73 results on '"Rourke E"'
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2. CHANGES IN SARS-COV-2 ANTIBODY PREVALENCE IN PRIMARY AND SECONDARY SCHOOLS STUDENTS DURING THE EMERGENCE OF THE OMICRON VARIANT: THE UK SCHOOLS INFECTION SURVEYS
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Nguipdop-Djomo, P., primary, Lacey, A., additional, Poh, J., additional, Ireland, G., additional, McClenaghan, E., additional, Jones, P., additional, Dawe, F., additional, Rourke, E., additional, Ladhani, S., additional, and Mangtani, P., additional
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- 2023
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3. Antibody responses and correlates of protection in the general population after two doses of the ChAdOx1 or BNT162b2 vaccines
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Wei, J, Pouwels, K, Stoesser, N, Matthews, P, Diamond, I, Studley, R, Rourke, E, Cook, D, Bell, J, Newton, J, Farrar, J, Howarth, A, Marsden, B, Hoosdally, S, Jones, EY, Stuart, D, Crook, D, Peto, T, Walker, AS, Eyre, D, and team, COVID-19 Infection Survey
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General Medicine ,General Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology - Abstract
Antibody responses are an important part of immunity after Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccination. However, antibody trajectories and the associated duration of protection after a second vaccine dose remain unclear. In this study, we investigated anti-spike IgG antibody responses and correlates of protection after second doses of ChAdOx1 or BNT162b2 vaccines for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) in the United Kingdom general population. In 222,493 individuals, we found significant boosting of anti-spike IgG by the second doses of both vaccines in all ages and using different dosing intervals, including the 3-week interval for BNT162b2. After second vaccination, BNT162b2 generated higher peak levels than ChAdOX1. Older individuals and males had lower peak levels with BNT162b2 but not ChAdOx1, whereas declines were similar across ages and sexes with ChAdOX1 or BNT162b2. Prior infection significantly increased antibody peak level and half-life with both vaccines. Anti-spike IgG levels were associated with protection from infection after vaccination and, to an even greater degree, after prior infection. At least 67% protection against infection was estimated to last for 2–3 months after two ChAdOx1 doses, for 5–8 months after two BNT162b2 doses in those without prior infection and for 1–2 years for those unvaccinated after natural infection. A third booster dose might be needed, prioritized to ChAdOx1 recipients and those more clinically vulnerable.
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- 2022
4. Illness-course modulates suicidality-related prefrontal gray matter reduction in women with bipolar disorder
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Lijffijt, M., Rourke, E. D., Swann, A. C., Zunta-Soares, G. B., and Soares, J. C.
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- 2014
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5. Management and prevention of adverse effects related to treatment of liver tumours with 90Y microspheres
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Szyszko, Teresa, AL-Nahhas, Adil, Tait, Paul, Rubello, D., Canelo, Ruben, Habib, Nagy, Jiao, Long, Wasan, Harpreet, Bansi, D., Thillainayagam, A., Nijran, K., Stamp, G., and OʼRourke, E.
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- 2007
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6. Modelling the Global Ocean Circulation on the T3D
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Richmond, C.S., primary, Coward, A.C., additional, de Cuevas, B.A., additional, Rourke, E., additional, and Webb, D.J., additional
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- 1998
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7. Typology and distribution of small farms in Europe: Towards a better picture
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Universitat Politècnica de València. Departamento de Economía y Ciencias Sociales - Departament d'Economia i Ciències Socials, European Regional Development Fund, Estonian Ministry of Science and Education, Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia, Portugal, Guiomar, N., Godinho, S., Pinto-Correia, T., Almeida, M., Bartolini, F., Bezák, P., Biró, M., Bjørkhaug, H., Bojnec, S., Brunori, G., Corazzin, M., Czekaj, M., Davidova, S., Kania, J., Kristensen, S., Marraccinni, E., Molnár, Zs., Niedermayr, J., O Rourke, E., Ortiz Miranda, Dionisio, Redman, M., Sipiläinen, T., Wästfelt, A., Universitat Politècnica de València. Departamento de Economía y Ciencias Sociales - Departament d'Economia i Ciències Socials, European Regional Development Fund, Estonian Ministry of Science and Education, Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia, Portugal, Guiomar, N., Godinho, S., Pinto-Correia, T., Almeida, M., Bartolini, F., Bezák, P., Biró, M., Bjørkhaug, H., Bojnec, S., Brunori, G., Corazzin, M., Czekaj, M., Davidova, S., Kania, J., Kristensen, S., Marraccinni, E., Molnár, Zs., Niedermayr, J., O Rourke, E., Ortiz Miranda, Dionisio, Redman, M., Sipiläinen, T., and Wästfelt, A.
- Abstract
[EN] The contribution of small farms to local food supply, food security and food sovereignty is widely acknowledged at a global level. In the particular case of Europe, they often are seen as an alternative to large and specialised farms. Assessing the real role of small farms has been limited by a lack of information, as small farms are frequently omitted from agricultural censuses and national statistics. It is also well acknowledged that small farms differ widely, and are distributed according to different spatial patterns across Europe, fulfilling different roles according to the agriculture and territorial characteristics of each region. This paper presents the result of a novel classification of small farms at NUTS-3 level in Europe, according to the relevance of small farms in the agricultural and territorial context of each region, and based on a typology of small farms considering different dimensions of farm size. The maps presented result from an extensive data collection and variables selected according to European wide expert judgement, analysed with advanced cluster procedures. The results provide a fine grained picture of the role of small farms at the regional level in Europe today, and are expected to support further data analysis and targeted policy intervention.
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- 2018
8. One in three survivors of childhood meningitis is left with "hidden" after effects, study finds
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Rourke, E., primary
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- 2012
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9. Chronic recurrent multifocal osteomyelitis. Association with vertebra plana.
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Yu, L, Kasser, J R, OʼRourke, E, and Kozakewich, H
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- 1989
10. P11 CASE REPORT: HIGH VELOCITY GUNSHOT WOUNDS TO THE ABDOMEN: HAVE WE REACHED THE POST-SURGICAL ERA?
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O??Rourke, E., primary, Thakar, C., additional, Tibballs, J., additional, Gnansageran, G., additional, Buscombe, J.R., additional, Hilson, A.J.W., additional, and Rolles, K., additional
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- 2005
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11. A57 PET/CT IMAGING IN THE MANAGEMENT OF NON-SMALL CELL LUNG CARCINOMA IN CENTRES WITHOUT AN ON-SITE PET SERVICE. IS IT COST-EFFECTIVE?
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O??Rourke, E., primary, Gnansegaran, G., additional, Buscombe, J.R., additional, and Hilson, A.J.W., additional
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- 2005
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12. A3 DOES CARDIAC IMAGE QUALITY IMPROVE WHEN THE ADMINISTERED DOSE IS ADJUSTED ACCORDING TO PATIENT WEIGHT?
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O??Rourke, E., primary, Skopljak, A., additional, Rahman, M.L., additional, Win, Z., additional, Nijran, K.S., additional, and Al-Nahhas, A., additional
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- 2005
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13. A54 BREMSSTRAHLUNG IMAGING AFTER INTRA-ARTERIAL 90Y LANREOTIDE RADIONUCLIDE THERAPY FOR CARCINOID LIVER METASTASES
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Gnanasegaran, G., primary, Buscombe, J.R., additional, O??Rourke, E., additional, Caplin, M.E., additional, Purfield, D., additional, and Hilson, A.J.W., additional
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- 2005
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14. A22 RADIATION PROTECTION IN 90Y MICRO-SPHERE TREATMENTS: ARE WE DOING ENOUGH?
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Towey, D.J., primary, Athanasiou, C., additional, O??Rourke, E., additional, Rahman, M.L., additional, Tait, P., additional, AL-Nahhas, A., additional, and Nijran, K.S., additional
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- 2005
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15. A6 SILENT MYOCARDIAL ISCHAEMIA IN FEMALE DIABETIC PATIENTS
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O??Rourke, E., primary, Gnansegaran, G., additional, Buscombe, J.R., additional, and Hilson, A.J.W., additional
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- 2005
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16. LXIV. A theoretical basis for the diffusion hygrometer.
