38 results on '"Sykes, M.T."'
Search Results
2. Impacts of changing frost regimes on Swedish forests: Incorporating cold hardiness in a regional ecosystem model
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Rammig, A., Jönsson, A.M., Hickler, T., Smith, B., Bärring, L., and Sykes, M.T.
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- 2010
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3. Belowground consequences of vegetation change and their treatment in models
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Jackson, R.B., Schenk, H.J., Jobbagy, E.G., Canadell, J., Colello, G.D., Dickinson, R.E., Field, C.B., Freidlingstein, P., Heimann, M., Hibbard, K., Kicklighter, D.W., Dleidon, A., Neilson, R.P., Parton, W.J., Sala, O.E., and Sykes, M.T.
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Vegetation dynamics -- Environmental aspects ,Soil chemistry -- Research ,Soil science -- Research ,Afforestation -- Environmental aspects ,Deforestation -- Environmental aspects ,Biological sciences ,Environmental issues - Abstract
Research suggests that altered root distributions have a significant impact on soil chemistry. Topics include afforestation, deforestation, woody plant encroachment and herbaceous vegetation shifts.
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- 2000
4. How robust are Holocene treeline simulations? A model–data comparison in the European Arctic treeline region
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Fang, K., Morris, J.L., Salonen, S., Miller, P.A., Renssen, H., Sykes, M.T., Seppä, H., Earth and Climate, and Amsterdam Global Change Institute
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SDG 13 - Climate Action - Abstract
Treeline encroachments and retractions can provide global-scale feedbacks to the climate system, and treeline dynamics are therefore of great relevance for understanding global climate variability. To assess the accuracy of long-term treeline simulations based on the generalized dynamic vegetation model LPJ-GUESS, we simulate European Arctic treeline dynamics over the past 9000 years and compare the results with fossil-based reconstructions. The results show that while LPJ-GUESS is limited in its ability to capture species-level current treeline patterns and past dynamics, it is generally able to realistically simulate the Holocene coniferous treeline changes with a cutoff biomass carbon of 2Ckg m
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- 2013
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5. Disentangling the effects of land-use change, climate and CO2 on projected future European habitat types
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Lehsten, V, Sykes, M.T., Scott, A.V., Tzanopoulis, A., Kallimanis, A., Verburg, P.H., Schulp, C.J.E., Potts, S.G., Vogiatzakis, I., Water and Climate Risk, Institute for Environmental Studies, Amsterdam Global Change Institute, and Environmental Geography (former)
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SDG 15 - Life on Land - Abstract
Aim: To project the potential European distribution of seven broad habitat categories (needle-leaved, broad-leaved, mixed and mediterranean forest, urban, grassland and cropland) in order to assess effects of land use, climate change and increase in CO2 on predicted habitat changes up to the year 2050. Location: Europe. Method: We modelled the response of European vegetation to changes in land use, climate and CO2 by combining the land-use model Dyna-CLUE (based on the CORINE land-cover data) and the dynamic vegetation model LPJ-GUESS. Two reforestation options were explored: maintaining the current range of tree species (EFI) or promoting naturally occurring tree species (NAT). Climate data from two general circulation models and two SRES scenarios (A2 and B1) were used. The broad habitat types were classified according to a combination of land use and the dominant plant species. Results: Our models predicted that croplands and grasslands are expected to decrease due to land-use change. Although climate change has a negative effect on needle-leaved forest, it is expected to maintain its area or even increase in the EFI reforestation option while mediterranean, broad-leaved and mixed forests are expected to increase markedly. All investigated drivers have shown some effect, but land use is the dominant contributor to broad habitat change except for needle-leaved and mixed which are mainly influenced by climate change. Main conclusions: Land use is predicted to have the greatest effect on broad habitat distribution according to our simulations. Hence in most parts of Europe mitigating actions should focus on land-use change rather than climate change. According to our simulation, the effects of the different drivers are not in general additive. In some cases they act synergistically and in some cases antagonistically. The projected habitat changes are a valuable tool for species distribution modelling and are available online.
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- 2015
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6. Securing the conservation of biodiversity across administrative levels and spatial, temporal, and ecological scales: research needs and approaches of the SCALES project
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Henle, Klaus, Kunin, Williams, Schweiger, Oliver, Schmeller, D.S., Grobelnik, V., Matsinos, Y., Pantis, J., Penev, L., Potts, Simon, Ring, I., Simila, J., Tzanopoulos, Joseph, Van den Hove, S., Baguette, M., Clobert, J., Ecoffier, L., Framstad, E., Grodzinska-Jurczak, M., Lengyel, S., Marty, P., Moilanen, A., Porcher, E., Steinicke, H., Storch, D., Steffan Dewenter, I., Sykes, M.T., Zobel, M., and Settele, J.
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- 2010
7. Increased accuracy in climate impact studies by incorporating forest management practices within a process-based regional ecosystem modelling framework
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Koca, D., Smith, B., Bergh, J., Nilsson, U., Franklin, O., Obersteiner, M., and Sykes, M.T.
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Process-based simulation models of terrestrial ecosystem dynamics are increasingly being applied as practical tools in forest management. Regional applications of such models are, however, very limited to date. This study presents and tests the performance of a process-based regional ecosystem modelling framework, LPJ-GUESS, which incorporates forest management practices. The model is driven by historical climate data and applied on a grid across Sweden to simulate the influence of recent historical management practices on the forest structure and its productivity. The study focuses on species-level interactions and investigates how stem wood volume increment has changed during the historical time period. The performance of the model is evaluated by comparing the simulated forest composition and growth with the observed forest inventory data from Swedish forest regions. The model estimates tend to be somewhat low in the southern and high in the northern part of the country, but generally comparable with observations in all regions of Sweden. Our results emphasize the potential that models like LPJ-GUESS offers to support forestry practice, especially with regard to the choice of species and management regime in a changing environment.
