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KEYWORDS: Ocean; Arctic; Sea ice; Ocean dynamics; Small scale processes; Atmosphere-ocean interaction Inaugural Workshop and Early Career School of the Consortium for the Advancement of Marine Arctic Science (CAMAS) What: [...]

The original version of this Article contained errors in Fig. 6. In panel a, the grey highlights obscured the curves for CESM, CM2.6 and SOSE, and the labels indicating SWIR, KP, MR, PAR, and DP were inadvertently omitted. These have now been corrected in both the PDF and HTML versions of the Article.

Evidence for the assumptions of the salt-advection feedback in box models is sought by studying the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) internal variability in the long preindustrial control runs of two Earth system models. The first assumption is that AMOC strength is proportional to the meridional density difference between the North Atlantic and the Southern Oceans. The model simulations support this assumption, with the caveat that nearly all the long time-scale variability occurs in the North Atlantic density. The second assumption is that the freshwater transport variability by the overturning at the Atlantic southern boundary is controlled by the strength of AMOC. Only one of the models shows some evidence that AMOC variability at 45°N leads variability in the overturning freshwater transport at the southern boundary by about 30 years, but the other model shows no such coherence. In contrast, in both models this freshwater transport variability is dominated by local salinity variations. The third assumption is that changes in the overturning freshwater transport at the Atlantic southern boundary perturb the north-south density difference, and thus feed back on AMOC strength in the north. No evidence for this assumption is found in either model at any time scale, although this does not rule out that the salt-advection feedback may be excited by a strong enough freshwater perturbation.

Upwelling of global deep waters to the sea surface in the Southern Ocean closes the global overturning circulation and is fundamentally important for oceanic uptake of carbon and heat, nutrient resupply for sustaining oceanic biological production, and the melt rate of ice shelves. However, the exact pathways and role of topography in Southern Ocean upwelling remain largely unknown. Here we show detailed upwelling pathways in three dimensions, using hydrographic observations and particle tracking in high-resolution models. The analysis reveals that the northern-sourced deep waters enter the Antarctic Circumpolar Current via southward flow along the boundaries of the three ocean basins, before spiraling southeastward and upward through the Antarctic Circumpolar Current. Upwelling is greatly enhanced at five major topographic features, associated with vigorous mesoscale eddy activity. Deep water reaches the upper ocean predominantly south of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current, with a spatially nonuniform distribution. The timescale for half of the deep water to upwell from 30° S to the mixed layer is ~60-90 years.Deep waters of the Atlantic, Pacific and Indian Oceans upwell in the Southern Oceanbut the exact pathways are not fully characterized. Here the authors present a three dimensional view showing a spiralling southward path, with enhanced upwelling by eddy-transport at topographic hotspots.

Ocean stratification on Arctic shelves critically influences nutrient availability, essential for primary production. However, discerning the changes in stratification and their drivers is challenging. Through the use of a highresolution ocean-sea-ice model, this study investigates the variability in stratification within the northeastern Chukchi Sea over the period from 1987 to 2016. Our analysis, validated against available observations, reveals that summers with weak stratification are marked by a warmer water column that features a saltier upper layer and a fresher lower layer, thereby diminishing the vertical density gradient. In contrast, summers with strong stratification are characterized by a cooler column with a fresher upper layer and a saltier lower layer, resulting in an increased density gradient. This variability is primarily driven by the timing of sea-ice retreat and the consequent variations in meltwater flux, with early retreat leading to less meltwater and saltier surface conditions. This factor significantly outweighs the influence of changes in circulation and associated lateral freshwater transport driven by the Bering Strait inflow. We also find that the synchronization of sea-ice retreat and Bering Strait inflow intensity is linked to the timing and strength of the Aleutian Low's westward shift from the Gulf of Alaska to the Aleutian Basin in the early winter. These insights are crucial for understanding nutrient dynamics and primary production in the region. Furthermore, monitoring sea-ice retreat timing could serve as a useful proxy for predicting subsequent summer stratification changes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We investigate the role of ocean heat transport (OHT) in driving the decadal variability of the Arctic climate by analyzing the pre‐industrial control simulation of a high‐resolution climate model. While the OHT variability at 65°N is greater in the Atlantic, we find that the decadal variability of Arctic‐wide surface temperature and sea ice area is much better correlated with Bering Strait OHT than Atlantic OHT. In particular, decadal Bering Strait OHT variability causes significant changes in local sea ice cover and air‐sea heat fluxes, which are amplified by shortwave feedbacks. These heat flux anomalies are regionally balanced by longwave radiation at the top of the atmosphere, without compensation by atmospheric heat transport (Bjerknes compensation). The sensitivity of the Arctic to changes in OHT may thus rely on an accurate representation of the heat transport through the Bering Strait, which is difficult to resolve in coarse‐resolution ocean models. Plain Language Summary: We studied how ocean heat transport (OHT) affects decade‐timescale variability in the Arctic climate using a high‐resolution climate model. Specifically, we compared the impacts of heat entering the Arctic Ocean through the Nordic Seas from the Atlantic and through the Bering Strait from the Pacific. Though more heat is transported from the Atlantic, Arctic surface temperature and sea ice respond more strongly to changes in OHT through the Bering Strait. Unlike Atlantic OHT, changes in Bering Strait OHT impact local air temperatures directly, without compensating changes in atmospheric heat transport. Proper representation of the Arctic's sensitivity to future increased OHT may thus rely on correctly representing OHT through Bering Strait, which is challenging in coarse‐resolution ocean models. Key Points: Ocean heat transport variability through the Bering Strait has an outsized effect on Arctic sea ice cover and surface temperatureAtlantic ocean heat transport anomalies into the Arctic are compensated by atmospheric heat transport anomalies on decadal timescales [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A systematic study is presented of decadal climate variability in the North Pacific. In particular, the hypothesis is addressed that oceanic Rossby basin modes are responsible for enhanced energy at decadal and bidecadal time scales. To this end, a series of statistical analyses are performed on a 500-yr control integration of the Community Climate System Model, version 3 (CCSM3). In particular, a principal oscillation pattern (POP) analysis is performed to identify modal behavior in the subsurface pressure field. It is found that the dominant energy of sea surface temperature (SST) variability at 25 yr (the model equivalent of the Pacific decadal oscillation) cannot be explained by the resonant excitation of an oceanic basin mode. However, significant energy in the subsurface pressure field at time scales of 17 and 10 yr appears to be related to internal ocean oscillations. However, these oscillations lack the characteristics of the classical basin modes, and must either be deformed beyond recognition by the background circulation and inhomogeneous stratification or have another dynamical origin altogether. The 17-yr oscillation projects onto the Pacific decadal oscillation and, if present in the real ocean, has the potential to enhance the predictability of low-frequency climate variability in the North Pacific. © 2013 American Meteorological Society.

