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Purpose: To report tumor control and toxicity for patients treated with image-guided intensity-modulated radiotherapy (RT) for spinal metastases with high-dose single-fraction RT., Methods and Materials: A total of 103 consecutive spinal metastases in 93 patients without high-grade epidural spinal cord compression were treated with image-guided intensity-modulated RT to doses of 18-24 Gy (median, 24 Gy) in a single fraction between 2003 and 2006. The spinal cord dose was limited to a 14-Gy maximal dose. The patients were prospectively examined every 3-4 months with clinical assessment and cross-sectional imaging., Results: The overall actuarial local control rate was 90% (local failure developed in 7 patients) at a median follow-up of 15 months (range, 2-45 months). The median time to local failure was 9 months (range, 2-15 months) from the time of treatment. Of the 93 patients, 37 died. The median overall survival was 15 months. In all cases, death was from progression of systemic disease and not local failure. The histologic type was not a statistically significant predictor of survival or local control. The radiation dose was a significant predictor of local control (p = 0.03). All patients without local failure also reported durable symptom palliation. Acute toxicity was mild (Grade 1-2). No case of radiculopathy or myelopathy has developed., Conclusion: High-dose, single-fraction image-guided intensity-modulated RT is a noninvasive intervention that appears to be safe and very effective palliation for patients with spinal metastases, with minimal negative effects on quality of life and a high probability of tumor control.

Background: Epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) has gained importance in non-small cell lung cancer given impressive responses to agents targeting this molecule, particularly in bronchioloalveolar carcinoma (BAC) and adenocarcinomas, mixed subtype, with BAC components (adeno/BAC). This study assesses EGFR signaling in these tumors., Methods: One hundred fifty tumors were classified as BAC or adeno/BAC. Tumor marker expression was determined by immunohistochemistry. Correlations with expression were examined for all tumors (BAC and adeno/BAC), and by BAC and adeno/BAC subset analyses., Results: Positive immunophenotype was observed in 40.6% of tumors for EGFR, 51.3% for p-AKT, 58.7% for p-ERK, and 28.0% for PTEN, with increased overexpression of EGFR (p = 0.025) and p-AKT (p < 0.0001) in adeno/BAC. Epidermal growth factor receptor immunophenotype was greater in never-smokers (p = 0.008) and correlated with improved overall survival (p = 0.018). On subset analysis, EGFR correlated with improved overall survival (p = 0.05) and disease-free interval (p = 0.044) only in adeno/BAC. Epidermal growth factor receptor independently predicted improved disease-free interval in adeno/BAC (p = 0.03; hazard ratio, 0.47; 95% confidence interval, 0.23 to 0.94)., Conclusions: Overexpression of EGFR in lung adenocarcinomas with components of BAC histology correlate with never-smoker status and improved overall survival and disease-free interval. Epidermal growth factor receptor immunophenotype may be a useful predictor of clinical outcomes in this tumor subset.

Purpose: To present a retrospective review of treatment outcomes for recurrent head and neck (HN) cancer patients treated with re-irradiation (re-RT) at a single medical center., Methods and Materials: From July 1996-September 2005, 105 patients with recurrent HN cancer underwent re-RT at our institution. Sites included were: the neck (n = 21), nasopharynx (n = 21), paranasal sinus (n = 18), oropharynx (n = 16), oral cavity (n = 9), larynx (n = 10), parotid (n = 6), and hypopharynx (n = 4). The median prior RT dose was 62 Gy. Seventy-five patients received chemotherapy with their re-RT (platinum-based in the majority of cases). The median re-RT dose was 59.4 Gy. In 74 (70%), re-RT utilized intensity-modulated radiation therapy (IMRT)., Results: With a median follow-up of 35 months, 18 patients were alive with no evidence of disease. The 2-year loco-regional progression-free survival (LRPFS) and overall survival rates were 42% and 37%, respectively. Patients who underwent IMRT, compared to those who did not, had a better 2-year LRPF (52% vs. 20%, p < 0.001). On multivariate analysis, non-nasopharynx and non-IMRT were associated with an increased risk of loco-regional (LR) failure. Patients with LR progression-free disease had better 2-year overall survival vs. those with LR failure (56% vs. 21%, p < 0.001). Acute and late Grade 3-4 toxicities were reported in 23% and 15% of patients. Severe Grade 3-4 late complications were observed in 12 patients, with a median time to development of 6 months after re-RT., Conclusions: Based on our data, achieving LR control is crucial for improved overall survival in this patient population. The use of IMRT predicted better LR tumor control. Future aggressive efforts in maximizing tumor control in the recurrent setting, including dose escalation with IMRT and improved chemotherapy, are warranted.

In recent years health services researchers have conducted 'volume-outcome' studies to evaluate whether providers (hospitals or surgeons) who treat many patients for a specialized condition have better outcomes than those that treat few patients. These studies and the inherent clustering of events by provider present an unusual statistical problem. The volume-outcome setting is unique in that 'volume' reflects both the primary factor under study and also the cluster size. Consequently, the assumptions inherent in the use of available methods that correct for clustering might be violated in this setting. To address this issue, we investigate via simulation the properties of three estimation procedures for the analysis of cluster correlated data, specifically in the context of volume-outcome studies. We examine and compare the validity and efficiency of widely-available statistical techniques that have been used in the context of volume-outcome studies: generalized estimating equations (GEE) using both the independence and exchangeable correlation structures; random effects models; and the weighted GEE approach proposed by Williamson et al. (Biometrics 2003; 59:36-42) to account for informative clustering. Using data generated either from an underlying true random effects model or a cluster correlated model we show that both the random effects and the GEE with an exchangeable correlation structure have generally good properties, with relatively low bias for estimating the volume parameter and its variance. By contrast, the cluster weighted GEE method is inefficient.

Motivation: Array CGH technologies enable the simultaneous measurement of DNA copy number for thousands of sites on a genome. We developed the circular binary segmentation (CBS) algorithm to divide the genome into regions of equal copy number. The algorithm tests for change-points using a maximal t-statistic with a permutation reference distribution to obtain the corresponding P-value. The number of computations required for the maximal test statistic is O(N2), where N is the number of markers. This makes the full permutation approach computationally prohibitive for the newer arrays that contain tens of thousands markers and highlights the need for a faster algorithm., Results: We present a hybrid approach to obtain the P-value of the test statistic in linear time. We also introduce a rule for stopping early when there is strong evidence for the presence of a change. We show through simulations that the hybrid approach provides a substantial gain in speed with only a negligible loss in accuracy and that the stopping rule further increases speed. We also present the analyses of array CGH data from breast cancer cell lines to show the impact of the new approaches on the analysis of real data., Availability: An R version of the CBS algorithm has been implemented in the "DNAcopy" package of the Bioconductor project. The proposed hybrid method for the P-value is available in version 1.2.1 or higher and the stopping rule for declaring a change early is available in version 1.5.1 or higher.

Purpose: The aim of this study was to compare toxicity/efficacy of conventional radiotherapy using delayed accelerated concomitant boost radiotherapy (CBRT) vs. intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) in the setting of concurrent chemotherapy (CT) for locally advanced oropharyngeal carcinoma., Methods and Materials: Between September 1998 and June 2004, a total of 293 consecutive patients were treated at our institution for cancer of the oropharynx. Of these, 112 had Stage III/IV disease and squamous cell histology. In all, 41 were treated with IMRT/CT and 71 were treated with CBRT/CT, both to a median dose of 70 Gy. Most common CT was a planned two cycles given every 3 to 4 weeks of cisplatin, 100 mg/m2 i.v., but an additional cycle was given to IMRT patients when possible. Both groups were well-matched for all prognostic factors., Results: Median follow-up was 46 months (range, 3-93 months) for the CBRT patients and 31 months (range, 20-64 months) for the IMRT group. Three-year actuarial local-progression-free, regional-progression-free, locoregional progression-free, distant-metastases-free, disease-free, and overall survival rates were 85% vs. 95% (p = 0.17), 95% vs. 94% (p = 0.90), 82% vs. 92% (p = 0.18), 85% vs. 86% (p = 0.78), 76% vs. 82% (p = 0.57), and 81% vs. 91% (p = 0.10) for CBRT and IMRT patients, respectively. Three patients died of treatment-related toxicity in the CBRT group vs. none undergoing IMRT. At 2 years, 4% IMRT patients vs. 21% CBRT patients were dependent on percutaneous endoscopic gastrostomy (p = 0.02). Among those who had > or =20 months follow-up, there was a significant difference in Grade > or =2 xerostomia as defined by the criteria of the Radiation Therapy and Oncology Group, 67% vs. 12% (p = 0.02), in the CBRT vs. IMRT arm., Conclusion: In the setting of CT for locally advanced oropharyngeal carcinoma, IMRT results in lower toxicity and similar treatment outcomes when compared with CBRT.

