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We revisit a quiet 14-day period of solar minimum during January 2008 and track sub-streamer propagating disturbances (PDs) from low heights in STEREO/EUVI to the extended corona through STEREO/COR1 and into STEREO/COR2 along nonradial paths that trace the structure of the underlying streamers. Using our recently developed method for generating nonradial Height-Time profiles of outward PDs (OPDs) and inward PDs (IPDs), we obtained their velocities along the radial and position angle directions. Our analysis of 417 unique OPDs revealed two classes: slow and fast OPDs. Slow OPDs form preferentially at $\approx$1.6 $R_\odot$ closer to the streamer boundaries, with asymmetric occurrence rates, and show speeds of $16.4_{-8.4}^{+26.6}km/s$ at 1.5 $R_\odot$ and accelerate up to $200.1_{-57.9}^{+71.1}km/s$ at 7.5 $R_\odot$. Fast OPDs form preferentially at $\approx$ 1.6 $R_\odot$ and at $\approx$3.0 $R_\odot$ both at the streamer boundaries and slightly more often within them. They show speeds of $87.8_{-24.8}^{+59.1}km/s$ at 1.5 $R_\odot$ up to $197.8_{-46.7}^{+61.8}km/s$ at 7.5 $R_\odot$. IPDs are observed forming at $\approx$1.8 $R_\odot$ with speeds of tens of $km/s$, mostly concentrated in the aftermath of a CME eruption. We present an example in which we show that periodic brightness variations related to OPDs remained in the range of 98 to 128 min, down to $\approx$2.0 $R_\odot$, well within the field of view of COR1. The velocity profiles of slow OPDs for heliocentric height below 3.0 $R_\odot$ show good agreement with speeds more closely related to the bulk solar wind obtained via interplanetary scintillation.

This paper provides an update on the coronal mass ejection (CME) catalog maintained at the CDAW Data Center, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center (https://cdaw.gsfc.nasa.gov/CME_list). This is version 2 (v2) of the Catalog that has been made as the default version as of May 1, 2024. The new features of the Catalog v2 are (i) online measurement tool, (ii) combination JavaScript movies from the STEREO and Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) missions, and (iii) insertion of newly identified CMEs for the period 1996 to 2004. The CME identification was revisited resulting in a set of $\sim$3000 new CMEs added to the Catalog. A vast majority of these CMEs are weak and narrow. The resulting statistical properties of CMEs are not significantly different from those reported using version 1., Comment: 6 pages, 6 figures, Proc. IAU Symposium 388

This paper investigates the incidence of coherent emission in solar radio bursts, using a revised catalog of 3800 solar radio bursts observed by the Nobeyama Radio Polarimeters from 1988 to 2023. We focus on the 1.0 and 2.0 GHz data, where radio fluxes of order 10 billion Jansky have been observed. Previous work has suggested that these bursts are due to electron cyclotron maser (ECM) emission. In at least one well studied case, the bright emission at 1 GHz consists of narrowband spikes of millisecond duration. Coherent emission at 1 GHz can be distinguished from traditional incoherent gyrosynchrotron flare emission based on the radio spectrum: gyrosynchrotron emission at 1 GHz usually has a spectrum rising with frequency, so bursts in which 1 GHz is stronger than higher frequency measurements are unlikely to be incoherent gyrosynchrotron. Based on this criterion it is found that, for bursts exceeding 100 sfu, three-quarters of all bursts at 1 GHz and half of all 2 GHz bursts have a dominant coherent emission component, assumed to be ECM. The majority of the very bright bursts at 1 GHz are highly circularly polarized, consistent with a coherent emission mechanism, but not always 100% polarized. The frequency range from 1 to 2 GHz is heavily utilized for terrestrial applications, and these results are relevant for understanding the extreme flux levels that may impact such applications. Further, they provide a reference for comparison with the study of ECM emission from other stars and potentially exoplanets., Comment: 24 pages, 6 figures, in press

To understand its evolution and the effects of its eruptive events, the Sun is permanently monitored by multiple satellite missions. The optically-thin emission of the solar plasma and the limited number of viewpoints make it challenging to reconstruct the geometry and structure of the solar atmosphere; however, this information is the missing link to understand the Sun as it is: a three-dimensional evolving star. We present a method that enables a complete 3D representation of the uppermost solar layer (corona) observed in extreme ultraviolet (EUV) light. We use a deep learning approach for 3D scene representation that accounts for radiative transfer, to map the entire solar atmosphere from three simultaneous observations. We demonstrate that our approach provides unprecedented reconstructions of the solar poles, and directly enables height estimates of coronal structures, solar filaments, coronal hole profiles, and coronal mass ejections. We validate the approach using model-generated synthetic EUV images, finding that our method accurately captures the 3D geometry of the Sun even from a limited number of 32 ecliptic viewpoints ($|\text{latitude}| \leq 7^\circ$). We quantify uncertainties of our model using an ensemble approach that allows us to estimate the model performance in absence of a ground-truth. Our method enables a novel view of our closest star, and is a breakthrough technology for the efficient use of multi-instrument datasets, which paves the way for future cluster missions.

Our current theoretical and observational understanding suggests that critical properties of the solar wind and Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) are imparted within 10 Rs, particularly below 4 Rs. This seemingly narrow spatial region encompasses the transition of coronal plasma processes through the entire range of physical regimes from fluid to kinetic, and from primarily closed to open magnetic field structures. From a physics perspective, therefore, it is more appropriate to refer to this region as the Critical Coronal Transition Region (CCTR) to emphasize its physical, rather than spatial, importance to key Heliophysics science. This white paper argues that the comprehensive exploration of the CCTR will answer two of the most central Heliophysics questions, "How and where does the solar wind form?" and "How do eruptions form?", by unifying hardware/software/modeling development and seemingly disparate research communities and frameworks. We describe the outlines of decadal-scale plan to achieve that by 2050., Comment: White paper submitted to the Decadal Survey for Solar and Space Physics (Heliophysics) 2024-2033; 6 pages, 1 figure, 2 tables

In order to advance our understanding of the dynamic interactions between coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and the magnetized solar wind, we investigate the impact of magnetic erosion on the well-known aerodynamic drag force acting on CMEs traveling faster than the ambient solar wind. In particular, we start by generating empirical relationships for the basic physical parameters of CMEs that conserve their mass and magnetic flux. Furthermore, we examine the impact of the virtual mass on the equation of motion by studying a variable-mass system. We next implement magnetic reconnection into CME propagation, which erodes part of the CME magnetic flux and outer-shell mass, on the drag acting on CMEs, and we determine its impact on their time and speed of arrival at 1 AU. Depending on the strength of the magnetic erosion, the leading edge of the magnetic structure can reach near-Earth space up to $\approx$ three hours later, compared to the non-eroded case. Therefore, magnetic erosion may have a significant impact on the propagation of fast CMEs and on predictions of their arrivals at 1 AU. Finally, the modeling indicates that eroded CMEs may experience a significant mass decrease. Since such a decrease is not observed in the corona, the initiation distance of erosion may lie beyond the field-of-view of coronagraphs (i.e. 30 $\mathrm{R_{\odot}}$).

