due to the COVID-19 epidemic was large enough to clearly inhibit the aging dynamics of their populations.

Objectives Considering the rapid growth of the aged population and given that older people are the main consumers of health services, it is important to address the effects of population ageing on the health system function. Therefore, this study aims to review the evidence related to the impacts of population ageing on various functions of the health system, including stewardship, financing, resource development, and service provision. Methods & Materials This is a systematic review study. The data were collected through searching in PubMed, Web of Science, ProQuest and Google Scholar for articles published from 2000 to 2022, using the related keywords. Quality assessment of selected articles was done using the STROBE checklist. To analyze the extracted data, the World Health Organization's health system performance assessment framework was used. Results Of 1954 identified articles, 23 were finally selected based on inclusion and exclusion criteria. In the function of stewardship, the impacts were related to the managerial and policy aspects and the increased need to respond to the growing health needs of the elderly. In the function of financing, the impacts included the increase of financial burden on the health system and the need to provide financial resources. In the resource generation function, the impacts were categorized into human, information and physical resources. In the function of service provision, the impacts were on the demand for services, the complexity of service provision, and the method of service provision to elderly. Conclusion The impacts of population ageing on the functions of the health system, especially the financing function, are inevitable. The increase in the aged population is associated with the increase in health costs. Policy makers and managers of the health system should use practical strategies to strengthen the health system against the effects of population ageing. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Much contemporary economic policy analysis deploys demographic projections. To explore their macroeconomic significance, this article draws on documentary evidence from two case studies: (1) the World Bank's Human Capital Index and (2) European Union models of population ageing within debt sustainability analysis. Combining constructivist and Foucauldian insights, we develop a threefold argument about the constitutive effects of quantified demographic futures on macroeconomic policy analysis. First, the World Bank's and the European Union's respective demographic futures mobilise urgency for contingent policy choices with reference to expected future 'gaps'. Second, they build credibility for contested bodies of expertise on the basis of long-term population forecasts. Third, they delineate agency such that the effects of structural inter-dependencies between economies are rendered as national-level policy risks. These findings demonstrate how quantified demographic futures circumscribe national policy space, mediate the politics of macroeconomic ideas and contribute to the depoliticisation of economic policymaking. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study examines the impact of the growing elderly population and single-person households on residential electricity demand in China. Using a dynamic panel model, this study investigates a balanced panel dataset encompassing 30 provinces in China from 2006 to 2016. The results indicate that households in China show limited responsiveness to changes in electricity prices and household income in the short and long run. Regarding demographic transitions, the results reveal that the presence of working-age individuals, elderly individuals, and single-person households contributes to an increase in electricity demand. Furthermore, the results highlight the significance of higher education in reducing electricity demand, suggesting the need for educational programmes that promote energy-saving behaviour and environment-friendly attitudes. These findings offer valuable insights for policy makers and stakeholders aiming to develop effective strategies for managing residential electricity demand in light of changing demographics. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study seeks to characterise the effects of migration on the population development of Hong Kong where there has been rapid population transition due to extremely low fertility and uncertainties in migration flows. We explore actual historical trends during the period 2011–2021, and how these trends could shape the future demographic distribution if they persist. Using population census data, we estimate the net migration numbers in Hong Kong during the period 2011–2021, and develop population projections from 2026 to 2056 based on three alternative migration scenarios: (1) no net migration, (2) constant at the 2016–2021 level (negative growth), and (3) constant at the 2011–2016 level (positive growth but stable). Projected overall dependency ratios are also estimated under the three migration scenarios, as well as two retirement age scenarios: retiring at 65 years and 70 years. Our findings demonstrate that immigration would become an important and positive factor to slow down the process of population ageing to achieve a more sustainable development. The extension of the retirement age from 65 years to 70 years will certainly help to mitigate the ageing pressure in Hong Kong. We also provide implications of these projections for other Asian societies in similar situations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The decline in inter-generational solidarity as a result of socio-structural processes such as modernisation, globalisation and migration have made older persons in many African countries increasingly vulnerable. The aim of this study was to gain an in-depth understanding of the challenges faced by older persons in Lesotho and how to address them. The study adopted a qualitative approach, while snowball and purposive sampling were employed to recruit older persons and social workers, respectively, for the study. Data were collected by means of semistructured interviews. Poverty, food insecurity and ageism were found to be the major challenges faced by the older persons. Although eligible older persons receive old age pensions or public assistance, these are not effective in addressing poverty. Social workers should embrace the developmental approach, which involves advocacy, the implementation of income-generating projects, building assets for the poor, and productive employment to create opportunities for the long-term social security for older persons. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

