1. Development and validation of prediction models for fetal growth restriction and birthweight: an individual participant data meta-analysis
- Author
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John Allotey, Lucinda Archer, Dyuti Coomar, Kym IE Snell, Melanie Smuk, Lucy Oakey, Sadia Haqnawaz, Ana Pilar Betrán, Lucy C Chappell, Wessel Ganzevoort, Sanne Gordijn, Asma Khalil, Ben W Mol, Rachel K Morris, Jenny Myers, Aris T Papageorghiou, Basky Thilaganathan, Fabricio Da Silva Costa, Fabio Facchinetti, Arri Coomarasamy, Akihide Ohkuchi, Anne Eskild, Javier Arenas Ramírez, Alberto Galindo, Ignacio Herraiz, Federico Prefumo, Shigeru Saito, Line Sletner, Jose Guilherme Cecatti, Rinat Gabbay-Benziv, Francois Goffinet, Ahmet A Baschat, Renato T Souza, Fionnuala Mone, Diane Farrar, Seppo Heinonen, Kjell Å Salvesen, Luc JM Smits, Sohinee Bhattacharya, Chie Nagata, Satoru Takeda, Marleen MHJ van Gelder, Dewi Anggraini, SeonAe Yeo, Jane West, Javier Zamora, Hema Mistry, Richard D Riley, and Shakila Thangaratinam
- Subjects
fetal growth restriction ,birthweight ,prediction model ,prognostic model ,economic evaluation ,external validation ,individual participantdata ,Medical technology ,R855-855.5 - Abstract
Background Fetal growth restriction is associated with perinatal morbidity and mortality. Early identification of women having at-risk fetuses can reduce perinatal adverse outcomes. Objectives To assess the predictive performance of existing models predicting fetal growth restriction and birthweight, and if needed, to develop and validate new multivariable models using individual participant data. Design Individual participant data meta-analyses of cohorts in International Prediction of Pregnancy Complications network, decision curve analysis and health economics analysis. Participants Pregnant women at booking. External validation of existing models (9 cohorts, 441,415 pregnancies); International Prediction of Pregnancy Complications model development and validation (4 cohorts, 237,228 pregnancies). Predictors Maternal clinical characteristics, biochemical and ultrasound markers. Primary outcomes fetal growth restriction defined as birthweight 32 weeks). To assess if the performance of the prediction models is generalisable for various definitions of FGR, and assess the association between various birthweight centiles calculated using customised and population-based standards and perinatal morbidity and mortality. To estimate the net benefit (clinical utility) of the developed prediction models using decision curve analysis (DCA). To assess the costs and outcomes and the potential impact of resource use of the prediction models. Methods We followed existing recommendations for prediction model development and validation and reported in line with guidelines for prognostic research and IPD meta-analysis. Our meta-analysis utilised IPD within the IPPIC Network database. IPPIC is a living data repository of cleaned and harmonised data of pregnant women from large birth or population-based cohorts, study cohort data, registries or unpublished data from hospital records. The primary outcomes were (1) FGR defined as birthweight
- Published
- 2024
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