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Objectives. To assess the prevalences across Europe of radiological indices of degenerative inter-vertebral disc disease (DDD); and to quantify their associations with, age, sex, physical anthropometry, areal BMD (aBMD) and change in aBMD with time. Methods. In the population-based European Prospective Osteoporosis Study, 27 age-stratified samples of men and women from across the continent aged 50+ years had standardized lateral radiographs of the lumbar and thoracic spine to evaluate the severity of DDD, using the Kellgren-Lawrence (KL) scale. Measurements of anterior, mid-body and posterior vertebral heights on all assessed vertebrae from T4 to L4 were used to generate indices of end-plate curvature. Results. Images from 10 132 participants (56% female, mean age 63.9 years) passed quality checks. Overall, 47% of men and women had DDD grade 3 or more in the lumbar spine and 36% in both thoracic and lumbar spine. Risk ratios for DDD grades 3 and 4, adjusted for age and anthropometric determinants, varied across a three-fold range between centres, yet prevalences were highly correlated in men and women. DDD was associated with flattened, non-ovoid inter-vertebral disc spaces. KL grade 4 and loss of inter-vertebral disc space were associated with higher spine aBMD. Conclusion. KL grades 3 and 4 are often used clinically to categorize radiological DDD. Highly variable European prevalences of radiologically defined DDD grades 3+ along with the large effects of age may have growing and geographically unequal health and economic impacts as the population ages. These data encourage further studies of potential genetic and environmental causes. © The Author 2017. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the British Society for Rheumatology. All rights reserved.

More severe vertebral fractures have more personal impact. In the European Prospective Osteoporosis Study, more severe vertebral collapse was predictable from prior fracture characteristics. Subjects with bi-concave or crush fractures at baseline had a 2-fold increase in incident fracture size and thus increased risk of a disabling future fracture. Introduction: According to Euler's buckling theory, loss of horizontal trabeculae in vertebrae increases the risk of fracture and suggests that the extent of vertebral collapse will be increased in proportion. We tested the hypothesis that the characteristics of a baseline deformity would influence the size of a subsequent deformity. Methods: In 207 subjects participating in the European Prospective Osteoporosis Study who suffered an incident spine fracture in a previously normal vertebra, we estimated loss of volume (fracture size) from plane film images of all vertebral bodies that were classified as having a new fracture. The sum of the three vertebral heights (anterior, mid-body, and posterior) obtained at follow-up was subtracted from the sum of the same measures at baseline. Each of the summed height loss for vertebrae with a McCloskey-Kanis deformity on the second film was expressed as a percentage. Results and Conclusions: In univariate models, the numbers of baseline deformities and the clinical category of the most severe baseline deformity were each significantly associated with the size of the most severe incident fracture and with the cumulated sum of all vertebral height losses. In multivariate modeling, age and the clinical category of the baseline deformity (crush > bi-concave > uni-concave > wedge) were the strongest determinants of both more severe and cumulative height loss. Baseline biconcave and crush fractures were associated at follow-up with new fractures that were approximately twice as large as those seen with other types of deformity or who previously had undeformed spines. In conclusion, the characteristics of a baseline vertebral deformity determines statistically the magnitude of vertebral body volume lost when a subsequent fracture occurs. Because severity of fracture and number of fractures are determinants of impact, the results should improve prediction of the future personal impact of osteoporosis once a baseline prevalent deformity has been identified.

