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[EN] Background The endoscopically implanted duodenal-jejunal bypass liner (DJBL) is an attractive alternative to bariatric surgery for obese diabetic patients. This article aims to study dynamical aspects of the glycaemic profile that may influence DJBL effects. Methods Thirty patients underwent DJBL implantation and were followed for 10 months. Continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) was performed before implantation and at month 10. Dynamical variables from CGM were measured: coefficient of variation of glycaemia, mean amplitude of glycaemic excursions (MAGE), detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA), % of time with glycaemia under 6.1 mmol/L (TU6.1), area over 7.8 mmol/L (AO7.8) and time in range. We analysed the correlation between changes in both anthropometric (body mass index, BMI and waist circumference) and metabolic (fasting blood glucose, FBG and HbA1c) variables and dynamical CGM-derived metrics and searched for variables in the basal CGM that could predict successful outcomes. Results There was a poor correlation between anthropometric and metabolic outcomes. There was a strong correlation between anthropometric changes and changes in glycaemic tonic control ( increment BMI- increment TU6.1: rho = - 0.67, P < .01) and between metabolic outcomes and glycaemic phasic control ( increment FBG- increment AO7.8: r = .60, P < .01). Basal AO7.8 was a powerful predictor of successful metabolic outcome (0.85 in patients with AO7.8 above the median vs 0.31 in patients with AO7.8 below the median: Chi-squared = 5.67, P = .02). Conclusions In our population, anthropometric outcomes of DJBL correlate with improvement in tonic control of glycaemia, while metabolic outcomes correlate preferentially with improvement in phasic control. Assessment of basal phasic control may help in candidate profiling for DJBL implantation.

[EN] Complexity analysis of glucose time series with Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA) has been proved to be useful for the prediction of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) development. We propose a modified DFA algorithm, review some of its characteristics and compare it with other metrics derived from continuous glucose monitorization in this setting. Several issues of the DFA algorithm were evaluated: (1) Time windowing: the best predictive value was obtained including all time-windows from 15 minutes to 24 hours. (2) Influence of circadian rhythms: for 48-hour glucometries, DFA alpha scaling exponent was calculated on 24hour sliding segments (1-hour gap, 23-hour overlap), with a median coefficient of variation of 3.2%, which suggests that analysing time series of at least 24-hour length avoids the influence of circadian rhythms. (3) Influence of pretreatment of the time series through integration: DFA without integration was more sensitive to the introduction of white noise and it showed significant predictive power to forecast the development of T2DM, while the pretreated time series did not. (4) Robustness of an interpolation algorithm for missing values: The modified DFA algorithm evaluates the percentage of missing values in a time series. Establishing a 2% error threshold, we estimated the number and length of missing segments that could be admitted to consider a time series as suitable for DFA analysis. For comparison with other metrics, a Principal Component Analysis was performed and the results neatly tease out four different components. The first vector carries information concerned with variability, the second represents mainly DFA alpha exponent, while the third and fourth vectors carry essentially information related to the two "pre-diabetic behaviours" (impaired fasting glucose and impaired glucose tolerance). The scaling exponent obtained with the modified DFA algorithm proposed has significant predictive power for the development of T2DM in a hig

[EN] Diabetes is a disease of great and rising prevalence, with the obesity epidemic being a significant contributing risk factor. Duodenal¿jejunal bypass liner (DJBL) is a reversible implant that mimics the effects of more aggressive surgical procedures, such as gastric bypass, to induce weight loss. We hypothesized that DJBL also influences the glucose dynamics in type II diabetes, based on the induced changes already demonstrated in other physiological characteristics and parameters. In order to assess the validity of this assumption, we conducted a quantitative analysis based on several nonlinear algorithms (Lempel¿Ziv Complexity, Sample Entropy, Permutation Entropy, and modified Permutation Entropy), well suited to the characterization of biomedical time series. We applied them to glucose records drawn from two extreme cases available of DJBL implantation: before and after 10 months. The results confirmed the hypothesis and an accuracy of 86.4% was achieved with modified Permutation Entropy. Other metrics also yielded significant classification accuracy results, all above 70%, provided a suitable parameter configuration was chosen. With the Leave¿One¿Out method, the results were very similar, between 72% and 82% classification accuracy. There was also a decrease in entropy of glycaemia records during the time interval studied. These findings provide a solid foundation to assess how glucose metabolism may be influenced by DJBL implantation and opens a new line of research in this field.

Body temperature monitoring provides healthcarers with key clinical information about the physiological status of patients. Temperature readings are taken periodically to detect febrile episodes and consequently implement the appropriate medical countermeasures. However, fever is often difficult to assess at early stages, or remains undetected until the next reading, probably a few hours later. The objective of this paper is to develop a statistical model to forecast fever before a temperature threshold is exceeded to improve the therapeutic approach to the subjects involved. To this end, temperature series of nine patients admitted to a general Internal Medicine ward were obtained with a continuous monitoring holter device, collecting measurements of peripheral and core temperature once per minute. These series were used to develop different statistical models that could quantify the probability of having a fever spike in the following 60 minutes. A validation series was collected to assess the accuracy of the models. Finally, the results were compared with the analysis of some series by experienced clinicians. Two different models were developed: a logistic regression model and a linear discrimination analysis model. Both of them exhibited a fever peak forecasting accuracy above 84%. When compared with experts assessment, both models identified 35 out of 36 fever spikes (97.2%). The models proposed are highly accurate in forecasting the appearance of fever spikes within a short period of time in patients with suspected or confirmed febrile related illnesses.

Many physiological systems are paradigmatic examples of complex networks, displaying behaviors best studied by means of tools derived from nonlinear dynamics and fractal geometry. Furthermore, while conventional wisdom considers health as an "orderly" situation (and diseases are often called "disorders"), truth is that health is characterized by a remarkable (pseudo)-randomness, and the loss of this pseudo-randomness (i.e., the "decomplexification" of the system's output) is one of the earliest sign of the system's dysfunction. The potential clinical uses of this information are evident. However, the instruments used to assess complexity are still under debate, and these tools are just beginning to find their place at the bedside. We present a brief overview of the potential uses of complexity analysis in several areas of clinical medicine. We comment on the metrics most frequently used, and we review specifically their application on certain neurologic diseases, aging, diabetes, febrile diseases and the critically ill patient.

Body temperature is a health or disease marker that has been in clinical use for centuries. The threshold currently applied to define fever, with small variations, is 38 °C. However, current approaches do not provide a full picture of the thermoregulation process and its correlation with disease. This paper describes a new non-invasive body temperature device that improves the understanding of the pathophysiology of diseases by integrating a variety of temperature data from different body locations. This device enables to gain a deeper insight into fever, endogenous rhythms, subject activity and ambient temperature to provide anticipatory and more efficient treatments. Its clinical use would be a big step in the overcoming of the anachronistic febrile/afebrile dichotomy and walking towards a system medicine approach to certain diseases. This device has already been used in some clinical applications successfully. Other possible applications based on the device features and clinical requirements are also described in this paper.