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In June 2019 the Health Protection Team in Yorkshire and Humber, England, was notified of cases of hepatitis A virus (HAV) infection in staff at a secondary school. Investigation revealed that an earlier case worked as a food handler in the school kitchen. Indirect transmission through food from the canteen was considered the most likely route of transmission. Cases were described according to setting of exposure. Oral fluid was obtained from students for serological testing. Environmental investigations were undertaken at settings where food handling was considered a potential transmission risk. Thirty-three confirmed cases were linked to the outbreak. All of those tested (n = 31) shared the same sequence with a HAV IB genotype. The first three cases were a household cluster and included the index case for the school. A further 19 cases (16 students, 3 staff) were associated with the school and consistent with indirect exposure to the food handler. One late onset case could not be ruled out as a secondary case within the school and resulted in vaccination of the school population. Five cases were linked to a bakery where a case from the initial household cluster worked as a food server. No concerns about hygiene standards were noted at either the school or the bakery. Oral fluid samples taken at the time of vaccination from asymptomatic students (n = 219, 11–16 years-old) showed no evidence of recent or current infection. This outbreak included household and foodborne transmission but limited (and possibly zero) person-to-person transmission among secondary school students. Where adequate hygiene exists, secondary transmission within older students may not occur. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Introduction: Research about perceived injustice (PI) in people with pain is expanding1. PI predicts adverse pain-related and disability outcomes2, and increases the risk of long-term opioid use potentially leading to side-effects3. Therefore, understanding PI in people with pain is necessary to target interventions and prevent pain chronicity. Methods: A systematic search was conducted. Two independent reviewers screened and evaluated the literature and extracted the data. Meta-analyses were performed for prevalence rates and factors associated with PI in people with pain. Results: Fifty-four studies were found eligible. Prevalence of PI ranged between 23-77% (I² = 99%). Significant associations were found with pain catastrophizing, posttraumatic stress, anger, anxiety, pain acceptance, depressive symptoms, kinesiophobia, academic functioning, disability, emotional functioning, pain interference, state anger, mental functioning, central sensitization, social functioning, physical functioning, pain perceptions, trait anger, pain intensity, and anger inhibition. Discussion: Prevalence was =33 in 75% of the studies. Considering PI in the treatment of people with pain is important due to its association with adverse pain, psychological, and quality of life characteristics. Process evaluation: This is the first systematic review estimating the prevalence and factors associated with PI. Methodologically, not all association measures (e.g., odds-ratios, beta-coefficients) could be included in the meta-analyses. Since we focussed on associations, we cannot draw any conclusions on causal interactions between PI and related factors in people with pain. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Mistrust, suspicion and rumours have circulated around the purpose and motives behind recent Ebola vaccine clinical trials. EBOVAC-Salone is a community-based Phase II trial of the candidate Ad26.ZEBOV/MVA-BN-Filo prime-boost vaccine regimen against Ebola being conducted in Kambia, Sierra Leone. In this setting, we established a system for regular dialogue between trial staff and community members in order to build and sustain trust and to provide a mechanism to listen and respond promptly to rumours, concerns or misinformation in the community. Methods & Materials: A local community liaison team engage with the community at levels. Strategies include one-toone engagement with key stakeholders; public meetings with influential civil society and traditional leaders; house-to-house sensitisation, and use of