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Spencer-Gregoby, H. and Rourke, E.
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- 1947
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17. A further analysis of the use of cytomegalovirus immune globulin in orthotopic liver transplant patients at risk for primary infection
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David Snydman, Werner, B. G., Dougherty, N. N., Griffith, J., Rohrer, R. H., Freeman, R., Jenkins, R., Lewis, W. D., O Rourke, E., Fawaz, K., Hoffman, M. A., Kaplan, M., Barefoot, L., Rubin, R. H., Dienstag, J. L., Doran, M., Vacanti, J., Hammer, S., and Martin, M.
18. Cytomegalovirus immune globulin prophylaxis in liver transplantation: A randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial
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David Snydman, Werner, B. G., Dougherty, N. N., Griffith, J., Rubin, R. H., Dienstag, J. L., Rohrer, R. H., Freeman, R., Jenkins, R., Lewis, W. D., Hammer, S., O Rourke, E., Grady, G. F., Fawaz, K., Kaplan, M. M., Hoffman, M. A., Katz, A. T., and Doran, M.
19. Use of ganciclovir plus cytomegalovirus immune globulin to treat CMV pneumonia in orthotopic liver transplant recipients
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George, M. J., David Snydman, Werner, B. G., Dougherty, N. N., Griffith, J., Rohrer, R. H., Freeman, R., Jenkins, R., Lewis, W. D., Fawaz, K., Hoffman, M. A., Kaplan, M., Gill, M., Rubin, R. H., Dienstag, J. L., Doran, M., O Rourke, E., Vacanti, J., and Hamener, S.
20. LXIV. A theoretical basis for the diffusion hygrometer
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Spencer-Gregoby, H., primary and Rourke, E., additional
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- 1947
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21. A New and Complete Near‐point Chart
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Rourke, E. V., primary
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- 1939
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22. Experimentation in children
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Rourke, E. J., primary
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- 1970
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23. Hygrometry
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Thomson, Garry, primary, Spencer-Gregory, H., additional, and Rourke, E., additional
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- 1959
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24. Étude IMPACT : caractéristiques des patients français atteints d'ostéogenèse imparfaite.
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Cohen-Solal, M., Van Welzenis, T., Lande Wekre, L., Westerheim, I., Raggio, C., Semler, O., Hart, T., Rourke, E., Prince, S., and Rauch, F.
- Abstract
Les caractéristiques des patients français atteints d'ostéogenèse imparfaite (OI) – une maladie héréditaire rare du tissu conjonctif – ne sont pas entièrement connues. L'étude IMPACT visait à quantifier le recours au système de soins des patients adultes atteints d'ostéogenèse imparfaite. L'étude IMPACT a été développée par la OI Federation Europe, la OI Foundation et un comité d'experts internationaux afin d'explorer l'impact clinique et économique de l'OI. L'enquête a été réalisée en ligne, de juillet à septembre 2021, auprès de patients adultes (≥ 18 ans), adolescents (12 à 17 ans), aidants (atteints ou pas d'OI) et de leur entourage. Cette analyse descriptive présente les résultats chez les adultes français atteints d'OI ayant répondu eux-mêmes à l'enquête. Parmi les 104 participants français, 88 étaient des adultes atteints d'OI, dont 13 également aidants ; 75,0 % étaient des femmes (âge moyen : 43,7 ans). Le type d'OI était de type 1 (27,3 %), de type 3 (11,4 %) ou de type 4 (2,3 %) et non connu dans 38,6 % des cas. La gravité de l'OI était évaluée comme légère, modérée ou sévère, respectivement dans 35,2 %, 44,3 % et 19,3 % des cas. Sur une période de 12 mois, les patients adultes ont déclaré avoir consulté : un kinésithérapeute (25,6 visites/patient), un médecin généraliste (5,2) et une infirmière (3,0). Le nombre moyen (écart-type : ET) de visites à l'hôpital était de 3,8 (6,6), aux urgences de 0,4 (1,0), et le nombre de nuits passées à l'hôpital ou dans un service de réadaptation, respectivement de 1,8 (11,1) et 1,5 (11,0). Les examens les plus fréquemment rapportés étaient les analyses de sang (moyenne : 2,3 ; ET = 3,1) et les radiographies (moyenne : 1,5 ; ET = 2,2). Le nombre moyen de scanners, DEXA, IRM et échographie, et d'examens audiologiques et urinaires était compris entre 0,2 et 0,8. Les chirurgies les plus fréquentes concernaient les réductions de fractures (moyenne 6,8 ; ET = 10,7) et la pose de matériel orthopédique (moyenne 3,2 ; ET = 3,3). L'échantillon des patients OI ayant participé en France était globalement similaire à la cohorte mondiale d'adultes dans l'étude IMPACT (n = 1440) en termes de types d'OI et de caractéristiques. Les données françaises reflètent les résultats globaux quant au besoin de soins multidisciplinaires, en particulier la kinésithérapie. Le nombre et l'éventail des examens ainsi que les interventions chirurgicales témoignent de l'ampleur des ressources mises en jeu pour la prise en charge globale des patients adultes atteints d'ostéogenèse imparfaite. L'étude IMPACT apporte les premières données descriptives concernant la prise en charge globale de la population adulte française atteinte d'ostéogenèse imparfaite, mettant en évidence le besoin de soins multidisciplinaires dans cette pathologie rare et hétérogène. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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25. Detecting changes in population trends in infection surveillance using community SARS-CoV-2 prevalence as an exemplar.
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Pritchard E, Vihta KD, Eyre DW, Hopkins S, Peto TEA, Matthews PC, Stoesser N, Studley R, Rourke E, Diamond I, Pouwels KB, Walker AS, and Infection Survey Team C
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- Humans, United Kingdom epidemiology, Prevalence, Male, Female, Adult, Population Surveillance methods, Middle Aged, Aged, COVID-19 epidemiology, SARS-CoV-2
- Abstract
Detecting and quantifying changes in the growth rates of infectious diseases is vital to informing public health strategy and can inform policymakers' rationale for implementing or continuing interventions aimed at reducing their impact. Substantial changes in SARS-CoV-2 prevalence with the emergence of variants have provided an opportunity to investigate different methods for doing this. We collected polymerase chain reaction (PCR) results from all participants in the United Kingdom's COVID-19 Infection Survey between August 1, 2020, and June 30, 2022. Change points for growth rates were identified using iterative sequential regression (ISR) and second derivatives of generalized additive models (GAMs). Consistency between methods and timeliness of detection were compared. Of 8 799 079 study visits, 147 278 (1.7%) were PCR-positive. Change points associated with the emergence of major variants were estimated to occur a median of 4 days earlier (IQR, 0-8) when using GAMs versus ISR. When estimating recent change points using successive data periods, 4 change points (4/96) identified by GAMs were not found when adding later data or by ISR. Change points were detected 3-5 weeks after they occurred under both methods but could be detected earlier within specific subgroups. Change points in growth rates of SARS-CoV-2 can be detected in near real time using ISR and second derivatives of GAMs. To increase certainty about changes in epidemic trajectories, both methods could be used in parallel., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health.)
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- 2024
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26. Research findings should be carefully communicated to reduce stigma associated with caesarean birth.
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Rourke E
- Abstract
Competing Interests: Competing interests: ER is a BMJ editor and was recently a clinical editor/deputy editor on BMJ Medicine.
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- 2024
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27. Nanopore sequencing of influenza A and B in Oxfordshire and the United Kingdom, 2022-23.