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- 2006
8. Advanced terrestrial ecosystem analysis and modelling (ATEAM)
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Schröter, D., Acosta-Michlik, L., Arnell, A.W., Araújo, M.B., Badeck, F., Bakker, Martha, Bondeau, A., Brugmann, H., Carter, T., Vega de la-Leinert, A.C., Erhard, M., Espineira, G.Z., Ewert, F., Fritsch, U., Friedlingstein, P., Glendining, M., Gracia, C.A., Hickler, T., House, J., Hulme, M., Kankaanpää, S., Klein, R.J.T., Krukenberg, B., Lavorel, S., Leemans, R., Lindner, M., Liski, J., Metzger, M.J., Meyer, J., Mitchell, T., Mohren, G.M.J., Morales, P., Moreno, J.M., Reginster, I., Reidsma, P., Rounsevell, M., Pla, E., Pluimers, J.C., Prentice, I.C., Pussinen, A., Sánchez, A., Sabaté, S., Sitch, S., Smith, B., Smith, P., Sykes, M.T., Thonicke, K., Thuiller, W., Tuck, G., van der Werf, G., Vayreda, J., Wattenbach, M., Wilson, D.W., Woodward, F.I., Zaehle, S., Zierl, B., Zudin, S., and Cramer, W.
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WIMEK ,Landgebruiksplanning ,WASS ,PE&RC ,Forest Ecology and Forest Management ,Bodemgeografie en Landschap ,Environmental Systems Analysis ,Plant Production Systems ,Milieusysteemanalyse ,Plantaardige Productiesystemen ,Land Use Planning ,Soil Geography and Landscape ,Life Science ,Bosecologie en Bosbeheer - Published
- 2004
9. ATEAM (advanced Terrestrial Ecosystem Analysis and Modelling) final project report, EC project EVK2-2000-00075
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Schröter, D., Acosta-Michlik, L., Arnell, A.W., Araujo, M.B., Badeck, F., Bakker, M., Bondeau, A., Bugmann, H., Carter, T., de la Vega-Leinert, A.C., Erhard, M., Espineira, G.Z., Ewert, F., Friedlingstein, P., Fritsch, U., Glendining, M., Gracia, C.A., Hickler, T., House, J., Hulme, M., Klein, R.J.T., Krukenberg, B., Lavorel, S., Leemans, R., Lindner, M., Liski, J., Metzger, M.J., Meyer, J., Mitchell, T., Mohren, G.M.J., Morales, P., Moreno, J.M., Reginster, I., Reidsma, P., Rounsevell, M., Pluimers, J.C., Prentice, I.C., Pussinen, A., Sanchez, A., Sabaté, S., Sitch, S., Smith, B., Smith, J., Smith, P., Sykes, M.T., Thonicke, K., Thuiller, W., Tuck, G., van der Werf, W., Vayreda, J., Wattenbach, M., Wilson, D.W., Woodward, F.I., Zaehle, S., Zierl, B., Zudin, S., and Cramer, W.
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Plant Production Systems ,Plantaardige Productiesystemen ,Life Science ,Bosecologie en Bosbeheer ,Leerstoelgroep Gewas- en onkruidecologie ,PE&RC ,Crop and Weed Ecology ,Forest Ecology and Forest Management - Published
- 2004
10. Species richness of limestone grasslands increases with trait overlap: evidence from within- and between-species functional diversity partitioning
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Le Bagousse-Pinguet, Y., de Bello, F., Vandewalle, Marie, Leps, J., Sykes, M.T., Le Bagousse-Pinguet, Y., de Bello, F., Vandewalle, Marie, Leps, J., and Sykes, M.T.
- Abstract
Considering both within- and between-species functional diversities in plant communities has been recently suggested as a way to understand potential assembly mechanisms that control species coexistence. In particular, relating variations in species richness to within- and between-species functional diversities can provide a useful framework for evaluating the importance of alternative community assembly theories. In addition, little is known about whether the relationship between species richness and functional diversity components arises from direct or indirect effects of the abiotic environment.We tested the relationship between functional diversity and species richness by disentangling functional diversity components into within-species, between-species and total functional diversities and by considering potential direct and indirect effects of the abiotic conditions. Multi- and single-trait approaches were applied using three key plant functional traits (height, specific leaf area (SLA), LDMC). Traits were measured on species coexisting across sixteen species-rich limestone grasslands. Direct and indirect effects of the abiotic conditions were evaluated using multiple soil properties including heterogeneity in soil depths.The within-species functional diversity ranged between 13.5% and 33.6% of the total functional diversity. Within-species diversity was the main functional component linked to variations in species richness, despite the within-species functional diversity being lower than between-species functional diversity. Environmental soil properties had a direct effect on species richness but did not affect functional diversity components.Synthesis: Our results provide evidence that increasing the trait overlap between species, due to an increase in within-species diversity, may relate to greater species coexistence. Disentangling multiple functional diversity components indicated that there may be equalizing mechanisms that act as potential drivers of sp
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- 2013
11. Evidence for scale- and disturbance-dependent trait assembly patterns in dry semi-natural grasslands
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de Bello, F., Vandewalle, Marie, Reitalu, T., Lepš, J., Prentice, H.C., Lavorel, S., Sykes, M.T., de Bello, F., Vandewalle, Marie, Reitalu, T., Lepš, J., Prentice, H.C., Lavorel, S., and Sykes, M.T.
