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This paper presents a Dynamic Internal Predictive Power Scheduling (DIPPS) approach for optimizing power management in microgrids, particularly focusingon external power exchanges among diverse prosumers. DIPPS utilizes a dynamic objective function with a time-varying binary parameter to control the timing of power transfers to the external grid, facilitated by efficient usage of energy storage for surplus renewable power. The microgrid power scheduling problem is modeled as a mixed-integer nonlinear programmig (MINLP-PS) and subsequently transformed into a mixed-integer linear programming (MILP-PS) optimization through McCormick's relaxation to reduce the computational complexity. A predictive window with 6 data points is solved at an average of 0.92s, a 97.6% improvement over the 38.27s required for the MINLP-PS formulation, implying the numerical feasibility of the DIPPS approach for real-time implementation. Finally, the approach is validated against a static objective using real-world load data across three case studies with different time-varying parameters, demonstrationg the ability of DIPPS to optimize power exchanges and efficiently utilize distributed resources whie shifting the eexternal power transfers to specified time durations.

This paper presents an eXplainable Fault Detection and Diagnosis System (XFDDS) for incipient faults in PV panels. The XFDDS is a hybrid approach that combines the model-based and data-driven framework. Model-based FDD for PV panels lacks high fidelity models at low irradiance conditions for detecting incipient faults. To overcome this, a novel irradiance based three diode model (IB3DM) is proposed. It is a nine parameter model that provides higher accuracy even at low irradiance conditions, an important aspect for detecting incipient faults from noise. To exploit PV data, extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) is used due to its ability to detecting incipient faults. Lack of explainability, feature variability for sample instances, and false alarms are challenges with data-driven FDD methods. These shortcomings are overcome by hybridization of XGBoost and IB3DM, and using eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) techniques. To combine the XGBoost and IB3DM, a fault-signature metric is proposed that helps reducing false alarms and also trigger an explanation on detecting incipient faults. To provide explainability, an eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) application is developed. It uses the local interpretable model-agnostic explanations (LIME) framework and provides explanations on classifier outputs for data instances. These explanations help field engineers/technicians for performing troubleshooting and maintenance operations. The proposed XFDDS is illustrated using experiments on different PV technologies and our results demonstrate the perceived benefits., Comment: 8 pages

This paper studies a scalable control method for multi-zone heating, ventilation and air-conditioning (HVAC) systems to optimize the energy cost for maintaining thermal comfort and indoor air quality (IAQ) (represented by CO2) simultaneously. This problem is computationally challenging due to the complex system dynamics, various spatial and temporal couplings as well as multiple control variables to be coordinated. To address the challenges, we propose a two-level distributed method (TLDM) with a upper level and lower level control integrated. The upper level computes zone mass flow rates for maintaining zone thermal comfort with minimal energy cost, and then the lower level strategically regulates zone mass flow rates and the ventilation rate to achieve IAQ while preserving the near energy saving performance of upper level. As both the upper and lower level computation are deployed in a distributed manner, the proposed method is scalable and computationally efficient. The near-optimal performance of the method in energy cost saving is demonstrated through comparison with the centralized method. In addition, the comparisons with the existing distributed method show that our method can provide IAQ with only little increase of energy cost while the latter fails. Moreover, we demonstrate our method outperforms the demand controlled ventilation strategies (DCVs) for IAQ management with about 8-10% energy cost reduction., Comment: 12 pages, 12 figures

This paper presents a novel solution technique for scheduling multi-energy system (MES) in a commercial urban building to perform price-based demand response and reduce energy costs. The MES scheduling problem is formulated as a mixed integer nonlinear program (MINLP), a non-convex NPhard problem with uncertainties due to renewable generation and demand. A model predictive control approach is used to handle the uncertainties and price variations. This in-turn requires solving a time-coupled multi-time step MINLP during each time-epoch which is computationally intensive. This investigation proposes an approach called the Scenario-Based Branch-and-Bound (SB3), a light-weight solver to reduce the computational complexity. It combines the simplicity of convex programs with the ability of meta-heuristic techniques to handle complex nonlinear problems. The performance of the SB3 solver is validated in the Cleantech building, Singapore and the results demonstrate that the proposed algorithm reduces energy cost by about 17.26% and 22.46% as against solving a multi-time step heuristic optimization model., Comment: 10 pages, 9 figures, Accepted for publication in IEEE Transactions on Industrial Informatics

Early detection of incipient faults is of vital importance to reducing maintenance costs, saving energy, and enhancing occupant comfort in buildings. Popular supervised learning models such as deep neural networks are considered promising due to their ability to directly learn from labeled fault data; however, it is known that the performance of supervised learning approaches highly relies on the availability and quality of labeled training data. In Fault Detection and Diagnosis (FDD) applications, the lack of labeled incipient fault data has posed a major challenge to applying these supervised learning techniques to commercial buildings. To overcome this challenge, this paper proposes using Monte Carlo dropout (MC-dropout) to enhance the supervised learning pipeline, so that the resulting neural network is able to detect and diagnose unseen incipient fault examples. We also examine the proposed MC-dropout method on the RP-1043 dataset to demonstrate its effectiveness in indicating the most likely incipient fault types.