In a previous work we analysed the white-light coronal brightness as a function of elongation and time from Wide-Field Imager (WISPR) observations on board the Parker Solar Probe (PSP) mission when PSP reached a minimum heliocentric distance of ~ 28 Rs. We found 4-5 transient outflows per day over a narrow wedge in the PSP orbital plane, which is close to the solar equatorial plane. However, the elongation versus time map (J-map) analysis supplied only lower limits on the number of released density structures due to the small spatial-scales of the transient outflows and line-of-sight integration effects. In this work we place constraints on the properties of slow solar wind transient mass release from the entire solar equatorial plane. We simulated the release and propagation of transient density structures in the solar equatorial plane for four scenarios: (1) periodic release in time and longitude with random speeds; (2) corotating release in longitude, periodic release in time with random speeds; (3) random release in longitude, periodic release in time and speed; and (4) random release in longitude, time, and speed. The simulations were used in the construction of synthetic J-maps, which are similar to the observed J-map. The four considered scenarios have similar ranges (35-45 for the minimum values and 96-127 for the maximum values) of released density structures per day from the solar equatorial plane and consequently from the streamer belt, given its proximity to the solar equatorial plane during the WISPR observation. Our results also predict that density structures with sizes in the range 2-8 Rs, covering 1-20 % of the perihelion could have been detectable by PSP in situ observations during that interval., Comment: A&A, 2023, in press

Diversity, equity and inclusion (DEI) programs can only be implemented successfully if proper work-life balance is possible in Heliophysics (and in STEM field in general). One of the core issues stems from the culture of "work-above-life" associated with mission concepts, development, and implementation but also the expectations that seem to originate from numerous announcements from NASA (and other agencies). The benefits of work-life balance are well documented; however, the entire system surrounding research in Heliophysics hinders or discourages proper work-life balance. For example, there does not seem to be attention paid by NASA Headquarters (HQ) on the timing of their announcements regarding how it will be perceived by researchers, and how the timing may promote a culture where work trumps personal life. The same is true for remarks by NASA HQ program officers during panels or informal discussions, where seemingly innocuous comments may give a perception that work is expected after "normal" work hours. In addition, we are calling for work-life balance plans and implementation to be one of the criteria used for down-selection and confirmation of missions (Key Decision Points: KDP-B, KDP-C)., Comment: White paper submitted to the Decadal Survey for Solar and Space Physics (Heliophysics) 2024-2033; 6 pages

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are the most important drivers of space weather. Central to most CMEs is thought to be the eruption of a bundle of highly twisted magnetic field lines known as magnetic flux ropes. A comprehensive understanding of CMEs and their impacts hence requires detailed observations of physical parameters that lead to the formation, destabilization, and eventual eruption of the magnetic flux ropes. Recent advances in remote-sensing observations of coronal cavities, filament channels, sigmoids, EUV "hot channels," white light CMEs, and in situ observations of magnetic clouds points to the possibility of significant progress in understanding CMEs. In this white paper, we provide a brief overview of the potential of radio diagnostics for CMEs and CME progenitors, with a particular focus on the unique means for constraining their magnetic field and energetic electron population. Using synthetic observations based on realistic 3D MHD models, we also demonstrate the transformative potential of advancing such diagnostics by using broadband radio imaging spectropolarimetry with a high image dynamic range and high image fidelity. To achieve this goal, a solar-dedicated radio facility with such capabilities is recommended for implementation in the coming decade., Comment: Science white paper submitted to the 2024 Solar and Space Physics Decadal Survey. All submitted white papers (including this one) are available at https://www.nationalacademies.org/our-work/decadal-survey-for-solar-and-space-physics-heliophysics-2024-2033

Extreme Ultraviolet (EUV) light emitted by the Sun impacts satellite operations and communications and affects the habitability of planets. Currently, EUV-observing instruments are constrained to viewing the Sun from its equator (i.e., ecliptic), limiting our ability to forecast EUV emission for other viewpoints (e.g. solar poles), and to generalize our knowledge of the Sun-Earth system to other host stars. In this work, we adapt Neural Radiance Fields (NeRFs) to the physical properties of the Sun and demonstrate that non-ecliptic viewpoints could be reconstructed from observations limited to the solar ecliptic. To validate our approach, we train on simulations of solar EUV emission that provide a ground truth for all viewpoints. Our model accurately reconstructs the simulated 3D structure of the Sun, achieving a peak signal-to-noise ratio of 43.3 dB and a mean absolute relative error of 0.3\% for non-ecliptic viewpoints. Our method provides a consistent 3D reconstruction of the Sun from a limited number of viewpoints, thus highlighting the potential to create a virtual instrument for satellite observations of the Sun. Its extension to real observations will provide the missing link to compare the Sun to other stars and to improve space-weather forecasting., Comment: Accepted at Machine Learning and the Physical Sciences workshop, NeurIPS 2022

We use in-situ data from the Wind spacecraft to survey the amplitude of turbulent fluctuations in the proton density and total magnetic field inside a large sample of near-Earth magnetic clouds (MCs) associated with coronal mass ejections (CMEs) from the Sun. We find that the most probable value of the modulation index for proton density fluctuations ($\delta n_{p}/n_{p}$) inside MCs ranges from 0.13 to 0.16, while the most probable values for the modulation index of the total magnetic field fluctuations ($\delta B/B$) range from 0.04 to 0.05. We also find that the most probable value of the Mach number fluctuations ($\delta M$) inside MCs is $\approx 0.1$. The anomalous resistivity inside near-Earth MCs arising from electron scattering due to turbulent magnetic field fluctuations exceeds the (commonly used) Spitzer resistivity by a factor of $\approx 500-1000$. The enhanced Joule heating arising from this anomalous resistivity could impact our understanding of the energetics of CME propagation., Comment: This paper has been accepted in the MNRAS journal