- Abstract
The mechanisms driving nonrandom assembly patterns in plant communities have long been of interest in ecological research. Competing ecological theories predict that coexisting species may either be more functionally dissimilar than expected by chance (with functional ‘divergence’ mainly reflecting niche differentiation) or be functionally more similar than expected (with functional ‘convergence’ reflecting either the outcome of environmental filtering or weaker-competitor exclusion effects). Assembly patterns are usually assessed at a single scale and disturbance regime, whereas considering different spatial scales and disturbance regimes may clarify the underlying assembly mechanisms. We tested the prediction that convergence and divergence are scale- and disturbance- dependent in grazed and abandoned species-rich dry grasslands within a 22 km2 landscape in south-eastern Sweden. Convergence and divergence were tested for plant species' traits and phylogenetic relationships at three nested spatial scales: within 412 plots (50 × 50 cm, divided into 10 × 10 cm subplots), within 117 grassland patches (from 0.02 to 11.63 ha) and within the whole landscape (across patches). At the finest scale (10 × 10 cm subplots within plots), coexisting species were more different than expected by chance (divergence), both functionally and phylogenetically, suggesting niche differentiation. At the intermediate scale (50 × 50 cm plots within patches), coexisting species showed convergence, suggesting environmental filtering. No significant deviations from random expectations were detected at the broadest scale (patches within the 22 km2 landscape) – suggesting the prevalence of dispersal limitation at this scale. The fact that nonrandom patterns were particularly evident under grazed conditions is consistent with the predict
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- 2013
12. Functional responses of plant communities to management, landscape and historical factors in semi-natural grasslands
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Vandewalle, Marie, Purschke, Oliver, de Bello, F., Reitalu, H.C., Prentice, H.C., Lavorel, S., Johansson, L.J., Sykes, M.T., Vandewalle, Marie, Purschke, Oliver, de Bello, F., Reitalu, H.C., Prentice, H.C., Lavorel, S., Johansson, L.J., and Sykes, M.T.
- Abstract
Question To what extent do historical and present-day management regimes and landscape characteristics affect the functional structure of semi-natural grassland communities? Location Semi-natural grasslands, the Baltic island of Öland, Sweden. Methods We assessed community functional structure within 475 (50 cm × 50 cm) semi-natural grassland vegetation plots using two indices: community-weighted mean trait values (CWM) and functional divergence (FD), calculated using the Rao quadratic entropy index. Spatially explicit regressions were used to assess the extent to which the CWM and FD for different plant traits are explained by past and present levels of local grazing management, and the present and historical characteristics of the surrounding landscape. Results Across traits, the CWM and FD of individual grasslands were strongly associated with current grazing intensity, but also with local management history and past landscape structure. Conclusions Our results indicate that grassland functional structure in the fragmented present-day landscape reflects not only present conditions, but also the historical context of the grassland fragments – where the presence of extensive grassland habitat in the surroundings provided a diverse pool of grazing-tolerant species. The study also suggests that information on landscape history, and its effects on the local species pool, may improve predictions of future plant community structure.
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- 2013
13. Contrasting changes in taxonomic, phylogenetic and functional diversity during a long-term succession: insights into assembly processes
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Purschke, O., Schmid, B.C., Sykes, M.T., Poschlod, P., Michalski, Stefan, Durka, Walter, Kühn, Ingolf, Winter, Marten, Prentice, H.C., Purschke, O., Schmid, B.C., Sykes, M.T., Poschlod, P., Michalski, Stefan, Durka, Walter, Kühn, Ingolf, Winter, Marten, and Prentice, H.C.
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Theory predicts that the processes generating biodiversity after disturbance will change during succession. Comparisons of phylogenetic and functional (alpha and beta) diversity with taxonomic diversity can provide insights into the extent to which community assembly is driven by deterministic or stochastic processes, but comparative approaches have yet to be applied to successional systems.We characterized taxonomic, phylogenetic and functional plant (alpha and beta) diversity within and between four successional stages in a > 270-year-long arable-to-grassland chronosequence. Null models were used to test whether functional and phylogenetic turnover differed from random expectations, given the levels of species diversity.The three facets of diversity showed different patterns of change during succession. Between early and early-mid succession, species richness increased but there was no increase in functional or phylogenetic diversity. Higher than predicted levels of functional similarity between species within the early and early-mid successional stages, indicate that abiotic filters have selected for sets of functionally similar species within sites. Between late-mid and late succession, there was no further increase in species richness, but a significant increase in functional alpha diversity, suggesting that functionally redundant species were replaced by functionally more dissimilar species. Functional turnover between stages was higher than predicted, and higher than within-stage turnover, indicating that different assembly processes act at different successional stages.Synthesis. Analysis of spatial and temporal turnover in different facets of diversity suggests that deterministic processes generate biodiversity during post-disturbance ecosystem development and that the relative importance of assembly processes has changed over time. Trait-mediated abiotic filtering appears to play an important role in community assembly during the early and early-mid
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- 2013
14. Interactive effects of landscape history and current management on dispersal trait diversity in grassland plant communities
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Purschke, Oliver, Sykes, M.T., Poschlod, P., Michalski, Stefan, Römermann, C., Durka, Walter, Kühn, Ingolf, Prentice, H.C., Purschke, Oliver, Sykes, M.T., Poschlod, P., Michalski, Stefan, Römermann, C., Durka, Walter, Kühn, Ingolf, and Prentice, H.C.