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Cane J, Sanderson N, Barnett S, Vaughan A, Pott M, Kapel N, Morgan M, Jesuthasan G, Samuel R, Ehsaan M, Boothe H, Haduli E, Studley R, Rourke E, Diamond I, Fowler T, Watson C, Stoesser N, Walker AS, Street T, and Eyre DW
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- Humans, United Kingdom epidemiology, Female, Male, Influenza A virus genetics, Influenza A virus classification, Influenza A virus isolation & purification, Adult, Middle Aged, Adolescent, Aged, Young Adult, Child, Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype genetics, Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype isolation & purification, Influenza A Virus, H3N2 Subtype genetics, Influenza A Virus, H3N2 Subtype isolation & purification, Influenza A Virus, H3N2 Subtype classification, Influenza, Human epidemiology, Influenza, Human virology, Nanopore Sequencing methods, Influenza B virus genetics, Influenza B virus isolation & purification, Influenza B virus classification
- Abstract
Objectives: We evaluated Nanopore sequencing for influenza surveillance., Methods: Influenza A and B PCR-positive samples from hospital patients in Oxfordshire, UK, and a UK-wide population survey from winter 2022-23 underwent Nanopore sequencing following targeted rt-PCR amplification., Results: From 941 infections, successful sequencing was achieved in 292/388 (75 %) available Oxfordshire samples: 231 (79 %) A/H3N2, 53 (18 %) A/H1N1, and 8 (3 %) B/Victoria and in 53/113 (47 %) UK-wide samples. Sequencing was more successful at lower Ct values. Most same-sample replicate sequences had identical haemagglutinin segments (124/141, 88 %); 36/39 (92 %) Illumina vs. Nanopore comparisons were identical, and 3 (8 %) differed by 1 variant. Comparison of Oxfordshire and UK-wide sequences showed frequent inter-regional transmission. Infections were closely-related to 2022-23 vaccine strains. Only one sample had a neuraminidase inhibitor resistance mutation. 849/941 (90 %) Oxfordshire infections were community-acquired. 63/88 (72 %) potentially healthcare-associated cases shared a hospital ward with ≥ 1 known infectious case. 33 epidemiologically-plausible transmission links had sequencing data for both source and recipient: 8 were within ≤ 5 SNPs, of these, 5 (63 %) involved potential sources that were also hospital-acquired., Conclusions: Nanopore influenza sequencing was reproducible and antiviral resistance rare. Inter-regional transmission was common; most infections were genomically similar. Hospital-acquired infections are likely an important source of nosocomial transmission and should be prioritised for infection prevention and control., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest No author has a conflict of interest to declare., (Copyright © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)
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- 2024
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28. SARS-CoV-2, influenza A/B and respiratory syncytial virus positivity and association with influenza-like illness and self-reported symptoms, over the 2022/23 winter season in the UK: a longitudinal surveillance cohort.
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Dietz E, Pritchard E, Pouwels K, Ehsaan M, Blake J, Gaughan C, Haduli E, Boothe H, Vihta KD, Peto T, Stoesser N, Matthews P, Taylor N, Diamond I, Studley R, Rourke E, Birrell P, De Angelis D, Fowler T, Watson C, Eyre D, House T, and Walker AS
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- Middle Aged, Humans, SARS-CoV-2, Seasons, Self Report, Respiratory Syncytial Viruses, United Kingdom, Influenza, Human epidemiology, COVID-19, Virus Diseases, Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections epidemiology
- Abstract
Background: Syndromic surveillance often relies on patients presenting to healthcare. Community cohorts, although more challenging to recruit, could provide additional population-wide insights, particularly with SARS-CoV-2 co-circulating with other respiratory viruses., Methods: We estimated the positivity and incidence of SARS-CoV-2, influenza A/B, and RSV, and trends in self-reported symptoms including influenza-like illness (ILI), over the 2022/23 winter season in a broadly representative UK community cohort (COVID-19 Infection Survey), using negative-binomial generalised additive models. We estimated associations between test positivity and each of the symptoms and influenza vaccination, using adjusted logistic and multinomial models., Results: Swabs taken at 32,937/1,352,979 (2.4%) assessments tested positive for SARS-CoV-2, 181/14,939 (1.2%) for RSV and 130/14,939 (0.9%) for influenza A/B, varying by age over time. Positivity and incidence peaks were earliest for RSV, then influenza A/B, then SARS-CoV-2, and were highest for RSV in the youngest and for SARS-CoV-2 in the oldest age groups. Many test positives did not report key symptoms: middle-aged participants were generally more symptomatic than older or younger participants, but still, only ~ 25% reported ILI-WHO and ~ 60% ILI-ECDC. Most symptomatic participants did not test positive for any of the three viruses. Influenza A/B-positivity was lower in participants reporting influenza vaccination in the current and previous seasons (odds ratio = 0.55 (95% CI 0.32, 0.95)) versus neither season., Conclusions: Symptom profiles varied little by aetiology, making distinguishing SARS-CoV-2, influenza and RSV using symptoms challenging. Most symptoms were not explained by these viruses, indicating the importance of other pathogens in syndromic surveillance. Influenza vaccination was associated with lower rates of community influenza test positivity., (© 2024. The Author(s).)
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- 2024
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29. Prevalence of persistent SARS-CoV-2 in a large community surveillance study.
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Ghafari M, Hall M, Golubchik T, Ayoubkhani D, House T, MacIntyre-Cockett G, Fryer HR, Thomson L, Nurtay A, Kemp SA, Ferretti L, Buck D, Green A, Trebes A, Piazza P, Lonie LJ, Studley R, Rourke E, Smith DL, Bashton M, Nelson A, Crown M, McCann C, Young GR, Santos RAND, Richards Z, Tariq MA, Cahuantzi R, Barrett J, Fraser C, Bonsall D, Walker AS, and Lythgoe K
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- Humans, Amino Acid Substitution, Antibodies, Monoclonal immunology, Evolution, Molecular, Immunocompromised Host immunology, Mutation, Post-Acute COVID-19 Syndrome epidemiology, Post-Acute COVID-19 Syndrome virology, Prevalence, RNA, Viral analysis, RNA, Viral genetics, Selection, Genetic, Self Report, Time Factors, Viral Load, Virus Replication, COVID-19 epidemiology, COVID-19 virology, Health Surveys, Persistent Infection epidemiology, Persistent Infection virology, SARS-CoV-2 chemistry, SARS-CoV-2 classification, SARS-CoV-2 genetics, SARS-CoV-2 immunology, SARS-CoV-2 isolation & purification
- Abstract
Persistent SARS-CoV-2 infections may act as viral reservoirs that could seed future outbreaks
1-5 , give rise to highly divergent lineages6-8 and contribute to cases with post-acute COVID-19 sequelae (long COVID)9,10 . However, the population prevalence of persistent infections, their viral load kinetics and evolutionary dynamics over the course of infections remain largely unknown. Here, using viral sequence data collected as part of a national infection survey, we identified 381 individuals with SARS-CoV-2 RNA at high titre persisting for at least 30 days, of which 54 had viral RNA persisting at least 60 days. We refer to these as 'persistent infections' as available evidence suggests that they represent ongoing viral replication, although the persistence of non-replicating RNA cannot be ruled out in all. Individuals with persistent infection had more than 50% higher odds of self-reporting long COVID than individuals with non-persistent infection. We estimate that 0.1-0.5% of infections may become persistent with typically rebounding high viral loads and last for at least 60 days. In some individuals, we identified many viral amino acid substitutions, indicating periods of strong positive selection, whereas others had no consensus change in the sequences for prolonged periods, consistent with weak selection. Substitutions included mutations that are lineage defining for SARS-CoV-2 variants, at target sites for monoclonal antibodies and/or are commonly found in immunocompromised people11-14 . This work has profound implications for understanding and characterizing SARS-CoV-2 infection, epidemiology and evolution., (© 2024. The Author(s).)- Published
- 2024
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30. Lineage replacement and evolution captured by 3 years of the United Kingdom Coronavirus (COVID-19) Infection Survey.