Purpose: To describe the prostate-specific antigen (PSA) pattern profiles observed after external beam radiotherapy with and without short-term neoadjuvant androgen deprivation therapy (ST-ADT) and to report the association of established posttreatment PSA patterns with long-term disease-free survival outcomes., Methods and Materials: A total of 1,665 patients were treated with conformal external beam radiotherapy for clinically localized prostate cancer. Of 570 patients who had the requisite>10 consecutive PSA measurements for statistical analysis, 194 patients received a median of 3 months of ADT before radiotherapy and 376 were treated with radiotherapy alone. The median follow up was 103 months., Results: In the group treated with ST-ADT, three distinct postradiotherapy PSA patterns were identified: a stable trend (44%), an increasing trend followed by stabilization of the PSA (25%), and an increasing trend (31%). Among the subgroup that demonstrated a rising and subsequent stabilizing patterns, PSA levels had gradually risen to a median value of 0.9 ng/mL after therapy, stabilized, and remained durably suppressed. The only identified trends among patients treated with external beam radiotherapy without ST-ADT were declining PSA levels followed by stable PSA trends or declining patterns followed by rising levels. Patients whose PSA levels stabilized after an initial rise or those with slowly rising PSA profiles had a lower incidence of distant metastasis compared to those with accelerated rises after therapy., Conclusions: For those treated with external beam radiotherapy in conjunction with ST-ADT, a significant percentage who develop a rising PSA after treatment are expected to manifest subsequent stabilization at plateaued levels of approximately 1.0 ng/mL, which can remain durably suppressed. The likelihood of distant metastasis in these patients is low despite the PSA stabilization at levels 1.0 ng/mL or higher and comparable to outcomes observed for those with lower nonrising PSA values.

Objective: The objective of this study was to identify independent prognostic factors for survival in patients with epithelial ovarian cancer who had persistent disease identified at second-look surgery., Methods: We performed a retrospective chart review of all patients with epithelial ovarian cancer who had positive findings at second-look surgery between June 1991 and June 2002. All patients achieved a complete clinical remission after a prescribed course of primary therapy. Survival was determined from the time of second-look surgery until last follow-up or death., Results: The study included a total of 262 patients, with a median age of 54 years (range, 22-80). Of the 262 patients, 166 (63%) had died of disease. Records of initial (salvage) treatment after the positive second-look surgery were available for 243 patients. Therapies included the following: intraperitoneal (IP) cisplatin, 71 (29%); IP cisplatin combined with a second drug, 53 (22%); IP therapy other than cisplatin, 29 (12%); intravenous (IV) chemotherapy, 50 (21%); IP and IV therapy, 35 (14%); and oral chemotherapy, 5 (2%). Of the 13 potential prognostic factors analyzed, only 2 factors emerged that, when combined, were significant--residual disease after primary surgery and size of persistent disease found at second-look surgery. Patients with

Background: The benefit of cytoreductive surgery for patients with recurrent epithelial ovarian cancer has not been defined clearly. The objective of this study was to identify prognostic factors for survival in patients who underwent secondary cytoreduction for recurrent, platinum-sensitive epithelial ovarian cancer and to establish generally applicable guidelines and selection criteria., Methods: The authors reviewed all patients who underwent secondary cytoreduction for recurrent epithelial ovarian cancer from 1987 to 2001. Potential prognostic factors were evaluated in univariate and multivariate analyses., Results: In total, 157 patients underwent secondary cytoreduction, and 153 of those patients were evaluable. After secondary cytoreduction, the median follow-up was 36.9 months (range, 0.2-125.6 months), and the median survival was 41.7 months (95% confidence interval, 36.0-47.2 months). For patients who had a disease-free interval prior to recurrence of between 6 months and 12 months, the median survival was 30 months compared with 39 months for patients who had a disease-free interval between 13 months and 30 months and 51 months for patients who had a disease-free interval >30 months (P = .005). For patients who had a single site of recurrence, the median survival was 60 months compared with 42 months for patients who had multiple sites of recurrence and 28 months for patients who had carcinomatosis (P <.001). The median survival for patients who had residual disease that measured < or =0.5 cm was 56 months compared with 27 months for patients who had residual disease that measured >0.5 cm (P <.001). On multivariate analysis, disease-free interval (P = .004), the number of recurrence sites (P = .01), and residual disease (P <.001) were significant prognostic factors., Conclusions: In the authors' analysis of secondary cytoreduction for recurrent epithelial ovarian cancer, a significant survival benefit was demonstrated for residual disease that measured < or = 0.5 cm. The disease-free interval and the number of recurrence sites should be used as selection criteria for offering secondary cytoreduction.

Purpose: Lung adenocarcinomas with mutations in exons 19 and 21 of the epidermal growth factor receptor gene (EGFR) demonstrate sensitivity to gefitinib or erlotinib. Investigators have reported an association between EGFR mutations and the amount and duration of cigarette smoking, with the highest incidence of mutations seen in never smokers., Methods: EGFR exon 19 and 21 mutation status was determined in 265 tumor samples using direct sequencing, polymerase chain reaction (PCR), or PCR-based restriction fragment length polymorphism analysis. A detailed smoking history was obtained. Patients were categorized as never smokers (< 100 lifetime cigarettes), former smokers (quit > or = 1 year ago), or current smokers (quit < 1 year ago)., Results: We detected EGFR mutations in 34 (51%) of 67 never smokers (95% CI, 38% to 64%), 29 (19%) of 151 former smokers (95% CI, 13% to 27%), and two (4%) of 47 current smokers (95% CI, 1% to 16%). Significantly fewer EGFR mutations were found in people who smoked for more than 15 pack-years (P < .001) or stopped smoking less than 25 years ago (P < .02) compared with individuals who never smoked. The number of smoking pack-years and smoke-free years predicted the prevalence of EGFR mutations (areas under receiver operating characteristic curve = 0.78 and 0.77, respectively)., Conclusion: The likelihood of EGFR mutations in exons 19 and 21 decreases as the number of pack-years increases. Mutations were less common in people who smoked for more than 15 pack-years or who stopped smoking cigarettes less than 25 years ago. These data can assist clinicians in assessing the likelihood of exon 19 and 21 EGFR mutations in patients with lung adenocarcinoma when mutational analysis is not feasible.

To identify, in high-resolution regions of DNA, the copy number changes associated with outcome in patients with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL), a disease with an approximately 50% mortality rate, we performed array comparative genomic hybridization (array-CGH) on specimens from 64 patients with newly diagnosed DLBCL treated with anthracycline-based chemotherapy. For the entire cohort, 55 commonly gained/lost regions, ranging in size from less than 1 Mbp to entire chromosomes, were identified using 1- to 2-Mbp and 2- to 4-Mbp resolution BAC arrays. Copy number changes of 9 minimal regions significantly correlated with overall survival, of which 6 were 10 Mbp or smaller. On multivariate analysis, loss of chromosomes 2 (2.4-4.1 Mbp) and 16 (33.8-35.6 Mbp) were found to be prognostic indicators of poor survival, independent of clinical features routinely used to predict outcome. Loss of chromosome 1 (78.2-79.1 Mbp) was predictive of good outcome. For a subset of 55 specimens classified according to cell-of-origin expression signature subtype, gain of chromosome 12 (45.4-53.8 Mbp) was found to be significantly associated with the germinal center B-cell-like DLBCL subtype. Overall, array-CGH identified relatively small genomic regions associated with outcome, which, along with follow-up expression studies, may reveal target genes important in DLBCL clinical behavior.

Objectives: To determine the incidence and prognostic implications of positive mesorectal lymph nodes in patients undergoing total pelvic exenteration for recurrent gynecologic malignancies., Methods: We performed a retrospective chart review of all patients who had undergone total pelvic exenteration for a gynecologic malignancy between July 1992 and December 2003. Patient charts were reviewed for information regarding demographics, site of cancer, histology, pathology report, and time to recurrence., Results: Fifty-eight women had undergone total pelvic exenteration for recurrent gynecologic malignancies during the study period and 57 were available for analysis. Primary cancer site was as follows: cervix, 37 (65%); vagina, 8 (14%); vulva, 5 (9%); and uterine corpus, 7 (12%). In 30 patients (53%), the mesorectal lymph node status was pathologically evaluated. Of these 30 patients, 3 (10%) had positive mesorectal lymph nodes at the time of total pelvic exenteration. All 3 patients had rectal wall involvement (rectal submucosa, 2; rectal mucosa, 1), and all 3 patients recurred within 4 months of pelvic exenteration. The median time to recurrence after surgery was 2.4 months in those patients with positive mesorectal lymph nodes compared with 7.3 months in those with negative mesorectal lymph nodes (P = 0.005). When individually adjusted for other prognostic variables, such as margin status, tumor grade, lymphovascular space involvement, primary cancer site, and histologic type, a finding of positive mesorectal lymph nodes was associated with a shorter time to recurrence of disease (all P < 0.05)., Conclusions: Mesorectal lymph node involvement is a common finding at total pelvic exenteration, particularly in patients with rectal wall involvement. Patients with positive mesorectal lymph nodes appear to have a worse outcome with a shorter time to recurrence of disease.

Purpose: In patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), mutations in the epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) tyrosine kinase domain have been associated with sensitivity to erlotinib and gefitinib. We undertook this study to explore the relationship between EGFR mutation type and clinical variables, including treatment with gefitinib and erlotinib., Experimental Design: In patients with NSCLC, EGFR exon 19 deletion mutations and EGFR L858R point mutations were analyzed by nonsequencing PCR-based methods from paraffin blocks of tissue obtained before treatment. The results were correlated with clinical information (sex, pathologic subtype, race/ethnicity, treatment, and overall survival)., Results: The two most common EGFR mutations were identified in 24% (70 of 291; 95% confidence interval, 26%-38%) of tumors from patients with NSCLC. EGFR mutation was associated with Asian ethnicity (P = 0.0023) and being a "never smoker" (P = 0.0001). Among patients with EGFR mutations, 39% (27 of 70) had EGFR L858R, whereas 61% (43 of 70) had an EGFR exon 19 deletion. After treatment with erlotinib (n = 12) or gefitinib (n = 22), patients with EGFR mutations had a median overall survival of 20 months. After treatment with erlotinib or gefitinib, patients with EGFR exon 19 deletions had significantly longer median survival than patients with EGFR L858R (34 versus 8 months; log-rank P = 0.01)., Conclusions: EGFR mutations in exons 19 or 21 are correlated with clinical factors predictive of response to gefitinib and erlotinib. Those with EGFR exon 19 deletion mutations had a longer median survival than patients with EGFR L858R point mutation. These observations warrant confirmation in a prospective study and exploration of the biological mechanisms of the differences between the two major EGFR mutations.

