1. Predicting overall survival and prophylactic cranial irradiation benefit in small cell lung cancer patients: a multicenter cohort study.
- Author
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Zheng X, Liu K, Gao Z, Li C, Tong L, Rong C, Li S, Liu Y, and Wu X
- Subjects
- Humans, Male, Female, Middle Aged, Retrospective Studies, Aged, Tomography, X-Ray Computed methods, Prognosis, Adult, Small Cell Lung Carcinoma radiotherapy, Small Cell Lung Carcinoma mortality, Small Cell Lung Carcinoma pathology, Small Cell Lung Carcinoma diagnostic imaging, Lung Neoplasms radiotherapy, Lung Neoplasms pathology, Lung Neoplasms mortality, Lung Neoplasms diagnostic imaging, Cranial Irradiation methods, Nomograms
- Abstract
Background: To construct a CT-based radiomics nomogram, enabling the estimation of overall survival (OS) in small cell lung cancer (SCLC) patients and facilitating the identification of prophylactic cranial irradiation (PCI) beneficiaries through risk stratification using the radiomics score (RS)., Methods: A retrospective recruitment of 375 patients with pathologically confirmed SCLC was conducted across three medical centers, followed by their division into different cohorts. To generate the RS, a series of analyses were performed, including Pearson correlation analysis, univariate Cox analysis, and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression analysis. Subsequently, patients were stratified into either the low RS or high RS group, determined by identifying the optimal RS cutoff value. Subsequently, a radiomics nomogram was constructed using the RS, followed by assessments of its discrimination, calibration, clinical utility and reclassification. Moreover, we evaluated the potential benefits of PCI following stratification by RS., Results: For the internal and external validation cohorts, the radiomics nomogram (concordance index [C-index]: 0.770, 0.763) outperformed clinical nomogram (C-index: 0.625, 0.570) in predicting OS. Besides, patients with high RS had survival benefit from PCI in both the limited and extensive stage (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.304, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.087-1.065, P = 0.003; HR: 0.481, 95% CI: 0.270-0.860, P = 0.019, respectively), while no significant association were observed in patients with low RS., Conclusion: A radiomics nomogram based on CT shows potential in predicting OS for individuals with SCLC. The RS could assist in tailoring treatment plans to identify patients likely to benefit from PCI., Competing Interests: Declarations. Ethics approval and consent to participate: This retrospective study involving human participants was reviewed and approved by the ethics committees of The First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University (PJ2022-13–48), The First Affiliated Hospital of USTC, Division of Life Sciences and Medicine, University of Science and Technology of China (2024-RE-101), and Anhui Provincial Cancer Hospital (2023-YXK-13). Informed consent was waived due to the retrospective nature. Consent for publication: Not applicable. Competing interests: The authors declare no competing interests., (© 2024. The Author(s).)
- Published
- 2024
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