1. Global, regional, and national incidence and mortality for HIV, tuberculosis, and malaria during 1990-2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013
- Author
-
Murray, C.J.L. (Christopher), Ortblad, K.F. (Katrina F), Guinovart, C. (Caterina), Lim, S.S. (Stephen), Wolock, T.M. (Timothy M), Roberts, D.A. (D Allen), Dansereau, E.A. (Emily A), Graetz, N. (Nicholas), Barber, R.M. (Ryan), Brown, J.C. (Jonathan C), Wang, H. (Haidong), Duber, H.C. (Herbert C), Naghavi, M. (Morteza), Dicker, D. (Daniel), Dandona, L. (Lalit), Salomon, J.A. (Joshua), Heuton, K.R. (Kyle R), Foreman, K. (Kyle), Phillips, D.E. (David E), Fleming, T.D. (Thomas D), Flaxman, A.D. (Abraham D), Phillips, B.K. (Bryan K), Johnson, E.M. (Elizabeth), Coggeshall, M.S. (Megan S), Abd-Allah, F. (Foad), Abera, S.F. (Semaw Ferede), Abraham, J.P. (Jerry), Abubakar, I. (Ibrahim), Abu-Raddad, L.J. (Laith J), Abu-Rmeileh, N.M. (Niveen Me), Achoki, T. (Tom), Adeyemo, A. (Adebowale), Adou, A.K. (Arsène Kouablan), Adsuar, J.C. (José C), Agardh, E.E. (Emilie Elisabet), Akena, D. (Dickens), Al Kahbouri, M.J. (Mazin J), Alasfoor, D. (Deena), Albittar, M.I. (Mohammed I), Alcalá-Cerra, G. (Gabriel), Alegretti, M.A. (Miguel Angel), Alemu, G. (Getnet), Alfonso-Cristancho, R. (Rafael), Alhabib, S. (Samia), Ali, R. (Raghib), Alla, F. (Francois), Allen, P.J. (Peter), Alsharif, U. (Ubai), Alvarez, E. (Elena), Alvis-Guzman, N. (Nelson), Amankwaa, A.A. (Adansi A), Amare, A.T. (Azmeraw T), Amini, H. (Hassan), Ammar, K.A., Anderson, B.O. (Benjamin), Antonio, C.A.T. (Carl Abelardo T), Anwari, P. (Palwasha), Ärnlöv, J. (Johan), Arsenijevic, V.S.A. (Valentina S Arsic), Artaman, A. (Ali), Asghar, R.J. (Rana J), Assadi, R. (Reza), Atkins, L.S. (Lydia S), Badawi, A.F. (Alaa), Banerjee, A. (Amitava), Basu, S. (Saonli), Beardsley, J. (Justin), Bekele, T. (Tolesa), Bell, M.L. (Michelle Lee), Bernabe, E. (Eduardo), Beyene, T.J. (Tariku Jibat), Bhala, N. (Neeraj), Bhalla, P.L. (Pankaj), Bhutta, Z.A. (Zulfiqar A), Abdulhak, A.B. (Aref Bin), Binagwaho, A. (Agnes), Blore, J.D. (Jed D), Bose, D. (Dipan), Brainin, M. (Michael), Breitborde, N. (Nicholas), Castañeda-Orjuela, C.A. (Carlos A), Catalá-López, F. (Ferrán), Chadha, D., Chang, J.-C. (Jung-Chen), Chiang, Y.T., Chuang, T.-W. (Ting-Wu), Colomar, M. (Mercedes), Cooper Jr., L.T. (Leslie Trumbull), Cooper, C. (Charles), Courville, K.J. (Karen J), Cowie, M.R. (Martin R.), Criqui, M. (Michael), Dandona, R. (Rakhi), Dayama, A. (Anand), Leo, D. (Diego) de, Degenhardt, F., Del Pozo-Cruz, B. (Borja), Deribe, K. (Kebede), Des Jarlais, D.C. (Don C), Dessalegn, M. (Muluken), Dharmaratne, S.D. (Samath D), Dilmen, U. (Uǧur), Ding, E.L. (Eric), Driscoll, J.M., Durrani, Z., Ellenbogen, R.G. (Richard G), Ermakov, S. (Sergey), Esteghamati, A. (Alireza), Faraon, E.J.A. (Emerito Jose A), Farzadfar, F. (Farshad), Fereshtehnejad, S.