Purpose: To examine the relationship between tumor regression grade (TRG) and outcomes in patients with rectal cancer treated with preoperative therapy., Methods and Materials: Specimens from 144 patients with cT3,4 rectal cancer who had received preoperative radiation +/- chemotherapy and had a minimum follow-up of 3 years were retrospectively reviewed. TRG, which involves examining the residual neoplastic cells and scoring the degree of both cytological changes, including nuclear pyknosis or necrosis and/or eosinophilia, as well as stromal changes, including fibrosis (either dense or edematous) with or without inflammatory infiltrate and giant-cell granulomatosis around ghost cells and keratin, was quantified in five grades according to the Mandard score (Cancer 1994;73:2680-2686). The greater the response, the lower the TRG score. The median follow-up was 72 months (range, 40-143 months)., Results: Of the 144 patients, 19% were TRG1, 12% were TRG2, 21% were TRG3, 46% were TRG4, and 1% were TRG5. To simplify the analysis, TRG was combined into two groups: TRG1-2 and TRG3-5. By univariate analysis, none of the pretreatment factors examined, including age, circumference, length, distance from the anorectal ring, pretreatment T and N stage, and INDpre (defined as the pretreatment reference index size based on digital rectal examination), had an impact on 5-year outcomes, including local control, metastases-free survival, disease-free survival, and overall survival. Postoperative parameters, including pathologic T stage (pT), pathologic N stage (pN), and TRG, did significantly influence 5-year outcomes. These included local failure: pT0-2: 5% vs. pT3-4: 19%, p = 0.007; pN0: 7% vs. pN1-3: 26%, p = 0.002; TRG1-2: 2% vs. TRG3-5: 17%, p = 0.013; metastasis-free survival: pT0-2: 86% vs. pT3-4: 62%, p = 0.005; pN-: 86% vs. pN*: 42%, p < 0.001; TRG1-2: 91% vs. TRG3-5: 66%, p = 0.004; disease-free survival: pT0-2: 83% vs. pT3-4: 54%, p = 0.001; pN0: 80% vs. pN1-3: 39%, p < 0.001; TRG1-2: 91% vs. TRG3-5: 58%, p < 0.001; and overall survival: pT0-2: 85% vs. pT3-4: 65%, p = 0.007; pN0: 86% vs. pN1-3: 45%, p < 0.001; TRG1-2: 89% vs. TRG3-5: 68%, p = 0.004. By multivariate analysis combining all pre- and posttreatment parameters, only pN (p < 0.001) and TRG (p = 0.005) significantly predicted disease-free survival. Furthermore, TRG predicted the incidence of pathologic nodal involvement (p < 0.0001)., Conclusions: By univariate analysis, TRG is a predictor for local failure, metastases-free survival, and overall survival. By multivariate analysis, it predicts improved disease-free survival. Given the ability of TRG to predict those patients with N* disease, it may be helpful, in combination with other clinicopathologic factors, in selecting patients for a more conservative procedure, such as local excision rather than radical surgery, after preoperative therapy.

Purpose: To identify predictors of distant metastases (DM) among patients who develop an isolated prostate-specific antigen (PSA) relapse after definitive external-beam radiotherapy for clinically localized prostate cancer., Materials and Methods: A total of 1,650 patients with clinical stage T1 to T3 prostate cancer were treated with high-dose three-dimensional conformal radiotherapy. Of these, 381 patients subsequently developed three consecutive increasing PSA values and were characterized as having a biochemical relapse. The median follow-up time was 92 months from the completion of radiotherapy., Results: The 5-year incidence of DM after an established PSA relapse was 29%. In a multivariate analysis, PSA doubling time (PSA-DT; P < .001), the clinical T stage (P < .001), and Gleason score (P = .007) were independent variables predicting for DM after established biochemical failure. The PSA-DT for favorable-, intermediate-, and unfavorable-risk patients who developed a biochemical failure was 20.0, 13.2, and 8.2 months, respectively (P < .001). The 3-year incidence of DM for patients with PSA-DT of 0 to 3, 3 to 6, 6 to 12, and more than 12 months was 49%, 41%, 20%, and 7%, respectively (P < .001). Patients with PSA-DT of 0 to 3 and 3 to 6 months demonstrated a 7.0 and 6.6 increased hazard of developing DM or death, respectively, compared with patients with a DT more than 12 months., Conclusion: In addition to clinical stage and Gleason score, PSA-DT was a powerful predictor of DM among patients who develop an isolated PSA relapse after external-beam radiotherapy for prostate cancer. Patients who develop biochemical relapse with PSA-DT < or = 6 months should be considered for systemic therapy or experimental protocols because of the high propensity for rapid DM development.

Background: Overexpression of squamous cell carcinoma-related oncogene (SCCRO) is associated with invasive progression and poor outcomes in non-small cell lung cancer. We assessed the role of SCCRO as a tumor marker in bronchioloalveolar carcinoma (BAC), a subtype of adenocarcinoma exhibiting evidence of histologic tumor progression. We hypothesized that SCCRO expression would correlate with invasive tumor phenotypes and worse survival in BAC., Methods: We classified 150 tumors as pure BAC, BAC with focal invasion, or adenocarcinoma with BAC features. A tissue microarray was constructed from areas of benign lung, BAC, and invasive adenocarcinoma in these tumors. Squamous cell carcinoma-related oncogene expression was graded by immunohistochemistry from 0 to 3 (absent, low, moderate, or high), with positive SCCRO phenotype defined as grade 3. Squamous cell carcinoma-related oncogene specificity was determined by Wilcoxon rank test and area under the receiver-operator curve, survival by the Kaplan-Meier method, and correlation with prognostic factors by log-rank test., Results: Of the 86.0% (129 of 150) of specimens suitable for analysis, positive SCCRO phenotype was seen in 16.3% (21 of 129) and was 100.0% specific for tumor versus benign tissue (area under receiver-operator curve, 0.92). Positive SCCRO phenotype was greater in tumors with increasing degrees of invasive histologic type (7.0% pure BAC, 13.6% BAC with focal invasion, and 28.6% adenocarcinoma with BAC features; p = 0.02). Low-level SCCRO expression was present in 83.9% (99 of 118) of benign tissues and correlated with tobacco use and poor survival (p = 0.05)., Conclusions: Squamous cell carcinoma-related oncogene is a marker of invasive tumor progression in BAC. Low-level expression in adjacent benign lung predicts worse survival, and may represent field cancerization or host-tumor effects.

DNA sequence copy number is the number of copies of DNA at a region of a genome. Cancer progression often involves alterations in DNA copy number. Newly developed microarray technologies enable simultaneous measurement of copy number at thousands of sites in a genome. We have developed a modification of binary segmentation, which we call circular binary segmentation, to translate noisy intensity measurements into regions of equal copy number. The method is evaluated by simulation and is demonstrated on cell line data with known copy number alterations and on a breast cancer cell line data set.

Objective: The purpose of this study was to analyze our initial 10-year experience with laparoscopy and to determine risk factors for complications and conversions to laparotomy for technical difficulty., Study Design: We reviewed the charts of all laparoscopic procedures from January 1991 through December 2000 and divided the procedures into 4 levels on the basis of the degree of difficulty: level I, diagnostic; level II, procedures on the uterus and/or adnexa; level III, second look operations for malignancy; and level IV, lymphadenectomies/other complex procedures. Complications were graded from 1 (mild) to 5 (death). Standard univariate and multivariate analyses were performed., Results: We identified 1451 evaluable procedures. The number of complications was as follows: grades 1 to 5, 129 complications (9%); grades 3 to 5, 36 complications (2.5%). On multivariate analysis, older age ( P = .03), previous radiation ( P = .03), and malignancy ( P = .006) were associated with an increased risk of complications grades 3 to 5. Complication rates for grades 3 to 5 for patients with malignancy versus benign disease was 4% versus 1%, respectively. Technical difficulty led to conversion to laparotomy in 105 cases (7%). Previous abdominal surgery ( P < .001) significantly increased the rate of conversion to laparotomy; more complex, higher procedure levels were associated with a significant decrease in conversions ( P = .005)., Conclusion: Both simple and complex laparoscopic procedures can be performed by a gynecologic oncology service with a low rate of complications and conversions to laparotomy. Older age, malignancy, previous radiation therapy, and previous abdominal surgery were identified as significant risk factors for complications and/or conversion and should be taken into account in patient selection, preoperative counseling, and surgical planning.