The pressure and energy density of the gas and magnetic field inside solar coronal mass ejections (in relation to that in the ambient solar wind) is thought to play an important role in determining their dynamics as they propagate through the heliosphere. We compare the specific energy (${\rm erg\,g^{-1}}$) [comprising kinetic ($H_{\rm k}$), thermal ($H_{\rm th }$) and magnetic field ($H_{\rm mag}$) contributions] inside MCs and the solar wind background. We examine if the excess thermal + magnetic pressure and specific energy inside MCs (relative to the background) is correlated with their propagation and internal expansion speeds. We ask if the excess thermal + magnetic specific energy inside MCs might make them resemble rigid bodies in the context of aerodynamic drag. We use near-Earth in-situ data from the WIND spacecraft to identify a sample of 152 well observed interplanetary coronal mass ejections and their MC counterparts. We compute various metrics using these data to address our questions. We find that the total specific energy ($H$) inside MCs is approximately equal to that in the background solar wind. We find that the the excess (thermal + magnetic) pressure and specific energy are not well correlated with the near-Earth propagation and expansion speeds. We find that the excess thermal+magnetic specific energy $\gtrsim$ the specific kinetic energy of the solar wind incident on 81--89 \% of the MCs we study. This might explain how MCs retain their structural integrity and resist deformation by the solar wind bulk flow., Comment: Accepted for publication in the journal, Astronomy and Astrophysics

Although coronal mass ejections (CMEs) resembling flux ropes generally expand self-similarly, deformations along their fronts have been reported in observations and simulations. We present evidence of one CME becoming deformed after a period of self-similarly expansion in the corona. The event was observed by multiple white-light imagers on January 20-22, 2021. The change in shape is evident in observations from the heliospheric imagers from the Wide-Field Imager for Solar Probe Plus (WISPR), which observe this CME for $\sim$ 44 hours. We reconstruct the CME using forward-fitting models. In the first hours, observations are consistent with a self-similar expansion but later on the front flattens forming a dimple. Our interpretation is that the CME becomes deformed at $\sim0.1\ au$ due to differences in the background solar wind speeds. The CME expands more at higher latitudes, where the background solar wind is faster. We consider other possible causes for deformations, such as loss of coherence and slow-mode shocks. The CME deformation seems to cause a time-of-arrival error of 16 hours at $\sim 0.5\ au$. The deformation is clear only in the WISPR observations and, it thus, would have been missed by 1~AU coronagraphs. Such deformations may help explain the time-of-arrival errors in events where only coronagraph observations are available.

The middle corona, the region roughly spanning heliocentric altitudes from $1.5$ to $6\,R_\odot$, encompasses almost all of the influential physical transitions and processes that govern the behavior of coronal outflow into the heliosphere. Eruptions that could disrupt the near-Earth environment propagate through it. Importantly, it modulates inflow from above that can drive dynamic changes at lower heights in the inner corona. Consequently, this region is essential for comprehensively connecting the corona to the heliosphere and for developing corresponding global models. Nonetheless, because it is challenging to observe, the middle corona has been poorly studied by major solar remote sensing missions and instruments, extending back to the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SoHO) era. Thanks to recent advances in instrumentation, observational processing techniques, and a realization of the importance of the region, interest in the middle corona has increased. Although the region cannot be intrinsically separated from other regions of the solar atmosphere, there has emerged a need to define the region in terms of its location and extension in the solar atmosphere, its composition, the physical transitions it covers, and the underlying physics believed to be encapsulated by the region. This paper aims to define the middle corona and give an overview of the processes that occur there., Comment: Working draft prepared by the middle corona heliophysics working group

The closest perihelion pass of Parker Solar Probe (PSP), so far, occurred between 16 and 26 of November 2021 and reached ~13.29 Rsun from Sun center. This pass resulted in very unique observations of the solar corona by the Wide-field Instrument for Solar PRobe (WISPR). WISPR observed at least ten CMEs, some of which were so close that the structures appear distorted. All of the CMEs appeared to have a magnetic flux rope (MFR) structure and most were oriented such that the view was along the axis orientation, revealing very complex interiors. Two CMEs had a small MFR develop in the interior, with a bright circular boundary surrounding a very dark interior. Trailing the larger CMEs were substantial outflows of small blobs and flux-rope like structures within striated ribbons, lasting for many hours. When the heliophysics plasma sheet (HPS) was inclined, as it was during the days around perihelion on November 21, 2021, the outflow was over a very wide latitude range. One CME was overtaken by a faster one, with a resultant compression of the rear of the leading CME and an unusual expansion in the trailing CME. The small Thomson Surface creates brightness variations of structures as they pass through the field of view. In addition to this dynamic activity, a brightness band from excess dust along the orbit of asteroid/comet 3200 Phaethon is also seen for several days., Comment: 28 pages, 15 figures, accepted to ApJ

Solar coronal mass ejections are well known to expand as they propagate through the heliosphere. Despite this, their cross-sections are usually modeled as static plasma columns within the magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) framework. We test the validity of this approach using in-situ plasma data from 151 magnetic clouds (MCs) observed by the WIND spacecraft and 45 observed by the Helios spacecrafts. We find that the most probable cross-section expansion speeds for the WIND events are only $\approx 0.06$ times the Alfv\'en speed inside the MCs while the most probable cross-section expansion speeds for the Helios events is $\approx 0.03$. MC cross-sections can thus be considered to be nearly static over an Alfv\'en crossing timescale. Using estimates of electrical conductivity arising from Coulomb collisions, we find that the Lundquist number inside MCs is high ($\approx 10^{13}$), suggesting that the MHD description is well justified. The Joule heating rates using our conductivity estimates are several orders of magnitude lower than the requirement for plasma heating inside MCs near the Earth. While the (low) heating rates we compute are consistent with the MHD description, the discrepancy with the heating requirement points to possible departures from MHD and the need for a better understanding of plasma heating in MCs., Comment: This paper has been accepted for publication in the Solar Physics journal on March 12, 2022