-M. (Seyed-Mohammad), Fijabi, D.O. (Daniel Obadare), Forouzanfar, M.H. (Mohammad H), Fra.Paleo, U. (Urbano), Gaffikin, L. (Lynne), Gamkrelidze, A. (Amiran), Gankpé, F.G. (Fortuné Gbètoho), Geleijnse, J.M. (Marianne), Gessner, B.D. (Bradford D), Gibney, K.B. (Katherine B), Ginawi, I.A.M. (Ibrahim Abdelmageem Mohamed), Glaser, E.L. (Elizabeth L), Gona, P. (Philimon), Goto, A. (Akimoto), Gouda, H.N. (Hebe N), Gugnani, H.C. (Harish Chander), Gupta, R. (Rajeev), Hafezi-Nejad, N. (Nima), Hamadeh, R.R. (Randah Ribhi), Hammami, M. (Mouhanad), Hankey, G.J. (Graeme), Harb, H.L. (Hilda L), Haro, J.M. (Josep Maria), Havmoeller, R. (Rasmus), Hay, S.I. (Simon I), Hedayati, M.T. (Mohammad T), Pi, I.B.H. (Ileana B Heredia), Hoek, H.W. (Hans), Hornberger, J.C. (John C), Hosgood, H.D. (H Dean), Hotez, P.J. (Peter), Hoy, D.G. (Damian G), Huang, J. (Jian), Iburg, K.M. (Kim M), Idrisov, B.T. (Bulat T), Innos, K. (Kaire), Jacobsen, K.H. (Kathryn H), Jeemon, P. (Panniyammakal), Jensen, P.N. (Paul N), Jha, V. (Vivekanand), Jiang, G. (Guohong), Jonas, J.B., Juel, K. (Knud), Kan, H. (Haidong), Kankindi, I. (Ida), Karam, V. (Vincent), Karch, F. (Francois), Karema, C.K. (Corine Kakizi), Kaul, A. (Anil), Kawakami, N. (Norito), Kazi, D.S. (Dhruv S), Kemp, A.H. (Andrew H), Kengne, A.P. (Andre Pascal), Keren, A. (Andre), Kereselidze, M. (Maia), Khader, Y.S. (Yousef Saleh), Khalifa, S.E.A.H. (Shams Eldin Ali Hassan), Khan, E.A. (Ejaz Ahmed), Khang, Y.-H. (Young-Ho), Khonelidze, I. (Irma), Kinfu, Y. (Yohannes), Kinge, J.M. (Jonas M), Knibbs, L. (Luke), Kokubo, Y. (Yoshihiro), Kosen, S. (Soewarta), Defo, B.K. (Barthelemy Kuate), Kulkarni, V.S. (Veena S), Kulkarni, C. (Chanda), Kumar, K. (Kuldeep), Kumar, R.B. (Ravi B), Kumar, G.A. (G Anil), Kwan, G.F. (Gene F), Lai, T. (Taavi), Balaji, A.L. (Arjun Lakshmana), Lam, H. (Hilton), Lan, Q. (Qing), Lansingh, V.C. (Van C), Larson, H.J. (Heidi J), Larsson, A. (Anders), Lee, J.-T. (Jong-Tae), Leigh, P.N. (Nigel), Leinsalu, M. (Mall), Leung, R. (Ricky), Li, Y. (Yichong), Li, Y. (Yongmei), Lima, G.M.F. (Graça Maria Ferreira) de, Lin, H.-H. (Hsien-Ho), Lipshultz, S.E. (Steven), Liu, S. (Simin), Liu, Y. (Yang), Lloyd, B.K. (Belinda K), Lotufo, P.A. (Paulo A), Machado, V.M.P. (Vasco Manuel Pedro), Maclachlan, J.H. (Jennifer H), Magis-Rodriguez, C. (Carlos), Majdan, M. (Marek), Mapoma, C.C. (Christopher Chabila), Marcenes, W. (Wagner), Marzan, M.B. (Melvin Barrientos), Masci, J.R. (Joseph R), Mashal, R., Mason-Jones, A.J. (Amanda J), Mayosi, B.M. (Bongani), Mazorodze, T.T. (Tasara T), Mckay, M.J. (Michael), Meaney, M.J., Mehndiratta, M.M. (Man Mohan), Mejia-Rodriguez, F. (Fabiola), Melaku, Y.A. (Yohannes Adama), Memish, Z.A. (Ziad), Mendoza, W. (Walter), Miller, T.R. (Ted R), Mills, E.J. (Edward J), Mohammad, K.A. (Karzan Abdulmuhsin), Mokdad, A.H. (Ali H), Mola, G.L. (Glen