Summary: In 27 centres across Europe, the prevalence of deforming spinal Scheuermann’s disease in age-stratified population-based samples of over 10,000 men and women aged 50+ averaged 8 % in each sex, but was highly variable between centres. Low DXA BMD was un-associated with Scheuermann’s, helping the differential diagnosis from osteoporosis. Introduction: This study aims to assess the prevalence of Scheuermann’s disease of the spine across Europe in men and women over 50 years of age, to quantitate its association with bone mineral density (BMD) and to assess its role as a confounder for the radiographic diagnosis of osteoporotic fracture. Methods: In 27 centres participating in the population-based European Vertebral Osteoporosis Study (EVOS), standardised lateral radiographs of the lumbar and of the thoracic spine from T4 to L4 were assessed in all those of adequate quality. The presence of Scheuermann’s disease, a confounder for prevalent fracture in later life, was defined by the presence of at least one Schmorl’s node or irregular endplate together with kyphosis (sagittal Cobb angle >40° between T4 and T12) or a wedged-shaped vertebral body. Alternatively, the (rare) Edgren-Vaino sign was taken as diagnostic. The 6-point-per-vertebral-body (13 vertebrae) method was used to assess osteoporotic vertebral shape and fracture caseness. DXA BMD of the L2–L4 and femoral neck regions was measured in subsets. We also assessed the presence of Scheuermann’s by alternative published algorithms when these used the radiographic signs we assessed. Results: Vertebral radiographic images from 4486 men and 5655 women passed all quality checks. Prevalence of Scheuermann’s varied considerably between centres, and based on random effect modelling, the overall European prevalence using our method was 8 % with no significant difference between sexes. The highest prevalences were seen in Germany, Sweden, the UK and France and low prevalences were seen in Hungary, Poland and Slovakia. Centre-level prevalences in men and women were highly correlated. Scheuermann’s was not associated with BMD of the spine or hip. Conclusions: Since most of the variation in population impact of Scheuermann’s was unaccounted for by the radiological and anthropometric data, the search for new genetic and environmental determinants of this disease is encouraged. © 2015, International Osteoporosis Foundation and National Osteoporosis Foundation.

Risk factors for Colles' fracture in men and women: results from the European Prospective Osteoporosis Study

There are few data exploring clustering of osteoporotic fractures within families. The aim of this study was to determine the influence of maternal and paternal history of hip fracture on the risk of vertebral deformity. 12,816 men and women aged 50 to 75 years were recruited from population based sampling frames across Europe. Subjects were invited to attend by letter of invitation for an interviewer administered questionnaire and lateral spinal radiographs. Vertebral deformity was defined morphometrically using the McCloskey-Kanis method. 6.4% of men and 7.1% of women reported that their mother had suffered a hip fracture, while 1.7% of both men and women reported that their father had suffered a hip fracture. A maternal history of hip fracture was associated with a modest increased risk of vertebral deformity in men [odds ratio (OR) 1.3, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.0-1.8], the risk being greater among those aged 65 years and over (OR = 1.5; 95% CI 1.0-2.4) and in those from low prevalence areas. There was no increased risk in women. Paternal history of hip fracture was not associated with vertebral deformity in either sex. In conclusion, maternal history of hip fracture appears to be a risk factor for vertebral deformity, particularly in men.

Lean body stature and tallness have both been identified as risk factors for hip fracture. In this study, height and weight data from a multinational multicenter study were used' to compare Oslo, which has some of the highest incidence rates of hip fracture ever reported, to other regions of Europe, with respect to height and body mass index. More than 17, 000 subjects in six age strata (50–54, 55–59, 60–64, 65–69, 70–74, 75+ years) from 36 centers in 19 European countries were enrolled in the European Vertebral Osteoporosis Study (EVOS), which included standardized height and weight measurements. We found that men in Oslo were 4.3 cm taller than men in western Europe, 5.0 cm taller than men in eastern Europe, and 8.6 cm taller than men in southern Europe. Oslo women were also taller, by 2.2 cm compared to women in western Europe, 2.7 cm compared to women in eastern Europe, and 5.2 cm compared to women in southern Europe. In all age groups, except women aged 55–59 years, mean body mass index (BMI) was lowest in Oslo. Nearly twice as many had a BMI less than 22.0 kg/m2 in Oslo compared to the other regions combined (11.1% vs. 6.6% in men and 19.2% vs. 9.9% in women). This study indicates that the people of Oslo are taller and leaner than people in other regions of Europe. This may in part explain the higher incidence of hip fracture in the population of Oslo.

Survey response rates: national and regional differences in a European multicentre study of vertebral osteoporosis

Study Design. Cross-sectional survey with personal interviews. Objective. To study national differences in subjective health, back pain, and self-perceived disability between the United Kingdom and Germany. Summary of Background Data. Back pain is a leading health problem in most Western populations, causing enormous costs to the national health systems. Different prevalence rates were reported from many countries, but rarely as a result of a direct comparison based on an identical study design. Methods. A total of 6,235 male and female participants 50 to 79 years of age (population-based stratified random samples) were recruited in 6 British and 8 German study centers. The interviewer administered standardized questionnaire included a section about presence and severity of back pain. Results. Past and current back pain was more frequent among German participants and different between East and West German centers. The differences in back pain prevalence rates could not be explained by less favorable risk profiles among German respondents. Conclusions. Intercultural differences in perceiving or reporting back pain can be hypothesized as the most likely explanation of the markedly different prevalence rates of the disorder in the United Kingdom and East and West Germany.