We present the first analysis of internal coronal mass ejection (CME) structure observed very close to the Sun by the Wide-field Imager for Solar PRobe (WISPR) instrument on board Parker Solar Probe (PSP). The transient studied here is a CME observed during PSP's second perihelion passage on 2019 April 2, when PSP was only 40 R_sun from the Sun. The CME was also well observed from 1 au by the STEREO-A spacecraft, which tracks the event all the way from the Sun to 1 au. However, PSP/WISPR observes internal structure not apparent in the images from 1 au. In particular, two linear features are observed, one bright and one dark. We model these features as two loops within the CME flux rope channel. The loops can be interpreted as bundles of field lines, with the brightness of the bright loop indicative of lots of mass being loaded into those field lines, and with the dark loop being devoid of such mass loading. It is possible that these loops are actually representative of two independent flux rope structures within the overall CME outline., Comment: 17 pages, 7 figures, to appear in The Astrophysical Journal

We present a method that isolates time-varying components from coronagraph and EUV images, allowing sub-streamer transients propagating within streamers to be tracked from the low to high corona. The method uses a temporal bandpass filter with a transmission bandwidth of ~2.5-10 hours that suppresses both high and low frequency variations in observations made by the STEREO/SECCHI suite. We demonstrate that this method proves crucial in linking the low corona where the magnetic field is highly non-radial, to their counterparts in the high corona where the magnetic field follows a radial path through the COR1 instrument. We also applied our method to observations by the COR2 and EUVI instruments onboard SECCHI and produced height-time profiles that revealed small density enhancements, associated with helmet streamers, propagating from ~1.2 Rs out to beyond 5 Rs. Our processing method reveals that these features are common during the period of solar minimum in this study. The features recur on timescales of hours, originate very close to the Sun, and remain coherent out into interplanetary space. We measure the speed of the features and classify them as: slow (a few to tens of km/s) and fast (~100 km/s). Both types of features serve as an observable tracer of a variable component of the slow solar wind to its source regions. Our methodology helps overcome the difficulties in tracking small-scale features through COR1. As a result, it proved successful in measuring the connectivity between the low and high corona and in measuring velocities of small-scale features., Comment: 14 pages, 7 figures

This Letter reports observations of an event that connects all major classes of solar eruptions: those that erupt fully into the heliosphere versus those that fail and are confined to the Sun, and those that eject new flux into the heliosphere, in the form of a flux rope, versus those that eject only new plasma in the form of a jet. The event originated in a filament channel overlying a circular polarity inversion line (PIL) and occurred on 2013-03-20 during the extended decay phase of the active region designated NOAA 12488/12501. The event was especially well-observed by multiple spacecraft and exhibited the well-studied null-point topology. We analyze all aspects of the eruption using SDO AIA and HMI, STEREO-A EUVI, and SOHO LASCO imagery. One section of the filament undergoes a classic failed eruption with cool plasma subsequently draining onto the section that did not erupt, but a complex structured CME/jet is clearly observed by SOHO LASCO C2 shortly after the failed filament eruption. We describe in detail the slow buildup to eruption, the lack of an obvious trigger, and the immediate reappearance of the filament after the event. The unique mixture of major eruption properties observed during this event places severe constraints on the structure of the filament channel field and, consequently, on the possible eruption mechanism.

As one of the most spectacular energy release events in the solar system, solar flares are generally powered by magnetic reconnection in the solar corona. As a result of the re-arrangement of magnetic field topology after the reconnection process, a series of new loop-like magnetic structures are often formed and are known as flare loops. A hot diffuse region, consisting of around 5-10 MK plasma, is also observed above the loops and is called a supra-arcade fan. Often, dark, tadpole-like structures are seen to descend through the bright supra-arcade fans. It remains unclear what role these so-called supra-arcade downflows (SADs) play in heating the flaring coronal plasma. Here we show a unique flare observation, where many SADs collide with the flare loops and strongly heat the loops to a temperature of 10-20 MK. Several of these interactions generate clear signatures of quasi-periodic enhancement in the full-Sun-integrated soft X-ray emission, providing an alternative interpretation for quasi-periodic pulsations that are commonly observed during solar and stellar flares., Comment: Published in The Innovation; Animations are available in the Journal's Website

The Effective Acceleration Model (EAM) predicts the Time-of-Arrival (ToA) of the Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) driven shock and the average speed within the sheath at 1 AU. The model is based on the assumption that the ambient solar wind interacts with the interplanetary CME (ICME) resulting in constant acceleration or deceleration. The upgraded version of the model (EAMv3), presented here, incorporates two basic improvements: (a) a new technique for the calculation of the acceleration (or deceleration) of the ICME from the Sun to 1 AU and (b) a correction for the CME plane-of-sky speed. A validation of the upgraded EAM model is performed via comparisons to predictions from the ensemble version of the Drag-Based model (DBEM) and the WSA-ENLIL+Cone ensemble model. A common sample of 16 CMEs/ICMEs, in 2013-2014, is used for the comparison. Basic performance metrics such as the mean absolute error (MAE), mean error (ME) and root mean squared error (RMSE) between observed and predicted values of ToA are presented. MAE for EAM model was 8.7$\pm$1.6 hours while for DBEM and ENLIL was 14.3$\pm$2.2 and 12.8$\pm$1.7 hours, respectively. ME for EAM was -1.4$\pm$2.7 hours in contrast with -9.7$\pm$3.4 and -6.1$\pm$3.3 hours from DBEM and ENLIL. We also study the hypothesis of stronger deceleration in the interplanetary (IP) space utilizing the EAMv3 and DBEM models. In particularly, the DBEM model perform better when a greater value of drag parameter, of order of a factor of 3, is used in contrast to previous studies. EAMv3 model shows a deceleration of ICMEs at greater distances, with a mean value of 0.72 AU., Comment: 18 pages, 3 figures, 4 Tables. Accepted in Solar Physics

White light images of Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) are projections on the plane-of-sky (POS). As a result, CME kinematics are subject to projection effects. The error in the true (deprojected) speed of CMEs is one of the main causes of uncertainty to Space Weather forecasts, since all estimates of the CME Time-of-Arrival (ToA) at a certain location within the heliosphere require, as input, the CME speed. We use single viewpoint observations for 1037 flare-CME events between 1996-2017 and propose a new approach for the correction of the CME speed assuming radial propagation from the flare site. Our method is uniquely capable to produce physically reasonable deprojected speeds across the full range of source longitudes. We bound the uncertainty in the deprojected speed estimates via limits in the true angular width of a CME based on multiview-point observations. Our corrections range up to 1.37-2.86 for CMEs originating from the center of the disk. On average, the deprojected speeds are 12.8% greater than their POS speeds. For slow CMEs (VPOS < 400 km/s) the full ice-cream cone model performs better while for fast and very fast CMEs (VPOS > 700 km/s) the shallow ice-cream model gives much better results. CMEs with 691-878 km/s POS speeds have a minimum ToA mean absolute error (MAE) of 11.6 hours. This method, is robust, easy to use, and has immediate applicability to Space Weather forecasting applications. Moreover, regarding the speed of CMEs, our work suggests that single viewpoint observations are generally reliable., Comment: Paper accepted by Space Weather journal