Liddell), Monasta, L. (Lorenzo), Montico, M. (Marcella), Moore, A.R. (Ami R), Mori, R. (Riccardo), Moturi, W.N. (Wilkister Nyaora), Mukaigawara, M. (Mitsuru), Murthy, A.C. (Adeline C.), Naheed, A. (Aliya), Naidoo, K.S. (Kovin S), Naldi, L. (Lucia), Nangia, M. (Monika), Narayan, K.M.V. (Venkat), Nash, J.H.E. (John), Nejjari, C. (Chakib), Nelson, R.D. (Robert), Neupane, S.P. (Sudan Prasad), Newton, C. (Cameron), Ng, M. (Marie), Nisar, M.I. (Muhammad Imran), Nolte, S. (Sandra), Norheim, O.F. (Ole F), Nowaseb, V. (Vincent), Nyakarahuka, L. (Luke), Oh, I.-H. (In-Hwan), Ohkubo, T. (Takayoshi), Olusanya, B.O. (Bolajoko O), Omer, S.B. (Saad B), Opio, J.N. (John Nelson), Orisakwe, O.E. (Orish Ebere), Pandian, N.G. (Natesa), Papachristou, C., Caicedo, M.S. (Marco), Patten, J., Paul, V.K. (Vinod K), Pavlin, B.I. (Boris Igor), Pearce, N. (Neil), Pereira, D.M. (David M), Pervaiz, Z. (Zahid), Pesudovs, K. (Konrad), Petzold, M. (Max), Pourmalek, F. (Farshad), Qato, D. (Dima), Quezada, A.D. (Amado D), Quistberg, D.A. (D Alex), Rafay, A. (Anwar), Rahimi, K. (Kazem), Rahimi-Movaghar, V. (Vafa), Rahman, S.U. (Sajjad Ur), Raju, M. (Murugesan), Rana, S.M. (Saleem M), Razavi, H. (Homie), Reilly, R.Q. (Robert Quentin), Remuzzi, G. (Giuseppe), Richardus, J.H. (Jan Hendrik), Ronfani, L. (Luca), Roy, N. (Nadine) van, Sabin, M.L. (Miriam Lewis), Saeedi, M.Y. (Mohammad Yahya), Sahraian, M.A. (Mohammad Ali), Samonte, G.M.J. (Genesis May J), Sawhney, M.S. (Monika), Schneider, I.J.C. (Ione J C), Schwebel, D.C. (David C), Seedat, S. (Soraya), Sepanlou, S.G. (Sadaf G), Servan-Mori, E.E. (Edson E), Sheikhbahaei, S. (Sara), Shibuya, K. (Kenji), Shin, H.H. (Hwashin Hyun), Shiue, I. (Ivy), Shivakoti, R. (Rupak), Sigfusdottir, I.D. (Inga Dora), Silberberg, D.H. (Donald H), Silva, A.P. (Andrea P), Simard, J. (Jacques), Singh, J.A. (Jasvinder), Skirbekk, V. (Vegard), Sliwa, K. (Karen), Soneji, S. (Samir), Soshnikov, S.S. (Sergey S), Sreeramareddy, C.T. (Chandrashekhar T), Stathopoulou, V.K. (Vasiliki Kalliopi), Stroumpoulis, K. (Konstantinos), Swaminathan, S., Sykes, B.C. (Bryan), Tabb, K.M. (Karen M), Talongwa, R.T. (Roberto Tchio), Tenkorang, E.Y. (Eric Yeboah), Terkawi, A.S. (Abdullah Sulieman), Thomson, A.J. (Alan J), Thorne-Lyman, A.L. (Andrew L), Towbin, J.A. (Jeffrey A), Traebert, J. (Jefferson), Tran, B.X. (Bach X), Dimbuene, Z.T. (Zacharie Tsala), Tsilimbaris, M. (Miltiadis), Uchendu, U.S. (Uche S), Ukwaja, K.N. (Kingsley N), Vallely, S.R. (Stephen), Vasankari, T.J. (Tommi J), Venketasubramanian, N. (Narayanaswamy), Violante, F.S. (Francesco S), Vlassov, V.V. (Vasiliy Victorovich), Waller, P. (Patrick), Wallin, M.T. (Mitchell T), Wang, L. (Linhong), Wang, S.X., Wang, Y. (Yanping), Weichenthal, S. (Scott), Weiderpass, E. (Elisabete), Weintraub, R.G. (Robert G), Westerman, R. (Ronny), White, R.G. (Richard), Wilkinson, J.D. (James D), Williams, T.N. (Thomas Neil), Woldeyohannes, S.M. (Solomon Meseret), Wong, J.B. (John), Xu, G. (Gelin), Yang, Y.C. (Yang C), Yano, K.