This investigation aims to study different adaptive fuzzy inference algorithms capable of real-time sequential learning and prediction of time-series data. A brief qualitative description of these algorithms namely meta-cognitive fuzzy inference system (McFIS), sequential adaptive fuzzy inference system (SAFIS) and evolving Takagi-Sugeno (ETS) model provide a comprehensive comparison of their working principle, especially their unique characteristics are discussed. These algorithms are then simulated with dataset collected at one of the academic buildings at Nanyang Technological University, Singapore. The performance are compared by means of the root mean squared error (RMSE) and non-destructive error index (NDEI) of the predicted output. Analysis shows that McFIS shows promising results either with lower RMSE and NDEI or with lower architectural complexity over ETS and SAFIS. Statistical Analysis also reveals the significance of the outcome of these algorithms., Comment: 5 pages, 2 figures, keyword: Short-term energy prediction, evolving Takagi-Sugeno model, meta-cognitive fuzzy inference system, sequential adaptive fuzzy inference system

Time-varying delays adversely affect the performance of networked control sys-tems (NCS) and in the worst-case can destabilize the entire system. Therefore, modelling network delays is important for designing NCS. However, modelling time-varying delays is challenging because of their dependence on multiple pa-rameters such as length, contention, connected devices, protocol employed, and channel loading. Further, these multiple parameters are inherently random and de-lays vary in a non-linear fashion with respect to time. This makes estimating ran-dom delays challenging. This investigation presents a methodology to model de-lays in NCS using experiments and general regression neural network (GRNN) due to their ability to capture non-linear relationship. To compute the optimal smoothing parameter that computes the best estimates, genetic algorithm is used. The objective of the genetic algorithm is to compute the optimal smoothing pa-rameter that minimizes the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). Our results illustrate that the resulting GRNN is able to predict the delays with less than 3% error. The proposed delay model gives a framework to design compensation schemes for NCS subjected to time-varying delays., Comment: 11 pages, 7 figures

Networked Automation Systems (NAS) have to meet stringent response time during operation. Verifying response time of automation is an important step during design phase before deployment. Timing discrepancies due to hardware, software and communication components of NAS affect the response time. This investigation uses model templates for verifying the response time in NAS. First, jitter bounds model the timing fluctuations of NAS components. These jitter bounds are the inputs to model templates that are formal models of timing fluctuations. The model templates are atomic action patterns composed of three composition operators- sequential, alternative, and parallel and embedded in time wrapper that specifies clock driven activation conditions. Model templates in conjunction with formal model of technical process offer an easier way to verify the response time. The investigation demonstrates the proposed verification method using an industrial steam boiler with typical NAS components in plant floor., Comment: 5 Pages; 7 Figures in The 25th IEEE International Symposium on Software Reliability Engineering (ISSRE), 2014

Networked automation systems (NAS) are characterized by confluence of control, computation, communication and Information (C3I) technologies. Design decisions of one domain are affected by the constraints posed by others. Reliable NAS design should address the requirements of the system, and simultaneously meet the constraints posed by other domains and this is called co-design in literature. Co-design requires clear definition of interfaces among these domains. Control design in NAS is affected by the timing imperfections posed by other domains. In this investigation, we first study the different sources of timing imperfections in NAS, and classify them based on their occurrence. The concept of jitter is used to define the timing imperfections induced by various system components. Using this analysis, we classify the jitter based on their behavior and domain of occurrence. Our analysis shows that the jitter induced in NAS can be classified based on domain as- hardware, software and communication. Next, we use this analysis to model the jitter from the components of NAS. Modeling timing imperfections helps in capturing the interfaces among the domains, and we use the concept of design contracts to capture the interfaces. Design contracts describe the semantic mapping among the domains and are specified using the jitter margins. Implementing design contracts requires knowledge of the jitter margin and, the results from control theory are used to this extent., Comment: 8 pages, 5 figures

One major challenge in implementation of formation control problems stems from the packet loss that occur in these shared communication channel. In the presence of packet loss the coordination information among agents is lost. Moreover, there is a move to use wireless channels in formation control applications. It has been found in practice that packet losses are more pronounced in wireless channels, than their wired counterparts. In our analysis, we first show that packet loss may result in loss of rigidity. In turn this causes the entire formation to fail. Later, we present an estimation based formation control algorithm that is robust to packet loss among agents. The proposed estimation algorithm employs minimal spanning tree algorithm to compute the estimate of the node variables (coordination variables). Consequently, this reduces the communication overhead required for information exchange. Later, using simulation, we verify the data that is to be transmitted for optimal estimation of these variables in the event of a packet loss. Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm is illustrated using suitable simulation example., Comment: 12 pages