Gaps in space weather observations that can be addressed with small satellites are identified. Potential improvements in solar inputs to space weather models, space radiation control, estimations of energy budget of the upper Earth's atmosphere, and satellite drag modeling are briefly discussed. Key observables, instruments and observation strategies by small satellites are recommended. Tracking optimization for small satellites is proposed., Comment: 12 pages, 1 table; commentary submitted to Space Weather; accepted and in press

Context. We study two coronal mass ejections (CMEs) observed between April 1-2, 2019 by both the inner Wide-Field Imager for Parker Solar Probe (WISPR-I) and the inner heliospheric imager (HI-1) on board STEREO-A. This is the first study of CME observations from two viewpoints in similar directions but at considerably different solar distances. Aims. Our objective is to understand how the PSP observations affect the CME kinematics, especially due to its proximity to the Sun. Methods. We estimate the CME positions, speeds, accelerations, propagation directions and longitudinal deflections using imaging observations from two spacecraft, and a set of analytical expressions that consider the CME as a point structure and take into account the rapid change in spacecraft position. Results. We find that both CMEs are slow ($< 400\ km\ s^{-1}$), propagating eastward of the Sun-Earth line. The second CME seems to accelerate between $\sim 0.1$ to $\sim 0.2\ au$ and deflect westward with an angular speed consistent with the solar rotation speed. We find some discrepancies in the CME solar distance (up to $0.05\ au$, particularly for CME \#1), latitude (up to $\sim10^{\circ}$) and longitude (up to $24^{\circ}$) when comparing results from different fit cases (different observations or set of free parameters). Conclusions. Discrepancies in longitude are likely due to the feature tracked visually rather than instrumental biases or fit assumptions. For similar reasons, the CME \#1 solar distance, as derived from WISPR-I observations, is larger than the HI-1 result, regardless of the fit parameters considered. Error estimates for CME kinematics do not show any clear trend associated to the observing instrument. The source region location and the lack of any clear in situ counterparts (both at near-Earth and at PSP) support our estimate of the propagation direction for both events., Comment: 27 pages, 10 figures. Submitted for publication on Astronomy and Astrophysics

The Time-of-Arrival (ToA) of coronal mass ejections (CME) at Earth is a key parameter due to the space weather phenomena associated with the CME arrival, such as intense geomagnetic storms. Despite the incremental use of new instrumentation and the development of novel methodologies, ToA estimated errors remain above 10 hours on average. Here, we investigate the prediction of the ToA of CMEs using observations from heliospheric imagers, i.e., from heliocentric distances higher than those covered by the existent coronagraphs. In order to perform this work we analyse 14 CMEs observed by the heliospheric imagers HI-1 onboard the twin STEREO spacecraft to determine their front location and speed. The kinematic parameters are derived with a new technique based on the Elliptical Conversion (ElCon) method, which uses simultaneous observations from the two viewpoints from STEREO. Outside the field of view of the instruments, we assume that the dynamics of the CME evolution is controlled by aerodynamic drag, i.e., a force resulting from the interaction with particles from the background solar wind. To model the drag force we use a physical model that allows us to derive its parameters without the need to rely on drag coefficients derived empirically. We found a CME ToA mean error of $1.6\pm8.0$ hours ToA and a mean absolute error of $6.9\pm3.9$ hours for a set of 14 events. The results suggest that observations from HI-1 lead to estimates with similar errors to observations from coronagraphs., Comment: Accepted for publication in JGR - Space Physics (August 19, 2020)

The Daniel K. Inouye Solar Telescope (DKIST) will revolutionize our ability to measure, understand and model the basic physical processes that control the structure and dynamics of the Sun and its atmosphere. The first-light DKIST images, released publicly on 29 January 2020, only hint at the extraordinary capabilities which will accompany full commissioning of the five facility instruments. With this Critical Science Plan (CSP) we attempt to anticipate some of what those capabilities will enable, providing a snapshot of some of the scientific pursuits that the Daniel K. Inouye Solar Telescope hopes to engage as start-of-operations nears. The work builds on the combined contributions of the DKIST Science Working Group (SWG) and CSP Community members, who generously shared their experiences, plans, knowledge and dreams. Discussion is primarily focused on those issues to which DKIST will uniquely contribute.

We analyze the detection capability of Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) for all currently operating coronagraphs in space. We define as CMEs events that propagate beyond 10 solar radii with morphologies broadly consistent with a magnetic flux rope presence. We take advantage of multi-viewpoint observations over five month-long intervals, corresponding to special orbital configurations of the coronagraphs aboard the STEREO and SOHO missions. This allows us to sort out CMEs from other outward-propagating features (e.g. waves or outflows), and thus to identify the total number of unique CMEs ejected during those periods. We determine the CME visibility functions of the STEREO COR2-A/B and LASCO C2/C3 coronagraphs directly as the ratio of observed to unique CMEs. The visibility functions range from 0.71 to 0.92 for a 95% confidence interval. By comparing detections between coronagraphs on the same spacecraft and from multiple spacecraft, we assess the influence of field of view, instrument performance, and projection effects on the CME detection ability without resorting to proxies, such as flares or radio bursts. We find that no major CMEs are missed by any of the coronagraphs, that a few slow halo-like events may be missed in synoptic cadence movies and, that narrow field of view coronagraphs have difficulties discriminating between CMEs and other ejections leading to false detection rates. We conclude that CME detection can only be validated with multi-viewpoint imaging-- two coronagraphs in quadrature offer adequate detection capability. Finally, we apply the visibility functions to observed CME rates resulting in upward corrections of 40%., Comment: 21 pages, 2 figures, 6 tables Accepted for publication to Astrophysical Journal