traditional communication media such as radio. In addition, a social science team act as the 'eyes and ears' for the trial, listening to what individuals are saying about the study through both informal community observation and formal clinic exit interviews, in-depth interviews with participants and key stakeholders, and focus group discussions. The social science team provide daily feedback to the community liaison team on any rumours, concerns or misinformation circulating in the community, to inform prompt responses or clarifications. Furthermore, an external communications manager monitors national-level rumours and concerns and provides information on the trial at national and international level. Results: Full engagement has occurred with both local leaders and the community. Enrolment in the trial has occurred successfully thus far, with trial participants voluntarily acting as ambassadors and encouraging others to volunteer. No disruption has occurred to the trial through rumours or misinformation thus far. Influential individuals in the community have assisted with disseminating messages and promptly addressing misconceptions. Conclusion: Through a novel collaboration, we have formed an effective rapid response system for rumours and misinformation related to an Ebola vaccine trial during an outbreak. In addition, we have developed strong collaboration with the community through regular dialogue with stakeholders and trial participants. As a result, a community in rural Sierra Leone with no previous experience of medical research have developed a strong acceptance and understanding of the purpose of and processes involved in an Ebola vaccine trial. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Vancomycin-resistant Enterococci (VRE) infections are recurrently reported in different parts of India in the last two decades. However, an up-to-date, countrywide information concerning the prevalence and the rate of VRE in India is limited and hence this study aimed to estimate the pooled prevalence of VRE in India., Methods: A literature search was performed using various databases. The Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines were followed throughout. Cross-sectional studies reporting the prevalence of VRE in India from human samples whereby at least two Enterococci were isolated between 1 January 2000 and 31 December 2022 were sought for inclusion. Data were extracted and analysed using Microsoft Excel and Comprehensive Meta-analysis version 4, respectively., Results: Nineteen studies were included in the analyses. A collective total of 3683 Enterococci isolates were examined, of which 368 were VRE strains. The pooled prevalence of VRE in India was calculated at 12.4% (95% CI: 8.6-17.5; Q = 189.69; I 2  = 90.51%; p = < 0.001). E. faecalis was the most frequently isolated species (1450 [39.37%]) followed by E. faecium (724 [19.66%]). Amongst the VRE strains, E. faecium was the most prevalent (214 [58.15%]) followed by E. faecalis (134 [36.41%]). An upsurge in the rate of VRE infections was observed in India over time: VRE prevalence was estimated at 4.8% between 2000 and 2010 and 14.1% between 2011 and 2020., Conclusion: This study presents the most up-to-date information on the rate of VRE infections in India. Though lower than the findings for some less developed countries, VRE prevalence in India is notable and on the rise., (© 2023. BioMed Central Ltd., part of Springer Nature.)

Background: Perceived injustice (PI) is a multidimensional appraisal cognition comprising the severity of loss consequent to injury, blame, a sense of unfairness, and/or irreparability of loss. PI gained increasing interest in pain research since it potentially contributes to the experience and burden of (chronic) pain., Objectives: This systematic review aimed to determine the prevalence of PI and factors associated with PI in people with pain., Study Design: Systematic review with meta-analysis., Methods: Web of Science, PubMed, and Embase were screened for cross-sectional or cohort studies encompassing human patients who were diagnosed with a condition causing pain and reported prevalence rates for PI and/or associations between a factor and PI. Meta-analyses were carried out, and subgroup analyses were undertaken based on the methodological quality