Gene-disease association studies based on case-control designs may often be used to identify candidate polymorphisms (markers) conferring disease risk. If a large number of markers are studied, genotyping all markers on all samples is inefficient in resource utilization. Here, we propose an alternative two-stage method to identify disease-susceptibility markers. In the first stage all markers are evaluated on a fraction of the available subjects. The most promising markers are then evaluated on the remaining individuals in Stage 2. This approach can be cost effective since markers unlikely to be associated with the disease can be eliminated in the first stage. Using simulations we show that, when the markers are independent and when they are correlated, the two-stage approach provides a substantial reduction in the total number of marker evaluations for a minimal loss of power. The power of the two-stage approach is evaluated when a single marker is associated with the disease, and in the presence of multiple disease-susceptibility markers. As a general guideline, the simulations over a wide range of parametric configurations indicate that evaluating all the markers on 50% of the individuals in Stage 1 and evaluating the most promising 10% of the markers on the remaining individuals in Stage 2 provides near-optimal power while resulting in a 45% decrease in the total number of marker evaluations.

Estimation of the association between haplotypes and disease from a case-control study is considered. Assuming a single "disease haplotype'' leads to the increased risk, attention focusses on the relative risks associated with a single copy, or two copies of the disease haplotype, relative to individuals with no copies. In this setting, case frequencies of the haplotype pairs are in Hardy-Weinberg Equilibrium (HWE) only if the combined influence of the two copies of the disease haplotype on risk is multiplicative. Thus, imputation cannot rely on the assumption of HWE for cases. A method is presented for obtaining estimates of the relative risks, making use of the EM algorithm and the assumption of HWE only for controls. The method accounts for the additional variation in the estimates due to the imputation of expected frequencies of haplotype pairs from ambiguous genotypes. A simulation study shows that the resulting confidence intervals have nominal coverage, and that the methods based on the assumption of HWE for both cases and controls can lead to bias.

Objective: The purpose of this study was to describe the characteristics and outcome of women with metastatic breast cancer to the abdomen and pelvis, and to assess the role of surgical resection of abdominal and pelvic metastasis in this disease., Methods: We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of 59 women with documented metastatic breast cancer to the abdomen or pelvis who had exploratory surgery by the Gynecology Service between 1986 and 2001., Results: Exploratory surgery was performed a median of 5 years (range, 0-25 years) after initial diagnosis of breast cancer. Median survival from diagnosis of abdominal disease was 23 months, and 5-year survival was 24%. Survival was 36 months for optimally debulked patients (<2 cm of residual disease) and 20 months for suboptimally debulked patients (P = 0.07). Patients diagnosed 5 or more years after initial breast cancer diagnosis had a median survival of 36 months versus 17 months if diagnosed earlier (P < 0.01). On multivariate analysis the time to recurrence of breast cancer in the abdomen and optimal debulking were both significant variables. Hazard ratio for dying of disease if recurring before 5 years was 2.7 (CI 1.45-5.03) [P < 0.01]. Hazard ratio for dying of disease if suboptimal debulking was achieved was 2.14 (CI 1.13-4.02) [P = 0.02]., Conclusions: The disease pattern of metastatic breast carcinoma to the abdomen and pelvis does not appear to effect survival. Survival in patients where optimal debulking is achieved and in those recurring late is improved. Surgical resection of metachronous metastatic breast cancer to the abdomen and pelvis may be an important component of the management of this disease and should be considered in candidate patients.

Purpose: To identify predictors of biochemical outcome following radiotherapy in patients with a rising prostate-specific antigen (PSA) after radical prostatectomy for prostate cancer., Patients and Methods: One hundred fifteen patients with a rising PSA after radical prostatectomy received salvage three-dimensional conformal radiotherapy (3D-CRT) alone or with neoadjuvant androgen deprivation. Tumor-related and treatment-related factors were evaluated to identify predictors of subsequent PSA failure., Results: The median follow-up time after 3D-CRT was 42 months. The 4-year actuarial PSA relapse-free survival, distant metastasis-free survival, and overall survival rates were 46%, 83%, and 95%, respectively. Multivariate analysis, which was limited to 70 patients receiving radiation without androgen deprivation therapy, showed that negative/close margins (P =.03), absence of extracapsular extension (P <.01), and presence of seminal vesicle invasion (P <.01) were independent predictors of PSA relapse after radiotherapy. Neoadjuvant androgen deprivation did not improve the 4-year PSA relapse-free survival in patients with positive margins, extracapsular extension, and no seminal vesicle invasion (P =.24). However, neoadjuvant androgen deprivation did improve PSA relapse-free survival when one or more of these variables were absent (P =.03)., Conclusions: Salvage 3D-CRT can provide biochemical control in selected patients with a rising PSA after radical prostatectomy. Among patients with positive margins and no poor prognostic features, 77% achieved PSA control after salvage 3D-CRT. Salvage neoadjuvant androgen deprivation therapy may improve short-term biochemical control, but it requires further study.

Background: The histologic criteria defining bronchioloalveolar carcinoma (BAC) were recently revised, but it is unclear whether these criteria predict clinical behavior. This study determined the outcome of resected BAC in relationship to clinical and radiologic disease pattern, and pathologic features., Methods: Between 1989 and 2000, 100 consecutive surgically treated patients with adenocarcinomas exhibiting various degrees of BAC features were retrospectively studied. Histology was reviewed; tumors were classified as pure BAC, BAC with focal invasion, and adenocarcinoma with BAC features. Clinical and radiologic pattern were classified as unifocal, multifocal, or pneumonic. Demographic data, tumor stage, and outcome were recorded. Survival was analyzed by the Kaplan-Meier method, and prognostic factors were determined by the log-rank test., Results: Patient median age was 65, and 74% of the patients were female. Pure BAC, BAC with focal invasion, and adenocarcinoma with BAC features occurred in 47, 21, and 32 patients, respectively. Unifocal disease occurred in 64 patients, multifocal in 29, and pneumonic in 7. Seventy-one patients had stage I/II tumors, 22 had stage III/IV, and 7 patients had Stage X tumors. Overall 5-year survival was 74%. There was no significant difference in survival among the three histologic subtypes. The pneumonic pattern had significantly worse survival compared with unifocal and multifocal patterns. Pathologic stage predicted survival, with 5-year survivals for I/II and III/IV of 83.7% and 59.6%, respectively., Conclusions: Clinical pattern and pathologic stage, but not the degree of invasion on histologic examination predict survival. Multifocal disease is associated with excellent long-term survival after resection. The favorable survival of stage III/IV BAC indicates that the current staging system does not fully describe this disease in patients undergoing resection because of its distinct tumor behavior.

Purpose: To analyze acute lung toxicity data of non-small-cell lung cancer patients treated with three-dimensional conformal radiation therapy in terms of dosimetric variables, location of dose within subvolumes of the lungs, and models of normal-tissue complication probability (NTCP)., Methods and Materials: Dose distributions of 49 non-small-cell lung cancer patients treated in a dose escalation protocol between 1992 and 1999 were analyzed (dose range: 57.6-81 Gy). Nine patients had RTOG Grade 3 or higher acute lung toxicity. Correlation with dosimetric and physical variables, as well as Lyman and parallel NTCP models, was assessed. Lungs were evaluated as a single structure, as superior and inferior halves (to assess significance of dose to upper and lower lungs), and as ipsilateral and contralateral lungs., Results: For the whole lung, Grade 3 or higher pneumonitis was significantly correlated (p 0.5 for superior lung indices, and >0.1 for contralateral lung indices studied)., Conclusions: For these patients, commonly used dosimetric and NTCP models are significantly correlated with >or= Grade 3 pneumonitis. Equivalently strong correlations are found in the lower portion of the lungs and the ipsilateral lung, but not in the upper portion or contralateral lung.

Purpose: To report the acute and late toxicity and preliminary biochemical outcomes in 772 patients with clinically localized prostate cancer treated with high-dose intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT)., Methods and Materials: Between April 1996 and January 2001, 772 patients with clinically localized prostate cancer were treated with IMRT. Treatment was planned using an inverse-planning approach, and the desired beam intensity profiles were delivered by dynamic multileaf collimation. A total of 698 patients (90%) were treated to 81.0 Gy, and 74 patients (10%) were treated to 86.4 Gy. Acute and late toxicities were scored by the Radiation Therapy Oncology Group morbidity grading scales. PSA relapse was defined according to The American Society of Therapeutic Radiation Oncology Consensus Statement. The median follow-up time was 24 months (range: 6-60 months)., Results: Thirty-five patients (4.5%) developed acute Grade 2 rectal toxicity, and no patient experienced acute Grade 3 or higher rectal symptoms. Two hundred seventeen patients (28%) developed acute Grade 2 urinary symptoms, and one experienced urinary retention (Grade 3). Eleven patients (1.5%) developed late Grade 2 rectal bleeding. Four patients (0.1%) experienced Grade 3 rectal toxicity requiring either one or more transfusions or a laser cauterization procedure. No Grade 4 rectal complications have been observed. The 3-year actuarial likelihood of >/= late Grade 2 rectal toxicity was 4%. Seventy-two patients (9%) experienced late Grade 2 urinary toxicity, and five (0.5%) developed Grade 3 urinary toxicity (urethral stricture). The 3-year actuarial likelihood of >/= late Grade 2 urinary toxicity was 15%. The 3-year actuarial PSA relapse-free survival rates for favorable, intermediate, and unfavorable risk group patients were 92%, 86%, and 81%, respectively., Conclusions: These data demonstrate the feasibility of high-dose IMRT in a large number of patients. Acute and late rectal toxicities seem to be significantly reduced compared with what has been observed with conventional three-dimensional conformal radiotherapy techniques. Short-term PSA control rates seem to be at least comparable to those achieved with three-dimensional conformal radiotherapy at similar dose levels. Based on this favorable risk:benefit ratio, IMRT has become the standard mode of conformal treatment delivery for localized prostate cancer at our institution.