The Wide-field Imager for Parker Solar Probe (WISPR) captures unprecedented white-light images of the solar corona and inner heliosphere. Thanks to the uniqueness of Parker Solar Probe's (PSP) orbit, WISPR is able to image ``locally'' coronal structures at high spatial and time resolutions. The observed plane of sky, however, rapidly changes because of the PSP's high orbital speed. Therefore, the interpretation of the dynamics of the coronal structures recorded by WISPR is not straightforward. A first study, undertaken by \citet{Liewer2019}, shows how different coronal features (e.g., streamers, flux ropes) appear in the field of view of WISPR by means of raytracing simulations. In particular, they analyze the effects of the spatial resolution changes on both the images and the associated height-time maps, and introduce the fundamentals for geometric triangulation. In this follow-up paper, we focus on the study of the total brightness of a simple, spherical, plasma density structure, to understand how the analysis of Thomson-scattered emission by the electrons in a coronal feature can shed light into the determination of its kinematic properties. We investigate two cases: {\it (a)} a density sphere at a constant distance from the Sun for different heliographic longitudes; {\it (b)} a density sphere moving outwardly with constant speed. The study allows us to characterize the effects of the varying heliocentric distance of the observer and scattering angle on the total brightness observed, which we exploit to contribute to a better determination of the position and speed of the coronal features observed by WISPR., Comment: 26 pages, 11 figures. Accepted for publication in Solar Physics

Theoretically, CME kinematics are related to magnetic reconnection processes in the solar corona. However, the current quantitative understanding of this relationship is based on the analysis of only a handful of events. Here we report a statistical study of 60 CME-flare events from August 2010 to December 2013. We investigate kinematic properties of CMEs and magnetic reconnection in the low corona during the early phase of the eruptions, by combining limb observations from STEREO with simultaneous on-disk views from SDO. For a subset of 42 events with reconnection rate evaluated by the magnetic fluxes swept by the flare ribbons on the solar disk observed from SDO, we find a strong correlation between the peak CME acceleration and the peak reconnection rate. Also, the maximum velocities of relatively fast CMEs (> 600 km/s) are positively correlated with the reconnection flux, but no such correlation is found for slow CMEs. A time-lagged correlation analysis suggests that the distribution of the time lag of CME acceleration relative to reconnection rate exhibits three peaks, approximately 10 minutes apart, and on average, acceleration-lead events have smaller reconnection rates. We further compare the CME total mechanical energy with the estimated energy in the current sheet. The comparison suggests that, for small-flare events, reconnection in the current sheet alone is insufficient to fuel CMEs. Results from this study suggest that flare reconnection may dominate the acceleration of fast CMEs, but for events of slow CMEs and weak reconnection, other mechanisms may be more important., Comment: 31 pages, 13 figures, 1 table. Accepted for publication by ApJ

During its first solar encounter, the Parker Solar Probe (PSP) acquired unprecedented up-close imaging of a small Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) propagating in the forming slow solar wind. The CME originated as a cavity imaged in extreme ultraviolet that moved very slowly ($<50$ km/s) to the 3-5 solar radii (R$_\odot$) where it then accelerated to supersonic speeds. We present a new model of an erupting Flux Rope (FR) that computes the forces acting on its expansion with a computation of its internal magnetic field in three dimensions. The latter is accomplished by solving the Grad-Shafranov equation inside two-dimensional cross sections of the FR. We use this model to interpret the kinematic evolution and morphology of the CME imaged by PSP. We investigate the relative role of toroidal forces, momentum coupling, and buoyancy for different assumptions on the initial properties of the CME. The best agreement between the dynamic evolution of the observed and simulated FR is obtained by modeling the two-phase eruption process as the result of two episodes of poloidal flux injection. Each episode, possibly induced by magnetic reconnection, boosted the toroidal forces accelerating the FR out of the corona. We also find that the drag induced by the accelerating solar wind could account for about half of the acceleration experienced by the FR. We use the model to interpret the presence of a small dark cavity, clearly imaged by PSP deep inside the CME, as a low-density region dominated by its strong axial magnetic fields., Comment: 19 pages, 10 figures, to appear in ApJS, 2 animations of Figure 2 available at https://nuage.irap.omp.eu/index.php/s/8ynNotNVWU6PrtN and https://nuage.irap.omp.eu/index.php/s/dflQ94DKuMbiaTv

The physical mechanisms that produce the slow solar wind are still highly debated. Parker Solar Probe's (PSP's) second solar encounter provided a new opportunity to relate in situ measurements of the nascent slow solar wind with white-light images of streamer flows. We exploit data taken by the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO), the Solar TErrestrial RElations Observatory (STEREO) and the Wide Imager on Solar Probe to reveal for the first time a close link between imaged streamer flows and the high-density plasma measured by the Solar Wind Electrons Alphas and Protons (SWEAP) experiment. We identify different types of slow winds measured by PSP that we relate to the spacecraft's magnetic connectivity (or not) to streamer flows. SWEAP measured high-density and highly variable plasma when PSP was well connected to streamers but more tenuous wind with much weaker density variations when it exited streamer flows. STEREO imaging of the release and propagation of small transients from the Sun to PSP reveals that the spacecraft was continually impacted by the southern edge of streamer transients. The impact of specific density structures is marked by a higher occurrence of magnetic field reversals measured by the FIELDS magnetometers. Magnetic reversals originating from the streamers are associated with larger density variations compared with reversals originating outside streamers. We tentatively interpret these findings in terms of magnetic reconnection between open magnetic fields and coronal loops with different properties, providing support for the formation of a subset of the slow wind by magnetic reconnection., Comment: 15 pages, 8 figures, to appear in the Parker Solar Probe ApJ Special Issue

The Wide-field Imager for Solar PRobe (WISPR) obtained the first high-resolution images of coronal rays at heights below 15 R$_\odot$ when the Parker Solar Probe (PSP) was located inside 0.25 au during the first encounter. We exploit these remarkable images to reveal the structure of coronal rays at scales that are not easily discernible in images taken from near 1 au. To analyze and interpret WISPR observations, which evolve rapidly both radially and longitudinally, we construct a latitude versus time map using the full WISPR dataset from the first encounter. From the exploitation of this map and also from sequential WISPR images, we show the presence of multiple substructures inside streamers and pseudostreamers. WISPR unveils the fine-scale structure of the densest part of streamer rays that we identify as the solar origin of the heliospheric plasma sheet typically measured in situ in the solar wind. We exploit 3D magnetohydrodynamic models, and we construct synthetic white-light images to study the origin of the coronal structures observed by WISPR. Overall, including the effect of the spacecraft relative motion toward the individual coronal structures, we can interpret several observed features by WISPR. Moreover, we relate some coronal rays to folds in the heliospheric current sheet that are unresolved from 1 au. Other rays appear to form as a result of the inherently inhomogeneous distribution of open magnetic flux tubes., Comment: for associated mpeg file see https://nuage.irap.omp.eu/index.php/s/x2tHzaBM9fyL1bt, 21 pages, 16 figures, published in ApJS: "Early Results from Parker Solar Probe: Ushering a New Frontier in Space Exploration"

