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2. Curbing the major and growing threats from invasive alien species is urgent and achievable

Author

Roy, Helen E., Pauchard, Aníbal, Stoett, Peter J., Renard Truong, Tanara, Meyerson, Laura A., Bacher, Sven, Galil, Bella S., Hulme, Philip E., Ikeda, Tohru, Kavileveettil, Sankaran, McGeoch, Melodie A., Nuñez, Martin A., Ordonez, Alejandro, Rahlao, Sebataolo J., Schwindt, Evangelina, Seebens, Hanno, Sheppard, Andy W., Vandvik, Vigdis, Aleksanyan, Alla, Ansong, Michael, August, Tom, Blanchard, Ryan, Brugnoli, Ernesto, Bukombe, John K., Bwalya, Bridget, Byun, Chaeho, Camacho-Cervantes, Morelia, Cassey, Phillip, Castillo, María L., Courchamp, Franck, Dehnen-Schmutz, Katharina, Zenni, Rafael Dudeque, Egawa, Chika, Essl, Franz, Fayvush, Georgi, Fernandez, Romina D., Fernandez, Miguel, Foxcroft, Llewellyn C., Genovesi, Piero, Groom, Quentin J., González, Ana Isabel, Helm, Aveliina, Herrera, Ileana, Hiremath, Ankila J., Howard, Patricia L., Hui, Cang, Ikegami, Makihiko, Keskin, Emre, Koyama, Asuka, Ksenofontov, Stanislav, Lenzner, Bernd, Lipinskaya, Tatsiana, Lockwood, Julie L., Mangwa, Dongang C., Martinou, Angeliki F., McDermott, Shana M., Morales, Carolina L., Müllerová, Jana, Mungi, Ninad Avinash, Munishi, Linus K., Ojaveer, Henn, Pagad, Shyama N., Pallewatta, Nirmalie P. K. T. S., Peacock, Lora R., Per, Esra, Pergl, Jan, Preda, Cristina, Pyšek, Petr, Rai, Rajesh K., Ricciardi, Anthony, Richardson, David M., Riley, Sophie, Rono, Betty J., Ryan-Colton, Ellen, Saeedi, Hanieh, Shrestha, Bharat B., Simberloff, Daniel, Tawake, Alifereti, Tricarico, Elena, Vanderhoeven, Sonia, Vicente, Joana, Vilà, Montserrat, Wanzala, Wycliffe, Werenkraut, Victoria, Weyl, Olaf L. F., Wilson, John R. U., Xavier, Rafael O., and Ziller, Sílvia R.

Published
2024
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4. Analysing ecological dynamics with relational event models: the case of biological invasions

Author

Juozaitienė, Rūta, Seebens, Hanno, Latombe, Guillaume, Essl, Franz, and Wit, Ernst C.

Subjects
Statistics - Applications
Abstract

Aim: Spatio-temporal processes play a key role in ecology, from genes to large-scale macroecological and biogeographical processes. Existing methods studying such spatio-temporally structured data either simplify the dynamic structure or the complex interactions of ecological drivers. This paper aims to present a generic method for ecological research that allows analysing spatio-temporal patterns of biological processes at large spatial scales by including the time-varying variables that drive these dynamics. Methods: We introduce a method called relational event modelling (REM), which relies on temporal interaction dynamics, that encode sequences of relational events connecting a sender node to a recipient node at a specific point in time. We apply REM to the spread of alien species around the globe between 1880 and 2005, following accidental or deliberate introductions into geographical regions outside of their native range. In this context, a relational event represents the new occurrence of an alien species given its former distribution. Results: The application of REM to the first reported invasions of 4835 established alien species outside of their native ranges from four major taxonomic groups enables us to unravel the main drivers of the dynamics of the spread of invasive alien species. Combining the alien species first records data with other spatio-temporal information enables us to discover which factors have been responsible for the spread of species across the globe. Besides the usual drivers of species invasions, such as trade, land use and climatic conditions, we also find evidence for species-interconnectedness in alien species spread. Conclusions: REM offer the capacity to account for the temporal sequences of ecological events such as biological invasions and to investigate how relationships between these events and potential drivers change over time.

Published
2023

5. The impact of land use on non-native species incidence and number in local assemblages worldwide

Author

Liu, Daijun, Semenchuk, Philipp, Essl, Franz, Lenzner, Bernd, Moser, Dietmar, Blackburn, Tim M., Cassey, Phillip, Biancolini, Dino, Capinha, César, Dawson, Wayne, Dyer, Ellie E., Guénard, Benoit, Economo, Evan P., Kreft, Holger, Pergl, Jan, Pyšek, Petr, van Kleunen, Mark, Nentwig, Wolfgang, Rondinini, Carlo, Seebens, Hanno, Weigelt, Patrick, Winter, Marten, Purvis, Andy, and Dullinger, Stefan

Published
2023
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8. Capacity of countries to reduce biological invasions

Author

Latombe, Guillaume, Seebens, Hanno, Lenzner, Bernd, Courchamp, Franck, Dullinger, Stefan, Golivets, Marina, Kühn, Ingolf, Leung, Brian, Roura-Pascual, Núria, Cebrian, Emma, Dawson, Wayne, Diagne, Christophe, Jeschke, Jonathan M., Pérez-Granados, Cristian, Moser, Dietmar, Turbelin, Anna, Visconti, Piero, and Essl, Franz

Published
2023
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10. Drivers of future alien species impacts: An expert-based assessment.