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Purpose: Population ageing is a demographic transition and burdens every country's health sector. A lack of social security combined with low government health-sector spending has made health-care utilisation difficult among elderly in many developing countries like India. This makes population ageing a global phenomenon for policymakers, researchers and stakeholders to discuss and debate in 21st century. The purpose of this paper is to examine the behavioural determinants of health-care utilisation among elderly population in Punjab. Design/methodology/approach: This study examines health-care utilisation among the elderly population in Punjab. A structured questionnaire was used to collect the data in the state of Punjab, with a multi-stage stratified random sample of 385 respondents. Logit regression was used to analyse the association between several behavioural factors like age, gender, place of residence, source of livelihood, education and frequency of visits with health-care utilisation among elderly aged 60 and above. Findings: This study revealed that gender, age, place of residence, source of livelihood, education and frequency of visits were significant determinants of health-care utilisation among elderly population. Originality/value: This study directs the need to improve health-care utilisation in a country, reducing inequalities that exist among the elderly population with respect to socio-economic and demographic differences. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Research background: Population ageing is becoming a significant factor influencing technological innovation and the transformation of industrial models worldwide. However, labour supply shortages due to an aging population have led to a greater number of older workers within society. Purpose of the article: The aim of the paper is to define theoretical approaches and options for addressing the population ageing impact on the labour market with a focus on the industrial sector. The study examines the ageing Slovakian population demographic trend, the size of the labour force and labour force projections, all with a focus on the industrial sector of the Slovak Republic. Methods: To meet the objective, many statistical methods have been used to investigate ageing and the workforce size and structure in the industry sector. The Dynamic Economic and Reproductive Ageing Index methods were used to examine population ageing, the workforce and its volume, providing information on the dynamics of ageing in the Slovak Republic. Other methods used are the Labour Inflow, Outflow and Replacement Coefficient. They inform about the reproductive replacement of the labour force, the productive component and the projected volume of the labour force in the future. More specific future volume projections of the labour force were found based on the Boersch-Supan model. Findings & Value added: The results suggest that the Slovak Republic is experiencing population ageing, the dynamics of ageing is accelerating, the burden on the productive component is increasing over time, the size of the industrial workforce is increasing at a low rate and the industrial sector does not show a need for a larger volume of additional labour in 2028. The increasing population share in the post-working age may lead to increased pressure on social and health systems and public finances. Slow growth in industrial workforce size may indicate a constraint in the competitiveness and innovation potential of industry. The absence of additional labour needs by 2028 may indicate that industry is able to use existing resources efficiently or that automated technologies are coming to the fore, which may reduce the need for manual human labour. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The COVID-19 epidemic caused an increase in excess deaths worldwide, most of which were in the elderly. This study aims to identify the impact of the COVID-19 epidemic on reducing the intensity of change in population aging between 2020 and 2022 in selected European countries. Time-series analysis methods with trend and seasonality are used to estimate excess deaths. The study found that of the nearly 1.5 million excess deaths observed between 2020 and 2022 in the 28 European countries analyzed, almost 93% of these were in people aged 60 years and older. The results of the study indicate that in some countries (mainly central and eastern Europe), the scale of deaths due to the COVID-19 epidemic was large enough to clearly inhibit the aging dynamics of their populations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

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Copyright of Precedente is the property of Universidad ICESI and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)