Measuring the physical parameters of Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs), particularly their entrained magnetic field, is crucial for understanding their physics and for assessing their geo-effectiveness. At the moment, only remote sensing techniques can probe these quantities in the corona, the region where CMEs form and acquire their defining characteristics. Radio observations offer the most direct means for estimating the magnetic field when gyrosynchontron emission is detected. In this work we measure various CME plasma parameters, including its magnetic field, by modelling the gyrosynchrotron emission from a CME. The dense spectral coverage over a wide frequency range provided by the Murchison Widefield Array (MWA) affords a much better spectral sampling than possible before. The MWA images also provide much higher imaging dynamic range, enabling us to image these weak emissions. Hence we are able to detect radio emission from a CME at larger distances ($4.73 R_\odot$) than have been reported before. The flux densities reported here are amongst the lowest measured in similar works. Our ability to make extensive measurements on a slow and otherwise unremarkable CME suggest that with the availability of data from the new generation instruments like the MWA, it should now be possible to make routine direct detections of radio counterparts of CMEs.

We examine the different element abundances exhibited by the closed loop solar corona and the slow speed solar wind. Both are subject to the First Ionization Potential (FIP) Effect, the enhancement in coronal abundance of elements with FIP below 10 eV (e.g. Mg, Si, Fe) with respect to high FIP elements (e.g. O, Ne, Ar), but with subtle differences. Intermediate elements, S, P, and C, with FIP just above 10 eV, behave as high FIP elements in closed loops, but are fractionated more like low FIP elements in the solar wind. On the basis of FIP fractionation by the ponderomotive force in the chromosphere, we discuss fractionation scenarios where this difference might originate. Fractionation low in the chromosphere where hydrogen is neutral enhances the S, P and C abundances. This arises with nonresonant waves, which are ubiquitous in open field regions, and is also stronger with torsional Alfven waves, as opposed to shear (i.e. planar) waves. We discuss the bearing these findings have on models of interchange reconnection as the source of the slow speed solar wind. The outflowing solar wind must ultimately be a mixture of the plasma in the originally open and closed fields, and the proportions and degree of mixing should depend on details of the reconnection process. We also describe novel diagnostics in ultraviolet and extreme ultraviolet spectroscopy now available with these new insights, with the prospect of investigating slow speed solar wind origins and the contribution of interchange reconnection by remote sensing., Comment: 21 pages, accepted by ApJ

Remarkable progress has been made in understanding turbulent astrophysical plasmas in past decades including, notably, the solar wind and the interstellar medium. In the case of the solar wind, much of this progress has relied on in situ measurements from space-borne instruments. However, ground-based radio observations also have played a significant role and have the potential to play an even bigger role. In particular, using distant background sources (quasars, pulsars, satellite beacons) to transilluminate the foreground corona and solar wind, a variety of radio propagation phenomena can be used to map plasma properties of the solar corona and heliosphere, as well as the warm interstellar medium. These include angular broadening, interplanetary and interstellar scintillations, and differential Faraday rotation. These observations are highly complementary to in situ observations of the solar wind, and could be a mainstay of investigations into turbulence of the ISM. We point out that the Next Generation Very Large Array (ngVLA) fulfills all the requirements necessary to exploit radio observations of astrophysical turbulence fully., Comment: White paper submitted to the Astronomy and Astrophysics Decadal Survey

It is paramount from both scientific and societal perspectives to understand the generation of extreme space weather. We discuss the formation of solar superstorms based on a comparative study of the 2012 July 23 and 2017 July 23 eruptions. The first one is Carrington-class, and the second could rival the 1989 March event that caused the most intense geomagnetic storm of the space age. Observations of these events in the historically weak solar cycle 24 indicate that a solar superstorm can occur in any solar cycle and at any phase of the cycle. Recurrent patterns are identified in both cases, including the long-lived eruptive nature of the active region, a complex event composed of successive eruptions from the same active region, and in-transit interaction between the successive eruptions resulting in exceptionally strong ejecta magnetic fields at 1 AU. Each case also shows unique characteristics. Preconditioning of the upstream solar wind leading to unusually high solar wind speeds at 1 AU is observed in the first case whereas not in the latter. This may suggest that the concept of "preconditioning" appears to be necessary for making a Carrington-class storm. We find a considerable deflection by nearby coronal holes in the second case but not in the first. On the basis of these results, we propose a hypothesis for further investigation that superstorms are "perfect storms" in nature, i.e., a combination of circumstances that results in an event of unusual magnitude. Historical records of some extreme events seem to support our hypothesis., Comment: Accepted for publication in The Astrophysical Journal

We present a comprehensive analysis of a particular class of coronal mass ejection (CME) event, called streamer-blowout CME (SBOs). The events are characterized by a gradual swelling of the overlying streamer, lasting hours to days, followed by a slow, wide CME, generally exhibiting a 3-part structure, which leaves the streamer significantly depleted in its wake. We identify 909 SBO events in the LASCO/C2 observations between 1996 and 2015. The average blowout lasts for 40.5 hours but the evacuation can take days for some events. SBO-CMEs are wider and more massive than the average CME. Their properties generally vary during and between solar cycles. Their minimum (maximum) monthly occurrence rate of one (six) events in cycle 23 has doubled in cycle 24---a probable manifestation of the weaker global fields in the current cycle. The locations of SBOs follow the tilt of the global dipole (but not from 2014 onwards), do not correlate with sunspot numbers and exhibit flux rope morphology at a much higher rate (61%) than regular CMEs (40%). We propose that these characteristics are consistent with SBOs arising from extended polarity inversion lines outside active regions (e.g. quiet sun and polar crown filaments) through the release, via reconnection, of magnetic energy, likely accumulated via differential rotation., Comment: 21 pages. 9 figures, accepted for publication in The Astrophysical Journal

We explore new opportunities for solar physics that could be realized by future missions providing sustained observations from vantage points away from the Sun-Earth line. These include observations from the far side of the Sun, at high latitudes including over the solar poles, or from near-quadrature angles relative to the Earth (e.g., the Sun-Earth L4 and L5 Lagrangian points). Such observations fill known holes in our scientific understanding of the three-dimensional, time-evolving Sun and heliosphere, and have the potential to open new frontiers through discoveries enabled by novel viewpoints.