- Abstract
Plant communities and their ecosystem functions are expected to be more resilient to future habitat fragmentation and deterioration if the species comprising the communities have a wide range of dispersal and persistence strategies. However, the extent to which the diversity of dispersal and persistence traits in plant communities is determined by the current and historical characteristics of sites and their surrounding landscape has yet to be explored.Using quantitative information on long-distance seed dispersal potential by wind and animals (dispersal in space) and on species' persistence/longevity (dispersal in time), we (i) compared levels of dispersal and persistence trait diversity (functional richness, FRic, and functional divergence, FDiv) in seminatural grassland plant communities with those expected by chance, and (ii) quantified the extent to which trait diversity was explained by current and historical landscape structure and local management history – taking into account spatial and phylogenetic autocorrel.Null model analysis revealed that more grassland communities than expected had a level of trait diversity that was lower or higher than predicted, given the level of species richness. Both the range (FRic) and divergence (FDiv) of dispersal and persistence trait values increased with grassland age. FDiv was mainly explained by the interaction between current grazing intensity and the amount of grassland habitat in the surrounding landscape in 1938.Synthesis. The study suggests that the variability of dispersal and persistence traits in grassland plant communities is driven by deterministic assembly processes, with both history and current management (and their interactions), playing a major role as determinants of trait diversity. While a long continuity of grazing management is likely to have promoted the diversity of dispersal and persistence traits in present-day grasslands, communities in sites that are well grazed at the present day, and were al
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- 2013
15. Scenarios for investigating risks to biodiversity
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Spangenberg, Joachim Hans, Bondeau, A., Carter, T.R., Fronzek, S., Jaeger, J., Jylhä, K., Kühn, Ingolf, Omann, I., Paul, A., Reginster, I., Rounsevell, M., Schweiger, Oliver, Stocker, A., Sykes, M.T., Settele, Josef, Spangenberg, Joachim Hans, Bondeau, A., Carter, T.R., Fronzek, S., Jaeger, J., Jylhä, K., Kühn, Ingolf, Omann, I., Paul, A., Reginster, I., Rounsevell, M., Schweiger, Oliver, Stocker, A., Sykes, M.T., and Settele, Josef
- Abstract
Aim This paper describes a set of integrative scenarios developed in the ALARM (Assessing LArge-scale environmental Risks for biodiversity with tested Methods) project. The ultimate aim of ALARM was to develop and test methods and protocols for the assessment of large-scale environmental risks to biodiversity and to evaluate mitigation options. Scenarios provide a tool for exploring such risks and the policy options to mitigate them; therefore they play a central role within the ALARM project.Methods Three integrative scenarios (liberalization, business as might be usual, sustainability) were developed and illustrated using the econometric model described in a subsequent paper. They are contextualized with projections from climate models and provide the input for model-based assessments of biodiversity trends. Additionally, three shock scenarios were developed (Gulf Stream collapse, peak oil, pandemic) to demonstrate the limits of linear extrapolation. As these extend beyond model capabilities, they are discussed semi-quantitatively based on modelling insights.Results Although the policy impacts on biodiversity are different for different pressures, biomes and species groups, some general trends could be identified. An extension of current EU policies will act as a brake on current trends by slowing down the loss of biodiversity in many cases and in most biomes, but it will be capable of neither halting nor of reversing the loss. Liberalization has the effect of accelerating biodiversity loss across the board, with few exceptions. A coherent sustainability scenario is clearly the most effective at preserving biodiversity, but the variant tested here still does not halt losses in all cases.Main conclusions Current EU policies for protecting biodiversity appear to be insufficient to reverse ongoing losses. Coherent sustainability strategies are effective at conserving biodiversity, but in order to assess losses and then reverse them, measures would need to be intr
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- 2012
16. Scenarios as a tool for large-scale ecological research: experiences and legacy of the ALARM project
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Settele, Josef, Carter, T.R., Kühn, Ingolf, Spangenberg, Joachim Hans, Sykes, M.T., Settele, Josef, Carter, T.R., Kühn, Ingolf, Spangenberg, Joachim Hans, and Sykes, M.T.
- Abstract
no abstract
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- 2012
17. Projecting the future distribution of european potential natural vegetation zones with a generalized, tree species-based dynamic vegetation model
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Hickler, T., Vohland, K., Feehan, J., Miller, P.A., Smith, B., Costa, L., Giesecke, T., Fronzek, S., Carter, T.R., Cramer, W., Kühn, Ingolf, Sykes, M.T., Hickler, T., Vohland, K., Feehan, J., Miller, P.A., Smith, B., Costa, L., Giesecke, T., Fronzek, S., Carter, T.R., Cramer, W., Kühn, Ingolf, and Sykes, M.T.
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Aim To assess the extent to which climate change might cause changes in potential natural vegetation (PNV) across Europe.Location Europe.Method We parameterized a generalized dynamic vegetation model (LPJ-GUESS) for the most common European tree species, and, for the first time, modelled large-scale vegetation dynamics using a process-based model explicitly representing tree species, age cohorts, gap dynamics and biogeochemical cycles in a single framework. For projections, the model was driven with climate scenario data from two atmosphere–ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs), downscaled to 10 × 10′ spatial resolution (c. 18.5 × 12 km at 50° N).Results At a general level, modelled present-day PNV corresponded better with an expert reconstruction of the PNV than most earlier plant functional type (PFT)-based simulations, but at a finer scale the model and the expert map showed substantial discrepancies in some areas. Simulations until 2085 showed considerable successional shifts in vegetation types in most areas: 31–42% of the total area of Europe was projected to be covered by a different vegetation type by the year 2085. In the long term, equilibrium changes are substantially larger: simulations with one climate scenario suggest that 76–80% of the European land surface could exist within another PNV if climate was stabilized by the end of the century and vegetation had unlimited time to achieve equilibrium with the new climate. ‘Hotspots’ of change include arctic and alpine ecosystems, where trees replace tundra in the model, and the transition zone between temperate broad-leaved and boreal conifer forest. In southern Europe, the model projected widespread shifts from forest to shrublands as a result of drought.Main conclusions The model presents a considerable advance in modelling dynamic changes in natural vegetation across Europe. Climate change might cause substantial changes in PNV across Europe, which should be considered in the management