-I., Yip, P. (Paul), Yonemoto, N. (Naohiro), Yoon, S.-J. (Seok-Jun), Younis, M. (Mustafa), Yu, C. (Chuanhua), Jin, K.Y. (Kim Yun), El Sayed Zaki, M. (Maysaa), Zhao, Y. (Yong), Zheng, Y. (Yuhui), Balakrishnan, K. (Kalpana), Zhou, M. (Ming), Zhu, J. (Jun), Zou, X.N. (Xiao Nong), Lopez, A.D. (Alan D), Vos, T. (Theo), Murray, C.J.L. (Christopher), Ortblad, K.F. (Katrina F), Guinovart, C. (Caterina), Lim, S.S. (Stephen), Wolock, T.M. (Timothy M), Roberts, D.A. (D Allen), Dansereau, E.A. (Emily A), Graetz, N. (Nicholas), Barber, R.M. (Ryan), Brown, J.C. (Jonathan C), Wang, H. (Haidong), Duber, H.C. (Herbert C), Naghavi, M. (Morteza), Dicker, D. (Daniel), Dandona, L. (Lalit), Salomon, J.A. (Joshua), Heuton, K.R. (Kyle R), Foreman, K. (Kyle), Phillips, D.E. (David E), Fleming, T.D. (Thomas D), Flaxman, A.D. (Abraham D), Phillips, B.K. (Bryan K), Johnson, E.M. (Elizabeth), Coggeshall, M.S. (Megan S), Abd-Allah, F. (Foad), Abera, S.F. (Semaw Ferede), Abraham, J.P. (Jerry), Abubakar, I. (Ibrahim), Abu-Raddad, L.J. (Laith J), Abu-Rmeileh, N.M. (Niveen Me), Achoki, T. (Tom), Adeyemo, A. (Adebowale), Adou, A.K. (Arsène Kouablan), Adsuar, J.C. (José C), Agardh, E.E. (Emilie Elisabet), Akena, D. (Dickens), Al Kahbouri, M.J. (Mazin J), Alasfoor, D. (Deena), Albittar, M.I. (Mohammed I), Alcalá-Cerra, G. (Gabriel), Alegretti, M.A. (Miguel Angel), Alemu, G. (Getnet), Alfonso-Cristancho, R. (Rafael), Alhabib, S. (Samia), Ali, R. (Raghib), Alla, F. (Francois), Allen, P.J. (Peter), Alsharif, U. (Ubai), Alvarez, E. (Elena), Alvis-Guzman, N. (Nelson), Amankwaa, A.A. (Adansi A), Amare, A.T. (Azmeraw T), Amini, H. (Hassan), Ammar, K.A., Anderson, B.O. (Benjamin), Antonio, C.A.T. (Carl Abelardo T), Anwari, P. (Palwasha), Ärnlöv, J. (Johan), Arsenijevic, V.S.A. (Valentina S Arsic), Artaman, A. (Ali), Asghar, R.J. (Rana J), Assadi, R. (Reza), Atkins, L.S. (Lydia S), Badawi, A.F. (Alaa), Banerjee, A. (Amitava), Basu, S. (Saonli), Beardsley, J. (Justin), Bekele, T. (Tolesa), Bell, M.L. (Michelle Lee), Bernabe, E. (Eduardo), Beyene, T.J. (Tariku Jibat), Bhala, N. (Neeraj), Bhalla, P.L. (Pankaj), Bhutta, Z.A. (Zulfiqar A), Abdulhak, A.B. (Aref Bin), Binagwaho, A. (Agnes), Blore, J.D. (Jed D), Bose, D. (Dipan), Brainin, M. (Michael), Breitborde, N. (Nicholas), Castañeda-Orjuela, C.A. (Carlos A), Catalá-López, F. (Ferrán), Chadha, D., Chang, J.-C. (Jung-Chen), Chiang, Y.T., Chuang, T.