We present results from an observing campaign in support of the VAULT2.0 sounding rocket launch on September 30, 2014. VAULT2.0 is a Ly$\alpha$ (1216 \AA) spectroheliograph capable of providing spectroheliograms at high cadence. Ly$\alpha$ observations are highly complementary to the IRIS observations of the upper chromosphere and the low transition region (TR) but have previously been unavailable. The VAULT2.0 data provide new constraints on upper-chromospheric conditions for numerical models. The observing campaign was closely coordinated with the IRIS mission. Taking advantage of this simultaneous multi-wavelength coverage of target AR 12172 and by using state-of-the-art radiative-MHD simulations of spicules, we investigate in detail a type-II spicule associated with a fast (300 km s$^{-1}$) network jet recorded in the campaign observations. Our analysis suggests that spicular material exists suspended high in the atmosphere but in lower temperatures (seen in Ly$\alpha$) until it is heated and becomes visible in TR temperatures as a network jet. The heating begins lower in the spicule and propagates upwards as a rapidly propagating thermal front. The front is then observed as fast, plane-of-the-sky motion typical of a network jet, but contained inside the pre-existing spicule. This work supports that the high speeds reported in network jets should not be taken as real mass upflows but only as apparent speeds of a rapidly propagating heating front along the pre-existing spicule., Comment: 15 pages, 5 figures and one online movie. Accepted for publication in the Astrophysical Journal

We present a new method to extract the three-dimensional electron density profile and density compression ratio of shock fronts associated with Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) observed in white light coronagraph images. We demonstrate the method with two examples of fast halo CMEs ($\sim$ 2000 km s$^{-1}$) observed on 2011 March 7 and 2014 February 25. Our method uses the ellipsoid model to derive the three-dimensional (3D) geometry and kinematics of the fronts. The density profiles of the sheaths are modeled with double-Gaussian functions with four free parameters and the electrons are distributed within thin shells behind the front. The modeled densities are integrated along the lines of sight to be compared with the observed brightness in COR2-A, and a $\chi^2$ approach is used to obtain the optimal parameters for the Gaussian profiles. The upstream densities are obtained from both the inversion of the brightness in a pre-event image and an empirical model. Then the density ratio and Alfv\'{e}nic Mach number are derived. We find that the density compression peaks around the CME nose, and decreases at larger position angles. The behavior is consistent with a driven shock at the nose and a freely-propagating shock wave at the CME flanks. Interestingly, we find that the supercritical region extends over a large area of the shock and last longer (several tens of minutes) than past reports. It follows that CME shocks are capable of accelerating energetic particles in the corona over extended spatial and temporal scales and are likely responsible for the wide longitudinal distribution of these particles in the inner heliosphere. Our results also demonstrate the power of multi-viewpoint coronagraphic observations and forward modeling in remotely deriving key shock properties in an otherwise inaccessible regime., Comment: Accepted for publication in the Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate

We obtain scatter broadened images of the Crab Nebula at 80 MHz as it transits through the inner solar wind in June 2016 and 2017. These images are anisotropic, with the major axis oriented perpendicular to the radially outward coronal magnetic field. Using these data, we deduce that the density modulation index (\delta N_e/N_e) caused by turbulent density fluctuations in the solar wind ranges from 1.9 \times 10^{-3} to 7.7 \times 10^{-3} between 9-20 R_{\odot}. We also find that the heating rate of solar wind protons at these distances ranges from 2.2 \times 10^{-13} to 1.0 \times 10^{-11} ~erg~cm^{-3}~s^{-1}. On two occasions, the line of sight intercepted a coronal streamer. We find that the presence of the streamer approximately doubles the thickness of the scattering screen., Comment: to appear in The Astrophysical Journal

In this paper, we detail the scientific objectives and outline a strawman payload of the SOLAR sail Investigation of the Sun (SOLARIS). The science objectives are to study the 3D structure of the solar magnetic and velocity field, the variation of total solar irradiance with latitude, and the structure of the corona. We show how we can meet these science objective using solar-sail technologies currently under development. We provide a tentative mission profile considering several trade-off approaches. We also provide a tentative mass budget breakdown and a perspective for a programmatic implementation.

We present the analysis of an unusual failed eruption captured in high cadence and in many wavelengths during the observing campaign in support of the VAULT2.0 sounding rocket launch. The refurbished Very high Angular resolution Ultraviolet Telescope (VAULT2.0) is a Ly$\alpha$ ($\lambda$ 1216 {\AA}) spectroheliograph launched on September 30, 2014. The campaign targeted active region NOAA AR 12172 and was closely coordinated with the Hinode and IRIS missions and several ground-based observatories (NSO/IBIS, SOLIS, and BBSO). A filament eruption accompanied by a low level flaring event (at the GOES C-class level) occurred around the VAULT2.0 launch. No Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) was observed. The eruption and its source region, however, were recorded by the campaign instruments in many atmospheric heights ranging from the photosphere to the corona in high cadence and spatial resolution. This is a rare occasion which enables us to perform a comprehensive investigation on a failed eruption. We find that a rising Magnetic Flux Rope-like (MFR) structure was destroyed during its interaction with the ambient magnetic field creating downflows of cool plasma and diffuse hot coronal structures reminiscent of "cusps". We employ magnetofrictional simulations to show that the magnetic topology of the ambient field is responsible for the destruction of the MFR. Our unique observations suggest that the magnetic topology of the corona is a key ingredient for a successful eruption., Comment: 27 pages, 8 figures, 3 online movies; Accepted for publication in the Astrophysical Journal

We seek to quantify the relative contributions of Lorentz forces and aerodynamic drag on the propagation of solar coronal mass ejections (CMEs). We use Graduated Cylindrical Shell (GCS) model fits to a representative set of 38 CMEs observed with the SOHO and STEREO spacecraft. We find that the Lorentz forces generally peak between 1.65 and 2.45 Rsun for all CMEs. For fast CMEs, Lorentz forces become negligible in comparison to aerodynamic drag as early as 3.5--4 Rsun. For slow CMEs, however, they become negligible only by 12--50 Rsun. For these slow events, our results suggest that some of the magnetic flux might be expended in CME expansion or heating. In other words, not all of it contributes to directed propagation. Our results are expected to be important in building a physical model for understanding the Sun-Earth dynamics of CMEs., Comment: 21 pages, 7 figures, Accepted for publication in Topical Issue of Solar Physics- Earth-affecting solar transients