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Most analyses of the development in post-Cold War Chinese security policy presume or picture the Chinese security policy as reflecting a coherent security strategy being either revisionist or status quo oriented. In contrast, my departure point is that the development in the Chinese post-Cold War security policy shows both revisionist and status quo oriented characteristics, and that the development in the policy has a highly reactive character. I argue that it is possible to identify a pattern in what the Chinese post-Cold War security policy is reacting to, and how the policy develops as a reaction to these factors. Thus, my overall objective is to identify the most important factors that influence the development in post-Cold War Chinese security policy and in which way. For achieving this objective, I construct and apply a so-called contingent realist argument about the development in a rising power's security policy under unipolarity. In this paper, I present the theoretical argument and conduct a preliminary case study of the Taiwan Strait Crisis 1995-96. ..PAT.-Unpublished Manuscript [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This article will analyse and discuss the recent development in the relationship between China and Japan and its implications for security in Northeast Asia and for international security. The argument is that the relationship between China and Japan constitutes a serious risk of developing into a dominating regional bipolarity with characteristics similar to the Cold War bipolarity. Such a development will not only have strong implications for security in Northeast Asia, but also for international security especially due to the United StatesÂ’ security alliance with Japan and the strong interest of the United States to maintain its strong role in Asian security. The development in the Sino-Japanese relationship towards a hostile dominating regional bipolarity is however not inevitable and by adopting a long-term policy focusing on balancing the American security relations to Japan and China, the United States can help pre-empt such a development. ..PAT.-Conference Proceeding [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]