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Lythgoe KA, Golubchik T, Hall M, House T, Cahuantzi R, MacIntyre-Cockett G, Fryer H, Thomson L, Nurtay A, Ghafani M, Buck D, Green A, Trebes A, Piazza P, Lonie LJ, Studley R, Rourke E, Smith D, Bashton M, Nelson A, Crown M, McCann C, Young GR, Andre Nunes Dos Santos R, Richards Z, Tariq A, Fraser C, Diamond I, Barrett J, Walker AS, and Bonsall D
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- Humans, SARS-CoV-2, United Kingdom epidemiology, Surveys and Questionnaires, COVID-19 epidemiology, Epidemics
- Abstract
The Office for National Statistics Coronavirus (COVID-19) Infection Survey (ONS-CIS) is the largest surveillance study of SARS-CoV-2 positivity in the community, and collected data on the United Kingdom (UK) epidemic from April 2020 until March 2023 before being paused. Here, we report on the epidemiological and evolutionary dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 determined by analysing the sequenced samples collected by the ONS-CIS during this period. We observed a series of sweeps or partial sweeps, with each sweeping lineage having a distinct growth advantage compared to their predecessors, although this was also accompanied by a gradual fall in average viral burdens from June 2021 to March 2023. The sweeps also generated an alternating pattern in which most samples had either S-gene target failure (SGTF) or non-SGTF over time. Evolution was characterized by steadily increasing divergence and diversity within lineages, but with step increases in divergence associated with each sweeping major lineage. This led to a faster overall rate of evolution when measured at the between-lineage level compared to within lineages, and fluctuating levels of diversity. These observations highlight the value of viral sequencing integrated into community surveillance studies to monitor the viral epidemiology and evolution of SARS-CoV-2, and potentially other pathogens.
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- 2023
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31. COVID-19 vaccination, risk-compensatory behaviours, and contacts in the UK.
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Buckell J, Jones J, Matthews PC, Diamond SI, Rourke E, Studley R, Cook D, Walker AS, and Pouwels KB
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- Humans, SARS-CoV-2, Vaccination, United Kingdom epidemiology, COVID-19 Vaccines adverse effects, COVID-19 epidemiology, COVID-19 prevention & control
- Abstract
The physiological effects of vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) are well documented, yet the behavioural effects not well known. Risk compensation suggests that gains in personal safety, as a result of vaccination, are offset by increases in risky behaviour, such as socialising, commuting and working outside the home. This is potentially important because transmission of SARS-CoV-2 is driven by contacts, which could be amplified by vaccine-related risk compensation. Here, we show that behaviours were overall unrelated to personal vaccination, but-adjusting for variation in mitigation policies-were responsive to the level of vaccination in the wider population: individuals in the UK were risk compensating when rates of vaccination were rising. This effect was observed across four nations of the UK, each of which varied policies autonomously., (© 2023. The Author(s).)
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- 2023
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32. Risk factors for SARS-CoV-2 infection in primary and secondary school students and staff in England in the 2020/2021 school year: a longitudinal study.
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Nguipdop-Djomo P, Oswald WE, Halliday KE, Cook S, Sturgess J, Sundaram N, Warren-Gash C, Fine PE, Glynn J, Allen E, Clark TG, Ford B, Judd A, Ireland G, Poh J, Bonell C, Dawe F, Rourke E, Diamond I, Ladhani SN, Langan SM, Hargreaves J, and Mangtani P
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- Humans, Longitudinal Studies, SARS-CoV-2, Risk Factors, England, Schools, Students, COVID-19
- Abstract
Objectives: Investigate risk factors for SARS-CoV-2 infections in school students and staff., Methods: In the 2020/2021 school year, we administered polymerase chain reaction, antibody tests, and questionnaires to a sample of primary and secondary school students and staff, with data linkage to COVID-19 surveillance. We fitted logistic regression models to identify the factors associated with infection., Results: We included 6799 students and 5090 staff in the autumn and 11,952 students and 4569 staff in the spring/summer terms. Infections in students in autumn 2020 were related to the percentage of students eligible for free school meals. We found no statistical association between infection risk in primary and secondary schools and reported contact patterns between students and staff in either period in our study. Using public transports was associated with increased risk in autumn in students (adjusted odds ratio = 1.72; 95% confidence interval 1.31-2.25) and staff. One or more infections in the same household during either period was the strongest risk factor for infection in students and more so among staff., Conclusion: Deprivation, community, and household factors were more strongly associated with infection than contacts patterns at school; this suggests that the additional school-based mitigation measures in England in 2020/2021 likely helped reduce transmission risk in schools., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors have no competing interests to declare., (Copyright © 2023 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)
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- 2023
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33. Assessment of contaminants of emerging concern in European apex predators and their prey by LC-QToF MS wide-scope target analysis.
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Gkotsis G, Nika MC, Nikolopoulou V, Alygizakis N, Bizani E, Aalizadeh R, Badry A, Chadwick E, Cincinelli A, Claßen D, Danielsson S, Dekker R, Duke G, Drost W, Glowacka N, Göckener B, Jansman HAH, Juergens M, Knopf B, Koschorreck J, Krone O, Martellini T, Movalli P, Persson S, Potter ED, Rohner S, Roos A, O' Rourke E, Siebert U, Treu G, van den Brink NW, Walker LA, Williams R, Slobodnik J, and Thomaidis NS
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- Europe, Mass Spectrometry
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Apex predators are good indicators of environmental pollution since they are relatively long-lived and their high trophic position and spatiotemporal exposure to chemicals provides insights into the persistent, bioaccumulative and toxic (PBT) properties of chemicals. Although monitoring data from apex predators can considerably support chemicals' management, there is a lack of pan-European studies, and longer-term monitoring of chemicals in organisms from higher trophic levels. The present study investigated the occurrence of contaminants of emerging concern (CECs) in 67 freshwater, marine and terrestrial apex predators and in freshwater and marine prey, gathered from four European countries. Generic sample preparation protocols for the extraction of CECs with a broad range of physicochemical properties and the purification of the extracts were used. The analysis was performed utilizing liquid (LC) chromatography coupled to high resolution mass spectrometry (HRMS), while the acquired chromatograms were screened for the presence of more than 2,200 CECs through wide-scope target analysis. In total, 145 CECs were determined in the apex predator and their prey samples belonging in different categories, such as pharmaceuticals, plant protection products, per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances, their metabolites and transformation products. Higher concentration levels were measured in predators compared to prey, suggesting that biomagnification of chemicals through the food chain occurs. The compounds were prioritized for further regulatory risk assessment based on their frequency of detection and their concentration levels. The majority of the prioritized CECs were lipophilic, although the presence of more polar contaminants should not be neglected. This indicates that holistic analytical approaches are required to fully characterize the chemical universe of biota samples. Therefore, the present survey is an attempt to systematically investigate the presence of thousands of chemicals at a European level, aiming to use these data for better chemicals management and contribute to EU Zero Pollution Ambition., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2022 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)
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- 2022
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34. The COVID-19 Schools Infection Survey in England: Protocol and Participation Profile for a Prospective Observational Cohort Study.