-W. (Ting-Wu), Colomar, M. (Mercedes), Cooper Jr., L.T. (Leslie Trumbull), Cooper, C. (Charles), Courville, K.J. (Karen J), Cowie, M.R. (Martin R.), Criqui, M. (Michael), Dandona, R. (Rakhi), Dayama, A. (Anand), Leo, D. (Diego) de, Degenhardt, F., Del Pozo-Cruz, B. (Borja), Deribe, K. (Kebede), Des Jarlais, D.C. (Don C), Dessalegn, M. (Muluken), Dharmaratne, S.D. (Samath D), Dilmen, U. (Uǧur), Ding, E.L. (Eric), Driscoll, J.M., Durrani, Z., Ellenbogen, R.G. (Richard G), Ermakov, S. (Sergey), Esteghamati, A. (Alireza), Faraon, E.J.A. (Emerito Jose A), Farzadfar, F. (Farshad), Fereshtehnejad, S.-M. (Seyed-Mohammad), Fijabi, D.O. (Daniel Obadare), Forouzanfar, M.H. (Mohammad H), Fra.Paleo, U. (Urbano), Gaffikin, L. (Lynne), Gamkrelidze, A. (Amiran), Gankpé, F.G. (Fortuné Gbètoho), Geleijnse, J.M. (Marianne), Gessner, B.D. (Bradford D), Gibney, K.B. (Katherine B), Ginawi, I.A.M. (Ibrahim Abdelmageem Mohamed), Glaser, E.L. (Elizabeth L), Gona, P. (Philimon), Goto, A. (Akimoto), Gouda, H.N. (Hebe N), Gugnani, H.C. (Harish Chander), Gupta, R. (Rajeev), Hafezi-Nejad, N. (Nima), Hamadeh, R.R. (Randah Ribhi), Hammami, M. (Mouhanad), Hankey, G.J. (Graeme), Harb, H.L. (Hilda L), Haro, J.M. (Josep Maria), Havmoeller, R. (Rasmus), Hay, S.I. (Simon I), Hedayati, M.T. (Mohammad T), Pi, I.B.H. (Ileana B Heredia), Hoek, H.W. (Hans), Hornberger, J.C. (John C), Hosgood, H.D. (H Dean), Hotez, P.J. (Peter), Hoy, D.G. (Damian G), Huang, J. (Jian), Iburg, K.M. (Kim M), Idrisov, B.T. (Bulat T), Innos, K. (Kaire), Jacobsen, K.H. (Kathryn H), Jeemon, P. (Panniyammakal), Jensen, P.N. (Paul N), Jha, V. (Vivekanand), Jiang, G. (Guohong), Jonas, J.B., Juel, K. (Knud), Kan, H. (Haidong), Kankindi, I. (Ida), Karam, V. (Vincent), Karch, F. (Francois), Karema, C.K. (Corine Kakizi), Kaul, A. (Anil), Kawakami, N. (Norito), Kazi, D.S. (Dhruv S), Kemp, A.H. (Andrew H), Kengne, A.P. (Andre Pascal), Keren, A. (Andre), Kereselidze, M. (Maia), Khader, Y.S. (Yousef Saleh), Khalifa, S.E.A.H. (Shams Eldin Ali Hassan), Khan, E.A. (Ejaz Ahmed), Khang, Y.-H. (Young-Ho), Khonelidze, I. (Irma), Kinfu, Y. (Yohannes), Kinge, J.M. (Jonas M), Knibbs, L. (Luke), Kokubo, Y. (Yoshihiro), Kosen, S. (Soewarta), Defo, B.K. (Barthelemy Kuate), Kulkarni, V.S. (Veena S), Kulkarni, C. (Chanda), Kumar, K. (Kuldeep), Kumar, R.B. (Ravi B), Kumar, G.A. (G Anil), Kwan, G.F. (Gene F), Lai, T. (Taavi), Balaji, A.L. (Arjun Lakshmana), Lam, H. (Hilton), Lan, Q. (Qing), Lansingh, V.C. (Van C), Larson, H.J. (Heidi J), Larsson, A. (Anders), Lee, J.-T. (Jong-Tae), Leigh, P.N. (Nigel), Leinsalu, M. (Mall), Leung, R. (Ricky), Li, Y. (Yichong), Li, Y. (Yongmei), Lima, G.M.F. (Graça Maria Ferreira) de, Lin, H.-H. (Hsien-Ho), Lipshultz, S.E. (Steven), Liu, S. (Simin), Liu, Y. (Yang), Lloyd, B.K. (Belinda K), Lotufo, P.A. (Paulo A), Machado, V.M.P. (Vasco Manuel Pedro), Maclachlan, J.H. (Jennifer H), Magis-Rodriguez, C. (Carlos), Majdan, M. (Marek), Mapoma, C.C. (Christopher Chabila), Marcenes, W. (Wagner), Marzan, M.B. (Melvin Barrientos), Masci, J.R. (Joseph R), Mashal, R., Mason-Jones, A.J. (Amanda J), Mayosi, B.M. (Bongani), Mazorodze, T.T. (Tasara