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- 2012
18. Functional traits as indicators of biodiversity response to land use changes across ecosystems and organisms.
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Vandewalle, M., de Bello, F., Berg, M.P., Bolger, T., Doledec, S., Dubs, F., Feld, C.K., Harrington, R., Harrison, P.A., Lavorel, S., Martins da Silva, P., Moretti, M., Niemela, J., Santos, P., Sattler, Th., Paulo Sousa, J., Sykes, M.T., Vanbergen, A.J., Woodcock, B.A., Vandewalle, M., de Bello, F., Berg, M.P., Bolger, T., Doledec, S., Dubs, F., Feld, C.K., Harrington, R., Harrison, P.A., Lavorel, S., Martins da Silva, P., Moretti, M., Niemela, J., Santos, P., Sattler, Th., Paulo Sousa, J., Sykes, M.T., Vanbergen, A.J., and Woodcock, B.A.
- Abstract
Rigorous and widely applicable indicators of biodiversity are needed to monitor the responses of ecosystems to global change and design effective conservation schemes. Among the potential indicators of biodiversity, those based on the functional traits of species and communities are interesting because they can be generalized to similar habitats and can be assessed by relatively rapid field assessment across eco-regions. Functional traits, however, have as yet been rarely considered in current common monitoring schemes. Moreover, standardized procedures of trait measurement and analyses have almost exclusively been developed for plants but different approaches have been used for different groups of organisms. Here we review approaches using functional traits as biodiversity indicators focussing not on plants as usual but particularly on animal groups that are commonly considered in different biodiversity monitoring schemes (benthic invertebrates, collembolans, above ground insects and birds). Further, we introduce a new framework based on functional traits indices and illustrate it using case studies where the traits of these organisms can help monitoring the response of biodiversity to different land use change drivers. We propose and test standard procedures to integrate different components of functional traits into biodiversity monitoring schemes across trophic levels and disciplines. We suggest that the development of indicators using functional traits could complement, rather than replace, the existent biodiversity monitoring. In this way, the comparison of the effect of land use changes on biodiversity is facilitated and is expected to positively influence conservation management practices. © 2010 Springer Science+Business Media B.V.
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- 2010
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19. Multiple stressors on biotic interactions: how climate change and alien species interact to affect pollination
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Schweiger, Oliver, Biesmeijer, J.C., Bommarco, R., Hickler, T., Hulme, P.E., Klotz, Stefan, Kühn, Ingolf, Moora, M., Nielsen, A., Ohlemüller, R., Petanidou, T., Potts, S.G., Pyšek, P., Stout, J.C., Sykes, M.T., Tscheulin, T., Vilà, M., Walther, G.-R., Westphal, C., Winter, Marten, Zobel, M., Settele, Josef, Schweiger, Oliver, Biesmeijer, J.C., Bommarco, R., Hickler, T., Hulme, P.E., Klotz, Stefan, Kühn, Ingolf, Moora, M., Nielsen, A., Ohlemüller, R., Petanidou, T., Potts, S.G., Pyšek, P., Stout, J.C., Sykes, M.T., Tscheulin, T., Vilà, M., Walther, G.-R., Westphal, C., Winter, Marten, Zobel, M., and Settele, Josef
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Global change may substantially affect biodiversity and ecosystem functioning but little is known about its effects on essential biotic interactions. Since different environmental drivers rarely act in isolation it is important to consider interactive effects. Here, we focus on how two key drivers of anthropogenic environmental change, climate change and the introduction of alien species, affect plant-pollinator interactions. Based on a literature survey we identify climatically sensitive aspects of species interactions, assess potential effects of climate change on these mechanisms, and derive hypotheses that may form the basis of future research. We find that both climate change and alien species will ultimately lead to the creation of novel communities. In these communities certain interactions may no longer occur while there will also be potential for the emergence of new relationships. Alien species can both partly compensate for the often negative effects of climate change but also amplify them in some cases. Since potential positive effects are often restricted to generalist interactions among species, climate change and alien species in combination can result in significant threats to more specialist interactions involving native species.