of the studies, the type of pain population, and whether the outcome measure was valid or not in case of heterogeneity (P < 0.05)., Results: Fifty-four studies were found eligible. The prevalence of PI ranged from 23% to 77% (I2 = 99%, P < 0.001). Association with PI, assessed using the Injustice Experienced Questionnaire, were found with pain catastrophizing (pooled Pearson's r [rp] = 0.66 [0.64, 0.69], P < 0.00001), posttraumatic stress (rp = 0.63 [0.59, 0.67], P < 0.00001), anger (rp = 0.59 [0.49, 0.67], P < 0.00001), anxiety (rp = 0.59 [0.52, 0.64], P < 0.00001), pain acceptance (rp = -0.59 [-0.66, -0.49], P < 0.00001), depressive symptoms (rp = 0.57 [0.52, 0.60], P < 0.00001), kinesiophobia (rp = 0.57 [0.50, 0.64], P < 0.00001), academic functioning (rp = -0.54 [-0.65, -0.41], P < 0.00001), disability (rp = 0.53 [0.47, 0.59], P < 0.00001), emotional functioning (rp = -0.52 [-0.64, -0.39], P < 0.00001), pain interference (rp = 0.49 [0.35, 0.60], P < 0.00001), state anger (rp = 0.48 [0.41, 0.54], P < 0.00001), mental functioning (rp = -0.48 [-0.57, -0.38], P < 0.00001), symptoms of central sensitization (rp = 0.47 [0.39, 0.55], P < 0.00001), social functioning (rp = -0.47 [-0.60, -0.31], P < 0.00001), and physical functioning (rp = -0.43 [-0.53, -0.33], P < 0.00001), pain perceptions (rp = 0.40 [0.40, 0.64], P < 0.00001), trait anger (rp = 0.40 [0.29, 0.49], P < 0.00001), pain intensity (rp = 0.37 [0.33, 0.42], P < 0.00001), and anger inhibition (rp = 0.35 [0.26, 0.43], P < 0.00001)., Limitations: Some articles had to be excluded due to the absence of a full-text version. The findings can largely be applied to developed and high-income countries, but further research is needed in developing countries. Also, no validated cutoff values were available for the National Institutes of Health to determine the methodological quality of the included studies. Lastly, high heterogeneity was observed in many of the performed analyses. However, this was addressed by performing subgroup analyses, which could decrease heterogeneity in some cases., Conclusions: The prevalence of PI was >= 33% in 75% of the studies indicating that PI is important to consider in people with pain. There is evidence for the association of PI with psychological, pain, and quality of life characteristics in people with pain. The associations of PI with personal, injury, and recovery characteristics were overall not significant or negligible.

Background: Numerous studies have shown the effectiveness of testing for hepatitis B (HBV) and hepatitis C (HCV) in emergency departments (ED), due to the elevated prevalence amongst attendees. The aim of this study was to conduct a cost-effectiveness analysis of universal opt-out HBV and HCV testing in EDs based on 2 long-term studies of the real-world effectiveness of testing in 2 large ED's in the UK., Methods: A Markov model was used to evaluate ED-based HBV and HCV testing versus no ED testing, in addition to current testing practice. The two EDs had a HBV HBsAg prevalence of 0.5-0.9% and an HCV RNA prevalence of 0.9-1.0%. The analysis was performed from a UK health service perspective, over a lifetime time horizon. Costs are reported in British pounds (GBP), and outcomes as quality adjusted life years (QALYs), with both discounted at 3.5% per year. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER) are calculated as costs per QALY gained. A willingness-to-pay threshold of £20,000/QALY was used. The cost-effectiveness was estimated for both infections, in both ED's., Results: HBV and HCV testing were highly cost-effective in both settings, with ICERs ranging from £7,177 to £12,387 per QALY gained. In probabilistic analyses, HBV testing was 89-94% likely to be cost-effective at the threshold, while HCV testing was 94-100% likely to be cost-effective, across both settings. In deterministic sensitivity analyses, testing remained cost-effective in both locations at ≥ 0.25% HBsAg prevalence, and ≥ 0.49% HCV RNA prevalence. This is much lower than the prevalence observed in the two EDs included in this study., Conclusions: HBV and HCV testing in urban EDs is highly cost-effective in the UK, and can be cost-effective at relatively low prevalence. These results should be reflected in UK and European hepatitis testing guidelines., (© 2022. The Author(s).)