T), Mckay, M.J. (Michael), Meaney, M.J., Mehndiratta, M.M. (Man Mohan), Mejia-Rodriguez, F. (Fabiola), Melaku, Y.A. (Yohannes Adama), Memish, Z.A. (Ziad), Mendoza, W. (Walter), Miller, T.R. (Ted R), Mills, E.J. (Edward J), Mohammad, K.A. (Karzan Abdulmuhsin), Mokdad, A.H. (Ali H), Mola, G.L. (Glen Liddell), Monasta, L. (Lorenzo), Montico, M. (Marcella), Moore, A.R. (Ami R), Mori, R. (Riccardo), Moturi, W.N. (Wilkister Nyaora), Mukaigawara, M. (Mitsuru), Murthy, A.C. (Adeline C.), Naheed, A. (Aliya), Naidoo, K.S. (Kovin S), Naldi, L. (Lucia), Nangia, M. (Monika), Narayan, K.M.V. (Venkat), Nash, J.H.E. (John), Nejjari, C. (Chakib), Nelson, R.D. (Robert), Neupane, S.P. (Sudan Prasad), Newton, C. (Cameron), Ng, M. (Marie), Nisar, M.I. (Muhammad Imran), Nolte, S. (Sandra), Norheim, O.F. (Ole F), Nowaseb, V. (Vincent), Nyakarahuka, L. (Luke), Oh, I.-H. (In-Hwan), Ohkubo, T. (Takayoshi), Olusanya, B.O. (Bolajoko O), Omer, S.B. (Saad B), Opio, J.N. (John Nelson), Orisakwe, O.E. (Orish Ebere), Pandian, N.G. (Natesa), Papachristou, C., Caicedo, M.S. (Marco), Patten, J., Paul, V.K. (Vinod K), Pavlin, B.I. (Boris Igor), Pearce, N. (Neil), Pereira, D.M. (David M), Pervaiz, Z. (Zahid), Pesudovs, K. (Konrad), Petzold, M. (Max), Pourmalek, F. (Farshad), Qato, D. (Dima), Quezada, A.D. (Amado D), Quistberg, D.A. (D Alex), Rafay, A. (Anwar), Rahimi, K. (Kazem), Rahimi-Movaghar, V. (Vafa), Rahman, S.U. (Sajjad Ur), Raju, M. (Murugesan), Rana, S.M. (Saleem M), Razavi, H. (Homie), Reilly, R.Q. (Robert Quentin), Remuzzi, G. (Giuseppe), Richardus, J.H. (Jan Hendrik), Ronfani, L. (Luca), Roy, N. (Nadine) van, Sabin, M.L. (Miriam Lewis), Saeedi, M.Y. (Mohammad Yahya), Sahraian, M.A. (Mohammad Ali), Samonte, G.M.J. (Genesis May J), Sawhney, M.S. (Monika), Schneider, I.J.C. (Ione J C), Schwebel, D.C. (David C), Seedat, S. (Soraya), Sepanlou, S.G. (Sadaf G), Servan-Mori, E.E. (Edson E), Sheikhbahaei, S. (Sara), Shibuya, K. (Kenji), Shin, H.H. (Hwashin Hyun), Shiue, I. (Ivy), Shivakoti, R. (Rupak), Sigfusdottir, I.D. (Inga Dora), Silberberg, D.H. (Donald H), Silva, A.P. (Andrea P), Simard, J. (Jacques), Singh, J.A. (Jasvinder), Skirbekk, V. (Vegard), Sliwa, K. (Karen), Soneji, S. (Samir), Soshnikov, S.S. (Sergey S), Sreeramareddy, C.T. (Chandrashekhar T), Stathopoulou, V.K. (Vasiliki Kalliopi), Stroumpoulis, K. (Konstantinos), Swaminathan, S., Sykes, B.C. (Bryan), Tabb, K.M. (Karen M), Talongwa, R.T. (Roberto Tchio), Tenkorang, E.Y. (Eric Yeboah), Terkawi, A.S. (Abdullah Sulieman), Thomson, A.J. (Alan J), Thorne-Lyman, A.L. (Andrew L), Towbin, J.A. (Jeffrey A), Traebert, J. (Jefferson), Tran, B.X. (Bach X), Dimbuene, Z.T. (Zacharie Tsala), Tsilimbaris, M. (Miltiadis), Uchendu, U.S. (Uche S), Ukwaja, K.N. (Kingsley N), Vallely, S.R. (Stephen), Vasankari, T.J. (Tommi J), Venketasubramanian, N. (Narayanaswamy), Violante, F.S. (Francesco