Author

Essl, Franz, Lenzner, Bernd, Bacher, Sven, Bailey, Sarah, Capinha, Cesar, Daehler, Curtis, Dullinger, Stefan, Genovesi, Piero, Hui, Cang, Hulme, Philip, Jeschke, Jonathan, Katsanevakis, Stelios, Kühn, Ingolf, Leung, Brian, Liebhold, Andrew, Liu, Chunlong, MacIsaac, Hugh, Meyerson, Laura, Nuñez, Martin, Pauchard, Aníbal, Pyšek, Petr, Rabitsch, Wolfgang, Richardson, David, Roy, Helen, Ruiz, Gregory, Russell, James, Sanders, Nathan, Sax, Dov, Scalera, Riccardo, Seebens, Hanno, Springborn, Michael, Turbelin, Anna, van Kleunen, Mark, von Holle, Betsy, Winter, Marten, Zenni, Rafael, Mattsson, Brady, and Roura-Pascual, Nuria

Subjects
biological invasions, expert survey, globalization, impacts, management, policy, scenarios, uncertainties, Biodiversity, Climate Change, Ecosystem, Forecasting, Humans, Introduced Species
Abstract

Understanding the likely future impacts of biological invasions is crucial yet highly challenging given the multiple relevant environmental, socio-economic and societal contexts and drivers. In the absence of quantitative models, methods based on expert knowledge are the best option for assessing future invasion trajectories. Here, we present an expert assessment of the drivers of potential alien species impacts under contrasting scenarios and socioecological contexts through the mid-21st century. Based on responses from 36 experts in biological invasions, moderate (20%-30%) increases in invasions, compared to the current conditions, are expected to cause major impacts on biodiversity in most socioecological contexts. Three main drivers of biological invasions-transport, climate change and socio-economic change-were predicted to significantly affect future impacts of alien species on biodiversity even under a best-case scenario. Other drivers (e.g. human demography and migration in tropical and subtropical regions) were also of high importance in specific global contexts (e.g. for individual taxonomic groups or biomes). We show that some best-case scenarios can substantially reduce potential future impacts of biological invasions. However, rapid and comprehensive actions are necessary to use this potential and achieve the goals of the Post-2020 Framework of the Convention on Biological Diversity.

Published
2020

16. Dimensions of invasiveness : Links between local abundance, geographic range size, and habitat breadth in Europe’s alien and native floras

Author

Fristoe, Trevor S., Chytrý, Milan, Dawson, Wayne, Essl, Franz, Heleno, Ruben, Kreft, Holger, Maurel, Noëlie, Pergl, Jan, Pyšek, Petr, Seebens, Hanno, Weigelt, Patrick, Vargas, Pablo, Yang, Qiang, Attorre, Fabio, Bergmeier, Erwin, Bernhardt-Römermann, Markus, Biurrun, Idoia, Boch, Steffen, Bonari, Gianmaria, Botta-Dukát, Zoltán, Bruun, Hans Henrik, Byun, Chaeho, Čarni, Andraž, Carranza, Maria Laura, Catford, Jane A., Cerabolini, Bruno E. L., Chacón-Madrigal, Eduardo, Ciccarellia, Daniela, Ćušterevskab, Renata, de Rondec, Iris, Dengler, Jürgen, Golub, Valentin, Haveman, Rense, Hough-Snee, Nate, Jandt, Ute, Jansen, Florian, Kuzemko, Anna, Küzmič, Filip, Lenoir, Jonathan, Macanović, Armin, Marcenò, Corrado, Martin, Adam R., Michaletz, Sean T., Mori, Akira S., Niinemets, Ülo, Peterka, Tomáš, Pielech, Remigiusz, Rašomavičius, Valerijus, Rūsiņa, Solvita, Dias, Arildo S., Šibíková, Mária, Šilc, Urban, Stanisci, Angela, Jansen, Steven, Svenning, Jens-Christian, Swacha, Grzegorz, van der Plas, Fons, Vassilev, Kiril, and van Kleunen, Mark

Published
2021

20. Including a diverse set of voices to address biological invasions

Author

Nuñez, Martin A., primary, August, Tom, additional, Bacher, Sven, additional, Galil, Bella S., additional, Hulme, Philip E., additional, Ikeda, Tohru, additional, McGeoch, Melodie A., additional, Ordonez, Alejandro, additional, Rahlao, Sebataolo, additional, Truong, Tanara Renard, additional, Pauchard, Aníbal, additional, Roy, Helen E., additional, Sankaran, K.V., additional, Schwindt, Evangelina, additional, Seebens, Hanno, additional, Sheppard, Andy W., additional, Stoett, Peter, additional, Vandvik, Vigdis, additional, and Meyerson, Laura A., additional

Published
2024
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22. Alternative futures for global biological invasions

Author

Roura-Pascual, Núria, Leung, Brian, Rabitsch, Wolfgang, Rutting, Lucas, Vervoort, Joost, Bacher, Sven, Dullinger, Stefan, Erb, Karl-Heinz, Jeschke, Jonathan M., Katsanevakis, Stelios, Kühn, Ingolf, Lenzner, Bernd, Liebhold, Andrew M., Obersteiner, Michael, Pauchard, Anibal, Peterson, Garry D., Roy, Helen E., Seebens, Hanno, Winter, Marten, Burgman, Mark A., Genovesi, Piero, Hulme, Philip E., Keller, Reuben P., Latombe, Guillaume, McGeoch, Melodie A., Ruiz, Gregory M., Scalera, Riccardo, Springborn, Michael R., von Holle, Betsy, and Essl, Franz

Published
2021
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24. European scenarios for future biological invasions

Author

Pérez-Granados, Cristian, Lenzner, Bernd, Golivets, Marina, Saul, Wolf-Christian, Jeschke, Jonathan M., Essl, Franz, Peterson, Garry D., Rutting, Lucas, Latombe, Guillaume, Adriaens, Tim, Aldridge, David C., Bacher, Sven, Bernardo-Madrid, Rubén, Brotons, Lluís, Díaz, Francois, Gallardo, Belinda, Genovesi, Piero, González-Moreno, Pablo, Kühn, Ingolf, Kutleša, Petra, Leung, Brian, Liu, Chunlong, Pagitz, Konrad, Pastor, Teresa, Pauchard, Aníbal, Rabitsch, Wolfgang, Robertson, Peter, Roy, Helen E., Seebens, Hanno, Solarz, Wojciech, Starfinger, Uwe, Tanner, Rob, Vilà, Montserrat, Roura-Pascual, Núria, Pérez-Granados, Cristian, Lenzner, Bernd, Golivets, Marina, Saul, Wolf-Christian, Jeschke, Jonathan M., Essl, Franz, Peterson, Garry D., Rutting, Lucas, Latombe, Guillaume, Adriaens, Tim, Aldridge, David C., Bacher, Sven, Bernardo-Madrid, Rubén, Brotons, Lluís, Díaz, Francois, Gallardo, Belinda, Genovesi, Piero, González-Moreno, Pablo, Kühn, Ingolf, Kutleša, Petra, Leung, Brian, Liu, Chunlong, Pagitz, Konrad, Pastor, Teresa, Pauchard, Aníbal, Rabitsch, Wolfgang, Robertson, Peter, Roy, Helen E., Seebens, Hanno, Solarz, Wojciech, Starfinger, Uwe, Tanner, Rob, Vilà, Montserrat, and Roura-Pascual, Núria

