Rossella Elisei, Manuel Sobrinho-Simões, Shen Qu, Xiaoguang Shi, Pilar Santisteban, Mark Sywak, Zhongyan Shan, Qing Wei, Giovanni Tallini, Rengyun Liu, Khawla S. Al-Kuraya, Sylvia L. Asa, Sonia Cheng, Roderick J. Clifton-Bligh, Alfred King-Yin Lam, Barbara Jarzab, Federica Vianello, Yangang Wang, Elizabeth H. Holt, Laura Fugazzola, Paula Soares, Carla Colombo, Caterina Mian, Hongyu Yu, Vlasta Sykorova, Haixia Guan, Shihua Zhao, Thomas J. Musholt, Xiaopei Shen, Tae Yong Kim, Vasily Vasko, Bela Bendlova, Linwah Yip, Garcilaso Riesco-Eizaguirre, Electron Kebebew, Weiping Teng, Janete M. Cerutti, Di Teng, Huixiong Xu, Mingzhao Xing, Gisele Oler, Young Kee Shong, Efisio Puxeddu, Christine J. O'Neill, Agnieszka Czarniecka, Riccardo Giannini, David Viola, Fulvio Basolo, Shi, Xiaoguang, Liu, Rengyun, Basolo, Fulvio, Giannini, Riccardo, Shen, Xiaopei, Teng, Di, Guan, Haixia, Shan, Zhongyan, Teng, Weiping, Musholt, Thomas J, Al-Kuraya, Khawla, Fugazzola, Laura, Colombo, Carla, Kebebew, Electron, Jarzab, Barbara, Czarniecka, Agnieszka, Bendlova, Bela, Sykorova, Vlasta, Sobrinho-Simões, Manuel, Soares, Paula, Kee Shong, Young, Yong Kim, Tae, Cheng, Sonia, Asa, Sylvia L, Viola, David, Elisei, Rossella, Yip, Linwah, Mian, Caterina, Vianello, Federica, Wang, Yangang, Zhao, Shihua, Oler, Gisele, Cerutti, Janete M, Puxeddu, Efisio, Qu, Shen, Wei, Qing, Xu, Huixiong, O'Neill, Christine J, Sywak, Mark S, Clifton-Bligh, Roderick, Lam, Alfred K, Riesco-Eizaguirre, Garcilaso, Santisteban, Pilar, Yu, Hongyu, Tallini, Giovanni, Holt, Elizabeth H, Vasko, Vasily, Xing, Mingzhao, National Institutes of Health (US), National Science Centre (Poland), Queensland Government, Griffith University, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Comunidad de Madrid, Fondazione Cassa di Risparmio di Perugia, Associazione Italiana per la Ricerca sul Cancro, Beadle Family Foundation, Ministry of Health of the Czech Republic, Cancer Institute NSW (Australia), Cancer Council NSW (Australia), Ministero della Salute, Ministero dell'Istruzione, dell'Università e della Ricerca, Istituto Toscano Tumori, Korean Foundation for Cancer Research, Sao Paulo Research Foundation, Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (Brasil), Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Quadro de Referência Estratégico Nacional (Portugal), and European Commission
et al., [Context]: Individualized management, incorporating papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) variant-specific risk, is conceivably a useful treatment strategy for PTC, which awaits comprehensive data demonstrating differential risks of PTC variants to support. [Objective]: This study sought to establish the differential clinicopathological risk of major PTC variants: conventional PTC (CPTC), follicular-variant PTC (FVPTC), and tall-cell PTC (TCPTC). [Methods]: This was a retrospective study of clinicopathological outcomes of 6282 PTC patients (4799 females and 1483 males) from 26 centers and The Cancer Genome Atlas in 14 countries with a median age of 44 years (interquartile range, 33-56 y) and median follow-up time of 37 months (interquartile range, 15-82 mo)., [Results]: The cohort consisted of 4702 (74.8%) patients with CPTC, 1126 (17.9%) with FVPTC, and 239 (3.8%) with TCPTC. The prevalence of high-risk parameters was significantly different among the three variants, including extrathyroidal invasion, lymph node metastasis, stages III/IV, disease recurrence, mortality, and the use (need) of radioiodine treatment (all P < .001), being highest in TCPTC, lowest in FVPTC, and intermediate in CPTC, following an order of TCPTC > CPTC ≫ FVPTC. Recurrence and mortality in TCPTC, CPTC, and FVPTC were 27.3 and 6.7%, 16.1 and 2.5%, and 9.1 and 0.6%, corresponding to events per 1000 person-years (95% confidence interval [CI]) of 92.47 (64.66-132.26) and 24.61 (12.31-49.21), 34.46 (30.71-38.66), and 5.87 (4.37-7.88), and 24.73 (18.34-33.35) and 1.68 (0.54-5.21), respectively. Mortality hazard ratios of CPTC and TCPTC over FVPTC were 3.44 (95% CI, 1.07-11.11) and 14.96 (95% CI, 3.93-56.89), respectively. Kaplan-Meier survival analyses showed the best prognosis in FVPTC, worst in TCPTC, and intermediate in CPTC in disease recurrence-free probability and disease-specific patient survival. This was particularly the case in patients at least 45 years old. [Conclusion]: This large multicenter study demonstrates differential prognostic risks of the three major PTC variants and establishes a unique risk order of TCPTC > CPTC ≫ FVPTC, providing important clinical implications for specific variant-based management of PTC., This work was supported by the US National Institutes of Health (NIH) Grants No. RO1CA113507 and R01CA189224 (to M.X.). In addition, the studies at individual centers were supported as follows: National Science Centre Poland Grants No. N403 194340 and N N401 612440 to A.C. and B.J., respectively, and Milestone Grant No. 267398 to both (Poland); Grants from Queensland Government Smart State Fellowship and Griffith Health Institute to A.K.L. (Australia); Grants No. RD12/0036/0030 FIS-ISCIII, S2011/BMD-2328 TIRONET, and SAF2013-44709-R to P.So. (Spain); grants from Fondazione Cassa di Risparmio di Perugia and Associazione Italiana per la Ricerca sul Cancro (IG 9338) (Italy) and the Beadle Family Foundation (San Antonio, TX) to E.P.; Grant IGA MH CR NT 13901-4 to V.S. and B.B. (the Czech Republic); grants from the New South Wales Cancer Institute to C.J.O. and from Cancer Council of New South Wales to R.C.-B. (Australia); Italian Government-Ministero della Salute Grant No. RF-2011-02350857 to G.T. (Italy); Grant NIH/NIA 5R03AG042334-02 to L.Y. (United States); Grants from the Ministerodella Istruzione Universitaria e Ricerca Scientifica, the AssociazioneItaliana per la Ricerca sul Cancro, the Istituto Toscano Tumori, and the Ministero della Salute to D.V. and R.E (Italy); and Grant No. CB-2011-03-02 from the Korean Foundation for Cancer Research to Y.K.S. and T.Y.K. (South Korea); Research Grants 2012/02902-9 and 2013/03867-5 from The São Paulo State Research Foundation (FAPESP) to J.M.C. (G.O. is a FAPESP scholar and J.M.C. is a Brazilian Research Council investigator (Brazil); AIRC Grant No. IG 10316 to F.B. (Italy); Grant No. SHDC 12014229 from Shanghai Hospital Development Center to H.X. (China); Programa Operacional Regional do Norte (ON.2—O Novo Norte), under the Quadro de Referência Estratégico Nacional, and through the Fundo Europeu de Desenvolvimento Regional to M.S.-S. and P.So.