S), Vlassov, V.V. (Vasiliy Victorovich), Waller, P. (Patrick), Wallin, M.T. (Mitchell T), Wang, L. (Linhong), Wang, S.X., Wang, Y. (Yanping), Weichenthal, S. (Scott), Weiderpass, E. (Elisabete), Weintraub, R.G. (Robert G), Westerman, R. (Ronny), White, R.G. (Richard), Wilkinson, J.D. (James D), Williams, T.N. (Thomas Neil), Woldeyohannes, S.M. (Solomon Meseret), Wong, J.B. (John), Xu, G. (Gelin), Yang, Y.C. (Yang C), Yano, K.-I., Yip, P. (Paul), Yonemoto, N. (Naohiro), Yoon, S.-J. (Seok-Jun), Younis, M. (Mustafa), Yu, C. (Chuanhua), Jin, K.Y. (Kim Yun), El Sayed Zaki, M. (Maysaa), Zhao, Y. (Yong), Zheng, Y. (Yuhui), Balakrishnan, K. (Kalpana), Zhou, M. (Ming), Zhu, J. (Jun), Zou, X.N. (Xiao Nong), Lopez, A.D. (Alan D), and Vos, T. (Theo)
- Abstract
__Abstract__ Background: The Millennium Declaration in 2000 brought special global attention to HIV, tuberculosis, and malaria through the formulation of Millennium Development Goal (MDG) 6. The Global Burden of Disease 2013 study provides a consistent and comprehensive approach to disease estimation for between 1990 and 2013, and an opportunity to assess whether accelerated progress has occured since the Millennium Declaration. Methods: To estimate incidence and mortality for HIV, we used the UNAIDS Spectrum model appropriately modified based on a systematic review of available studies of mortality with and without antiretroviral therapy (ART). For concentrated epidemics, we calibrated Spectrum models to fit vital registration data corrected for misclassification of HIV deaths. In generalised epidemics, we minimised a loss function to select epidemic curves most consistent with prevalence data and demographic data for all-cause mortality. We analysed counterfactual scenarios for HIV to assess years of life saved through prevention of mother-to-child transmission (PMTCT) and ART. For tuberculosis, we analysed vital registration and verbal autopsy data to estimate mortality using cause of death ensemble modelling. We analysed data for corrected case-notifications, expert opinions on the case-detection rate, prevalence surveys, and estimated cause-specific mortality using Bayesian meta-regression to generate consistent trends in all parameters. We analysed malaria mortality and incidence using an updated cause of death database, a systematic analysis of verbal autopsy validation studies for malaria, and recent studies (2010-13) of incidence, drug resistance, and coverage of insecticide-treated bednets. Findings: Globally in 2013, there were 1·8 million new HIV infections (95% uncertainty interval 1·7 million to 2·1 million), 29·2 million prevalent HIV cases (28·1 to 31·7), and 1·3 million HIV deaths (1·3 to 1·5). At the peak of the epidemic in 2005, HIV caused 1·7 mil
- Published
- 2014
- Full Text
- View/download PDF