Vertebral fractures are associated with back pain and disability. There are, however, few prospective data looking at back pain and disability following identification of radiographic vertebral fracture. The aim of this analysis was to determine the impact of radiographically identified vertebral fracture on the subsequent occurrence of back pain and disability. Women aged 50 years and over were recruited from population registers in 18 European centers for participation in the European Prospective Osteoporosis Study. Participants completed an interviewer-administered questionnaire which included questions about back pain in the past year and various activities of daily living, and they had lateral spine radiographs performed. Participants in these centers were followed prospectively and had repeat spine radiographs performed a mean of 3.7 years later. In addition they completed a questionnaire with the same baseline questions concerning back pain and activities of daily living. The presence of prevalent and incident vertebral fracture was defined using established morphometric criteria. The data were analyzed using logistic regression with back pain or disability (present or absent) at follow-up as the outcome variable with adjustment made for the baseline value of the variable. The study included 2,260 women, mean age 62.2 years. The mean time between baseline and follow-up survey was 5.0 years. Two hundred and forty participants had prevalent fractures at the baseline survey, and 85 developed incident fractures during follow-up. After adjustment for age, center, and the baseline level of disability, compared with those without baseline prevalent fracture, those with a prevalent fracture (odds ratio [OR]=1.4; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.0 to 2.0) or an incident fracture (OR=1.7; 95% CI, 0.9 to 3.2) were more likely to report disability at follow-up, though the confidence intervals embraced unity. Those with both a prevalent and incident fracture, however, were significantly more likely to report disability at follow-up (OR=3.1; 95% CI, 1.4 to 7.0). After adjustment for age, center, and frequency of back pain at baseline, compared with those without baseline vertebral fracture, those with a prevalent fracture were no more likely to report back pain at follow-up (OR=1.2; 95%CI, 0.8 to 1.7). There was a small increased risk among those with a preexisting fracture who had sustained an incident fracture during follow-up (OR=1.6; 95%CI, 0.6 to 4.1) though the confidence intervals embraced unity. In conclusion, although there was no significant increase in the level of back pain an average of 5 years following identification of radiographic vertebral fracture, women who suffered a further fracture during follow-up experienced substantial levels of disability with impairment in key physical functions of independent living.

The presence of a prevalent vertebral deformity increases the risk of a future vertebral fracture. The aim of this study was to determine whether certain characteristics of the prevalent deformity, including its shape and location in the spine, influenced this effect. The 3100 men and 3500 women who took part in this analysis were recruited from population registers for participation in the European Prospective Osteoporosis Study (EPOS). Subjects had lateral thoracic and lumbar spine x-rays at baseline, and again after a mean interval of 3.8 years. Prevalent morphometric vertebral deformities on the baseline film were identified by the McCloskey-Kanis method. Incident fractures were defined as vertebrae that also satisfied the McCloskey-Kanis criterion for prevalent deformities on the follow-up film, and in addition had at least one height (anterior, mid, or posterior) which had reduced by at least 20% between films. Poisson regression was used to assess the association between various characteristics of the prevalent deformity and the risk of an incident vertebral fracture, with generalised estimating equations used to allow for the fact that each subject contributed several vertebrae to the analysis. The risk of an incident fracture increased with the number of prevalent deformities: relative risk (RR) for one prevalent deformity 3.2 (95% confidence interval (CI); 2.1, 4.8); 9.8 (95% CI;6.1, 15.8) for 2; and 23.3 (95% CI;15.3, 35.4) for 3 or more. Relative risks differed significantly according to the shape of the prevalent deformity, ranging from 5.9 (95% CI; 4.1, 8.6) if the anterior and mid heights were reduced to 1.6 (95% CI;0.8, 3.2) if the posterior and mid heights were reduced. Risks varied also according to the severity of the deformity. There were fivefold differences in relative risk of incident fracture depending on the location of the prevalent deformity within the spine. Compared to vertebrae in subjects with no deformities at baseline, the relative risk of an incident fracture within three vertebrae of a prevalent deformity was greater (7.7 (95% CI;5.6, 10.5)) than the risk in more distant vertebrae (4.0 (95% CI;2.6, 6.0)). In summary, the risk of a subsequent vertebral fracture in individuals with preexisting deformities is importantly influenced by the characteristics of these deformities. © 2003 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