Purpose: Assessment of long-term results of combined-modality therapy for resectable non-small-cell lung cancer is hampered by insufficient follow-up and small patient numbers. To evaluate this, we reviewed our collective experience., Patients and Methods: This study was a retrospective chart review recording demographics, tumor stage, treatment, and outcome of consecutive patients undergoing surgery. Survival was analyzed by Kaplan-Meier, and prognostic factors were analyzed by log-rank and Cox regression., Results: From January 1993 to December 1999, 470 patients were treated, with follow-up in 446: 27 stage I, 55 stage II, 316 stage III, 43 stage IV (solitary M1), and five uncertain. Chemotherapy was mitomycin/vinblastine/cisplatin (174 patients [39.0%]), carboplatin/paclitaxel (148 [33.2%]), and other combination (124 [27.8%]); 75 patients (16.8%) received induction radiation. Resection was complete in 77.4%, incomplete in 8.3%, attempted but with gross residual disease afterward in 1.8%, and not performed in 12.6%. Pathologic complete response occurred in 20 patients (4.5%). With median follow-up of 31.0 months for patients still alive, median and 3-year survival for pathologic stages 0, I, II, III, and IV were more than 90 months, 73%; 42 months, 52%; 23 months, 35%; 16 months, 28%; and 16 months, 23% (P <.001). In a multivariate analysis, age, complete resection, pathologic stage, and pneumonectomy, but not induction regimen, significantly influenced survival., Conclusion: Although pathologic complete response outside the protocol setting is low, survival of this large patient cohort is comparable to that of patients in published combined-modality trials. Survival is significantly influenced by patient age, complete resection, pathologic stage, and pneumonectomy. These results can help guide standard clinical practice and emphasize the need for novel induction regimens.

Background and Purpose: We fit phenomenological tumor control probability (TCP) models to biopsy outcome after three-dimensional conformal radiation therapy (3D-CRT) of prostate cancer patients to quantify the local dose-response of prostate cancer., Materials and Methods: We analyzed the outcome after photon beam 3D-CRT of 103 patients with stage T1c-T3 prostate cancer treated at Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC) (prescribed target doses between 64.8 and 81Gy) who had a prostate biopsy performed >or=2.5 years after end of treatment. A univariate logistic regression model based on D(mean) (mean dose in the planning target volume of each patient) was fit to the whole data set and separately to subgroups characterized by low and high values of tumor-related prognostic factors T-stage (or=T2c), Gleason score (6), and pre-treatment prostate-specific antigen (PSA) (10 ng/ml). In addition, we evaluated five different classifications of the patients into three risk groups, based on all possible combinations of two or three prognostic factors, and fit bivariate logistic regression models with D(mean) and the risk group category to all patients. Dose-response curves were characterized by TCD(50), the dose to control 50% of the tumors, and gamma(50), the normalized slope of the dose-response curve at TCD(50)., Results: D(mean) correlates significantly with biopsy outcome in all patient subgroups and larger values of TCD(50) are observed for patients with unfavorable compared to favorable prognostic factors. For example, TCD(50) for high T-stage patients is 7Gy higher than for low T-stage patients. For all evaluated risk group definitions, D(mean) and the risk group category are independent predictors of biopsy outcome in bivariate analysis. The fit values of TCD(50) show a clear separation of 9-10.6Gy between low and high risk patients. The corresponding dose-response curves are steeper (gamma(50)=3.4-5.2) than those obtained when all patients are analyzed together (gamma(50)=2.9)., Conclusions: Dose-response of prostate cancer, quantified by TCD(50) and gamma(50), varies by prognostic subgroup. Our observations are consistent with the hypothesis that the shallow nature of clinically observed dose-response curves for local control result from a patient population that is a heterogeneous mixture of sub-populations with steeper dose-response curves and varying values of TCD(50). Such results may eventually help to identify patients, based on their individual pre-treatment prognostic factors, that would benefit most from dose-escalation, and to guide dose prescription.

The goal of this article is to describe a two-stage design that maximizes the power to detect gene-disease associations when the principal design constraint is the total cost, represented by the total number of gene evaluations rather than the total number of individuals. In the first stage, all genes of interest are evaluated on a subset of individuals. The most promising genes are then evaluated on additional subjects in the second stage. This will eliminate wastage of resources on genes unlikely to be associated with disease based on the results of the first stage. We consider the case where the genes are correlated and the case where the genes are independent. Using simulation results, it is shown that, as a general guideline when the genes are independent or when the correlation is small, utilizing 75% of the resources in stage 1 to screen all the markers and evaluating the most promising 10% of the markers with the remaining resources provides near-optimal power for a broad range of parametric configurations. This translates to screening all the markers on approximately one quarter of the required sample size in stage 1.

Purpose: To determine the expected time to serum testosterone normalization after short-course neoadjuvant androgen deprivation therapy (NAAD) and three-dimensional conformal radiotherapy for patients with localized prostate cancer and to identify pretreatment predictors that correlated with the time to testosterone normalization., Methods: Between 1993 and 1999, 88 patients with localized prostate cancer, treated with NAAD and external beam radiotherapy, were prospectively monitored after treatment with sequential testosterone levels. NAAD was administered before and during the entire course of radiotherapy and discontinued at the end of treatment. The median duration of NAAD was 6 months. The actuarial rate of serum testosterone normalization from the end of treatment was evaluated, and the presence or absence of androgen deprivation-related symptoms was correlated with serum testosterone levels. Symptoms assessed included weight gain, loss of libido, breast tenderness, breast enlargement, hot flashes, and fatigue., Results: Serum testosterone levels returned to the normal range in 57 (65%) of the 88 patients and failed to normalize in 31 patients (35%). The median time to normalization was 18.3 months. The actuarial rate of normalization at 3, 6, 12, and 24 months was 10%, 26%, 38%, and 59%, respectively. In a multivariate analysis, a pretreatment testosterone level in the lower range of normal was the only variable that predicted for delayed testosterone normalization after NAAD (p = 0.00047). Among 45 patients with information concerning androgen deprivation-related symptoms recorded 1 year after cessation of NAAD, 24 (53%) had normalized testosterone levels, but in 21 patients (47%), the levels had not yet returned to normal. At 1 year, only 1 (4%) of 24 patients whose testosterone level had returned to normal experienced NAAD-related symptoms compared with 14 (67%) of 21 patients who did not have normal testosterone levels (p <0.001)., Conclusion: Testosterone levels often remain depressed for extended periods after cessation of short-course NAAD. Lower baseline testosterone levels predict for a delay in testosterone normalization, and the persistence of symptoms related to androgen deprivation correlates with low testosterone levels.

Purpose: The goal of tumor control probability (TCP) models is to predict local control for inhomogeneous dose distributions. All existing fits of TCP models to clinical data have utilized summaries of dose distributions (e.g., prescription dose). Ideally, model fits should be based on dose distributions in the tumor, but usually only dose-volume histograms (DVH) of the planning target volume (PTV) are available. We fit TCP models to biopsy outcome after three-dimensional conformal radiation therapy of prostate cancer using either a dose distribution summary or the full DVH in the PTV. We discuss differences in the radiobiologic parameters and dose-response curves and demonstrate pitfalls in interpreting the results., Methods and Material: Two mechanistic TCP models were fit with a maximum likelihood technique to biopsy outcome from 103 prostate patients treated at Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center. Fits were performed separately for different patient subgroups defined by tumor-related prognostic factors. Fits were based both on full DVHs, denoted TCP(DVH(calc)), and, alternatively, assuming a homogeneous PTV dose given by the mean dose (Dmean) of each DVH, denoted TCP(Dmean(calc)). Dose distributions for these patients were very homogeneous with any cold spots located on the periphery of the PTV. These cold spots were uncorrelated with biopsy outcome, likely because the low-dose regions may not contain tumor cells. Therefore, fits of TCP models that are potentially sensitive to cold spots (e.g., TCP(DVH(calc))) likely give biologic parameters that diminish this sensitivity. In light of this, we examined differences in fitted clonogenic cell number, N(C), or density, rho(C), surviving fraction after 2 Gy, SF(2), or radiosensitivity, alpha, and their standard deviations in the population, sigma(SF(2)) and sigma(alpha), resulting from fits based on TCP(DVH(calc)) and TCP(Dmean(calc)). Dose-response curves for homogeneous irradiation (characterized by TCD(50), the dose for a TCP of 50%) and differences in TCP predictions calculated from the DVH using alternatively derived parameters were evaluated., Results: Fits of TCP(Dmean(calc)) are better (i.e., have larger likelihood) than fits of TCP(DVH(calc)). For TCP(Dmean(calc)) fits, matching values of SF(2) and sigma(SF(2)) (or alpha and sigma(alpha)) exist for all N(C) (rho(C)) above a threshold that give fits of equal quality, with no maximum in likelihood. In contrast, TCP(DVH(calc)) fits have maximum likelihood for high SF(2) (low alpha) values that minimize effects of cold spots. Consequently, small N(C) (rho(C)) values are obtained to match the observed control rate. For example, for patients in low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups, optimum values of SF(2) and N(C) are 0.771 and 3.3 x 10(3), 0.736 and 2.2 x 10(4), and 0.776 and 1.0 x 10(4), respectively. The TCD(50) of dose-response curves for intermediate-risk patients is 2.6 Gy lower using TCP(DVH(calc)) parameters (TCD(50) = 67.8 Gy) than for TCP(Dmean(calc)) parameters (TCD(50) = 70.4 Gy). TCP predictions calculated from the DVH using risk group-dependent TCP(Dmean(calc)) parameters are up to 53% lower than corresponding calculations with TCP(DVH(calc)) parameters., Conclusion: For our data, TCP parameters derived from DVHs likely do not reflect true radiobiologic parameters in the tumor, but are a consequence of the reduced importance of low-dose regions at the periphery of the PTV. Deriving radiobiologic parameters from TCP(Dmean(calc)) fits is not possible unless one parameter is already known. TCP predictions using TCP(DVH(calc)) and TCP(Dmean(calc)) parameters may differ substantially, requiring consistency in the derivation and application of model parameters. The proper derivation of radiobiologic parameters from clinical data requires both substantial dose inhomogeneities and understanding of how these coincide with tumor location.

