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BackgroundCirrhosis is a dynamic disease process leading to liver-related death, which has increased by over 65% over the last decade. Unpredictable hepatic decompensation complications are a major source of morbidity and mortality. Thus, accurately characterizing disease progression through discrete stages of cirrhosis is critical towards implementing timely intervention and liver transplant (LT) waitlisting.MethodsA retrospective, longitudinal, population-cohort study of adult patients with cirrhosis from a US metropolitan area (2006-2012) was conducted. Clinical diagnoses were defined by ICD-9 and CPT codes. Cirrhosis stages were defined as: compensated without portal hypertension (Stage 1), compensated with portal hypertension (Stage 2), variceal bleeding (Stage 3), hepatic encephalopathy (Stage 4a), ascites (Stage 4b), and ≥2 different decompensating complications (Stage 5). Multivariate Fine-Gray competing risk survival analysis adjusted for clinicodemographic covariates.ResultsAmong 12,196 patients with cirrhosis, the mean (±SD) age was 56.8 (±11.7) years with a follow-up time of 2.35 (±1.81) years. A novel 5-stage disease progression framework was used. The 1-year mortality rates for each stage were 7.3% for Stage 1, 5.4% for Stage 2, 11.4% for Stage 3, 10.0% for Stage 4a, 20.2% for Stage 4b, and 43.8% for Stage 5. Compared to those in Stage 1, Stage 3 (sHR:1.83, 95% CI:1.36-2.48, PConclusionEven among patients with compensated cirrhosis, the 1-year mortality rate was as high as 7.3% and subsequently increases with each decompensation complication. This one-year mortality rate is higher than 5-years mortality rate reported in previously known non-US studies. The highest associated risk of death was observed among patients with ≥2 different decompensating complications (95.2%), variceal bleeding (83.2%) and ascites (44.9%). Overall, patients in advanced stages of cirrhosis were more likely to die than they were to receive a LT, suggesting that patients should be referred and waitlisted for LT earlier in the disease process.

Purpose: As an alternative to radical cystectomy, tri-modality treatment (TMT) is an effective treatment approach for selected patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC). The purpose of this report is to contribute to the literature by summarizing institutional outcomes of a bladder-preserving TMT approach for patients with MIBC. Methods and Materials: Patients treated with TMT for MIBC from 1998 to 2019 were identified. Patient, disease, and treatment factors were recorded. Overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS), and bladder-preserved DFS were estimated with the Kaplan-Meier method. Prognostic factors were evaluated with Cox proportional hazards regression. Results: Thirty-two patients treated with TMT to a median dose of 64.8 Gy for T2 (78%), T3 (19%), and T4 (3%) disease were followed for a median of 19 months (mean, 36; range, 6-213); 31% had associated carcinoma in situ; 25% had associated hydronephrosis. Cisplatin was the most commonly used chemotherapeutic agent. OS rates were 84% at 1 year and 61% at 5 years. DFS rates were 84% and 61% and bladder-preserved DFS rates were 84% and 60% at 1 year and 5 years, respectively. Salvage cystectomy rates at 1 year and 5 years were 4% and 9%, respectively. Four patients had locally invasive recurrences at 8, 11, 34, and 37 months after initial MIBC diagnosis, 2 of whom underwent salvage radical cystectomy. Ten (31%) patients developed distant disease at a median of 13 months after diagnosis. Unlike local recurrence, distant recurrences were associated with worse OS and hazard ratios of 3.4 (P = 0.039). Conclusions: OS and DFS were comparable to those of published data. Our outcomes support TMT as an effective option for carefully selected patients with MIBC.