1. Predicting Delivery Capability in Iterative Software Development
- Author
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Morakot Choetkiertikul, Aditya Ghose, John Grundy, Hoa Khanh Dam, and Truyen Tran
- Subjects
Software Engineering Process Group ,Computer science ,02 engineering and technology ,computer.software_genre ,Software development process ,Software analytics ,Software ,Software sizing ,0202 electrical engineering, electronic engineering, information engineering ,Software verification and validation ,Software design description ,Social software engineering ,Iterative and incremental development ,business.industry ,Empirical process (process control model) ,Search-based software engineering ,Software development ,020207 software engineering ,Software metric ,Software deployment ,Personal software process ,Goal-Driven Software Development Process ,Software construction ,Package development process ,020201 artificial intelligence & image processing ,Data mining ,business ,computer ,Agile software development - Abstract
Iterative software development has become widely practiced in industry. Since modern software projects require fast, incremental delivery for every iteration of software development, it is essential to monitor the execution of an iteration, and foresee a capability to deliver quality products as the iteration progresses. This paper presents a novel, data-driven approach to providing automated support for project managers and other decision makers in predicting delivery capability for an ongoing iteration. Our approach leverages a history of project iterations and associated issues, and in particular, we extract characteristics of previous iterations and their issues in the form of features. In addition, our approach characterizes an iteration using a novel combination of techniques including feature aggregation statistics, automatic feature learning using the Bag-of-Words approach, and graph-based complexity measures. An extensive evaluation of the technique on five large open source projects demonstrates that our predictive models outperform three common baseline methods in Normalized Mean Absolute Error and are highly accurate in predicting the outcome of an ongoing iteration.
- Published
- 2018