Abstract

Invasive alien species are one of the major threats to global biodiversity, ecosystem integrity, nature's contributions to people and human health. While scenarios about potential future developments have been available for other global change drivers for quite some time, we largely lack an understanding of how biological invasions might unfold in the future across spatial scales. Based on previous work on global invasion scenarios, we developed a workflow to downscale global scenarios to a regional and policy-relevant context. We applied this workflow at the European scale to create four European scenarios of biological invasions until 2050 that consider different environmental, socio-economic and socio-cultural trajectories, namely the European Alien Species Narratives (Eur-ASNs). We compared the Eur-ASNs with their previously published global counterparts (Global-ASNs), assessing changes in 26 scenario variables. This assessment showed a high consistency between global and European scenarios in the logic and assumptions of the scenario variables. However, several discrepancies in scenario variable trends were detected that could be attributed to scale differences. This suggests that the workflow is able to capture scale-dependent differences across scenarios. We also compared the Global- and Eur-ASNs with the widely used Global and European Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), a set of scenarios developed in the context of climate change to capture different future socio-economic trends. Our comparison showed considerable divergences in the scenario space occupied by the different scenarios, with overall larger differences between the ASNs and SSPs than across scales (global vs. European) within the scenario initiatives. Given the differences between the ASNs and SSPs, it seems that the SSPs do not adequately capture the scenario space relevant to understanding the complex future of biological invasions. This underlines the importance of developing independent b

Published
2024
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25. A scenario-guided strategy for the future management of biological invasions

Author

Universidad de Alicante. Departamento de Ecología, Roura-Pascual, Núria, Saul, Wolf-Christian, Pérez-Granados, Cristian, Rutting, Lucas, Peterson, Garry D., Latombe, Guillaume, Essl, Franz, Adriaens, Tim, Aldridge, David C., Bacher, Sven, Bernardo-Madrid, Rubén, Brotons, Lluís, Diaz, François, Gallardo, Belinda, Genovesi, Piero, Golivets, Marina, González-Moreno, Pablo, Hall, Marcus, Kutlesa, Petra, Lenzner, Bernd, Liu, Chunlong, Pagitz, Konrad, Pastor, Teresa, Rabitsch, Wolfgang, Robertson, Peter, Roy, Helen E., Seebens, Hanno, Solarz, Wojciech, Starfinger, Uwe, Tanner, Rob, Vilà Planella, Montserrat, Leung, Brian, García-Lozano, Carla, Jeschke, Jonathan M., Universidad de Alicante. Departamento de Ecología, Roura-Pascual, Núria, Saul, Wolf-Christian, Pérez-Granados, Cristian, Rutting, Lucas, Peterson, Garry D., Latombe, Guillaume, Essl, Franz, Adriaens, Tim, Aldridge, David C., Bacher, Sven, Bernardo-Madrid, Rubén, Brotons, Lluís, Diaz, François, Gallardo, Belinda, Genovesi, Piero, Golivets, Marina, González-Moreno, Pablo, Hall, Marcus, Kutlesa, Petra, Lenzner, Bernd, Liu, Chunlong, Pagitz, Konrad, Pastor, Teresa, Rabitsch, Wolfgang, Robertson, Peter, Roy, Helen E., Seebens, Hanno, Solarz, Wojciech, Starfinger, Uwe, Tanner, Rob, Vilà Planella, Montserrat, Leung, Brian, García-Lozano, Carla, and Jeschke, Jonathan M.

Abstract

Future dynamics of biological invasions are highly uncertain because they depend on multiple social–ecological drivers. We used a scenario-based approach to explore potential management options for invasive species in Europe. During two workshops involving a multidisciplinary team of experts, we developed a management strategy arranged into 19 goals relating to policy, research, public awareness, and biosecurity. We conceived solutions for achieving these goals under different plausible future scenarios, and identified four interrelated recommendations around which any long-term strategy for managing invasive species can be structured: (1) a European biosecurity regime, (2) a dedicated communication strategy, (3) data standardization and management tools, and (4) a monitoring and assessment system. Finally, we assessed the feasibility of the management strategy and found substantial differences among scenarios. Collectively, our results indicate that it is time for a new strategy for managing biological invasions in Europe, one that is based on a more integrative approach across socioeconomic sectors and countries.

Published
2024

26. A scenario-guided strategy for the future management of biological invasions

Author

Roura-Pascual, Núria, Saul, Wolf-Christian, Pérez-Granados, Cristian, Rutting, Lucas, Peterson, Garry D., Latombe, Guillaume, Essl, Franz, Adriaens, Tim, Aldridge, David C., Bacher, Sven, Bernardo-Madrid, Rubén, Brotons, Lluís, Diaz, François, Gallardo, Belinda, Genovesi, Piero, Golivets, Marina, González-Moreno, Pablo, Hall, Marcus, Kutlesa, Petra, Lenzner, Bernd, Liu, Chunlong, Pagitz, Konrad, Pastor, Teresa, Rabitsch, Wolfgang, Robertson, Peter, Roy, Helen E., Seebens, Hanno, Solarz, Wojciech, Starfinger, Uwe, Tanner, Rob, Vilà, Montserrat, Leung, Brian, Garcia-Lozano, Carla, Jeschke, Jonathan M., Roura-Pascual, Núria, Saul, Wolf-Christian, Pérez-Granados, Cristian, Rutting, Lucas, Peterson, Garry D., Latombe, Guillaume, Essl, Franz, Adriaens, Tim, Aldridge, David C., Bacher, Sven, Bernardo-Madrid, Rubén, Brotons, Lluís, Diaz, François, Gallardo, Belinda, Genovesi, Piero, Golivets, Marina, González-Moreno, Pablo, Hall, Marcus, Kutlesa, Petra, Lenzner, Bernd, Liu, Chunlong, Pagitz, Konrad, Pastor, Teresa, Rabitsch, Wolfgang, Robertson, Peter, Roy, Helen E., Seebens, Hanno, Solarz, Wojciech, Starfinger, Uwe, Tanner, Rob, Vilà, Montserrat, Leung, Brian, Garcia-Lozano, Carla, and Jeschke, Jonathan M.