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Halliday KE, Nguipdop-Djomo P, Oswald WE, Sturgess J, Allen E, Sundaram N, Ireland G, Poh J, Ijaz S, Shute J, Diamond I, Rourke E, Dawe F, Judd A, Clark T, Edmunds WJ, Bonell C, Mangtani P, Ladhani SN, Langan SM, and Hargreaves J
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Background: One of the most debated questions in the COVID-19 pandemic has been the role of schools in SARS-CoV-2 transmission. The COVID-19 Schools Infection Survey (SIS) aims to provide much-needed evidence addressing this issue., Objective: We present the study protocol and participation profile for the SIS study, aimed at assessing the role of schools in SARS-CoV-2 infection and transmission within school settings, and investigating how transmission within and from schools could be mitigated through the implementation of school COVID-19 control measures., Methods: SIS was a multisite, prospective, observational cohort study conducted in a stratified random sample of primary and secondary schools in selected local authorities in England. A total of 6 biobehavioral surveys were planned among participating students and staff during the 2020-2021 academic year, between November 2020 and July 2021. Key measurements were SARS-CoV-2 virus prevalence, assessed by nasal swab polymerase chain reaction; anti-SARS-CoV-2 (nucleocapsid protein) antibody prevalence and conversion, assessed in finger-prick blood for staff and oral fluid for students; student and staff school attendance rates; feasibility and acceptability of school-level implementation of SARS-CoV-2 control measures; and investigation of selected school outbreaks. The study was approved by the United Kingdom Health Security Agency Research Support and Governance Office (NR0237) and London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine Ethics Review Committee (reference 22657)., Results: Data collection and laboratory analyses were completed by September 2021. A total of 22,585 individuals-1891 staff and 4654 students from 59 primary schools and 5852 staff and 10,188 students from 97 secondary schools-participated in at least one survey. Across all survey rounds, staff and student participation rates were 45.2% and 16.4%, respectively, in primary schools and 30% and 15.2%, respectively, in secondary schools. Although primary student participation increased over time, and secondary student participation remained reasonably consistent, staff participation declined across rounds, especially for secondary school staff (3165/7583, 41.7% in round 1 and 2290/10,374, 22.1% in round 6). Although staff participation overall was generally reflective of the eligible staff population, student participation was higher in schools with low absenteeism, a lower proportion of students eligible for free school meals, and from schools in the least deprived locations (in primary schools, 446/4654, 9.6% of participating students were from schools in the least deprived quintile compared with 1262/22,225, 5.7% of eligible students)., Conclusions: We outline the study design, methods, and participation, and reflect on the strengths of the SIS study as well as the practical challenges encountered and the strategies implemented to address these challenges. The SIS study, by measuring current and incident infection over time, alongside the implementation of control measures in schools across a range of settings in England, aims to inform national guidance and public health policy for educational settings., International Registered Report Identifier (irrid): RR1-10.2196/34075., (©Katherine E Halliday, Patrick Nguipdop-Djomo, William E Oswald, Joanna Sturgess, Elizabeth Allen, Neisha Sundaram, Georgina Ireland, John Poh, Samreen Ijaz, Justin Shute, Ian Diamond, Emma Rourke, Fiona Dawe, Alison Judd, Taane Clark, W John Edmunds, Chris Bonell, Punam Mangtani, Shamez N Ladhani, Sinéad M Langan, James Hargreaves, COVID-19 Schools Infection Survey Study Group. Originally published in JMIR Research Protocols (https://www.researchprotocols.org), 10.11.2022.)
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- 2022
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35. Epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2 infection among staff and students in a cohort of English primary and secondary schools during 2020-2021.
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Hargreaves JR, Langan SM, Oswald WE, Halliday KE, Sturgess J, Phelan J, Nguipdop-Djomo P, Ford B, Allen E, Sundaram N, Ireland G, Poh J, Ijaz S, Diamond I, Rourke E, Dawe F, Judd A, Warren-Gash C, Clark TG, Glynn JR, Edmunds WJ, Bonell C, Mangtani P, and Ladhani SN
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Background: There remains uncertainty about the epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2 among school students and staff and the extent to which non-pharmaceutical-interventions reduce the risk of school settings., Methods: We conducted an open cohort study in a sample of 59 primary and 97 secondary schools in 15 English local authority areas that were implementing government guidance to schools open during the pandemic. We estimated SARS-CoV-2 infection prevalence among those attending school, antibody prevalence, and antibody negative to positive conversion rates in staff and students over the school year (November 2020-July 2021)., Findings: 22,585 staff and students participated. SARS-CoV-2 infection prevalence among those attending school was highest during the first two rounds of testing in the autumn term, ranging from 0.7% (95% CI 0.2, 1.2) among primary staff in November 2020 to 1.6% (95% CI 0.9, 2.3) among secondary staff in December 2020. Antibody conversion rates were highest in the autumn term. Infection patterns were similar between staff and students, and between primary and secondary schools. The prevalence of nucleoprotein antibodies increased over the year and was lower among students than staff. SARS-CoV-2 infection prevalence in the North-West region was lower among secondary students attending school on normal school days than the regional estimate for secondary school-age children., Interpretation: SARS-CoV-2 infection prevalence in staff and students attending school varied with local community infection rates. Non-pharmaceutical interventions intended to prevent infected individuals attending school may have partially reduced the prevalence of infection among those on the school site., Funding: UK Department of Health and Social Care., Competing Interests: None declared., (Crown Copyright © 2022 Published by Elsevier Ltd.)
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- 2022
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36. Symptoms and Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Positivity in the General Population in the United Kingdom.
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Vihta KD, Pouwels KB, Peto TEA, Pritchard E, Eyre DW, House T, Gethings O, Studley R, Rourke E, Cook D, Diamond I, Crook D, Matthews PC, Stoesser N, and Walker AS
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- COVID-19 Testing, Fever etiology, Humans, United Kingdom epidemiology, COVID-19 diagnosis, COVID-19 epidemiology, SARS-CoV-2 genetics
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Background: "Classic" symptoms (cough, fever, loss of taste/smell) prompt severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) polymerase chain reaction (PCR) testing in the United Kingdom. Studies have assessed the ability of different symptoms to identify infection, but few have compared symptoms over time (reflecting variants) and by vaccination status., Methods: Using the COVID-19 Infection Survey, sampling households across the United Kingdom, we compared symptoms in PCR-positives vs PCR-negatives, evaluating sensitivity of combinations of 12 symptoms (percentage symptomatic PCR-positives reporting specific symptoms) and tests per case (TPC) (PCR-positives or PCR-negatives reporting specific symptoms/ PCR-positives reporting specific symptoms)., Results: Between April 2020 and August 2021, 27 869 SARS-CoV-2 PCR-positive episodes occurred in 27 692 participants (median 42 years), of whom 13 427 (48%) self-reported symptoms ("symptomatic PCR-positives"). The comparator comprised 3 806 692 test-negative visits (457 215 participants); 130 612 (3%) self-reported symptoms ("symptomatic PCR-negatives"). Symptom reporting in PCR-positives varied by age, sex, and ethnicity, and over time, reflecting changes in prevalence of viral variants, incidental changes (eg, seasonal pathogens (with sore throat increasing in PCR-positives and PCR-negatives from April 2021), schools reopening) and vaccination rollout. After May 2021 when Delta emerged, headache and fever substantially increased in PCR-positives, but not PCR-negatives. Sensitivity of symptom-based detection increased from 74% using "classic" symptoms, to 81% adding fatigue/weakness, and 90% including all 8 additional symptoms. However, this increased TPC from 4.6 to 5.3 to 8.7., Conclusions: Expanded symptom combinations may provide modest benefits for sensitivity of PCR-based case detection, but this will vary between settings and over time, and increases tests/case. Large-scale changes to targeted PCR-testing approaches require careful evaluation given substantial resource and infrastructure implications., (© The Author(s) 2021. Published by Oxford University Press for the Infectious Diseases Society of America.)
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- 2022
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37. Omicron-associated changes in SARS-CoV-2 symptoms in the United Kingdom.
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Vihta KD, Pouwels KB, Peto TE, Pritchard E, House T, Studley R, Rourke E, Cook D, Diamond I, Crook D, Clifton DA, Matthews PC, Stoesser N, Eyre DW, and Walker AS
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Background: The SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant has been replaced by the highly transmissible Omicron BA.1 variant, and subsequently by Omicron BA.2. It is important to understand how these changes in dominant variants affect reported symptoms, while also accounting for symptoms arising from other co-circulating respiratory viruses., Methods: In a nationally representative UK community study, the COVID-19 Infection Survey, we investigated symptoms in PCR-positive infection episodes vs. PCR-negative study visits over calendar time, by age and vaccination status, comparing periods when the Delta, Omicron BA.1 and BA.2 variants were dominant., Results: Between October-2020 and April-2022, 120,995 SARS-CoV-2 PCR-positive episodes occurred in 115,886 participants, with 70,683 (58%) reporting symptoms. The comparator comprised 4,766,366 PCR-negative study visits (483,894 participants); 203,422 (4%) reporting symptoms. Symptom reporting in PCR-positives varied over time, with a marked reduction in loss of taste/smell as Omicron BA.1 dominated, maintained with BA.2 (44%/45% 17 October 2021, 16%/13% 2 January 2022, 15%/12% 27 March 2022). Cough, fever, shortness of breath, myalgia, fatigue/weakness and headache also decreased after Omicron BA.1 dominated, but sore throat increased, the latter to a greater degree than concurrent increases in PCR-negatives. Fatigue/weakness increased again after BA.2 dominated, although to a similar degree to concurrent increases in PCR-negatives. Symptoms were consistently more common in adults aged 18-65 years than in children or older adults., Conclusions: Increases in sore throat (also common in the general community), and a marked reduction in loss of taste/smell, make Omicron harder to detect with symptom-based testing algorithms, with implications for institutional and national testing policies., (© The Author(s) 2022. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Infectious Diseases Society of America.)