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- 2010
20. The ALARM scenarios: storylines and simulations for assessing biodiversity risks in Europe
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Settele, J., Penev, L., Georgiev, T., Grabaum, R., Grobelnik, V., Hammen, V., Klotz, S., Kotarac, M., Kühn, I., Spangenberg, Joachim Hans, Fronzek, S., Hammen, Volker, Hickler, T., Jäger, J., Jylhä, K., Kühn, Ingolf, Marion, G., Maxim, L., Monterroso, I., O'Connor, M., Omann, I., Reginster, I., Rodríguez-Labajos, B., Rounsevell, M., Sykes, M.T., Vighi, M., Settele, Josef, Settele, J., Penev, L., Georgiev, T., Grabaum, R., Grobelnik, V., Hammen, V., Klotz, S., Kotarac, M., Kühn, I., Spangenberg, Joachim Hans, Fronzek, S., Hammen, Volker, Hickler, T., Jäger, J., Jylhä, K., Kühn, Ingolf, Marion, G., Maxim, L., Monterroso, I., O'Connor, M., Omann, I., Reginster, I., Rodríguez-Labajos, B., Rounsevell, M., Sykes, M.T., Vighi, M., and Settele, Josef
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- 2010
21. Aspects of the future of biodiversity and biodiversity research
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Settele, J., Penev, L., Georgiev, T., Grabaum, R., Grobelnik, V., Hammen, V., Klotz, S., Kotarac, M., Kühn, I., Sykes, M.T., Hickler, T., Settele, Josef, Settele, J., Penev, L., Georgiev, T., Grabaum, R., Grobelnik, V., Hammen, V., Klotz, S., Kotarac, M., Kühn, I., Sykes, M.T., Hickler, T., and Settele, Josef
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- 2010
22. Research needs for incorporating the ecosystem service approach into EU biodiversity conservation policy
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Anton, Christian, Young, J., Harrison, P.A., Musche, Martin, Bela, G., Feld, C.K., Harrington, R., Haslett, J.R., Pataki, G., Rounsevell, M.D.A., Skourtos, M., Sousa, J.P., Sykes, M.T., Tinch, R., Vandewalle, Marie, Watt, A., Settele, Josef, Anton, Christian, Young, J., Harrison, P.A., Musche, Martin, Bela, G., Feld, C.K., Harrington, R., Haslett, J.R., Pataki, G., Rounsevell, M.D.A., Skourtos, M., Sousa, J.P., Sykes, M.T., Tinch, R., Vandewalle, Marie, Watt, A., and Settele, Josef
- Abstract
Using a range of different methods including extensive reviews, workshops and an electronic conference, 70 key research recommendations and 12 priority research needs to integrate the ecosystem services approach into biodiversity conservation policy and funding were identified by a cross-disciplinary group of over 100 scientists and 50 stakeholders, including research funders and policy-makers. These recommendations focus on the ecological underpinning of ecosystem services, drivers that affect ecosystems and their services, biological traits and ecosystem services, the valuation of ecosystem services, spatial and temporal scales in ecosystem service assessment, indicators of ecosystem services, and habitat management, conservation policy and ecosystem services. The recommendations in this paper help steer the research agenda on ecosystem services into policy-relevant areas, agreed upon by funders, researchers and policy-makers. This research agenda will only succeed with increased collaboration between researchers across disciplines, thereby providing a challenge to the research community and research funders to work in new, interdisciplinary ways.
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- 2010
23. Vegetation on the move - where do conservation strategies have to be redefined?
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Settele, J., Penev, L., Georgiev, T., Grabaum, R., Grobelnik, V., Hammen, V., Klotz, S., Kotarac, M., Kühn, I., Hickler, T., Vohland, K., Costa, L., Cramer, W., Miller, P.A., Smith, B., Feehan, J., Kühn, Ingolf, Sykes, M.T., Settele, J., Penev, L., Georgiev, T., Grabaum, R., Grobelnik, V., Hammen, V., Klotz, S., Kotarac, M., Kühn, I., Hickler, T., Vohland, K., Costa, L., Cramer, W., Miller, P.A., Smith, B., Feehan, J., Kühn, Ingolf, and Sykes, M.T.
- Published
- 2010
24. Identifying and prioritising services in European terrestrial and freshwater ecosystems
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Harrison, P.A., Vandewalle, Marie, Sykes, M.T., Berry, P.M., Bugter, R., de Bello, F., Feld, C.K., Grandin, U., Harrington, R., Haslett, J.R., Jongman, R.H.G., Luck, G.W., da Silva, P.M., Moora, M., Settele, Josef, Sousa, J.P., Zobel, M., Harrison, P.A., Vandewalle, Marie, Sykes, M.T., Berry, P.M., Bugter, R., de Bello, F., Feld, C.K., Grandin, U., Harrington, R., Haslett, J.R., Jongman, R.H.G., Luck, G.W., da Silva, P.M., Moora, M., Settele, Josef, Sousa, J.P., and Zobel, M.
- Abstract
Ecosystems are multifunctional and provide humanity with a broad array of vital services. Effective management of services requires an improved evidence base, identifying the role of ecosystems in delivering multiple services, which can assist policy-makers in maintaining them. Here, information from the literature and scientific experts was used to systematically document the importance of services and identify trends in their use and status over time for the main terrestrial and freshwater ecosystems in Europe. The results from this review show that intensively managed ecosystems contribute mostly to vital provisioning services (e.g. agro-ecosystems provide food via crops and livestock, and forests provide wood), while semi-natural ecosystems (e.g. grasslands and mountains) are key contributors of genetic resources and cultural services (e.g. aesthetic values and sense of place). The most recent European trends in human use of services show increases in demand for crops from agro-ecosystems, timber from forests, water flow regulation from rivers, wetlands and mountains, and recreation and ecotourism in most ecosystems, but decreases in livestock production, freshwater capture fisheries, wild foods and virtually all services associated with ecosystems which have considerably decreased in area (e.g. semi-natural grasslands). The condition of the majority of services show either a degraded or mixed status across Europe with the exception of recent enhancements in timber production in forests and mountains, freshwater provision, water/erosion/natural hazard regulation and recreation/ecotourism in mountains, and climate regulation in forests. Key gaps in knowledge were evident for certain services across all ecosystems, including the provision of biochemicals and natural medicines, genetic resources and the regulating services of seed dispersal, pest/disease regulation and invasion resistance.