Innovative testing approaches and care pathways are required to meet HIV, hepatitis B (HBV) and hepatitis C (HCV) elimination goals. Routine testing for blood-borne viruses (BBVs) within emergency departments (EDs) is suggested by the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control but there is a paucity of supporting evidence. We evaluated the introduction of routine BBV testing in EDs at a large teaching hospital in northern England. In October 2018, we modified the electronic laboratory ordering system to reflex opt-out HIV, HBV and HCV testing for all ED attendees aged 16-65 years who had a routine blood test for urea and electrolytes (U&Es). Linkage to care (LTC) was attempted for newly diagnosed patients, those never referred and those who had previously disengaged from care. The project operated for 18 months, here we present evaluation of the initial nine months (2 October 2018-1 July 2019). We analysed testing uptake, BBV seropositivity, LTC and treatment initiation within six months post-diagnosis. Over 9 months, 17,026/28,178 (60.4%) ED attendees who had U&Es performed were tested for ≥ 1 BBV. 299 active BBV infections were identified: 70 HIV Ab/Ag-positive (0.4% seroprevalence), 73 HBsAg-positive (0.4%) and 156 HCV RNA-positive (1.0%). Only 24.3% (17/70) HIV Ab/Ag-positive individuals required LTC, compared to 94.9% (148/156) HCV RNA-positive and 53.4% (39/73) HBsAg-positive individuals. LTC was successful in 94.1% (16/17) HIV Ab/Ag-positive and 69.3% (27/39) HBsAg-positive individuals. However, at 6 months LTC was just 39.2% (58/148) for HCV RNA-positive individuals, with 64% (37/58) of these commencing treatment. Universal opt-out ED BBV testing proved feasible and effective in identifying active BBV infections, especially among marginalised populations with reduced healthcare access. Our integrated approach achieved good LTC rates although further service development is necessary, particularly for HCV RNA-positive people who inject drugs., (© 2022. The Author(s).)

We explored the association of Ebola virus antibody seropositivity and concentration with potential risk factors for infection. Among 1,282 adults and children from a community affected by the 2014-2016 Ebola outbreak in Sierra Leone, 8% were seropositive for virus antibodies but never experienced disease symptoms. Antibody concentration increased with age.

In August 2018, Public Health England (PHE) was made aware of five probable cases of Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli (STEC) O157:H7 among individuals reporting participation in a mud-based obstacle race. An additional four cases, identified via routine whole-genome sequencing, were subsequently linked to the same event. Two of the nine cases were due to secondary household transmission. Despite an agreement between the event organizers and the local authority, to ensure that all livestock were removed from the site 28 days before the event, sheep were observed grazing on some of the routes taken by the runners 2 days prior to the race taking place. A retrospective review of incidents reported to PHE between 2015 and 2018 identified 41 cases of gastroenteritis associated with muddy assault course events. Of these, 25 cases were due to infection with STEC O157:H7, of which all but one were associated with outbreaks. Due to the environment in which such events take place, it is impossible to entirely remove the risk of exposure to potentially pathogenic zoonoses. However, race organizers should ensure that livestock are removed from the course 28 days before the event. They should also ensure that participants are made aware of the risk of contracting gastrointestinal disease from the environment, and to stress the importance of hand hygiene post-event and the risk of secondary transmission, particularly to children who are at risk of developing haemolytic uraemic syndrome., (© 2020 Blackwell Verlag GmbH.)

