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In landslide susceptibility modeling, research has predominantly focused on predicting landslides by identifying predisposing factors, often using inventories primarily based on the highest points of landslide crowns. However, a significant challenge arises when the transported mass impacts human activities directly, typically occurring in the deposition areas of these phenomena. Therefore, identifying the terrain characteristics that facilitate the transport and deposition of displaced material in affected areas is equally crucial. This study aimed to evaluate the predictive capability of identifying where displaced material might be deposited by using different inventories of specific parts of a landslide, including the source area, intermediate area, and deposition area. A sample segmentation was conducted that included inventories of these distinct parts of the landslide in the hydrographic basin of Lake Ilopango, which experienced debris flows and debris floods triggered by heavy rainfall from Hurricane Ida in November 2009. Given the extensive variables extracted for this evaluation (20 variables), the Induced Smoothed (IS) version of the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) methodology was employed to determine the significance of each variable within the datasets. Additionally, the Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) algorithm was used for modeling. Our findings revealed that models developed using the deposition area dataset were more effective compared with those based on the source area dataset. Furthermore, the accuracy of models using deposition area data surpassed that of that using data from both the source and intermediate areas. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Deep-Seated Gravitational Slope Deformations (DSGSDs) are common in many geological environments, and due to their common limited displacement rate, they can remain unrecognized for a long time. Among the most significant events in Sicily is the Mt. San Calogero DSGSD. To contribute to a better understanding of its characteristics, including the geologic setting promoting its development, ongoing kinematics, and mechanism, a specific analysis was completed. In this paper, the results of this analysis, based on a three-folded strategy, are provided and interpreted in the context of DSGSD predisposing conditions and controlling factors. Especially, field observations associated to visual interpretation of aerial imagery were used for the identification and mapping of main geological features and landforms, high-resolution X-Band DInSAR data enabled researchers to fully characterize the deformational behavior of the slope, while a reduced complexity slope stability analysis allowed them to reconstruct the deep geometry of the DSGSD. Results from the analysis indicate that the DSGSD of Mt. San Calogero is composed of three blocks corresponding to fault-bounded tectonic elements and characterized by a specific kinematics and sensitivity to external forcing (i.e., rainfall), multiple landslides are associated to the DSGSD in the area and the deep geometry of the DSGSD is concave upward and resemble the characteristics of a rotational slide. The interpretation of the results suggests that the formation and the deformation of the Mt. San Calogero DSGSD are linked with the local and regional fault systems related to the Sicilian orogen, while shallow landslides are triggered, in clayey terrains, mostly by rainfalls. In addition, the integrated approach reveals that active tectonics and rainfalls in the San Calogero massive relief are the main driving forces of its different deformation behavior. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In recent decades, coastal erosion phenomena have increased due to climate change. The increased frequency and intensity of extreme events and the poor sediment supply by anthropized river basins (dams, river weirs, culverts, etc.) have a crucial role in coastal erosion. Therefore, an integrated analysis of coastal erosion is crucial to produce detailed and accurate coastal erosion vulnerability information to support mitigation strategies. This research aimed to assess the erosion vulnerability of the Sicilian coast, also including a validation procedure of the obtained scenario. The coastal vulnerability was computed by means of the CeVI (Coastal Erosion Vulnerability Index) approach, which considers physical indicators such as geomorphology and geology, coastal slope, sea storms, wave maxima energy flux and sediment supply to river mouths. Each indicator was quantified using indexes which were assessed considering transects orthogonal to the coastline in 2020. These transects were clustered inside natural compartments called littoral cells. Each cell was assumed to contain a complete cycle of sedimentation and not to have sediment exchange with the near cells. Physical parameters were identified to define a new erosion vulnerability index for the Sicilian coast. By using physical indexes (geological/geomorphological, erosion/sediment supply, sea storms, etc.), the CeVI was calculated both for each littoral cell and for the transects that fall into retreating/advancing coastal areas. The vulnerability index was then validated by comparing CeVI values and the coastline change over time. The validation study showed a direct link between the coastline retreat and high values of CeVI. The proposed method allowed for a detailed mapping of the Sicilian coastal vulnerability, and it will be useful for coastal erosion risk management purposes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A map derived by rockfall analysis at Mount Pellegrino is presented herein. The study area is affected by several phenomena of rockfall which caused numerous damage and a strong social and economic impact. Official reports and maps that give a general assessment of rockfall hazard are available in this respect, however, it would be advisable to provide a more specific cartographic support useful for land management and planning. The drafting of new maps showing the rockfall runout areas is an additional tool that may be used in conjunction with the existing maps as a means of risk mitigation and reduction. On the basis of geological, geomorphological, and geomechanical analysis and exploiting the information relating to a landslides inventory obtained by using both analytical and empirical methods, two different rockfall propagation areas were reconstructed. The final thematic map permit to appreciate the differences and similarities between the obtained runout areas. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In landslide susceptibility modeling, the selection of the mapping units is a very relevant topic both in terms of geomorphological adequacy and suitability of the models and final maps. In this paper, a test to integrate pixels and slope units is presented. MARS (Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines) modeling was applied to assess landslide susceptibility based on a 12 predictors and a 1608 cases database. A pixel-based model was prepared and the scores zoned into 10 different types of slope units, obtained by differently combining two half-basin (HB) and four landform classification (LCL) coverages. The predictive performance of the 10 models were then compared to select the best performing one, whose prediction image was finally modified to consider also the propagation stage. The results attest integrating HB with LCL as more performing than using simple HB classification, with a very limited loss in predictive performance with respect to the pixel-based model. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Beaches responses to storms, as well as their potential adaptation to the foreseeable sea level rise (SLR), were investigated along three beaches in a coastal tract in western Sardinia (Western Mediterranean Sea). The grain size of the sediments, the beach profile variability and the wave climate were analyzed in order to relate morphological changes, geological inheritances and waves forcing. Multibeam, single-beam and lidar data were used to characterize the inner shelf morphologies and to reproduce the flooding due to the SLR. The studied beaches experienced major changes when consecutive storms, rather than singles ones, occurred along the coastline. The sediment availability, the grain size and the geomorphological structure of the beaches were the most important factors influencing the beach response. On the sediment-deprived coarse beaches the headlands favor the beach rotation, and the gravel barrier morphology can increase the resistance against storms. On the sediment-abundant beaches, the cross-shore sediment transport towards a submerged area leads to a lowering in the subaerial beach level and a contemporaneous shoreline retreat in response to storms. A very limited ingression of the sea is related to the SLR. This process may affect (i) the gravel barrier, promoting a roll over due to the increase in overwash; (ii) the embayed beach increasing its degree of embayment as headlands become more prominent, and (iii) the sediment-abundant beach with an erosion of the whole subaerial beach during storms, which can also involve the foredune area. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]