- Published
- 2010
25. Alien species in a warmer world - risks and opportunities
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Walther, G.-R., Roques, A., Hulme, P.E., Sykes, M.T., Pyšek, P., Kühn, Ingolf, Zobel, M., Bacher, S., Botta-Dukát, Z., Bugmann, H., Czúcz, B., Dauber, J., Hickler, T., Jarošík, V., Kenis, M., Klotz, Stefan, Minchin, D., Moora, M., Nentwig, W., Ott, J., Panov, V.E., Reineking, B., Robinet, C., Semenchenko, V., Solarz, W., Thuiller, W., Vilà, M., Vohland, K., Settele, Josef, Walther, G.-R., Roques, A., Hulme, P.E., Sykes, M.T., Pyšek, P., Kühn, Ingolf, Zobel, M., Bacher, S., Botta-Dukát, Z., Bugmann, H., Czúcz, B., Dauber, J., Hickler, T., Jarošík, V., Kenis, M., Klotz, Stefan, Minchin, D., Moora, M., Nentwig, W., Ott, J., Panov, V.E., Reineking, B., Robinet, C., Semenchenko, V., Solarz, W., Thuiller, W., Vilà, M., Vohland, K., and Settele, Josef
- Abstract
Climate change and biological invasions are key processes affecting global biodiversity, yet their effects have usually been considered separately. Here, we emphasise that global warming has enabled alien species to expand into regions in which they previously could not survive and reproduce. Based on a review of climate-mediated biological invasions of plants, invertebrates, fishes and birds, we discuss the ways in which climate change influences biological invasions. We emphasise the role of alien species in a more dynamic context of shifting species' ranges and changing communities. Under these circumstances, management practices regarding the occurrence of 'new' species could range from complete eradication to tolerance and even consideration of the 'new' species as an enrichment of local biodiversity and key elements to maintain ecosystem services.
- Published
- 2009
26. Quantifying the contribution of organisms to the provision of ecosystem services
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Luck, G.W., Harrington, R., Harrison, P.A., Kremen, C., Berry, P.M., Bugter, R., Dawson, T.P., de Bello, F., Díaz, S., Feld, C.K., Haslett, J.R., Hering, D., Kontogianni, A., Lavorel, S., Rounsevell, M., Samways, M.J., Sandin, L., Settele, Josef, Sykes, M.T., van den Hove, S., Vandewalle, Marie, Zobel, M., Luck, G.W., Harrington, R., Harrison, P.A., Kremen, C., Berry, P.M., Bugter, R., Dawson, T.P., de Bello, F., Díaz, S., Feld, C.K., Haslett, J.R., Hering, D., Kontogianni, A., Lavorel, S., Rounsevell, M., Samways, M.J., Sandin, L., Settele, Josef, Sykes, M.T., van den Hove, S., Vandewalle, Marie, and Zobel, M.
- Abstract
Research on ecosystem services has grown rapidly over the last decade. Two conceptual frameworks have been published to guide ecological assessments of organisms that deliver services-the concepts of service-providing units (SPUs) and ecosystem service providers (ESPs). Here, we unite these frameworks and present an SPU-ESP continuum that offers a coherent conceptual approach for synthesizing the latest developments in ecosystem service research, and can direct future studies at all levels of organization. In particular, we show how the service-provider concept can be applied at the population, functional group, and community levels. We strongly emphasize the need to identify and quantify the organisms and their characteristics (e.g., functional traits) that provide services, and to assess service provision relative to the demands of human beneficiaries. We use key examples from the literature to illustrate the new approach and to highlight gaps in knowledge, particularly in relation to the impact of species interactions and ecosystem dynamics on service provision.
- Published
- 2009
27. An ecosystem model-based estimate of changes in water availability differs from water proxies that are commonly used in species distribution models
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Hickler, T., Fronzek, S., Araujo, M.B., Schweiger, Oliver, Thuiller, W., Sykes, M.T., Hickler, T., Fronzek, S., Araujo, M.B., Schweiger, Oliver, Thuiller, W., and Sykes, M.T.
- Abstract
Aim To assess whether the water availability measures commonly used in species distribution models might be misleading because they do not account for the hydrological effects of changes in vegetation structure and functioning.Location Europe.Methods We compared different methods for estimating water availability in species distribution models with the soil water content predicted by a process-based ecosystem model. The latter also accounted for the hydrological effects of dynamic changes in vegetation structure and functioning, including potential physiological effects of increasing CO2.Results All proxies showed similar patterns of water availability across Europe for current climate, but when projected into the future, the changes in the simpler water availability measures showed no correlation with those projected by the more complex ecosystem model, even if CO2 effects were switched off.Main conclusions Results from species distribution modelling studies concerning future changes in species ranges and biodiversity should be interpreted with caution, and more process-based representations of the water balance of terrestrial ecosystems should be considered within these models.
- Published
- 2009
28. MACIS: Minimisation of and Adaption to Climate change Impacts on biodiverSity
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Kühn, Ingolf, Sykes, M.T., Berry, P.M., Thuiller, W., Piper, J.M., Nigmann, Ursula, Araujo, M.B., Balletto, E., Bonelli, S., Cabeza, M., Guisan, A., Hickler, T., Klotz, Stefan, Metzger, M., Midgley, G., Musche, Martin, Olofsson, J., Paterson, J.S., Penev, L., Rickebusch, S., Rounsevell, M.D.A.R., Schweiger, Oliver, Wilson, E., Settele, Josef, Kühn, Ingolf, Sykes, M.T., Berry, P.M., Thuiller, W., Piper, J.M., Nigmann, Ursula, Araujo, M.B., Balletto, E., Bonelli, S., Cabeza, M., Guisan, A., Hickler, T., Klotz, Stefan, Metzger, M., Midgley, G., Musche, Martin, Olofsson, J., Paterson, J.S., Penev, L., Rickebusch, S., Rounsevell, M.D.A.R., Schweiger, Oliver, Wilson, E., and Settele, Josef
- Abstract
The recently finished EU funded project MACIS reviewed observed and projected climate change impacts on biodiversity. It assessed mitigation and adaptation options. It also reviewed and developed methods to assess future impacts of climate change on biodiversity including the identification of policy options to prevent and minimise these impacts.