Background: Lassa fever is an acute viral haemorrhagic disease endemic in Nigeria. The 2018 Lassa fever outbreak in Nigeria was unprecedented, with 8% of all cases occurring among healthcare workers (HCWs). A disproportionately high number of these infections occurred in HCWs working in a tertiary health facility in Nigeria. This paper describes the cluster of Lassa fever infections among HCWs in a treatment centre and the lessons learnt., Methods: We analysed clinical, epidemiological and laboratory data from surveillance and laboratory records kept during the 2018 outbreak. Interviews were conducted with surviving HCWs using a questionnaire developed specifically for the investigation of Lassa fever infections in HCWs. Descriptive analysis of the data was performed in Microsoft excel., Results: The index case was a 15-year-old male who presented at the health facility with fever and uncontrolled nasopharyngeal bleeding, following a recent uvulectomy by a traditional healer. Overall, 16 HCWs were affected (15 confirmed and 1 probable) with five deaths (CFR-31.6%). Of the 15 confirmed cases, five (33.3%) were asymptomatic. Nine HCWs were direct contacts of the index case; the remaining six HCWs had no direct contact with the index case. HCW interviews identified a low index of suspicion for Lassa fever leading to inadequate infection prevention and control (IPC) practices as possible contributing factors to nosocomial transmission., Conclusion: Maintaining a high index of suspicion for Lassa fever in all patients, especially in endemic areas, is essential in adhering to adequate IPC practices in health facilities in order to prevent nosocomial transmission of Lassa fever among HCWs. There is a need to continually train and sensitise HCWs on strict adherence to IPC measures while providing care, irrespective of a patient's provisional diagnosis., (Crown Copyright © 2019. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Background/aims During the 2014-2016 West African Ebola epidemic, clinical trials were fast-tracked in order to identify prophylactic vaccines and experimental treatments that might be useful in preventing or treating Ebola. These trials included the ongoing EBOVAC-Salone study, which was established and implemented in Sierra Leone to assess the safety and immunogenicity of the Ad26.ZEBOV/MVA-BN-Filo prime-boost Ebola vaccine regimen. Methods This article describes the experiences of the EBOVAC-Salone research team in setting up and implementing the trial, and provides recommendations for research teams aiming to conduct clinical trials in future outbreak situations. Results Establishing a clinical trial during an outbreak brought some unique challenges, including those related to trial design and the regulatory environment, operational issues, and community engagement. The situation was further complicated by the weak infrastructure and limited experience of clinical trials in Sierra Leone. However, operating in an outbreak context also brought some benefits to the research team, including strong stakeholder support. The EBOVAC-Salone study recruited participants both during and after the outbreak, leading to additional challenges to trial implementation during the post-outbreak transition. Conclusion Many lessons have been learned about setting up and implementing a clinical trial during a devastating Ebola epidemic, and some of the experiences of the EBOVAC-Salone team were mirrored by those of other researchers operating in the region. Common to several of these research groups is a recommendation that research should be more closely incorporated into outbreak response planning, which could expedite the establishment of timely and appropriate research projects. We recommend that the lessons learned by researchers during the West African Ebola epidemic are built into programmes and strategies to improve the responses to future epidemics, wherever they occur.

The 2014-2016 Ebola epidemic presented a challenging setting in which to carry out clinical trials. This paper reports findings from social science research carried out in Kambia, Northern Sierra Leone during first year of an Ebola vaccine trial (August 2015-July 2016). The social science team collected data through ethnographic observation, 42 in depth interviews; 4 life narratives; 200 exit interviews; 31 key informant interviews; and 8 focus group discussions with trial participants and community members not enrolled in the trial. Whilst research often focuses on why people refuse vaccination, we instead explore participant motivations for volunteering for the study, in spite of prevailing anxieties, rumours and mistrust during and after the Ebola outbreak. In so doing the paper contributes to on-going debates about research ethics and community engagement in resource poor contexts, offering reflections from an emergency and post-epidemic setting. We analyse participants' perceptions of the risks and benefits of participations, highlighting the importance of a contextual approach. We focus on four types of motivation: altruism; curiosity and hope; health-seeking; and notions of exchange, and argue for the role of social science in developing grounded research ethics and community engagement strategies that can take into account context and local realities., (Copyright © 2018 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)