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- 2022
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38. SARS-CoV-2 antibody trajectories after a single COVID-19 vaccination with and without prior infection.
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Wei J, Matthews PC, Stoesser N, Diamond I, Studley R, Rourke E, Cook D, Bell JI, Newton JN, Farrar J, Howarth A, Marsden BD, Hoosdally S, Jones EY, Stuart DI, Crook DW, Peto TEA, Walker AS, Eyre DW, and Pouwels KB
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- Adult, Antibodies, Viral, Antibody Formation, BNT162 Vaccine, COVID-19 Vaccines, Humans, SARS-CoV-2, Vaccination, COVID-19 prevention & control, Viral Vaccines
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Given high SARS-CoV-2 incidence, coupled with slow and inequitable vaccine roll-out in many settings, there is a need for evidence to underpin optimum vaccine deployment, aiming to maximise global population immunity. We evaluate whether a single vaccination in individuals who have already been infected with SARS-CoV-2 generates similar initial and subsequent antibody responses to two vaccinations in those without prior infection. We compared anti-spike IgG antibody responses after a single vaccination with ChAdOx1, BNT162b2, or mRNA-1273 SARS-CoV-2 vaccines in the COVID-19 Infection Survey in the UK general population. In 100,849 adults median (50 (IQR: 37-63) years) receiving at least one vaccination, 13,404 (13.3%) had serological/PCR evidence of prior infection. Prior infection significantly boosted antibody responses, producing higher peak levels and/or longer half-lives after one dose of all three vaccines than those without prior infection receiving one or two vaccinations. In those with prior infection, the median time above the positivity threshold was >1 year after the first vaccination. Single-dose vaccination targeted to those previously infected may provide at least as good protection to two-dose vaccination among those without previous infection., (© 2022. The Author(s).)
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- 2022
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39. Antibody responses and correlates of protection in the general population after two doses of the ChAdOx1 or BNT162b2 vaccines.
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Wei J, Pouwels KB, Stoesser N, Matthews PC, Diamond I, Studley R, Rourke E, Cook D, Bell JI, Newton JN, Farrar J, Howarth A, Marsden BD, Hoosdally S, Jones EY, Stuart DI, Crook DW, Peto TEA, Walker AS, and Eyre DW
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- Antibody Formation, BNT162 Vaccine, ChAdOx1 nCoV-19, Humans, Immunoglobulin G, Male, COVID-19 prevention & control, SARS-CoV-2
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Antibody responses are an important part of immunity after Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccination. However, antibody trajectories and the associated duration of protection after a second vaccine dose remain unclear. In this study, we investigated anti-spike IgG antibody responses and correlates of protection after second doses of ChAdOx1 or BNT162b2 vaccines for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) in the United Kingdom general population. In 222,493 individuals, we found significant boosting of anti-spike IgG by the second doses of both vaccines in all ages and using different dosing intervals, including the 3-week interval for BNT162b2. After second vaccination, BNT162b2 generated higher peak levels than ChAdOX1. Older individuals and males had lower peak levels with BNT162b2 but not ChAdOx1, whereas declines were similar across ages and sexes with ChAdOX1 or BNT162b2. Prior infection significantly increased antibody peak level and half-life with both vaccines. Anti-spike IgG levels were associated with protection from infection after vaccination and, to an even greater degree, after prior infection. At least 67% protection against infection was estimated to last for 2-3 months after two ChAdOx1 doses, for 5-8 months after two BNT162b2 doses in those without prior infection and for 1-2 years for those unvaccinated after natural infection. A third booster dose might be needed, prioritized to ChAdOx1 recipients and those more clinically vulnerable., (© 2022. The Author(s).)
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- 2022
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40. Secondary attack rates in primary and secondary school bubbles following a confirmed case: Active, prospective national surveillance, November to December 2020, England.
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Powell AA, Ireland G, Baawuah F, Beckmann J, Okike IO, Ahmad S, Garstang J, Brent AJ, Brent B, Aiano F, Hargreaves J, Langan SM, Mangtani P, Nguipdop-Djomo P, Sturgess J, Oswald W, Halliday K, Rourke E, Dawe F, Amin-Chowdhury Z, Kall M, Zambon M, Poh J, Ijaz S, Lackenby A, Elli J, Brown KE, Diamond SI, Ramsay ME, and Ladhani SN
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- Adolescent, Adult, Antibodies, Viral analysis, COVID-19 virology, Child, Contact Tracing, England epidemiology, Female, Humans, Incidence, Male, Nasopharynx virology, Prospective Studies, RNA, Viral analysis, RNA, Viral metabolism, Reverse Transcriptase Polymerase Chain Reaction, SARS-CoV-2 genetics, SARS-CoV-2 immunology, SARS-CoV-2 isolation & purification, Schools statistics & numerical data, Students statistics & numerical data, COVID-19 epidemiology, COVID-19 transmission
- Abstract
Background: Following the full re-opening of schools in England and emergence of the SARS-CoV-2 Alpha variant, we investigated the risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection in students and staff who were contacts of a confirmed case in a school bubble (school groupings with limited interactions), along with their household members., Methods: Primary and secondary school bubbles were recruited into sKIDsBUBBLE after being sent home to self-isolate following a confirmed case of COVID-19 in the bubble. Bubble participants and their household members were sent home-testing kits comprising nasal swabs for RT-PCR testing and whole genome sequencing, and oral fluid swabs for SARS-CoV-2 antibodies., Results: During November-December 2020, 14 bubbles were recruited from 7 schools, including 269 bubble contacts (248 students, 21 staff) and 823 household contacts (524 adults, 299 children). The secondary attack rate was 10.0% (6/60) in primary and 3.9% (4/102) in secondary school students, compared to 6.3% (1/16) and 0% (0/1) among staff, respectively. The incidence rate for household contacts of primary school students was 6.6% (12/183) and 3.7% (1/27) for household contacts of primary school staff. In secondary schools, this was 3.5% (11/317) and 0% (0/1), respectively. Household contacts were more likely to test positive if their bubble contact tested positive although there were new infections among household contacts of uninfected bubble contacts., Interpretation: Compared to other institutional settings, the overall risk of secondary infection in school bubbles and their household contacts was low. Our findings are important for developing evidence-based infection prevention guidelines for educational settings., Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.
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- 2022
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41. Monitoring populations at increased risk for SARS-CoV-2 infection in the community using population-level demographic and behavioural surveillance.
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Pritchard E, Jones J, Vihta KD, Stoesser N, Matthews PPC, Eyre DW, House T, Bell JI, Newton PJN, Farrar J, Crook PD, Hopkins S, Cook D, Rourke E, Studley R, Diamond PI, Peto PT, Pouwels KB, and Walker PAS
- Abstract
Background: The COVID-19 pandemic is rapidly evolving, with emerging variants and fluctuating control policies. Real-time population screening and identification of groups in whom positivity is highest could help monitor spread and inform public health messaging and strategy., Methods: To develop a real-time screening process, we included results from nose and throat swabs and questionnaires taken 19 July 2020-17 July 2021 in the UK's national COVID-19 Infection Survey. Fortnightly, associations between SARS-CoV-2 positivity and 60 demographic and behavioural characteristics were estimated using logistic regression models adjusted for potential confounders, considering multiple testing, collinearity, and reverse causality., Findings: Of 4,091,537 RT-PCR results from 482,677 individuals, 29,903 (0·73%) were positive. As positivity rose September-November 2020, rates were independently higher in younger ages, and those living in Northern England, major urban conurbations, more deprived areas, and larger households. Rates were also higher in those returning from abroad, and working in healthcare or outside of home. When positivity peaked December 2020-January 2021 (Alpha), high positivity shifted to southern geographical regions. With national vaccine roll-out from December 2020, positivity reduced in vaccinated individuals. Associations attenuated as rates decreased between February-May 2021. Rising positivity rates in June-July 2021 (Delta) were independently higher in younger, male, and unvaccinated groups. Few factors were consistently associated with positivity. 25/45 (56%) confirmed associations would have been detected later using 28-day rather than 14-day periods., Interpretation: Population-level demographic and behavioural surveillance can be a valuable tool in identifying the varying characteristics driving current SARS-CoV-2 positivity, allowing monitoring to inform public health policy., Funding: Department of Health and Social Care (UK), Welsh Government, Department of Health (on behalf of the Northern Ireland Government), Scottish Government, National Institute for Health Research., Competing Interests: DWE declares lecture fees from Gilead outside the submitted work. DC is a committee member for the International Development Section of the Royal Statistical Society, and a trustee for the Carers’ Hub Lambeth charity. No other author has a conflict of interest to declare., (© 2021 The Author(s).)