Background: The risks of complications in patients undergoing thoracotomy after neoadjuvant therapy for nonsmall cell lung cancer remain controversial. We reviewed our experience to define it further., Methods: All patients undergoing thoracotomy after induction chemotherapy from 1993 through 1999 were reviewed. Univariate and multivariate methods for logistic regression model were used to identify predictors of adverse events., Results: Induction chemotherapy included mitomycin, vinblastine, and cisplatin (179 patients), carboplatin and paclitaxel (152 patients), and other combinations (139 patients). Eighty-five patients (18%) received preoperative radiation. Operations were pneumonectomy (97 patients), lobectomy (297 patients), lesser resection (18 patients), and exploration only (58 patients). Total mortality was 7 of 297 (2.4%) and 11 of 97 (11.3%) for all lobectomies and pneumonectomies, respectively, but mortality was 11 of 46 (23.9%) for right pneumonectomy. Complications developed in 179 patients (38%). By multiple regression analysis, right pneumonectomy (p = 0.02), blood loss (p = 0.01), and forced expiratory volume in one second (percent predicted) (p = 0.01) predicted complications. No factor emerged to explain this high right pneumonectomy mortality rate., Conclusions: Pulmonary resection after neoadjuvant therapy is associated with acceptable overall morbidity and mortality. However, right pneumonectomy is associated with a significantly increased risk and should be performed only in selected patients.

Purpose: We present the long-term outcome and tolerance of 3-dimensional (D) conformal and intensity modulated radiation therapy for localized prostate cancer., Materials and Methods: Between October 1988 and December 1998, 1,100 patients with clinical stages T1c-T3 prostate cancer were treated with 3-D conformal or intensity modulated radiation therapy. Patients were categorized into prognostic risk groups based on pretreatment prostate specific antigen (PSA), Gleason score and clinical stage. Sextant biopsies were performed 2.5 years or greater after treatment to assess local control. PSA relapse was defined according to the consensus guidelines of the American Society for Therapeutic Radiation Oncology. Late toxicity was classified according to the Radiation Therapy Oncology Group morbidity grading scale. Median followup was 60 months., Results: At 5 years the PSA relapse-free survival rate in patients at favorable, intermediate and unfavorable risk was 85% (95% confidence interval [CI] +/- 4), 58% (95% CI +/- 6) and 38% (95% CI +/- 6), respectively (p <0.001). Radiation dose was the most powerful variable impacting PSA relapse-free survival in each prognostic risk group. The 5-year actuarial PSA relapse-free survival rate for patients at favorable risk who received 64.8 to 70.2 Gy. was 77% (95% CI +/- 8) compared to 90% (95% CI +/- 8) for those treated with 75.6 to 86.4 Gy. (p = 0.04) [corrected]. The corresponding rates were 50% (95% CI +/- 8) versus 70% (95% CI +/- 6) in intermediate risk cases (p = 0.001), and 21% (95% CI +/- 8) versus 47% (95% CI +/- 6) in unfavorable risk cases (p = 0.008) [corrected]. Only 4 of 41 patients (10%) who received 81 Gy. had a positive biopsy 2.5 years or greater after treatment compared with 27 of 119 (23%) after 75.6, 23 of 68 (34%) after 70.2 and 13 of 24 (54%) after 64.8 Gy. The incidence of toxicity after 3-D conformal radiation therapy was dose dependent. The 5-year actuarial rate of grade 2 rectal toxicity in patients who received 75.6 Gy. or greater was 14% (95% CI +/- 2) compared with 5% (95% CI +/- 2) in those treated at lower dose levels (p <0.001). Treatment with intensity modulated radiation therapy significantly decreased the incidence of late grade 2 rectal toxicity since the 3-year actuarial incidence in 189 cases managed by 81 Gy. was 2% (95% CI +/- 2) compared with 14% (95% CI +/- 2) in 61 managed by the same dose of 3-D conformal radiation therapy (p = 0.005). The 5-year actuarial rate of grade 2 urinary toxicity in patients who received 75.6 Gy. or greater 3-D conformal radiation therapy was 13% compared with 4% in those treated up to lower doses (p <0.001). Intensity modulated radiation therapy did not affect the incidence of urinary toxicity., Conclusions: Sophisticated conformal radiotherapy techniques with high dose 3-D conformal and intensity modulated radiation therapy improve the biochemical outcome in patients with favorable, intermediate and unfavorable risk prostate cancer. Intensity modulated radiation therapy is associated with minimal rectal and bladder toxicity, and, hence, represents the treatment delivery approach with the most favorable risk-to-benefit ratio.

Objective: The Gynecologic Oncology Group (GOG) has demonstrated that age, tumor grade, and size and number of residual lesions after primary cytoreductive surgery are significant prognostic factors in advanced ovarian carcinoma. Recent studies have reported numerous other clinical features as having prognostic value. We sought to identify the independent prognostic factors for survival in a cohort of patients with advanced ovarian cancer., Methods: We performed a retrospective chart review of all patients with stage III and IV ovarian carcinoma who received their primary treatment at our institution between 1987 and 1994., Results: A total of 295 patients were identified, 282 of whom were evaluable. Of these 282 patients, 214 (76%) have died of disease or other causes. The median follow-up is 32 months (range: 1-139). Eighteen factors were evaluated for prognostic significance. Significant factors in univariate analysis included patient age, gravidity (0 vs > 0), parity (0 vs > 0), preoperative albumin level, preoperative total protein level, ascites (presence vs absence), disease stage (IIIA/IIIB vs IIIC vs IV), number of residual lesions (< or =20 vs >20), and diameter of largest residual tumor nodule (< or = 1 cm vs 1-2 cm vs > 2 cm). However, on multivariate analysis, only patient age (P < 0.001), ascites (P = 0.001), and size of residual disease (P = 0.005) retained prognostic significance. Substage of disease was of borderline significance (P = 0.086)., Conclusion: Although numerous clinical variables have recently been reported to have prognostic value in advanced ovarian carcinoma, only patient age, presence or absence of ascites, and diameter of the largest residual tumor nodule proved to be of statistical significance in our analysis., (Copyright 2001 Academic Press.)

Purpose and Objective: Late rectal bleeding is a potentially dose limiting complication of three-dimensional conformal radiotherapy (3D-CRT) for prostate cancer. The frequency of late rectal bleeding has been shown to increase as the prescription dose rises above 70 Gy. The purpose of this study is to identify features of the cumulative dose-volume histogram (DVH) for the rectal wall that correlate with late rectal bleeding after 3D-CRT for prostate cancer., Methods and Materials: Follow-up information on rectal bleeding is available for 261 and 315 patients treated using 3D-CRT at Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center for Stage T1c-T3 prostate cancer with minimum target doses of 70.2 and 75.6 Gy, respectively. All patients in this study were treated with a coplanar 6-field technique (2 lateral and 4 oblique fields). Patients were classified as having rectal bleeding if they bled (> or = Grade 2) before 30 months, and nonbleeding (< or = Grade 1) if they were without bleeding at 30 months, using the RTOG morbidity scale. Rectal bleeding was observed in 13 and 38 of the patients treated at 70.2 and 75.6 Gy, respectively. Treatment plans were analyzed for 39 nonbleeding and 13 bleeding patients receiving 70.2 Gy, and 83 nonbleeding and 36 bleeding patients receiving 75.6 Gy. Dose-volume histograms (DVHs) for the anatomic rectal wall were calculated. Average DVHs of the bleeding and nonbleeding patients were generated, and a permutation test was used to assess the significance of differences between them, for each dose group. The confounding effect of total rectal wall volume (V(RW)) was removed by calculating the average differences in DVHs between all combinations of bleeding and nonbleeding patients with similar V(RW)s. Finally, multivariate analysis using logistic regression was performed to test the significance of the DVH variables in the presence of anatomic, geometric, and medical variables previously found to correlate with rectal bleeding in a companion analysis of the same patients., Results: The area under the average percent volume DVH for the rectal wall of patients with bleeding was significantly higher than those of patients without bleeding in both dose groups (p = 0.02, 70.2 Gy; p < 0.0001, 75.6 Gy). However, small V(RW)s were associated with rectal bleeding (p = 0.06, 70.2 Gy; p < 0.01, 75.6 Gy), resulting in an increase in average percent volumes exposed to all doses for patients with rectal bleeding. For patients with similar V(RW)s, rectal bleeding was significantly correlated with the volumes exposed to 46 Gy in both dose groups (p = 0.02, 70.2 Gy; p = 0.005, 75.6 Gy, tolerance in V(RW): 5 ccs). For the 75.6 Gy dose group, the percent volume receiving 77 Gy was significantly correlated with rectal bleeding (p < 0.005). Bivariate analysis using logistic regression, including V(RW) together with a single DVH variable, showed good agreement with the above analysis. Multivariate analysis revealed a borderline significant correlation of the percent volume receiving 71 Gy in the 70.2 Gy dose group. It also showed that the DVH variables were highly correlated with geometric and dosimetric variables previously found to correlate with rectal bleeding in multivariate analysis., Conclusion: Significant volume effects were found in the probability of late rectal bleeding for patients undergoing 3D-CRT for prostate cancer with prescription doses of 70.2 and 75.6 Gy. The percent volumes exposed to 71 and 77 Gy in the 70.2 and 75.6 Gy dose groups respectively were significantly correlated with rectal bleeding. The independent correlation of small V(RW) with rectal bleeding may indicate the existence of a functional reserve for the rectum. The independent association with larger percent volumes exposed to intermediate doses ( approximately 46 Gy) seen in both dose groups may indicate that a large surrounding region of intermediate dose may interfere with the ability to repair the effects of a central high dose region.

