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Colonization by KPC-producing Klebsiella pneumoniae (KPC-Kp) is associ ated with the risk of developing KPC-Kp infection. The impact of the time elapsed since a patient becomes colonized on this risk is not well known. An observational, prospec tive, longitudinal cohort study of colonized patients undergoing active rectal culture screening to rule out KPC-Kp colonization (July 2012 to November 2017). Patients with a positive culture at inclusion (colonized at start of follow-up) and those with a negative culture at inclusion who became colonized within 90 days (colonized during follow-up) were included in the analysis. CART analysis was used to dichotomize variables accord ing to their association with infection. Kaplan–Meier infection-free survival curves and the log-rank test were used for group comparisons. Logistic regression was used to identify variables associated with KPC-Kp infection. Among 1310 patients included, 166 were colonized at the end of follow-up. Forty-seven out of 118 patients colonized at start of follow-up developed infection (39.8%) versus 31 out of 48 patients colonized during follow-up (64.6%; P = 0.006). Variables associated with KPC-Kp infection in the logistic regression analysis were: colonization detection during follow-up (OR, 2.74; 95% CI, 1.07 to 7.04; P = 0.03), Giannella risk score (OR, 1.51; 95% CI, 1.32 to 1.73; P , 0.001), high-risk ward (OR, 4.77; 95% CI, 1.61 to 14.10; P = 0.005) and urological manipu lation after admission (OR, 3.69; 95% CI, 1.08 to 12.60; P = 0.04). In 25 out of 31 patients (80.6%) colonized during follow-up who developed KPC-Kp infection, infection appeared within 15 days after colonization. The risk of KPC-Kp infection was higher when coloni zation is recently acquired during hospitalization. In this prospective study, we con cluded that the timing of colonization was a factor to assess when considering empiri cal treatment for suspected KPC-Kp infection and prophylaxis or infection control.

Objectives We evaluated the association of Klebsiella pneumoniae carbapenemase-producing K. pneumoniae (KPC-Kp) rectal colonisation with crude mortality and whether this association is independent of the risk of KPC-Kp infection. Methods This was a prospective cohort study of patients followed-up 90 days after a study of rectal colonisation. Cox regression was used to study the variables associated with crude mortality. Sensitivity analyses for 90-day crude mortality in different subcohorts were performed. Results A total of 1244 patients (1078 non-colonised and 166 colonised) were included. None of the non-colonised patients and 78 (47.0%) of the colonised patients developed KPC-Kp infection. The 90-day crude mortality was 18.0% (194/1078) in non-colonised patients and 41.6% (69/166) in colonised patients. Rectal colonisation was not associated with crude mortality [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.03, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.69–1.54; P = 0.85] when the model was adjusted for severe KPC-Kp infection [INCREMENT-CPE score (ICS) > 7]. KPC-Kp infection with ICS > 7 was associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality (HR = 2.21, 95% CI 1.35–3.63; P = 0.002). In the sensitivity analyses, KPC-Kp colonisation was not associated with mortality in any of the analysed subcohorts, including patients who did not develop KPC-Kp infection (HR = 0.93, 95% CI 0.60–1.43; P = 0.74). Conclusion KPC-Kp rectal colonisation was not associated with crude mortality. Mortality increased when colonised patients developed severe KPC-Kp infection (ICS > 7). Rectal colonisation was a necessary although insufficient condition to die from a KPC-Kp infection.

Colonization by KPC-producing Klebsiella pneumoniae (KPC-Kp) is associated with the risk of developing KPC-Kp infection. The impact of the time elapsed since a patient becomes colonized on this risk is not well known. An observational, prospective, longitudinal cohort study of colonized patients undergoing active rectal culture screening to rule out KPC-Kp colonization (July 2012 to November 2017). Patients with a positive culture at inclusion (colonized at start of follow-up) and those with a negative culture at inclusion who became colonized within 90 days (colonized during follow-up) were included in the analysis. CART analysis was used to dichotomize variables according to their association with infection. Kaplan–Meier infection-free survival curves and the log-rank test were used for group comparisons. Logistic regression was used to identify variables associated with KPC-Kp infection. Among 1310 patients included, 166 were colonized at the end of follow-up. Forty-seven out of 118 patients colonized at start of follow-up developed infection (39.8%) versus 31 out of 48 patients colonized during follow-up (64.6%; P = 0.006). Variables associated with KPC-Kp infection in the logistic regression analysis were: colonization detection during follow-up (OR, 2.74; 95% CI, 1.07 to 7.04; P = 0.03), Giannella risk score (OR, 1.51; 95% CI, 1.32 to 1.73; P < 0.001), high-risk ward (OR, 4.77; 95% CI, 1.61 to 14.10; P = 0.005) and urological manipulation after admission (OR, 3.69; 95% CI, 1.08 to 12.60; P = 0.04). In 25 out of 31 patients (80.6%) colonized during follow-up who developed KPC-Kp infection, infection appeared within 15 days after colonization. The risk of KPC-Kp infection was higher when colonization is recently acquired during hospitalization. In this prospective study, we concluded that the timing of colonization was a factor to assess when considering empirical treatment for suspected KPC-Kp infection and prophylaxis or infection control.

[Objectives] We evaluated the association of Klebsiella pneumoniae carbapenemase-producing K. pneumoniae (KPC-Kp) rectal colonisation with crude mortality and whether this association is independent of the risk of KPC-Kp infection., [Methods] This was a prospective cohort study of patients followed-up 90 days after a study of rectal colonisation. Cox regression was used to study the variables associated with crude mortality. Sensitivity analyses for 90-day crude mortality in different subcohorts were performed., [Results] A total of 1244 patients (1078 non-colonised and 166 colonised) were included. None of the non-colonised patients and 78 (47.0%) of the colonised patients developed KPC-Kp infection. The 90-day crude mortality was 18.0% (194/1078) in non-colonised patients and 41.6% (69/166) in colonised patients. Rectal colonisation was not associated with crude mortality [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.03, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.69–1.54; P = 0.85] when the model was adjusted for severe KPC-Kp infection [INCREMENT-CPE score (ICS) > 7]. KPC-Kp infection with ICS > 7 was associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality (HR = 2.21, 95% CI 1.35–3.63; P = 0.002). In the sensitivity analyses, KPC-Kp colonisation was not associated with mortality in any of the analysed subcohorts, including patients who did not develop KPC-Kp infection (HR = 0.93, 95% CI 0.60–1.43; P = 0.74)., [Conclusion] KPC-Kp rectal colonisation was not associated with crude mortality. Mortality increased when colonised patients developed severe KPC-Kp infection (ICS > 7). Rectal colonisation was a necessary although insufficient condition to die from a KPC-Kp infection.