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- 2022
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42. Tracking the Emergence of SARS-CoV-2 Alpha Variant in the United Kingdom.
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Walker AS, Vihta KD, Gethings O, Pritchard E, Jones J, House T, Bell I, Bell JI, Newton JN, Farrar J, Diamond I, Studley R, Rourke E, Hay J, Hopkins S, Crook D, Peto T, Matthews PC, Eyre DW, Stoesser N, and Pouwels KB
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- COVID-19 epidemiology, COVID-19 transmission, Health Surveys, Humans, Longitudinal Studies, Polymerase Chain Reaction, Population Surveillance, United Kingdom epidemiology, COVID-19 virology, SARS-CoV-2 genetics
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- 2021
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43. In Clinical Care, What Will Amazon Deliver?
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Rourke E
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- Ambulatory Care, Humans, Telemedicine organization & administration, United States, Primary Health Care organization & administration, Private Sector
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- 2021
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44. Effect of Delta variant on viral burden and vaccine effectiveness against new SARS-CoV-2 infections in the UK.
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Pouwels KB, Pritchard E, Matthews PC, Stoesser N, Eyre DW, Vihta KD, House T, Hay J, Bell JI, Newton JN, Farrar J, Crook D, Cook D, Rourke E, Studley R, Peto TEA, Diamond I, and Walker AS
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- Adolescent, Adult, Antibodies, Neutralizing blood, Antibodies, Viral blood, COVID-19 immunology, Humans, Middle Aged, Polymerase Chain Reaction, United Kingdom epidemiology, Vaccination, Viral Load, Young Adult, BNT162 Vaccine immunology, COVID-19 epidemiology, COVID-19 prevention & control, ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 immunology, SARS-CoV-2 immunology, Vaccine Efficacy statistics & numerical data
- Abstract
The effectiveness of the BNT162b2 and ChAdOx1 vaccines against new severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infections requires continuous re-evaluation, given the increasingly dominant B.1.617.2 (Delta) variant. In this study, we investigated the effectiveness of these vaccines in a large, community-based survey of randomly selected households across the United Kingdom. We found that the effectiveness of BNT162b2 and ChAdOx1 against infections (new polymerase chain reaction (PCR)-positive cases) with symptoms or high viral burden is reduced with the B.1.617.2 variant (absolute difference of 10-13% for BNT162b2 and 16% for ChAdOx1) compared to the B.1.1.7 (Alpha) variant. The effectiveness of two doses remains at least as great as protection afforded by prior natural infection. The dynamics of immunity after second doses differed significantly between BNT162b2 and ChAdOx1, with greater initial effectiveness against new PCR-positive cases but faster declines in protection against high viral burden and symptomatic infection with BNT162b2. There was no evidence that effectiveness varied by dosing interval, but protection was higher in vaccinated individuals after a prior infection and in younger adults. With B.1.617.2, infections occurring after two vaccinations had similar peak viral burden as those in unvaccinated individuals. SARS-CoV-2 vaccination still reduces new infections, but effectiveness and attenuation of peak viral burden are reduced with B.1.617.2., (© 2021. The Author(s).)
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- 2021
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45. Anti-spike antibody response to natural SARS-CoV-2 infection in the general population.
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Wei J, Matthews PC, Stoesser N, Maddox T, Lorenzi L, Studley R, Bell JI, Newton JN, Farrar J, Diamond I, Rourke E, Howarth A, Marsden BD, Hoosdally S, Jones EY, Stuart DI, Crook DW, Peto TEA, Pouwels KB, Walker AS, and Eyre DW
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- Adult, Aged, Antibody Formation physiology, Bayes Theorem, Female, Humans, Immunoglobulin G metabolism, Male, Middle Aged, SARS-CoV-2 immunology, Antibodies, Viral immunology, Antibody Formation immunology, COVID-19 immunology, SARS-CoV-2 pathogenicity
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Understanding the trajectory, duration, and determinants of antibody responses after SARS-CoV-2 infection can inform subsequent protection and risk of reinfection, however large-scale representative studies are limited. Here we estimated antibody response after SARS-CoV-2 infection in the general population using representative data from 7,256 United Kingdom COVID-19 infection survey participants who had positive swab SARS-CoV-2 PCR tests from 26-April-2020 to 14-June-2021. A latent class model classified 24% of participants as 'non-responders' not developing anti-spike antibodies, who were older, had higher SARS-CoV-2 cycle threshold values during infection (i.e. lower viral burden), and less frequently reported any symptoms. Among those who seroconverted, using Bayesian linear mixed models, the estimated anti-spike IgG peak level was 7.3-fold higher than the level previously associated with 50% protection against reinfection, with higher peak levels in older participants and those of non-white ethnicity. The estimated anti-spike IgG half-life was 184 days, being longer in females and those of white ethnicity. We estimated antibody levels associated with protection against reinfection likely last 1.5-2 years on average, with levels associated with protection from severe infection present for several years. These estimates could inform planning for vaccination booster strategies., (© 2021. The Author(s).)
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- 2021
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46. Daily testing for contacts of individuals with SARS-CoV-2 infection and attendance and SARS-CoV-2 transmission in English secondary schools and colleges: an open-label, cluster-randomised trial.
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Young BC, Eyre DW, Kendrick S, White C, Smith S, Beveridge G, Nonnenmacher T, Ichofu F, Hillier J, Oakley S, Diamond I, Rourke E, Dawe F, Day I, Davies L, Staite P, Lacey A, McCrae J, Jones F, Kelly J, Bankiewicz U, Tunkel S, Ovens R, Chapman D, Bhalla V, Marks P, Hicks N, Fowler T, Hopkins S, Yardley L, and Peto TEA
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- Adolescent, Adult, Aged, COVID-19 prevention & control, COVID-19 transmission, COVID-19 Nucleic Acid Testing, COVID-19 Testing methods, Child, Educational Personnel, England, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, SARS-CoV-2, Young Adult, COVID-19 diagnosis, COVID-19 Serological Testing methods, Communicable Disease Control methods, Quarantine methods, Schools
- Abstract
Background: School-based COVID-19 contacts in England have been asked to self-isolate at home, missing key educational opportunities. We trialled daily testing of contacts as an alternative to assess whether this resulted in similar control of transmission, while allowing more school attendance., Methods: We did an open-label, cluster-randomised, controlled trial in secondary schools and further education colleges in England. Schools were randomly assigned (1:1) to self-isolation of school-based COVID-19 contacts for 10 days (control) or to voluntary daily lateral flow device (LFD) testing for 7 days with LFD-negative contacts remaining at school (intervention). Randomisation was stratified according to school type and size, presence of a sixth form, presence of residential students, and proportion of students eligible for free school meals. Group assignment was not masked during procedures or analysis. Coprimary outcomes in all students and staff were COVID-19-related school absence and symptomatic PCR-confirmed COVID-19, adjusted for community case rates, to estimate within-school transmission (non-inferiority margin <50% relative increase). Analyses were done on an intention-to-treat basis using quasi-Poisson regression, also estimating complier average causal effects (CACE). This trial is registered with the ISRCTN registry, ISRCTN18100261., Findings: Between March 18 and May 4, 2021, 204 schools were taken through the consent process, during which three decided not to participate further. 201 schools were randomly assigned (control group n=99, intervention group n=102) in the 10-week study (April 19-May 10, 2021), which continued until the pre-appointed stop date (June 27, 2021). 76 control group schools and 86 intervention group schools actively participated; additional national data allowed most non-participating schools to be included in analysis of coprimary outcomes. 2432 (42·4%) of 5763 intervention group contacts participated in daily contact testing. There were 657 symptomatic PCR-confirmed infections during 7 782 537 days-at-risk (59·1 per 100 000 per week) in the control group and 740 during 8 379 749 days-at-risk (61·8 per 100 000 per week) in the intervention group (intention-to-treat adjusted incidence rate ratio [aIRR] 0·96 [95% CI 0·75-1·22]; p=0·72; CACE aIRR 0·86 [0·55-1·34]). Among students and staff, there were 59 422 (1·62%) COVID-19-related absences during 3 659 017 person-school-days in the control group and 51 541 (1·34%) during 3 845 208 person-school-days in the intervention group (intention-to-treat aIRR 0·80 [95% CI 0·54-1·19]; p=0·27; CACE aIRR 0·61 [0·30-1·23])., Interpretation: Daily contact testing of school-based contacts was non-inferior to self-isolation for control of COVID-19 transmission, with similar rates of symptomatic infections among students and staff with both approaches. Infection rates in school-based contacts were low, with very few school contacts testing positive. Daily contact testing should be considered for implementation as a safe alternative to home isolation following school-based exposures., Funding: UK Government Department of Health and Social Care., Competing Interests: Declaration of interests DWE reports lecture fees from Gilead outside the submitted work. VB, RO, and DC are consultants employed by Department of Health and Social Care as part of Deloitte's broader project work supporting the delivery of NHS Test and Trace. TF reports honoraria from Qatar National Research Fund outside the submitted work. All other authors declare no competing interests., (Copyright © 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)
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- 2021
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47. Antibody responses to SARS-CoV-2 vaccines in 45,965 adults from the general population of the United Kingdom.