Bjerknes compensation (BJC) refers to the anticorrelation observed between atmospheric and oceanic heat transport (AHT/OHT) variability, particularly on decadal to longer time scales that may be important to the predictability of the climate system. This study investigates the spread in BJC across fully coupled simulations of phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) and critical processes (particularly related to sea ice and clouds) that may contribute to that spread. BJC on decadal to longer time scales is confirmed across all the simulations evaluated, and it is strongest in the Northern Hemisphere (NH) between 60° and 70°N. At these latitudes, BJC appears to be primarily driven by the exchange of turbulent fluxes (sensible and latent) in the Greenland, Iceland, and Barents Seas. Metrics to break down how sea ice and clouds uniquely modify the radiative balance of the polar atmosphere during anomalous OHT events are presented. These metrics quantify the impacts of sea ice and clouds on surface and top of atmosphere (latent, sensible, longwave, and shortwave radiative) energy fluxes. Cloud responses tend to counter the clear sky impacts over the Marginal Ice Zone (MIZ). It is further shown that the degree of BJC present in a simulation at high latitudes is heavily influenced by the sensitivity of the sea ice to OHT, which is most influential over the MIZ. These results are qualitatively robust across models and explain the intermodel spread in NH BJC in the preindustrial control experiment. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Recent progress in understanding Beaufort Gyre (BG) dynamics reveals an important role of ice‐ocean stress in stabilizing BG freshwater content (FWC) over seasonal to interannual timescales. But how the BG's stratification and FWC respond to surface forcing over decadal timescales has not been fully explored. Using a global ocean‐sea ice model, we partition the BG into upper, middle (halocline), and lower (thermocline) layers and perform a volume budget analysis over 1948–2017. We find that the BG's asymmetric geometry (with steep and tight isohalines over continental slopes relative to the deep basin) is key in determining the mean volume transport balance. We further find that a net Ekman suction during 1983–1995 causes the upper and middle layers to deflate isopycnally, while an enhanced Ekman pumping during 1996–2017 causes these layers to inflate both isopycnally and diapycnally, the latter via anomalous flux from the upper to the middle layer. Plain Language Summary: The Beaufort Gyre (BG) has increased its liquid freshwater content (FWC) by 40% in the past two decades. If released and transported downstream to the subpolar North Atlantic Ocean, the excess water might affect the ocean circulation via suppression of deep‐water formation. However, which layer is responsible for BG freshwater accumulations and releases over decadal timescales and the corresponding physical processes remain unclear, hampering our attempts to make future predictions. Here we use an ocean‐sea ice model to explore such changes in its three characteristic layers (upper mixed‐layer water, Pacific Water in the middle layer, and Atlantic Water in the lower layer). We find that the asymmetry of the BG, which has been simplified as a symmetric bowl shape in most previous studies, is important in determining the BG's layered mean state. Over decadal timescales, changes in BG volume are controlled by annual‐mean Ekman pumping/suction resulting from combined wind and ice‐ocean stresses. This study emphasizes the role of asymmetric geometry in determining the BG mean volume balance. It also explores the role of mean flow across the gyre's lateral boundaries in regulating BG's volume and FWC over decadal timescales. Key Points: The Beaufort Gyre's asymmetric geometry is the key to explain a net mean lateral outflow in the upper layer, despite Ekman convergenceIn the mean, the Gyre is fed by a northeast inflow into its middle layer, with outflow to its southwest from both upper and middle layersDeflation/inflation processes are asymmetric in response to anomalous Ekman suction/pumping on decadal timescales [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper we introduce a new software framework for the offline calculation of tracer transport in the ocean. The Fast Equilibration of Ocean Tracers Software (FEOTS) is an end-to-end set of tools to efficiently calculate tracer distributions on a global or regional sub-domain using transport operators diagnosed from a comprehensive ocean model. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first application of a Transport Matrix Model to an eddying ocean state. We demonstrate the capabilities of FEOTS 5 in an application focused on the Argentine Basin, where intense eddy activity and the Zapiola Anticyclone lead to strong mixing of water masses. The demonstration clearly shows the benefits of the approach, while at the same time highlighting the limitations of the Impulse Response Functions approach in capturing tracer transports by a non-linear advection scheme. Our future work will focus on improving the computational efficiency of the code to reduce time-to-solution, and on using different basis functions to better represent non-linear advection operators. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Analysis indicates that zonally averaged patterns of perturbations related to symmetry-breaking are similar for both two-dimensional and three-dimensional flows in ocean circulation modeling, although the balances governing steady-state flows are quantitatively dissimilar.