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Recent advances in machine learning techniques have made it possible to use high-throughput screening to identify novel materials with specific properties. However, the large number of potential candidates produced by these techniques can make it difficult to select the most promising ones. In this study, we develop the oxidation state probability (OSP) method which evaluates ternary compounds based on the probability (the OSP metric) of each element to adopt the required oxidation states for fulfilling charge neutrality. We compare this model with Roost and the Fourier-transformed crystal properties (FTCP)-based synthesizability score. Among the top 1000 systems with the most database entries in Materials Project (MP), more than 500 systems exhibit an attested compound among the top 3 compositions when ranked by the OSP metric. We find that the OSP method shows promising results for certain classes of ternary systems, especially those containing nonmetals, s-block, or transition metals. When applied to the Cu-In-Te ternary system, an interesting system for thermoelectric applications, the OSP method predicted the synthesizability of CuIn$_3$Te$_5$ without prior knowledge, and we have successfully synthesized CuIn$_3$Te$_5$ in experiment. Our method has the potential to accelerate the discovery of novel compounds by providing a guide for experimentalists to easily select the most synthesizable candidates from an arbitrarily large set of possible chemical compositions., Comment: 11 pages, 3 figures

Transfer learning increasingly becomes an important tool in handling data scarcity often encountered in machine learning. In the application of high-throughput thickness as a downstream process of the high-throughput optimization of optoelectronic thin films with autonomous workflows, data scarcity occurs especially for new materials. To achieve high-throughput thickness characterization, we propose a machine learning model called thicknessML that predicts thickness from UV-Vis spectrophotometry input and an overarching transfer learning workflow. We demonstrate the transfer learning workflow from generic source domain of generic band-gapped materials to specific target domain of perovskite materials, where the target domain data only come from limited number (18) of refractive indices from literature. The target domain can be easily extended to other material classes with a few literature data. Defining thickness prediction accuracy to be within-10% deviation, thicknessML achieves 92.2% (with a deviation of 3.6%) accuracy with transfer learning compared to 81.8% (with a deviation of 3.6%) 11.7% without (lower mean and larger standard deviation). Experimental validation on six deposited perovskite films also corroborates the efficacy of the proposed workflow by yielding a 10.5% mean absolute percentage error (MAPE).

Conventional wisdom of materials modelling stipulates that both chemical composition and crystal structure are integral in the prediction of physical properties. However, recent developments challenge this by reporting accurate property-prediction machine learning (ML) frameworks using composition alone without knowledge of the local atomic environments or long-range order. To probe this behavior, we conduct a systematic comparison of supervised ML models built on composition only vs. composition plus structure features. Similar performance for property prediction is found using both models for compounds close to the thermodynamic convex hull. We hypothesize that composition embeds structural information of ground-state structures in support of composition-centric models for property prediction and inverse design of stable compounds., Comment: 18 pages, 8 figures

Realizing general inverse design could greatly accelerate the discovery of new materials with user-defined properties. However, state-of-the-art generative models tend to be limited to a specific composition or crystal structure. Herein, we present a framework capable of general inverse design (not limited to a given set of elements or crystal structures), featuring a generalized invertible representation that encodes crystals in both real and reciprocal space, and a property-structured latent space from a variational autoencoder (VAE). In three design cases, the framework generates 142 new crystals with user-defined formation energies, bandgap, thermoelectric (TE) power factor, and combinations thereof. These generated crystals, absent in the training database, are validated by first-principles calculations. The success rates (number of first-principles-validated target-satisfying crystals/number of designed crystals) ranges between 7.1% and 38.9%. These results represent a significant step toward property-driven general inverse design using generative models, although practical challenges remain when coupled with experimental synthesis.

Novel photovoltaics, such as perovskites and perovskite-inspired materials, have shown great promise due to high efficiency and potentially low manufacturing cost. So far, solar cell R&D has mostly focused on achieving record efficiencies, a process that often results in small batches, large variance, and limited understanding of the physical causes of underperformance. This approach is intensive in time and resources, and ignores many relevant factors for industrial production, particularly the need for high reproducibility and high manufacturing yield, and the accompanying need of physical insights. The record-efficiency paradigm is effective in early-stage R&D, but becomes unsuitable for industrial translation, requiring a repetition of the optimization procedure in the industrial setting. This mismatch between optimization objectives, combined with the complexity of physical root-cause analysis, contributes to decade-long timelines to transfer new technologies into the market. Based on recent machine learning and technoeconomic advances, our perspective articulates a data-driven optimization framework to bridge R&D and manufacturing optimization approaches. We extend the maximum-efficiency optimization paradigm by considering two additional dimensions: a technoeconomic figure of merit and scalable physical inference. Our framework naturally aligns different stages of technology development with shared optimization objectives, and accelerates the optimization process by providing physical insights.