Abstract

Future dynamics of biological invasions are highly uncertain because they depend on multiple social-ecological drivers. We used a scenario-based approach to explore potential management options for invasive species in Europe. During two workshops involving a multidisciplinary team of experts, we developed a management strategy arranged into 19 goals relating to policy, research, public awareness, and biosecurity. We conceived solutions for achieving these goals under different plausible future scenarios, and identified four interrelated recommendations around which any long-term strategy for managing invasive species can be structured: (1) a European biosecurity regime, (2) a dedicated communication strategy, (3) data standardization and management tools, and (4) a monitoring and assessment system. Finally, we assessed the feasibility of the management strategy and found substantial differences among scenarios. Collectively, our results indicate that it is time for a new strategy for managing biological invasions in Europe, one that is based on a more integrative approach across socioeconomic sectors and countries.

Published
2024
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27. Regional invasion history and land use shape the prevalence of non‐native species in local assemblages

Author

Liu, Daijun, Essl, Franz, Lenzner, Bernd, Moser, Dietmar, Semenchuk, Philipp, Blackburn, Tim M., Cassey, Phillip, Biancolini, Dino, Capinha, César, Dawson, Wayne, Dyer, Ellie E., Guénard, Benoit, Economo, Evan P., Kreft, Holger, Pergl, Jan, Pyšek, Petr, van Kleunen, Mark, Rondinini, Carlo, Seebens, Hanno, Weigelt, Patrick, Winter, Marten, Purvis, Andy, Dullinger, Stefan, Liu, Daijun, Essl, Franz, Lenzner, Bernd, Moser, Dietmar, Semenchuk, Philipp, Blackburn, Tim M., Cassey, Phillip, Biancolini, Dino, Capinha, César, Dawson, Wayne, Dyer, Ellie E., Guénard, Benoit, Economo, Evan P., Kreft, Holger, Pergl, Jan, Pyšek, Petr, van Kleunen, Mark, Rondinini, Carlo, Seebens, Hanno, Weigelt, Patrick, Winter, Marten, Purvis, Andy, and Dullinger, Stefan

Abstract

The ecological impact of non-native species arises from their establishment in local assemblages. However, the rates of non-native spread in new regions and their determinants have not been comprehensively studied. Here, we combined global databases documenting the occurrence of non-native species and residence of non-native birds, mammals, and vascular plants at regional and local scales to describe how the likelihood of non-native occurrence and their proportion in local assemblages relate with their residence time and levels of human usage in different ecosystems. Our findings reveal that local non-native occurrence generally increases with residence time. Colonization is most rapid in croplands and urban areas, while it is slower and variable in natural or semi-natural ecosystems. Notably, non-native occurrence continues to rise even 200 years after introduction, especially for birds and vascular plants, and in other land-use types rather than croplands and urban areas. The impact of residence time on non-native proportions is significant only for mammals. We conclude that the continental exchange of biotas requires considerable time for effects to manifest at the local scale across taxa and land-use types. The unpredictability of future impacts, implied by the slow spread of non-native species, strengthens the call for stronger regulations on the exchange of non-native species to reduce the long-lasting invasion debt looming on ecosystems' future.

Published
2024

28. Curbing the major and growing threats from invasive alien species is urgent and achievable

Author

Roy, Helen E, Pauchard, Aníbal, Stoett, Peter J, Renard Truong, Tanara, Meyerson, Laura A, Bacher, Sven, Galil, Bella S, Hulme, Philip E, Ikeda, Tohru, Kavileveettil, Sankaran, McGeoch, Melodie A, Nuñez, Martin A, Ordonez, Alejandro, Rahlao, Sebataolo J, Schwindt, Evangelina, Seebens, Hanno, Sheppard, Andy W, Vandvik, Vigdis, Aleksanyan, Alla, Ansong, Michael, August, Tom, Blanchard, Ryan, Brugnoli, Ernesto, Bukombe, John K, Bwalya, Bridget, Byun, Chaeho, Camacho-Cervantes, Morelia, Cassey, Phillip, Castillo, María L, Courchamp, Franck, Dehnen-Schmutz, Katharina, Zenni, Rafael Dudeque, Egawa, Chika, Essl, Franz, Fayvush, Georgi, Fernandez, Romina D, Fernandez, Miguel, Foxcroft, Llewellyn C, Genovesi, Piero, Groom, Quentin J, González, Ana Isabel, Helm, Aveliina, Herrera, Ileana, Hiremath, Ankila J, Howard, Patricia, Hui, Cang, Ikegami, Makihiko, Keskin, Emre, Koyama, Asuka, Ksenofontov, Stanislav, Lenzner, Bernd, Lipinskaya, Tatsiana, Lockwood, Julie L, Mangwa, Dongang C, Martinou, Angeliki F, McDermott, Shana M, Morales, Carolina L, Müllerová, Jana, Mungi, Ninad Avinash, Munishi, Linus K, Ojaveer, Henn, Pagad, Shyama N, Pallewatta, Nirmalie P K T S, Peacock, Lora R, Per, Esra, Pergl, Jan, Preda, Cristina, Pyšek, Petr, Rai, Rajesh K, Ricciardi, Anthony, Richardson, David M, Riley, Sophie, Rono, Betty J, Ryan-Colton, Ellen, Saeedi, Hanieh, Shrestha, Bharat B, Simberloff, Daniel, Tawake, Alifereti, Tricarico, Elena, Vanderhoeven, Sonia, Vicente, Joana, Vilà, Montserrat, Wanzala, Wycliffe, Werenkraut, Victoria, Weyl, Olaf L F, Wilson, John R U, Xavier, Rafael O, Ziller, Sílvia R, Roy, Helen E, Pauchard, Aníbal, Stoett, Peter J, Renard Truong, Tanara, Meyerson, Laura A, Bacher, Sven, Galil, Bella S, Hulme, Philip E, Ikeda, Tohru, Kavileveettil, Sankaran, McGeoch, Melodie A, Nuñez, Martin A, Ordonez, Alejandro, Rahlao, Sebataolo J, Schwindt, Evangelina, Seebens, Hanno, Sheppard, Andy W, Vandvik, Vigdis, Aleksanyan, Alla, Ansong, Michael, August, Tom, Blanchard, Ryan, Brugnoli, Ernesto, Bukombe, John K, Bwalya, Bridget, Byun, Chaeho, Camacho-Cervantes, Morelia, Cassey, Phillip, Castillo, María L, Courchamp, Franck, Dehnen-Schmutz, Katharina, Zenni, Rafael Dudeque, Egawa, Chika, Essl, Franz, Fayvush, Georgi, Fernandez, Romina D, Fernandez, Miguel, Foxcroft, Llewellyn C, Genovesi, Piero, Groom, Quentin J, González, Ana Isabel, Helm, Aveliina, Herrera, Ileana, Hiremath, Ankila J, Howard, Patricia, Hui, Cang, Ikegami, Makihiko, Keskin, Emre, Koyama, Asuka, Ksenofontov, Stanislav, Lenzner, Bernd, Lipinskaya, Tatsiana, Lockwood, Julie L, Mangwa, Dongang C, Martinou, Angeliki F, McDermott, Shana M, Morales, Carolina L, Müllerová, Jana, Mungi, Ninad Avinash, Munishi, Linus K, Ojaveer, Henn, Pagad, Shyama N, Pallewatta, Nirmalie P K T S, Peacock, Lora R, Per, Esra, Pergl, Jan, Preda, Cristina, Pyšek, Petr, Rai, Rajesh K, Ricciardi, Anthony, Richardson, David M, Riley, Sophie, Rono, Betty J, Ryan-Colton, Ellen, Saeedi, Hanieh, Shrestha, Bharat B, Simberloff, Daniel, Tawake, Alifereti, Tricarico, Elena, Vanderhoeven, Sonia, Vicente, Joana, Vilà, Montserrat, Wanzala, Wycliffe, Werenkraut, Victoria, Weyl, Olaf L F, Wilson, John R U, Xavier, Rafael O, and Ziller, Sílvia R

