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We develop and study a quantitative, interdisciplinary strategy for conducting statistical risk analyses within the 'benchmark risk' paradigm of contemporary risk assessment when potential autocorrelation exists among sample units. We use the methodology to explore information on vulnerability to natural hazards across 3108 counties in the conterminous 48 US states, applying a place-based resilience index to an existing knowledgebase of hazardous incidents and related human casualties. An extension of a centered autologistic regression model is applied to relate local, county-level vulnerability to hazardous outcomes. Adjustments for autocorrelation embedded in the resiliency information are applied via a novel, non-spatial neighborhood structure. Statistical risk-benchmarking techniques are then incorporated into the modeling framework, wherein levels of high and low vulnerability to hazards are identified. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The development of computational methods capable of analyzing -omics data at the individual level is critical for the success of precision medicine. Although unprecedented opportunities now exist to gather data on an individual's -omics profile ('personalome'), interpreting and extracting meaningful information from single-subject -omics remain underdeveloped, particularly for quantitative non-sequence measurements, including complete transcriptome or proteome expression and metabolite abundance. Conventional bioinformatics approaches have largely been designed for making population-level inferences about 'average' disease processes; thus, they may not adequately capture and describe individual variability. Novel approaches intended to exploit a variety of -omics data are required for identifying individualized signals for meaningful interpretation. In this review—intended for biomedical researchers, computational biologists and bioinformaticians—we survey emerging computational and translational informatics methods capable of constructing a single subject's 'personalome' for predicting clinical outcomes or therapeutic responses, with an emphasis on methods that provide interpretable readouts. Key points: (i) the single-subject analytics of the transcriptome shows the greatest development to date and, (ii) the methods were all validated in simulations, cross-validations or independent retrospective data sets. This survey uncovers a growing field that offers numerous opportunities for the development of novel validation methods and opens the door for future studies focusing on the interpretation of comprehensive 'personalomes' through the integration of multiple -omics, providing valuable insights into individual patient outcomes and treatments. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Modern precision medicine increasingly relies on molecular data analytics, wherein development of interpretable single-subject ("N-of-1") signals is a challenging goal. A previously developed global framework, N-of-1- pathways, employs single-subject gene expression data to identify differentially expressed gene set pathways in an individual patient. Unfortunately, the limited amount of data within the single-subject, N-of-1 setting makes construction of suitable statistical inferences for identifying differentially expressed gene set pathways difficult, especially when non-trivial inter-gene correlation is present. We propose a method that exploits external information on gene expression correlations to cluster positively co-expressed genes within pathways, then assesses differential expression across the clusters within a pathway. A simulation study illustrates that the cluster-based approach exhibits satisfactory false-positive error control and reasonable power to detect differentially expressed gene set pathways. An example with a single N-of-1 patient's triple negative breast cancer data illustrates use of the methodology. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Transcriptome analytic tools are commonly used across patient cohorts to develop drugs and predict clinical outcomes. However, as precision medicine pursues more accurate and individualized treatment decisions, these methods are not designed to address single-patient transcriptome analyses. We previously developed and validated the N-of-1-pathways framework using two methods, Wilcoxon and Mahalanobis Distance (MD), for personal transcriptome analysis derived from a pair of samples of a single patient. Although, both methods uncover concordantly dysregulated pathways, they are not designed to detect dysregulated pathways with up- and downregulated genes (bidirectional dysregulation) that are ubiquitous in biological systems. Results: We developed N-of-1-pathways MixEnrich, a mixture model followed by a gene set enrichment test, to uncover bidirectional and concordantly dysregulated pathways one patient at a time. We assess its accuracy in a comprehensive simulation study and in a RNA-Seq data analysis of head and neck squamous cell carcinomas (HNSCCs). In presence of bidirectionally dysregulated genes in the pathway or in presence of high background noise, MixEnrich substantially outperforms previous single-subject transcriptome analysis methods, both in the simulation study and the HNSCCs data analysis (ROC Curves; higher true positive rates; lower false positive rates). Bidirectional and concordant dysregulated pathways uncovered by MixEnrich in each patient largely overlapped with the quasi-gold standard compared to other single-subject and cohort-based transcriptome analyses. Conclusion: The greater performance of MixEnrich presents an advantage over previous methods to meet the promise of providing accurate personal transcriptome analysis to support precision medicine at point of care. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Motivation: Understanding dynamic, patient-level transcriptomic response to therapy is an important step forward for precision medicine. However, conventional transcriptome analysis aims to discover cohort-level change, lacking the capacity to unveil patient-specific response to therapy. To address this gap, we previously developed two N-of-1-pathways methods, Wilcoxon and Mahalanobis distance, to detect unidirectionally responsive transcripts within a pathway using a pair of samples from a single subject. Yet, these methods cannot recognize bidirectionally (up and down) responsive pathways. Further, our previous approaches have not been assessed in presence of background noise and are not designed to identify differentially expressed mRNAs between two samples of a patient taken in different contexts (e.g. cancer vs non cancer), which we termed responsive transcripts (RTs).Methods: We propose a new N-of-1-pathways method, k-Means Enrichment (kMEn), that detects bidirectionally responsive pathways, despite background noise, using a pair of transcriptomes from a single patient. kMEn identifies transcripts responsive to the stimulus through k-means clustering and then tests for an over-representation of the responsive genes within each pathway. The pathways identified by kMEn are mechanistically interpretable pathways significantly responding to a stimulus.Results: In ∼9000 simulations varying six parameters, superior performance of kMEn over previous single-subject methods is evident by: (i) improved precision-recall at various levels of bidirectional response and (ii) lower rates of false positives (1-specificity) when more than 10% of genes in the genome are differentially expressed (background noise). In a clinical proof-of-concept, personal treatment-specific pathways identified by kMEn correlate with therapeutic response (p-value<0.01).Conclusion: Through improved single-subject transcriptome dynamics of bidirectionally-regulated signals, kMEn provides a novel approach to identify mechanism-level biomarkers. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Recent precision medicine initiatives have led to the expectation of improved clinical decisionmaking anchored in genomic data science. However, over the last decade, only a handful of new single-gene product biomarkers have been translated to clinical practice (FDA approved) in spite of considerable discovery efforts deployed and a plethora of transcriptomes available in the Gene Expression Omnibus. With this modest outcome of current approaches in mind, we developed a pilot simulation study to demonstrate the untapped benefits of developing disease detection methods for cases where the true signal lies at the pathway level, even if the pathway's gene expression alterations may be heterogeneous across patients. In other words, we relaxed the crosspatient homogeneity assumption from the transcript level (cohort assumptions of deregulated gene expression) to the pathway level (assumptions of deregulated pathway expression). Furthermore, we have expanded previous single-subject (SS) methods into cohort analyses to illustrate the benefit of accounting for an individual's variability in cohort scenarios. We compare SS and cohort-based (CB) techniques under 54 distinct scenarios, each with 1,000 simulations, to demonstrate that the emergence of a pathway-level signal occurs through the summative effect of its altered gene expression, heterogeneous across patients. Studied variables include pathway gene set size, fraction of expressed gene responsive within gene set, fraction of expressed gene responsive up- vs down-regulated, and cohort size. We demonstrated that our SS approach was uniquely suited to detect signals in heterogeneous populations in which individuals have varying levels of baseline risks that are simultaneously confounded by patient-specific "genome -by-environment" interactions (G×E). Area under the precision-recall curve of the SS approach far surpassed that of the CB (1st quartile, median, 3rd quartile: SS = 0.94, 0.96, 0.99; CB= 0.50, 0.52, 0.65). We conclude that single-subject pathway detection methods are uniquely suited for consistently detecting pathway dysregulation by the inclusion of a patient's individual variability. http://www.lussiergroup.org/publications/PathwayMarker/.