The aim of this analysis was to determine the influence of lifestyle, anthropometric and reproductive factors on the subsequent risk of incident vertebral fracture in men and women aged 50-79 years. Subjects were recruited from population registers from 28 centers across Europe. At baseline, they completed an interviewer-administered questionnaire and had lateral thoraco-lumbar spine radiographs performed. Repeat spinal radiographs were performed a mean of 3.8 years later. Incident vertebral fractures were defined morphometrically and also qualitatively by an experienced radiologist. Poisson regression was used to determine the influence of the baseline risk factor variables on the occurrence of incident vertebral fracture. A total of 3173 men (mean age 63.1 years) and 3402 women (mean age 62.2 years) contributed data to the analysis. In total there were 193 incident morphometric and 224 qualitative fractures. In women, an age at menarche 16 years or older was associated with an increased risk of vertebral fracture (RR = 1.80; 95%CI 1.24, 2.63), whilst use of hormonal replacement was protective (RR=0.58; 95%CI 0.34, 0.99). None of the lifestyle factors studied including smoking, alcohol intake, physical activity or milk consumption showed any consistent associations with incident vertebral fracture. In men and women, increasing body weight and body mass index were associated with a reduced risk of vertebral fracture though, apart from body mass index in men, the confidence intervals embraced unity. For most variables the strengths of the associations observed were similar using the qualitative and morphometric approaches to fracture definition. In conclusion our data suggest that modification of other lifestyle risk factors is unlikely to have a major impact on the population occurrence of vertebral fractures. The important biological mechanisms underlying vertebral fracture risk need to be explored using new investigational strategies.

The aim of this population-based prospective study was to determine the incidence of limb fracture by site and gender in different regions of Europe. Men and women aged 50-79 years were recruited from population registers in 31 European centers. Subjects were invited to attend for an interviewer-administered questionnaire and lateral spinal radiographs. Subjects were subsequently followed up using an annual postal questionnaire which included questions concerning the occurrence of new fractures. Self-reported fractures were confirmed where possible by radiograph, attending physician or subject interview. There were 6451 men and 6936 women followed for a median of 3.0 years. During this time there were 140 incident limb fractures in men and 391 in women. The age-adjusted incidence of any limb fracture was 7,3/1000 person-years [pyrs] in men and 19 per 1000 pyrs in women, equivalent to a 2,5 times excess in women. Among women, the incidence of hip, humerus and distal forearm fracture, though not ‘other’ limb fracture, increased with age, while in men only the incidence of hip and humerus fracture increased with age. Among women, there was evidence of significant variation in the occurrence of hip, distal forearm and humerus fractures across Europe, with incidence rates higher in Scandinavia than in other European regions. though for distal forearm fracture the incidence in east Europe was similar to that observed in Scandinavia. Among men, there was no evidence of significant geographic variation in the occurrence of these fractures. This is the first large population-based study to characterize the incidence of limb fracture in men and women over 50 years of age across Europe. There are substantial differences in the descriptive epidemiology of limb fracture by region and gender.

Objective - Vertebral deformity is associated with back pain and disability. The aim of tiffs analysis was to determine whether location within the spine influences the strength of association between vertebral deformity, back pain and disability. Methods - Men and women aged 50 years and over were recruited from population registers in 30 European centres. Subjects were invited for an interviewer administered questionnaire, and for lateral spinal radiographs. The questionnaire included questions about back pain, general health and functional ability. The spinal radiographs were evaluated morphometrically and vertebral deformity defined according to the McGloskey-Kanis method. Results - 756 (11.7%) men and 885 (11.8%) women had evidence of one or more vertebral deformities. Among women with a single deformity, after adjusting for age and centre, those with a lumbar deformity were more likely than those with a thoracic deformity to report back pain, both currently (OR = 1.4; 95% CI 1.0, 2.0) and in the past year (OR = 1.5; 95% CI 1.0, 2.3). No association was observed in men. Among women with two deformities, those with adjacent deformities were more likely than those with non-adjacent deformities to report poor general health (OR = 2.2; 95%CI 0.9, 5.6), impaired functional ability (OR = 1.9; 95%CI 0.8, 4.7) and current back pain (OR = 2.1; 95%CI 0.9, 4.9), though none of these associations were statistically significant. By contrast, among men, non-adjacent deformities were associated with impaired functional ability compared with those with adjacent deformities. Conclusions - Location within the spine influences the strength of association between self reported health factors and vertebral deformity.