Abstract

Although invasive alien species have long been recognized as a major threat to nature and people, until now there has been no comprehensive global review of the status, trends, drivers, impacts, management and governance challenges of biological invasions. The Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES) Thematic Assessment Report on Invasive Alien Species and Their Control (hereafter 'IPBES invasive alien species assessment') drew on more than 13,000 scientific publications and reports in 15 languages as well as Indigenous and local knowledge on all taxa, ecosystems and regions across the globe. Therefore, it provides unequivocal evidence of the major and growing threat of invasive alien species alongside ambitious but realistic approaches to manage biological invasions. The extent of the threat and impacts has been recognized by the 143 member states of IPBES who approved the summary for policymakers of this assessment. Here, the authors of the IPBES assessment outline the main findings of the IPBES invasive alien species assessment and highlight the urgency to act now.

Published
2024

29. A scenario‐guided strategy for the future management of biological invasions

Author

Roura‐Pascual, Núria, Saul, Wolf‐Christian, Pérez‐Granados, Cristian, Rutting, Lucas, Peterson, Garry D., Latombe, Guillaume, Essl, Franz, Adriaens, Tim, Aldridge, David C., Bacher, Sven, Bernardo‐Madrid, Rubén, Brotons, Lluís, Diaz, François, Gallardo, Belinda, Genovesi, Piero, Golivets, Marina, González‐Moreno, Pablo, Hall, Marcus, Kutlesa, Petra, Lenzner, Bernd, Liu, Chunlong, Pagitz, Konrad, Pastor, Teresa, Rabitsch, Wolfgang, Robertson, Peter, Roy, Helen E., Seebens, Hanno, Solarz, Wojciech, Starfinger, Uwe, Tanner, Rob, Vilà, Montserrat, Leung, Brian, Garcia‐Lozano, Carla, Jeschke, Jonathan M., Roura‐Pascual, Núria, Saul, Wolf‐Christian, Pérez‐Granados, Cristian, Rutting, Lucas, Peterson, Garry D., Latombe, Guillaume, Essl, Franz, Adriaens, Tim, Aldridge, David C., Bacher, Sven, Bernardo‐Madrid, Rubén, Brotons, Lluís, Diaz, François, Gallardo, Belinda, Genovesi, Piero, Golivets, Marina, González‐Moreno, Pablo, Hall, Marcus, Kutlesa, Petra, Lenzner, Bernd, Liu, Chunlong, Pagitz, Konrad, Pastor, Teresa, Rabitsch, Wolfgang, Robertson, Peter, Roy, Helen E., Seebens, Hanno, Solarz, Wojciech, Starfinger, Uwe, Tanner, Rob, Vilà, Montserrat, Leung, Brian, Garcia‐Lozano, Carla, and Jeschke, Jonathan M.

Abstract

Future dynamics of biological invasions are highly uncertain because they depend on multiple social–ecological drivers. We used a scenario-based approach to explore potential management options for invasive species in Europe. During two workshops involving a multidisciplinary team of experts, we developed a management strategy arranged into 19 goals relating to policy, research, public awareness, and biosecurity. We conceived solutions for achieving these goals under different plausible future scenarios, and identified four interrelated recommendations around which any long-term strategy for managing invasive species can be structured: (1) a European biosecurity regime, (2) a dedicated communication strategy, (3) data standardization and management tools, and (4) a monitoring and assessment system. Finally, we assessed the feasibility of the management strategy and found substantial differences among scenarios. Collectively, our results indicate that it is time for a new strategy for managing biological invasions in Europe, one that is based on a more integrative approach across socioeconomic sectors and countries.