We developed a permutation test in our earlier paper (Venkatraman and Begg, 1996, Biometrika 83, 835-848) to test the equality of receiver operating characteristic curves based on continuous paired data. Here we extend the underlying concepts to develop a permutation test for continuous unpaired data, and we study its properties through simulations.

Purpose: To compare the target coverage and dose to normal tissues after I-125 transperineal permanent implantation (TPI) of the prostate in 90 patients treated with one of three different transperineal techniques., Methods and Materials: Detailed postimplant dosimetric evaluations of permanent I-125 implantation procedures were performed on 30 consecutive patients treated between 1995-1996 who underwent TPI using a preplanning CT-based technique, on 30 consecutive patients treated in 1997-1998 who underwent an ultrasound-guided approach with intraoperative determination of seed distribution based on an I-125 nomogram, and on 30 consecutive patients in 1998-1999 who underwent TPI with intraoperative computer-based 3-dimensional conformal optimization. For all three techniques, postimplant CT scans were obtained 4-6 hours after TPI. Dosimetric parameters included V(100), V(90), V(150), D(100), D(90), D(80), as well as maximal and average doses to the urethra and rectal wall. These parameter outcomes are reported as a percentage of the prescription dose., Results: The intraoperative 3D-optimized technique (I-3D) provided superior target coverage with the prescription dose for all dosimetric variables evaluated compared to the other treatment techniques. The median V(100), V(90), and D(90) values for the I-3D technique were 96%, 98%, and 116%, respectively. In contrast, the V(100), V(90), and D(90) values for the CT preplan and ultrasound manual optimization approaches were 86%, 89%, and 88%, respectively and 88%, 92%, and 94%, respectively (I-3D versus other techniques: p < 0.001). The superior target coverage with the I-3D technique was also associated with a higher cumulative implant activity required by the optimization program. A multivariate analysis determined that the treatment technique (I-3D versus other approaches) was an independent predictor of improved target coverage for each parameter analyzed (p < 0.001). In addition, higher cumulative implant activities and smaller prostate target volumes were independent predictors of improved target coverage. The maximum and average urethral doses were significantly lower with the I-3D technique compared to the other techniques; a modest increase in the average rectal dose was also observed with this approach., Conclusion: Three-dimensional intraoperative computer optimized TPI consistently provided superior target coverage with the prescription dose and significantly lower urethral doses compared to two other techniques used. These data provide proof-of-principle that improved therapeutic ratios can be achieved with the integration of more sophisticated intraoperative planning for TPI and may potentially have a profound impact on the outcome of patients treated with this modality.

We consider the problem of comparing alternative cancer staging and grading systems. Statistical comparisons are on the basis of the ability to predict survival, but more qualitative criteria, such as parsimony, and distinctive prognostic separability of the categories are relevant also. Furthermore, some staging systems are clearly ordinal, while others are not. Three candidate statistical measures are studied and compared: explained variation; area under the ROC curve; and the probability of concordance of stage and survival. Each of these has individual strengths and weaknesses. A data set involving the staging of thymoma is analysed in detail to motivate the problem and illustrate the results., (Copyright 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.)

Purpose: To investigate tumor control following three-dimensional conformal radiation therapy (3D-CRT) of prostate cancer and to identify dose-distribution variables that correlate with local control assessed through posttreatment prostate biopsies., Methods and Material: Data from 132 patients, treated at Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC), who had a prostate biopsy 2.5 years or more after 3D-CRT for T1c-T3 prostate cancer with prescription doses of 64.8-81 Gy were analyzed. Variables derived from the dose distribution in the PTV included: minimum dose (Dmin), maximum dose (Dmax), mean dose (Dmean), dose to n% of the PTV (Dn), where n = 1%,...,99%. The concept of the equivalent uniform dose (EUD) was evaluated for different values of the surviving fraction at 2 Gy (SF(2)). Four tumor control probability (TCP) models (one phenomenologic model using a logistic function and three Poisson cell kill models) were investigated using two sets of input parameters, one for low and one for high T-stage tumors. Application of both sets to all patients was also investigated. In addition, several tumor-related prognostic variables were examined (including T-stage, Gleason score). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed. The ability of the logistic regression models (univariate and multivariate) to predict the biopsy result correctly was tested by performing cross-validation analyses and evaluating the results in terms of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves., Results: In univariate analysis, prescription dose (Dprescr), Dmax, Dmean, dose to n% of the PTV with n of 70% or less correlate with outcome (p < 0.01). The area under the ROC curve for Dmean is 0.64. In contrast, Dmin (p = 0.6), D98 (p = 0.2) or D95 (p = 0.1) are not significantly correlated with outcome. The results for EUD depend on the input parameter SF(2): EUD correlates significantly with outcome for SF(2) of 0.4 or more, but not for lower SF(2) values. Using either of the two input parameters sets, all TCP models correlate with outcome (p < 0.05; ROC areas 0.60-0.62). Using T-stage dependent input parameters, the correlation is improved (logistic function: p < 0.01, ROC area 0.67, Poisson models: p < 0.01, ROC areas 0.64-0.66). In comparison, the ROC area is 0.68 for the combination of Dmean and T-stage. After multivariate analysis, a model based on TCP, D20 and Gleason score is the best overall model (ROC area 0.73). However, an alternative model based on Dmean, Gleason score, and T-stage is competitive (ROC area 0.70)., Conclusion: Biopsy outcome after 3D-CRT of prostate cancer at MSKCC is not correlated with Dmin in the PTV and appears to be insensitive to cold spots in the dose distribution. This observation likely reflects the fact that much of the PTV, especially at the periphery, may not contain viable tumor cells and that the treatment margins were sufficiently large. Therefore, the predictive power of all variables which are sensitive to cold spots, like TCPs with Poisson models and EUD for low SF(2), is limited because the low dose region may not coincide with the tumor location. Instead, for MSKCC prostate cancer patients with their standardized CTV definition, substantial target motion and small dose inhomogeneities, Dmean (or any variable that downplays the effect of cold spots) is a very good predictor of biopsy outcome. While our findings may indicate a general problem in the application of current TCP models to clinical data, these conclusions should not be extrapolated to other disease sites without careful analysis.

Purpose: To compare acute and late toxicities of high-dose radiation for prostate cancer delivered by either conventional three-dimensional conformal radiation therapy (3D-CRT) or intensity modulated radiation therapy (IMRT)., Materials and Methods: Between September 1992 and February 1998, 61 patients with clinical stage T1c- T3 prostate cancer were treated with 3D-CRT and 171 with IMRT to a prescribed dose of 81 Gy. To quantitatively evaluate the differences between conventional 3D-CRT and IMRT, 20 randomly selected patients were planned concomitantly by both techniques and the resulting treatment plans were compared. Acute and late radiation-induced morbidity was evaluated in all patients and graded according to the Radiation Therapy Oncology Group toxicity scale., Results: Compared with conventional 3D-CRT, IMRT improved the coverage of the clinical target volume (CTV) by the prescription dose and reduced the volumes of the rectal and bladder walls carried to high dose levels (P<0.01), indicating improved conformality with IMRT. Acute and late urinary toxicities were not significantly different for the two methods. However, the combined rates of acute grade 1 and 2 rectal toxicities and the risk of late grade 2 rectal bleeding were significantly lower in the IMRT patients. The 2-year actuarial risk of grade 2 bleeding was 2% for IMRT and 10% for conventional 3D-CRT (P<0.001)., Conclusions: The data demonstrate the feasibility and safety of high-dose IMRT for patients with localized prostate cancer and provide a proof-of-principle that this method improves dose conformality relative to tumor coverage and exposure to normal tissues.

Purpose: The aim of this study was to determine the ability of preoperative serum CA-125 to predict optimal primary tumor cytoreduction in patients with Stage III epithelial ovarian carcinoma., Methods: We performed a retrospective chart review of 100 consecutive patients with Stage III ovarian carcinoma who had a serum CA-125 drawn prior to primary cytoreductive surgery. We used a receiver operating characteristic curve to determine the CA-125 level with the maximal prognostic power in predicting optimal versus suboptimal cytoreduction., Results: The median CA-125 level for the 100 patients was 819 U/ml (range 5.6-26,200 U/ml). Optimal cytoreduction (diameter of largest residual tumor nodule < or =1 cm) was obtained in 45 cases (45%). The probability of performing optimal cytoreduction decreased with increasing CA-125 levels. A preoperative CA-125 level of 500 U/ml was identified as the value with the most predictive power. Optimal cytoreduction was achieved in 33 of the 45 cases (73%) with a CA-125 less than 500 U/ml compared to only 12 of the 55 cases (22%) with a CA-125 greater than 500 U/ml. Using a threshold level of 500 U/ml, the preoperative serum CA-125 level was able to predict optimal versus suboptimal cytoreduction with a sensitivity of 78%, specificity of 73%, positive predictive value of 78%, and negative predictive value of 73%., Conclusion: The probability of performing optimal cytoreduction in patients with Stage III ovarian carcinoma and a preoperative CA-125 greater than 500 U/ml was approximately one in five. These patients may be candidates for initial laparoscopic evaluation to obtain a confirmatory tissue diagnosis and to determine resectability., (Copyright 2000 Academic Press.)

Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to use the outcome of a dose escalation protocol for three-dimensional conformal radiation therapy (3D-CRT) of prostate cancer to study the dose-response for late rectal toxicity and to identify anatomic, dosimetric, and clinical factors that correlate with late rectal bleeding in multivariate analysis., Methods and Materials: Seven hundred forty-three patients with T1c-T3 prostate cancer were treated with 3D-CRT with prescribed doses of 64.8 to 81.0 Gy. The 5-year actuarial rate of late rectal toxicity was assessed using Kaplan-Meier statistics. A retrospective dosimetric analysis was performed for patients treated to 70.2 Gy (52 patients) or 75.6 Gy (119 patients) who either exhibited late rectal bleeding (RTOG Grade 2/3) within 30 months after treatment (i.e., 70.2 Gy-13 patients, 75. 6 Gy-36 patients) or were nonbleeding for at least 30 months (i.e., 70.2 Gy-39 patients, 75.6 Gy-83 patients). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression was performed to correlate late rectal bleeding with several anatomic, dosimetric, and clinical variables., Results: A dose response for >/= Grade 2 late rectal toxicity was observed. By multivariate analysis, the following factors were significantly correlated with >/= Grade 2 late rectal bleeding for patients prescribed 70.2 Gy: 1) enclosure of the outer rectal contour by the 50% isodose on the isocenter slice (i.e., Iso50) (p < 0.02), and 2) smaller anatomically defined rectal wall volume (p < 0.05). After 75.6 Gy, the following factors were significant: 1) smaller anatomically defined rectal wall volume (p < 0.01), 2) higher rectal D(max) (p < 0.01), 3) enclosure of rectal contour by Iso50 (p < 0.01), 4) patient age (p = 0.02), and 5) history of diabetes mellitus (p = 0.04). In addition to these five factors, acute rectal toxicity was also significantly correlated (p = 0.05) with late rectal bleeding when patients from both dose groups were combined in multivariate analysis., Conclusion: A multivariate logistic regression model is presented which describes the probability of developing late rectal bleeding after conformal irradiation of prostate cancer. Late rectal bleeding correlated with factors which may indicate that a greater fractional volume of rectal wall was exposed to high dose, such as smaller rectal wall volume, inclusion of the rectum within the 50% isodose on the isocenter slice, and higher rectal D(max).

A nonparametric test is derived for comparing treatments with respect to the final endpoint in clinical trials in which the final endpoint has been observed for a random subset of patients, but results are available for a surrogate endpoint for a larger sample of patients. The test is an adaptation of the Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney two-sample test, with an adjustment that involves a comparison of the ranks of the surrogate endpoints between patients with and without final endpoints. The validity of the test depends on the assumption that the patients with final endpoints represent a random sample of the patients registered in the study. This assumption is viable in trials in which the final endpoint is evaluated at a "landmark" timepoint in the patients' natural history. A small sample simulation study demonstrates that the test has a size that is close to the nominal value for all configurations evaluated. When compared with the conventional test based only on the final endpoints, the new test delivers substantial increases in power only when the surrogate endpoint is highly correlated with the true endpoint. Our research indicates that, in the absence of modeling assumptions, auxiliary information derived from surrogate endpoints can provide significant additional information only under special circumstances.

Background: The factors influencing outcome after resection of malignant pleural mesothelioma (MPM) are controversial. This analysis of a prospective surgical database identifies important prognostic factors., Methods: Tumors were staged by the International Mesothelioma Interest Group staging system, and patients were followed until death. Prognostic factors were analyzed by log rank and Cox regression, and were considered significant if p was less than 0.05., Results: From Oct 1983 to May 1998, 231 patients underwent thoracotomy, 115 had extrapleural pneumonectomy (EPP), and 59 pleurectomy/decortication (P/D). Among patients having EPP or P/D, 142 received adjuvant therapy. The median survival for stage I tumors was 29.9 months, for stage II 19 months, for stage III 10.4 months, and for stage IV 8 months. By multivariate analysis, stage, histology, gender, adjuvant therapy, but not the type of surgical resection, were significant., Conclusions: The better survival previously reported for P/D compared with EPP is not seen in a large database with long follow-up. Stages I and II have better survival rates than generally assumed for MPM. Locally advanced T and N status, and nonepithelial histology, identify poor prognosis patients who should be considered for novel treatment regimens.

Pelvic exenteration is generally not considered an operation with curative value for women with recurrent endometrial carcinoma. We reviewed our experience with pelvic exenteration performed in patients with recurrent endometrial adenocarcinoma from 1947 through 1994. A total of 44 patients were identified, with a mean age of 60 years (range 35-69 years). Primary therapy usually consisted of total abdominal hysterectomy with bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy, with most receiving either pre- or postoperative radiotherapy. Prior to exenteration, 10 of 44 (23%) patients had never received any form of radiotherapy. The median interval between initial surgery and exenteration was 28 months (range 2-189 months). The type of exenteration performed was total in 23 patients (52%), anterior in 20 patients (46%), and posterior in 1 patient. Major postoperative complications occurred in 35 patients (80%) and included urinary/intestinal tract fistulas, pelvic abscess, septicemia, pulmonary embolism, and cerebrovascular accident. Median survival for the entire group of patients was 10.2 months. Nine patients (20%) achieved long-term survival (>5 years). Pelvic exenteration for recurrent endometrial cancer is associated with a high operative morbidity and poor overall survival. Although only 20% of patients achieved long-term survival, this procedure remains the only potentially curative option for the few patients with central recurrence of endometrial cancer who have failed surgical and radiation therapy., (Copyright 1999 Academic Press.)

Purpose: To determine the long-term effects of 75.6- and 81.0-Gy doses of three-dimensional conformal radiation therapy in a dose-escalation study in patients with stage T2c-T3 prostatic cancer., Materials and Methods: Fifty patients received an initial 75.6-Gy dose, and the dose in 46 patients was subsequently escalated to 81.0-Gy. Median follow-up was 60 and 40 months, respectively., Results: The rates of effects of acute toxicity during the course of treatment were similar for both dose levels. Among the 96 patients, the rate of grade 2 morbidities necessitating medication to relieve acute symptoms was 17% (16 patients) for rectal and 36% (35 patients) for urinary morbidities. All other patients had either no or grade 1 morbidities. Fourteen patients (15%) developed late grade 2 rectal morbidities. There were no differences in 5-year actuarial rates of late grade 2 rectal or urinary morbidities among patients who received 75.6 Gy versus those who received 81.0 Gy. One patient treated with 81.0 Gy developed a grade 3 urethral stricture, which was resolved with dilatation., Conclusion: Tumor dose escalation beyond conventional radiation doses for localized prostatic cancer is feasible when delivered with three-dimensional conformal radiation therapy, with no increase in morbidity in normal tissue.

An approach to determine the appropriate sample sizes for a series of screening trials to identify promising new therapeutic agents was presented by Yao, Begg, and Livingston (1996, Biometrics 52, 992-1001). This approach is now improved to a two-stage design that further minimizes the time to identify a promising agent under fixed error rates. When applied to data from the historical experience of exploratory vaccination trials at Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center, the method demonstrates that relatively small individual screening trials are optimal. The reliability of the results is evaluated using the bootstrap.

Purpose: To determine the efficacy of three courses of intraperitoneal (i.p.) cisplatin (CDDP) and etoposide (VP-16) as consolidation therapy following pathologically negative second-look surgical reassessment for Stage IIC-IV epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC)., Patients and Methods: Between September 1988 and April 1996, 40 patients were treated with three cycles of i.p. CDDP (100 mg/m2)/VP-16 (200 mg/m2) as consolidation therapy. Survival was compared to that of a group of 46 contemporaneous patients undergoing observation only., Results: Median age of the 36 eligible patients was 52 years (range 30-70 years). Stage distribution was II (3), III (31), and IV (2); histologic grade was 1 (2), 2 (7), 3 (25), and not recorded (2); and residual disease at completion of initial surgery was none/microscopic in 13/36 (36%) patients. Median age of the 46 patients who did not receive consolidation was 52 years (range, 27-80 years); stage distribution was II (18), III (26), and IV (2); histologic grade was 1 (5), 2 (12), 3 (28), and not recorded (1). With a median follow-up of 36 months in both groups, 14/36 (39%) of the protocol group have recurred compared with 25/46 (54%) of those undergoing observation alone. Median disease-free survival (DFS) for the observed patients is 28.5 months and has not been reached in the consolidation group. Disease-free survival distribution between the two groups was compared using the log-rank test and was found to be significant (P = 0.03). Multivariate analysis revealed that the only significant predictor of improved DFS was protocol treatment (P < 0.01)., Conclusion: Intraperitoneal consolidation with CDDP/VP-16 following negative second-look reassessment in patients with advanced EOC resulted in a significant increase in DFS compared to nonprotocol patients treated concurrently who underwent observation alone.