Background: Communication is of paramount importance in responding to health crises. We studied the media messages put forth by different stakeholders in two Ebola vaccine trials that became controversial in Ghana. These interactions between health authorities, political actors, and public citizens can offer key lessons for future research. Through an analysis of online media, we analyse stakeholder concerns and incentives, and the phases of the dispute, to understand how the dispute evolved to the point of the trials being suspended, and analyse what steps might have been taken to avert this outcome., Methods: A web-based system was developed to download and analyse news reports relevant to Ebola vaccine trials. This included monitoring major online newspapers in each country with planned clinical trials, including Ghana. All news articles were downloaded, selecting out those containing variants of the words "Ebola," and "vaccine," which were analysed thematically by a team of three coders. Two types of themes were defined: critiques of the trials and rebuttals in favour of the trials. After reconciling differences between coders' results, the data were visualised and reviewed to describe and interpret the debate., Results: A total of 27,460 articles, published between 1 May and 30 July 2015, were collected from nine different newspapers in Ghana, of which 139 articles contained the keywords and met the inclusion criteria. The final codebook included 27 themes, comprising 16 critiques and 11 rebuttals. After coding and reconciliation, the main critiques (and their associated rebuttals) were selected for in-depth analysis, including statements about the trials being secret (mentioned in 21% of articles), claims that the vaccine trials would cause an Ebola outbreak in Ghana (33%), and the alleged impropriety of the incentives offered to participants (35%)., Discussion: Perceptions that the trials were "secret" arose from a combination of premature news reporting and the fact that the trials were prohibited from conducting any publicity before being approved at the time that the story came out, which created an impression of secrecy. Fears about Ebola being spread in Ghana appeared in two forms, the first alleging that scientists would intentionally infect Ghanaians with Ebola in order to test the vaccine, and the second suggesting that the vaccine might give trial participants Ebola as a side-effect - over the course of the debate, the latter became the more prominent of the two variants. The incentives were sometimes criticised for being coercively large, but were much more often criticised for being too small, which may have been related to a misperception that the incentives were meant as compensation for the trials' risks, which were themselves exaggerated., Conclusion: The rumours captured through this research indicate the variety of strong emotions drawn out by the trials, highlighting the importance of understanding the emotional and social context of such research. The uncertainty, fear, and distrust associated with the trials draw from the contemporary context of the Ebola outbreak, as well as longstanding historical issues in Ghana. By analysing the debate from its inception, we can see how the controversy unfolded, and identify points of concern that can inform health communication, suggesting that this tool may be valuable in future epidemics and crises.

Background: This paper discusses the establishment of a clinical trial of an Ebola vaccine candidate in Kambia District, Northern Sierra Leone during the epidemic, and analyses the role of social science research in ensuring that lessons from the socio-political context, the recent experience of the Ebola outbreak, and learning from previous clinical trials were incorporated in the development of community engagement strategies. The paper aims to provide a case study of an integrated social science and communications system in the start-up phase of the clinical trial., Methods: The paper is based on qualitative research methods including ethnographic observation, interviews with trial participants and key stakeholder interviews., Results: Through the case study of EBOVAC Salone, the paper suggests ways in which research can be used to inform communication strategies before and during the setting up of the trial. It explores notions of power, fairness and trust emerging from analysis of the Sierra Leonean context and through ethnographic research, to reflect on three situations in which social scientists and community liaison officers worked together to ensure successful community engagement. Firstly, a section on "power" considers the pitfalls of considering communities as homogeneous and shows the importance of understanding intra-community power dynamics when engaging communities. Secondly, a section on "fairness" shows how local understandings of what is fair can help inform the design of volunteer recruitment strategies. Finally, a section on "trust" highlights how historically rooted rumours can be effectively addressed through active dialogue rather than through an approach focused on correcting misinformation., Conclusion: The paper firstly emphasises the value of social science in the setting up of clinical trials, in terms of providing an in depth understanding of context and social dynamics. Secondly, the paper suggests the importance of a close collaboration between research and community engagement to effectively confront political and social dynamics, especially in the context of an epidemic.