Published
2024

30. European scenarios for future biological invasions

Author

Pérez‐Granados, Cristian, Lenzner, Bernd, Golivets, Marina, Saul, Wolf‐Christian, Jeschke, Jonathan M., Essl, Franz, Peterson, Garry D., Rutting, Lucas, Latombe, Guillaume, Adriaens, Tim, Aldridge, David C., Bacher, Sven, Bernardo‐Madrid, Rubén, Brotons, Lluís, Díaz, François, Gallardo, Belinda, Genovesi, Piero, González‐Moreno, Pablo, Kühn, Ingolf, Kutleša, Petra, Leung, Brian, Liu, Chunlong, Pagitz, Konrad, Pastor, Teresa, Pauchard, Aníbal, Rabitsch, Wolfgang, Robertson, Peter, Roy, Helen E., Seebens, Hanno, Solarz, Wojciech, Starfinger, Uwe, Tanner, Rob, Vilà, Montserrat, Roura‐Pascual, Núria, Pérez‐Granados, Cristian, Lenzner, Bernd, Golivets, Marina, Saul, Wolf‐Christian, Jeschke, Jonathan M., Essl, Franz, Peterson, Garry D., Rutting, Lucas, Latombe, Guillaume, Adriaens, Tim, Aldridge, David C., Bacher, Sven, Bernardo‐Madrid, Rubén, Brotons, Lluís, Díaz, François, Gallardo, Belinda, Genovesi, Piero, González‐Moreno, Pablo, Kühn, Ingolf, Kutleša, Petra, Leung, Brian, Liu, Chunlong, Pagitz, Konrad, Pastor, Teresa, Pauchard, Aníbal, Rabitsch, Wolfgang, Robertson, Peter, Roy, Helen E., Seebens, Hanno, Solarz, Wojciech, Starfinger, Uwe, Tanner, Rob, Vilà, Montserrat, and Roura‐Pascual, Núria

Abstract

1. Invasive alien species are one of the major threats to global biodiversity, ecosystem integrity, nature's contributions to people and human health. While scenarios about potential future developments have been available for other global change drivers for quite some time, we largely lack an understanding of how biological invasions might unfold in the future across spatial scales. 2. Based on previous work on global invasion scenarios, we developed a workflow to downscale global scenarios to a regional and policy-relevant context. We applied this workflow at the European scale to create four European scenarios of biological invasions until 2050 that consider different environmental, socio-economic and socio-cultural trajectories, namely the European Alien Species Narratives (Eur-ASNs). 3. We compared the Eur-ASNs with their previously published global counterparts (Global-ASNs), assessing changes in 26 scenario variables. This assessment showed a high consistency between global and European scenarios in the logic and assumptions of the scenario variables. However, several discrepancies in scenario variable trends were detected that could be attributed to scale differences. This suggests that the workflow is able to capture scale-dependent differences across scenarios. 4. We also compared the Global- and Eur-ASNs with the widely used Global and European Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), a set of scenarios developed in the context of climate change to capture different future socio-economic trends. Our comparison showed considerable divergences in the scenario space occupied by the different scenarios, with overall larger differences between the ASNs and SSPs than across scales (global vs. European) within the scenario initiatives. 5. Given the differences between the ASNs and SSPs, it seems that the SSPs do not adequately capture the scenario space relevant to understanding the complex future of biological invasions. This underlines the importance of developin

Published
2024

31. European scenarios for future biological invasions

Author

Environmental Governance, Pérez-Granados, Cristian, Lenzner, Bernd, Golivets, Marina, Saul, Wolf Christian, Jeschke, Jonathan M., Essl, Franz, Peterson, Garry D., Rutting, Lucas, Latombe, Guillaume, Adriaens, Tim, Aldridge, David C., Bacher, Sven, Bernardo-Madrid, Rubén, Brotons, Lluís, Díaz, François, Gallardo, Belinda, Genovesi, Piero, González-Moreno, Pablo, Kühn, Ingolf, Kutleša, Petra, Leung, Brian, Liu, Chunlong, Pagitz, Konrad, Pastor, Teresa, Pauchard, Aníbal, Rabitsch, Wolfgang, Robertson, Peter, Roy, Helen E., Seebens, Hanno, Solarz, Wojciech, Starfinger, Uwe, Tanner, Rob, Vilà, Montserrat, Roura-Pascual, Núria, Environmental Governance, Pérez-Granados, Cristian, Lenzner, Bernd, Golivets, Marina, Saul, Wolf Christian, Jeschke, Jonathan M., Essl, Franz, Peterson, Garry D., Rutting, Lucas, Latombe, Guillaume, Adriaens, Tim, Aldridge, David C., Bacher, Sven, Bernardo-Madrid, Rubén, Brotons, Lluís, Díaz, François, Gallardo, Belinda, Genovesi, Piero, González-Moreno, Pablo, Kühn, Ingolf, Kutleša, Petra, Leung, Brian, Liu, Chunlong, Pagitz, Konrad, Pastor, Teresa, Pauchard, Aníbal, Rabitsch, Wolfgang, Robertson, Peter, Roy, Helen E., Seebens, Hanno, Solarz, Wojciech, Starfinger, Uwe, Tanner, Rob, Vilà, Montserrat, and Roura-Pascual, Núria

Published
2024

32. Including a diverse set of voices to address biological invasions

Author

Nuñez, Martin A., August, Tom, Bacher, Sven, Galil, Bella S., Hulme, Philip E., Ikeda, Tohru, McGeoch, Melodie A., Ordonez, Alejandro, Rahlao, Sebataolo, Truong, Tanara Renard, Pauchard, Aníbal, Roy, Helen E., Sankaran, K.V., Schwindt, Evangelina, Seebens, Hanno, Sheppard, Andy W., Stoett, Peter, Vandvik, Vigdis, Meyerson, Laura A., Nuñez, Martin A., August, Tom, Bacher, Sven, Galil, Bella S., Hulme, Philip E., Ikeda, Tohru, McGeoch, Melodie A., Ordonez, Alejandro, Rahlao, Sebataolo, Truong, Tanara Renard, Pauchard, Aníbal, Roy, Helen E., Sankaran, K.V., Schwindt, Evangelina, Seebens, Hanno, Sheppard, Andy W., Stoett, Peter, Vandvik, Vigdis, and Meyerson, Laura A.

Abstract

Inclusivity is fundamental to progress in understanding and addressing the global phenomena of biological invasions because inclusivity fosters a breadth of perspectives, knowledge, and solutions. Here, we report on how the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES) assessment on invasive alien species (IAS) prioritized inclusivity, the benefits of this approach, and the remaining challenges.

