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Abstract Intraoperative targeting of the analgesic effect still lacks an optimal solution. Opioids are currently the main drug used to achieve antinociception, and although underdosing can lead to an increased stress response, overdose can also lead to undesirable adverse effects. To better understand how to achieve the optimal analgesic effect of opioids, we studied the influence of remifentanil on the pupillary reflex dilation (PRD) and its relationship with the reflex movement response to a standardized noxious stimulus. The main objective was to generate population pharmacodynamic models relating remifentanil predicted concentrations to movement and to pupillary dilation during general anesthesia. A total of 78 patients undergoing gynecological surgery under general anesthesia were recruited for the study. PRD and movement response to a tetanic stimulus were measured multiple times before and after surgery. We used nonlinear mixed effects modeling to generate a population pharmacodynamic model to describe both the time profiles of PRD and movement responses to noxious stimulation. Our model demonstrated that movement and PRD are equally depressed by remifentanil. Using the developed model, we changed the intensity of stimulation and simulated remifentanil predicted concentrations maximizing the probability of absence of movement response. An estimated effect site concentration of 2 ng/ml of remifentanil was found to inhibit movement to a tetanic stimulation with a probability of 81%.

Abstract Background The amount of propofol needed to induce loss of responsiveness varied widely among patients, and they usually required less than the initial dose recommended by the drug package inserts. Identifying precisely the moment of loss of responsiveness will determine the amount of propofol each patient needs. Currently, methods to decide the exact moment of loss of responsiveness are based on subjective analysis, and the monitors that use objective methods fail in precision. Based on previous studies, we believe that the blink reflex can be useful to characterize, more objectively, the transition from responsiveness to unresponsiveness. The purpose of this study is to investigate the relation between the electrically evoked blink reflex and the level of sedation/anesthesia measured with an adapted version of the Richmond Agitation–Sedation Scale, during the induction phase of general anesthesia with propofol and remifentanil. Adding the blink reflex to other variables may allow a more objective assessment of the exact moment of loss of responsiveness and a more personalized approach to anesthesia induction. Results The electromyographic-derived features proved to be good predictors to estimate the different levels of sedation/anesthesia. The results of the multinomial analysis showed a reasonable performance of the model, explaining almost 70% of the adapted Richmond Agitation–Sedation Scale variance. The overall predictive accuracy for the model was 73.6%, suggesting that it is useful to predict loss of responsiveness. Conclusions Our developed model was based on the information of the electromyographic-derived features from the blink reflex responses. It was able to predict the drug effect in patients undergoing general anesthesia, which can be helpful for the anesthesiologists to reduce the overwhelming variability observed between patients and avoid many cases of overdosing and associated risks. Despite this, future research is needed to account for variabilities in the clinical response of the patients and with the interactions between propofol and remifentanil. Nevertheless, a method that could allow for an automatic prediction/detection of loss of responsiveness is a step forward for personalized medicine.