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Wei J, Stoesser N, Matthews PC, Ayoubkhani D, Studley R, Bell I, Bell JI, Newton JN, Farrar J, Diamond I, Rourke E, Howarth A, Marsden BD, Hoosdally S, Jones EY, Stuart DI, Crook DW, Peto TEA, Pouwels KB, Eyre DW, and Walker AS
- Subjects
- Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Antibodies, Viral, Antibody Formation, BNT162 Vaccine, COVID-19 prevention & control, COVID-19 virology, COVID-19 Vaccines administration & dosage, Child, Cohort Studies, Female, Humans, Immunoglobulin G immunology, Male, Middle Aged, SARS-CoV-2 genetics, United Kingdom, Young Adult, COVID-19 immunology, COVID-19 Vaccines immunology, SARS-CoV-2 immunology
- Abstract
We report that in a cohort of 45,965 adults, who were receiving either the ChAdOx1 or the BNT162b2 SARS-CoV-2 vaccines, in those who had no prior infection with SARS-CoV-2, seroconversion rates and quantitative antibody levels after a single dose were lower in older individuals, especially in those aged >60 years. Two vaccine doses achieved high responses across all ages. Antibody levels increased more slowly and to lower levels with a single dose of ChAdOx1 compared with a single dose of BNT162b2, but waned following a single dose of BNT162b2 in older individuals. In descriptive latent class models, we identified four responder subgroups, including a 'low responder' group that more commonly consisted of people aged >75 years, males and individuals with long-term health conditions. Given our findings, we propose that available vaccines should be prioritized for those not previously infected and that second doses should be prioritized for individuals aged >60 years. Further data are needed to better understand the extent to which quantitative antibody responses are associated with vaccine-mediated protection., (© 2021. The Author(s).)
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- 2021
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48. Impact of vaccination on new SARS-CoV-2 infections in the United Kingdom.
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Pritchard E, Matthews PC, Stoesser N, Eyre DW, Gethings O, Vihta KD, Jones J, House T, VanSteenHouse H, Bell I, Bell JI, Newton JN, Farrar J, Diamond I, Rourke E, Studley R, Crook D, Peto TEA, Walker AS, and Pouwels KB
- Subjects
- COVID-19 virology, Humans, SARS-CoV-2 isolation & purification, United Kingdom epidemiology, COVID-19 epidemiology, COVID-19 Vaccines administration & dosage
- Abstract
The effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccination in preventing new severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infections in the general community is still unclear. Here, we used the Office for National Statistics COVID-19 Infection Survey-a large community-based survey of individuals living in randomly selected private households across the United Kingdom-to assess the effectiveness of the BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech) and ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 (Oxford-AstraZeneca; ChAdOx1) vaccines against any new SARS-CoV-2 PCR-positive tests, split according to self-reported symptoms, cycle threshold value (<30 versus ≥30; as a surrogate for viral load) and gene positivity pattern (compatible with B.1.1.7 or not). Using 1,945,071 real-time PCR results from nose and throat swabs taken from 383,812 participants between 1 December 2020 and 8 May 2021, we found that vaccination with the ChAdOx1 or BNT162b2 vaccines already reduced SARS-CoV-2 infections ≥21 d after the first dose (61% (95% confidence interval (CI) = 54-68%) versus 66% (95% CI = 60-71%), respectively), with greater reductions observed after a second dose (79% (95% CI = 65-88%) versus 80% (95% CI = 73-85%), respectively). The largest reductions were observed for symptomatic infections and/or infections with a higher viral burden. Overall, COVID-19 vaccination reduced the number of new SARS-CoV-2 infections, with the largest benefit received after two vaccinations and against symptomatic and high viral burden infections, and with no evidence of a difference between the BNT162b2 and ChAdOx1 vaccines., (© 2021. The Author(s).)
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- 2021
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49. Axonics® system for treatment of overactive bladder syndrome and urinary urgency incontinence.
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Wang A, Rourke E, Sebesta E, and Dmochowski R
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- Female, Humans, Male, Sacrum, Treatment Outcome, Urinary Incontinence, Urge therapy, Electric Stimulation Therapy, Urinary Bladder, Overactive therapy
- Abstract
Introduction : Overactive bladder and urge urinary incontinence affect millions of women and men and results in billions of dollars in health-care expenses. First- and second-line therapy includes behavioral modifications and/or pharmacotherapies however, many patients' symptoms remain or progress on these treatments. There has been concern regarding the detrimental side effects of the most widely prescribed medications for these bladder symptom management. Areas covered : As a result, there has been increased interest in continuous sacral neuromodulation, an FDA approved therapy for refractory urinary urgency and urge urinary incontinence. In this article, we specifically review current research on the efficacy and patient/provider satisfaction and safety profile of the Axonics® System. In addition, we address the current state of sacral neuromodulation and potential future direction and applicability. Expert opinion : The Axonics® system is a safe effective device for the treatment of overactive bladder and urinary urge incontinence. Additionally, it affords patient's the convenience of a rechargeable, compact, MRI safe system. It should be noted that the rechargeable system, while allowing for approximately 15 years of battery and lead life, may have its challenges in terms of charge burden. Furthermore, this system is easily adapted for experienced implanters of sacral neuromodulating devices.
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- 2021
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50. Causes of delay on a hip fracture pathway-a retrospective single-centre analysis.
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Luke C, O' Rourke E, Keeling P, Doyle R, Kelleher U, Ryan J, and Hurson C
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- Hospitalization, Hospitals, Humans, Retrospective Studies, Hip Fractures epidemiology
- Abstract
Background: This study highlights the multiple sources of delay along a hip fracture clinical pathway. The national recommendation is that 'patients with a hip fracture should be admitted within 4 hours of arrival at the Emergency Department to which they first presented'., Methods: Granular analysis and process mapping of all available hospital and 'Irish Hip Fracture Database' data for a 2-month period were used to highlight and compare causes of delay., Discussion: We identified numerous sources of delay, occurring at every point along the pathway, emphasising the complexity of providing acute integrated care. There was no single stage that persistently contributed to the delay in the patient pathway. The focus is now to achieve marginal gains in each area. Increased staff and resources to the front line are a clear solution but this is complex to achieve., (© 2020. Royal Academy of Medicine in Ireland.)
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- 2021
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