Published
2024

33. Biogeography and global flows of 100 major alien fungal and fungus‐like oomycete pathogens

Author

Schertler, Anna, primary, Lenzner, Bernd, additional, Dullinger, Stefan, additional, Moser, Dietmar, additional, Bufford, Jennifer L., additional, Ghelardini, Luisa, additional, Santini, Alberto, additional, Capinha, César, additional, Monteiro, Miguel, additional, Reino, Luís, additional, Wingfield, Michael J., additional, Seebens, Hanno, additional, Thines, Marco, additional, Dawson, Wayne, additional, van Kleunen, Mark, additional, Kreft, Holger, additional, Pergl, Jan, additional, Pyšek, Petr, additional, Weigelt, Patrick, additional, Winter, Marten, additional, and Essl, Franz, additional

Published
2023
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37. The Global Naturalized Alien Flora (GloNAF) database

Author

van Kleunen, Mark, Pyšek, Petr, Dawson, Wayne, Essl, Franz, Kreft, Holger, Pergl, Jan, Weigelt, Patrick, Stein, Anke, Dullinger, Stefan, König, Christian, Lenzner, Bernd, Maurel, Noëlie, Moser, Dietmar, Seebens, Hanno, Kartesz, John, Nishino, Misako, Aleksanyan, Alla, Ansong, Michael, Antonova, Liubov A., Barcelona, Julie F., Breckle, Siegmar W., Brundu, Giuseppe, Cabezas, Francisco J., Cárdenas, Dairon, Cárdenas-Toro, Juliana, Castaño, Nicolás, Chacón, Eduardo, Chatelain, Cyrille, Conn, Barry, de Sá Dechoum, Michele, Dufour-Dror, Jean-Marc, Ebel, Aleksandr L., Figueiredo, Estrela, Fragman-Sapir, Ori, Fuentes, Nicol, Groom, Quentin J., Henderson, Lesley, Inderjit, Jogan, Nejc, Krestov, Pavel, Kupriyanov, Andrey, Masciadri, Silvana, Meerman, Jan, Morozova, Olga, Nickrent, Daniel, Nowak, Arkadiusz, Patzelt, Annette, Pelser, Pieter B., Shu, Wen-Sheng, Thomas, Jacob, Uludag, Ahmet, Velayos, Mauricio, Verkhosina, Alla, Villaseñor, José L., Weber, Ewald, Wieringa, Jan J., Yazlik, Ayşe, Zeddam, Abida, Zykova, Elena, and Winter, Marten

Published
2019

38. The global loss of floristic uniqueness

Author

Yang, Qiang, Weigelt, Patrick, Fristoe, Trevor S., Zhang, Zhijie, Kreft, Holger, Stein, Anke, Seebens, Hanno, Dawson, Wayne, Essl, Franz, König, Christian, Lenzner, Bernd, Pergl, Jan, Pouteau, Robin, Pyšek, Petr, Winter, Marten, Ebel, Aleksandr L., Fuentes, Nicol, Giehl, Eduardo L. H., Kartesz, John, Krestov, Pavel, Kukk, Toomas, Nishino, Misako, Kupriyanov, Andrey, Villaseñor, Jose Luis, Wieringa, Jan J., Zeddam, Abida, Zykova, Elena, and van Kleunen, Mark

Published
2021
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40. Complexity in human transportation networks: A comparative analysis of worldwide air transportation and global cargo ship movements

Author

O'Danleyman, Grastivia, Lee, Jake Jungbin, Seebens, Hanno, Blasius, Bernd, and Brockmann, Dirk

Subjects
Physics - Physics and Society, Condensed Matter - Statistical Mechanics, Computer Science - Social and Information Networks
Abstract

We present a comparative network theoretic analysis of the two largest global transportation networks: The worldwide air-transportation network (WAN) and the global cargoship network (GCSN). We show that both networks exhibit striking statistical similarities despite significant differences in topology and connectivity. Both networks exhibit a discontinuity in node and link betweenness distributions which implies that these networks naturally segragate in two different classes of nodes and links. We introduce a technique based on effective distances, shortest paths and shortest-path trees for strongly weighted symmetric networks and show that in a shortest-path-tree representation the most significant features of both networks can be readily seen. We show that effective shortest-path distance, unlike conventional geographic distance measures, strongly correlates with node centrality measures. Using the new technique we show that network resilience can be investigated more precisely than with contemporary techniques that are based on percolation theory. We extract a functional relationship between node characteristics and resilience to network disruption. Finally we discuss the results, their implications and conclude that dynamic processes that evolve on both networks are expected to share universal dynamic characteristics.

Published
2011

41. Global indicators of the environmental impacts of invasive alien species and their information adequacy.

Author

Henriksen, Marie V., Arlé, Eduardo, Pili, Arman, Clarke, David A., García-Berthou, Emili, Groom, Quentin, Lenzner, Bernd, Meyer, Carsten, Seebens, Hanno, Tingley, Reid, Winter, Marten, and McGeoch, Melodie A.

Subjects
ENVIRONMENTAL indicators, INTRODUCED species, BIOLOGICAL invasions, INVASIVE plants, BIOSPHERE, INFECTIOUS disease transmission, ECOLOGICAL models
Abstract

Monitoring the extent to which invasive alien species (IAS) negatively impact the environment is crucial for understanding and mitigating biological invasions. Indeed, such information is vital for achieving Target 6 of the Kunming–Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework. However, to-date indicators for tracking the environmental impacts of IAS have been either lacking or insufficient. Capitalizing on advances in data availability and impact assessment protocols, we developed environmental impact indicators to track realized and potential impacts of IAS. We also developed an information status indicator to assess the adequacy of the data underlying the impact indicators. We used data on 75 naturalized amphibians from 82 countries to demonstrate the indicators at a global scale. The information status indicator shows variation in the reliability of the data and highlights areas where absence of impact should be interpreted with caution. Impact indicators show that growth in potential impacts are dominated by predatory species, while potential impacts from both predation and disease transmission are distributed worldwide. Using open access data, the indicators are reproducible and adaptable across scales and taxa and can be used to assess global trends and distributions of IAS, assisting authorities in prioritizing control efforts and identifying areas at risk of future invasions. This article is part of the theme issue 'Ecological novelty and planetary stewardship: biodiversity dynamics in a transforming biosphere'. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Published
2024
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42. Biogeography and global flows of 100 major alien fungal and fungus‐like oomycete pathogens.