Objectives:  To assess the frequency of fatal recrudescence from Ebola virus disease after discharge from treatment centres, and explore the influence of infecting dose on case fatality rates., Design:  Retrospective cohort study., Setting:  Western Area, Sierra Leone., Participants:  151 survivors treated for Ebola virus disease at the Kerry Town treatment centre and discharged. Survivors were followed up for a vital status check at four to nine months after discharge, and again at six to 13 months after discharge. Verbal autopsies were conducted for four survivors who had died since discharge (that is, late deaths). Survivors still living in Western Area were interviewed together with their household members. Exposure level to Ebola virus disease was ascertained as a proxy of infecting dose, including for those who died., Main Outcome Measures:  Risks and causes of late death; case fatality rates; odds ratios of death from Ebola virus disease by age, sex, exposure level, date, occupation, and household risk factors., Results:  Follow-up information was obtained on all 151 survivors of Ebola virus disease, a mean of 10 months after discharge. Four deaths occurred after discharge, all within six weeks: two probably due to late complications, one to prior tuberculosis, and only one after apparent full recovery, giving a maximum estimate of recrudescence leading to death of 0.7%. In these households, 395 people were reported to have had Ebola virus disease, of whom 227 died. A further 53 people fulfilled the case definition for probable disease, of whom 11 died. Therefore, the case fatality rate was 57.5% (227/395) for reported Ebola virus disease, or 53.1% (238/448) including probable disease. Case fatality rates were higher in children aged under 2 years and adults older than 30 years, in larger households, and in infections occurring earlier in the epidemic in Sierra Leone. There was no consistent trend of case fatality rate with exposure level, although increasing exposure increased the risk of Ebola virus disease., Conclusions:  In this study of survivors in Western Area, Sierra Leone, late recrudescence of severe Ebola virus disease appears to be rare. There was no evidence for an effect of infecting dose (as measured by exposure level) on the severity of disease., (Published by the BMJ Publishing Group Limited. For permission to use (where not already granted under a licence) please go to http://group.bmj.com/group/rights-licensing/permissions.)

Background: Between August and November 2014, the incidence of Ebola virus disease (EVD) rose dramatically in several districts of Sierra Leone. As a result, the number of cases exceeded the capacity of Ebola holding and treatment centres. During December, additional beds were introduced, and incidence declined in many areas. We aimed to measure patterns of transmission in different regions, and evaluate whether bed capacity is now sufficient to meet future demand., Methods: We used a mathematical model of EVD infection to estimate how the extent of transmission in the nine worst affected districts of Sierra Leone changed between 10th August 2014 and 18th January 2015. Using the model, we forecast the number of cases that could occur until the end of March 2015, and compared bed requirements with expected future capacity., Results: We found that the reproduction number, R, defined as the average number of secondary cases generated by a typical infectious individual, declined between August and December in all districts. We estimated that R was near the crucial control threshold value of 1 in December. We further estimated that bed capacity has lagged behind demand between August and December for most districts, but as a consequence of the decline in transmission, control measures caught up with the epidemic in early 2015., Conclusions: EVD incidence has exhibited substantial temporal and geographical variation in Sierra Leone, but our results suggest that the epidemic may have now peaked in Sierra Leone, and that current bed capacity appears to be sufficient to keep the epidemic under-control in most districts.

Following in vitro fertilisation treatment, a 40-year-old woman was expecting trichorionic, triamniotic triplets. Her cervix shortened from 34 mm at 16(+5) weeks to 16 mm at 20(+5) weeks, a risk reported with 100% delivery before 28 weeks gestation. She was admitted to hospital and at 24(+1) weeks was given corticosteroids. From 21(+5) weeks her cervical length remained below 16 mm. However, weekly fetal fibronectin (fFN) tests were negative from 22(+5) weeks to delivery at 35(+5) weeks. This, along with an absence of symptoms, gave her doctors confidence to manage her as an outpatient from 28 weeks. At 33(+5) weeks she was diagnosed as having pre-eclampsia and three live births were delivered by prelabour caesarean section. Prior to delivery her cervical length was 10 mm and fFN test remained negative. There are no reports of outcome following a negative fFN with a short cervix in triplet pregnancies but fFN could be a useful tool, in conjunction with cervical length measurement, in the management of triplets.