- Published
- 2008
29. Incorporating the effects of changes in vegetation functioning and CO2 on water availability in plant habitat models
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Rickebusch, S., Thuiller, W., Hickler, T., Araujo, M.B., Sykes, M.T., Schweiger, Oliver, Lafourcade, B., Rickebusch, S., Thuiller, W., Hickler, T., Araujo, M.B., Sykes, M.T., Schweiger, Oliver, and Lafourcade, B.
- Abstract
The direct effects of CO2 level changes on plant water availability are usually ignored in plant habitat models. We compare traditional proxies for water availability with changes in soil water (fAWC) predicted by a process-based ecosystem model, which simulates changes in vegetation structure and functioning, including CO2 physiological effects. We modelled current and future habitats of 108 European tree species using ensemble forecasting, comprising six habitat models, two model evaluation methods and two climate change scenarios. The fAWC models' projections are generally more conservative. Potential habitats shrink significantly less for boreo-alpine and alpine species. Changes in vegetation functioning and CO2 on plant water availability should therefore be taken into account in plant habitat change projections.
- Published
- 2008
30. Functional responses of plant communities to management, landscape and historical factors in semi-natural grasslands
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Vandewalle, M., primary, Purschke, O., additional, de Bello, F., additional, Reitalu, T., additional, Prentice, H.C., additional, Lavorel, S., additional, Johansson, L.J., additional, and Sykes, M.T., additional
- Published
- 2013
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
31. Inventorying management status and plant species richness in semi-natural grasslands using high spatial resolution imagery
- Author
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Hall, K., primary, Johansson, L.J., additional, Sykes, M.T., additional, Reitalu, T., additional, Larsson, K., additional, and Prentice, H.C., additional
- Published
- 2010
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
32. Plant species segregation on different spatial scales in semi-natural grasslands
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Reitalu, T., primary, Prentice, H.C., additional, Sykes, M.T., additional, Lonn, M., additional, Johansson, L.J., additional, and Hall, K., additional
- Published
- 2008
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
33. BOOK REVIEWS
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Sykes, M.T., primary
- Published
- 2002
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
34. Spatial Economics and Ecosystems: The interaction between economics and the natural environment
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Sykes, M.T., primary
- Published
- 2002
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
35. Carbon storage in boreal forests
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Sykes, M.T., Price, D.T., Prentice, I.C., Apps, M.J., Sykes, M.T., Price, D.T., Prentice, I.C., and Apps, M.J.
- Published
- 1995
36. An extended probabilistic approach of plant vital attributes: an application to European pollen records at 0 and 6 ka.
- Author
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Gritti, E.S., Gachet, S., Sykes, M.T., and Guiot, J.
- Subjects
POLLEN ,BIOTIC communities ,PHYTOGEOGRAPHY ,VEGETATION dynamics - Abstract
This paper presents a probabilistic method of pollen spectra analysis. The method relies on a pollen taxon characterization using biotic and abiotic plant attribute modes, and their occurrence in a given pollen spectrum at a specific site. This type of analysis can provide an interpretation, which can lead to the reconstruction of the biome and, to an extent, of the abiotic conditions at the site.The analysis has been carried out at the European scale using data provided by the European Pollen Database for about 1000 sites. This dataset contains about 50,000 pollen spectra from the last 21 ka. In these spectra, each pollen taxon has been characterized by a set of 10 chosen attributes. These have been selected with regard to their relevance in biome reconstruction, but also on the basis of available literature. By using the probability of occurrence of each taxon in a given pollen spectrum, it is possible to calculate an affinity index for the spectrum to the attribute considered. To overcome difficulties caused by pollen identification in low diversified pollen spectra, a co-occurrence concept has been used to give more information.The method has been validated on a set of 1327 modern surface samples by comparing the results to the major climatic and environmental variables that control the distribution of the vegetation. A reconstruction exercise on various characteristics of the plants was then carried out on a 6-ka dataset. This confirmed previous studies by showing a strong dominance of deciduous forest over most of Europe, related to a milder climate than at present in the north and a wetter and colder climate than at present in the south. By analysing the change in pollen/seed dispersion strategies and the light requirement, we show that the history of vegetation dynamics in relation to human influences can be assessed using this method.Our results show that the probabilistic method is an objective tool for pollen assemblage analysis. It allows reconstruction of various characteristics of the vegetation at the continental and global scale for periods and sites with significantly different climate conditions. This method can also be used to compare maps of vegetation attributes for the validation of the new generalized dynamic ecosystems models. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2004
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
37. Erosion of SiC-reinforced alumina ceramic composites
- Author
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Sykes, M.T., primary, Scattergood, R.O., additional, and Routbort, J.L., additional
- Published
- 1987
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
38. Unmyelinated axons in human ventral roots, a possible explanation for the failure of dorsal rhizotomy to relieve pain : Brain, 98 (1975) 157–166
- Author
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Coggeshall, R.E., Applebaum, M.L., Fazen, M., Stubbs, T.B., III, and Sykes, M.T.
- Published
- 1976
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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