1. A stochastic ordering of multiple hypergeometric laws: Peakedness of category counts about half the population category sizes is symmetric unimodal in the sample size.
- Author
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Levin, Bruce
- Subjects
- *
DISTRIBUTION (Probability theory) , *MULTINOMIAL distribution , *STOCHASTIC orders , *SYMMETRIC functions , *CARD games - Abstract
Suppose X is a frequency vector that follows a central multiple hypergeometric distribution, such as arises in random sampling of an m-category attribute from a finite population without replacement. We call the event where X satisfies a prespecified set of symmetrical—but otherwise arbitrary—interval constraints in each component a symmetric core event. We show that the probability of any symmetric core event—in other words, the multivariate peakedness in the sense of Birnbaum (1948) and Tong (1988)—is symmetric unimodal as a function of the sample size. Two proofs are given. The shorter one relies on a convolution property of ultra-log-concave sequences, which implies that the sequence of peakedness values is log-concave (even for asymmetric rectangular events). The longer, though more elementary, proof does not rely on notions of log-concavity. To illustrate the use of symmetric core events, we analyze a simple yet interesting wager in a sequential card game. Finally, we indicate that the unimodality result for symmetric core events is pivotal in proving a certain variance reduction inequality involving multinomial frequencies subject to arbitrary interval censoring. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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