In population-based studies of osteoporosis, ascertainment of fractures is typically based on self-report, with subsequent verification by medical records. The aim of this analysis was to assess the validity of self-report of incident nonspine fractures using a postal questionnaire. The degree of overreporting of fracture (false positives) was assessed by comparing self-reports of new fracture from respondents in the multicenter European Prospective Osteoporosis Study with data from other sources including radiographs and medical records. In the analysis, 563 subjects reported nonspine fractures. Verification of the presence of fracture was possible in 510 subjects. Of these, fractures were not confirmed in 11% (false positives). The percentage of false positives was greater in men than in women (15% vs 9%, p = 0.04), and less for fractures of the distal forearm and hip than for fractures at other sites. In a separate study, the degree of underreporting (false negatives) was assessed by follow-up of 251 individuals with confirmed fracture ascertained from the records of fracture clinics in three European centers (Lubeck, Oviedo, Warsaw), Questionnaire responses were received from 174 (69%) subjects. Of these, 12 (7%) did not recall sustaining a fracture (false negatives). The percentage of false negatives was lower for hip and distal forearm fractures with only 3 of 90 (3%) such fractures not recalled. Using the combined data from both studies, of those who reported a 'date' of fracture on the questionnaire, 91% of subjects were correct to within 1 month of the actual date of the fracture. A postal questionnaire is a relatively simple and accurate method for obtaining information about the occurrence of hip and distal forearm fractures, including their timing. Accuracy of ascertainment of fractures at other sites is less good and where possible self-reported fractures at such sites should be verified from other sources.

Vertebral deformity is the classical hallmark of osteoporosis. Three types of vertebral deformity are usually described: crush, wedge and biconcave deformities. However, there are few data concerning the descriptive epidemiology of the individual deformity types, and differences in their underlying pathogenesis and clinical impact remain uncertain. The aim of this study was to compare the epidemiological characteristics of the three types of vertebral deformity and to explore the relationships of the number and type of deformity with back pain and height loss. Age-stratified random samples of men and women aged 50 years and over were recruited from population registers in 30 European centers (EVOS study). Subjects were invited to attend for an interviewer-administered questionnaire and lateral spinal radiographs. The presence, type and number of vertebral deformities was determined using the McCloskey-Kanis algorithm. A total of 13,562 men and women were studied; mean age in men was 64.4 years (SD 8.5), and in women 63.8 years (SD 8.5 years). There was evidence of variation in the occurrence of wedge, crush and biconcave deformity by age, sex and vertebral level. Wedge deformities were the most frequent deformity and tended to cluster at the mid-thoracic and thoracolumbar regions of the spine in both men and women. Similar predilection for these sites was observed for crush and to a lesser extent biconcave deformities though this was much less marked than for wedge deformities. In both sexes the frequency of biconcave deformities was higher in the lumbar than the thoracic spine and unlike the other deformity types it did not decline in frequency at lower lumbar vertebral levels. The prevalence of all three types of vertebral deformity increased with age and was more marked in women. There were no important differences in the effect of age on the different deformity types. All types of deformity were associated with height loss, which was greatest for individuals with crush deformity. Back pain was also associated with all types of deformity. Overall, these results do not suggest important differences in pathophysiology between the three deformity types. Biomechanical factors appear to be important in determining their distribution within the spine. All deformity types are linked with adverse outcomes, though crush deformities showed greater height loss than the other deformity types.

Anthropometric measurements and vertebral deformities

The Prevalence of Vertebral Deformity in European Men and Women: The European Vertebral Osteoporosis Study