Author

Schertler, Anna, Lenzner, Bernd, Dullinger, Stefan, Moser, Dietmar, Bufford, Jennifer L., Ghelardini, Luisa, Santini, Alberto, Capinha, César, Monteiro, Miguel, Reino, Luís, Wingfield, Michael J., Seebens, Hanno, Thines, Marco, Dawson, Wayne, van Kleunen, Mark, Kreft, Holger, Pergl, Jan, Pyšek, Petr, Weigelt, Patrick, and Winter, Marten

Subjects
OOMYCETES, BIOGEOGRAPHY, TROPICAL forests, INTRODUCED species, TEMPERATE forests, GROSS domestic product
Abstract

Aim: Spreading infectious diseases associated with introduced pathogens can have devastating effects on native biota and human livelihoods. We analyse the global distribution of 100 major alien fungal and oomycete pathogens with substantial socio‐economic and environmental impacts and examine their taxonomy, ecological characteristics, temporal accumulation trajectories, regional hot‐ and coldspots of taxon richness and taxon flows between continents. Location: Global. Taxon: Alien/cryptogenic fungi and fungus‐like oomycetes, pathogenic to plants or animals. Methods: To identify over/underrepresented classes and phyla, we performed Chi2 tests of independence. To describe spatial patterns, we calculated the region‐wise richness and identified hot‐ and coldspots, defined as residuals after correcting taxon richness for region area and sampling effort via a quasi‐Poisson regression. We examined the relationship with environmental and socio‐economic drivers with a multiple linear regression and evaluated a potential island effect. Regional first records were pooled over 20‐year periods, and for global flows the links between the native range to the alien regions were mapped. Results: Peronosporomycetes (Oomycota) were overrepresented among taxa and regional taxon richness was positively correlated with area and sampling effort. While no island effect was found, likely due to host limitations, hotspots were correlated with human modification of terrestrial land, per capita gross domestic product, temperate and tropical forest biomes, and orobiomes. Regional first records have increased steeply in recent decades. While Europe and Northern America were major recipients, about half of the taxa originate from Asia. Main Conclusions: We highlight the putative importance of anthropogenic drivers, such as land use providing a conducive environment, contact opportunities and susceptible hosts, as well as economic wealth likely increasing colonisation pressure. While most taxa were associated with socio‐economic impacts, possibly partly due to a bias in research focus, about a third show substantial impacts to both socio‐economy and the environment, underscoring the importance of maintaining a wholescale perspective across natural and managed systems. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Published
2024
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43. Invasion trends: An interpretable measure of change is needed to support policy targets

Author

McGeoch, Melodie A., primary, Buba, Yehezkel, additional, Arlé, Eduardo, additional, Belmaker, Jonathan, additional, Clarke, David A., additional, Jetz, Walter, additional, Li, Richard, additional, Seebens, Hanno, additional, Essl, Franz, additional, Groom, Quentin, additional, García‐Berthou, Emili, additional, Lenzner, Bernd, additional, Meyer, Carsten, additional, Vicente, Joana R., additional, Wilson, John R. U., additional, and Winter, Marten, additional

Published
2023
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44. Remoteness promotes biological invasions on islands worldwide

Author

Moser, Dietmar, Lenzner, Bernd, Weigelt, Patrick, Dawson, Wayne, Kreft, Holger, Pergl, Jan, Pyšek, Petr, van Kleunen, Mark, Winter, Marten, Capinha, César, Cassey, Phillip, Dullinger, Stefan, Economo, Evan P., García-Díaz, Pablo, Guénard, Benoit, Hofhansl, Florian, Mang, Thomas, Seebens, Hanno, and Essl, Franz

Published
2018

46. Global rise in emerging alien species results from increased accessibility of new source pools

Author

Seebens, Hanno, Blackburn, Tim M., Dyer, Ellie E., Genovesi, Piero, Hulme, Philip E., Jeschke, Jonathan M., Pagad, Shyama, Pyšek, Petr, van Kleunen, Mark, Winter, Marten, Ansong, Michael, Arianoutsou, Margarita, Bacher, Sven, Blasius, Bernd, Brockerhoff, Eckehard G., Brundu, Giuseppe, Capinha, César, Causton, Charlotte E., Celesti-Grapow, Laura, Dawson, Wayne, Dullinger, Stefan, Economo, Evan P., Fuentes, Nicol, Guénard, Benoit, Jäger, Heinke, Kartesz, John, Kenis, Marc, Kühn, Ingolf, Lenzner, Bernd, Liebhold, Andrew M., Mosena, Alexander, Moser, Dietmar, Nentwig, Wolfgang, Nishino, Misako, Pearman, David, Pergl, Jan, Rabitsch, Wolfgang, Rojas-Sandoval, Julissa, Roques, Alain, Rorke, Stephanie, Rossinelli, Silvia, Roy, Helen E., Scalera, Riccardo, Schindler, Stefan, Štajerová, Kateřina, Tokarska-Guzik, Barbara, Walker, Kevin, Ward, Darren F., Yamanaka, Takehiko, and Essl, Franz

Published
2018

50. B-Cubed: Leveraging Analysis-Ready Biodiversity Datasets and Cloud Computing for Timely and Actionable Biodiversity Monitoring

Author

Groom, Quentin, primary, Abraham, Laura, additional, Adriaens, Tim, additional, Breugelmans, Lissa, additional, Clarke, David, additional, Fernández, Miguel, additional, Hendrickx, Louise, additional, Hui, Cang, additional, Kumschick, Sabrina, additional, Martini, Matilde, additional, McGeoch, Melodie, additional, Metodiev, Teodor, additional, Miller, Joe, additional, Oldoni, Damiano, additional, Pereira, Henrique, additional, Preda, Cristina, additional, Robertson, Tim, additional, Rocchini, Duccio, additional, Seebens, Hanno, additional, Teixeira, Heliana, additional, Trekels, Maarten, additional, Wilson, John Ross, additional, Yovcheva, Nikol, additional, Zengeya, Tsungai, additional, and Desmet, Peter, additional

Published
2023
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