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Background: Rehospitalization is a quality-of-care indicator, yet little is known about its occurrence and predictors after myocardial infarction (MI) in the community.Objective: To examine 30-day rehospitalizations after incident MI.Design: Retrospective cohort study.Setting: Population-based registry in Olmsted County, Minnesota.Patients: 3010 patients who were hospitalized in Olmsted County with first-ever MI from 1987 to 2010 and survived to hospital discharge.Measurements: Diagnoses, therapies, and complications during incident and subsequent hospitalizations were identified. Manual chart review was performed to determine the cause of all rehospitalizations. The hazard ratios and cumulative incidence of 30-day rehospitalizations were determined by using Cox proportional hazards regression models.Results: Among 3010 patients (mean age, 67 years; 40.5% female) with incident MI (31.2% ST-segment elevation), 643 rehospitalizations occurred within 30 days in 561 (18.6%) patients. Overall, 30.2% of rehospitalizations were unrelated to the incident MI and 42.6% were related; the relationship was unclear in 27.2% of rehospitalizations. Angiography was performed in 153 (23.8%) rehospitalizations. Revascularization was performed in 103 (16.0%) rehospitalizations, of which 46 (44.7%) had no revascularization during the index hospitalization. After adjustment for potential confounders, diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, anemia, higher Killip class, longer length of stay during the index hospitalization, and a complication of angiography or reperfusion or revascularization were associated with increased rehospitalization risk. The 30-day incidence of rehospitalization was 35.3% in patients who experienced a complication of angiography during the index MI hospitalization and 31.6% in those who experienced a complication of reperfusion or revascularization during the index MI hospitalization, compared with 16.8% in patients who had reperfusion or revascularization without complications.Limitation: This study represents the experiences of a single community.Conclusion: Comorbid conditions, longer length of stay, and complications of angiography and revascularization or reperfusion are associated with increased 30-day rehospitalization risk after MI. Many rehospitalizations seem to be unrelated to the incident MI.Primary Funding Source: National Institutes of Health. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective: To assess participation bias in the assembly of a specimen repository for genetic studies and to examine the association of participation with outcome within the Olmsted County myocardial infarction (MI) cohort.Participants and Methods: From January 1, 1979, to May 31, 2006, 3081 persons had MI in Olmsted County, MN. Face-to-face contact was used to recruit patients who were hospitalized for an acute event. Persons who had had an MI before establishment of this repository were contacted by mail. At initial contact, we sought consent to use blood samples for genetic studies. Persons who refused were contacted by mail and were asked to consent to the use of stored tissue samples. For deceased subjects, stored tissue was collected when available.Results: Of the 3081 persons in the Olmsted County MI cohort, 1994 participated in the study; 1007 (50.5%) blood and 987 (49.5%) tissue specimens were provided. Participants were more likely to be younger men with hypertension, comorbidities, and non-ST-segment elevation MI (all, P<.05). Participants who provided blood specimens were more likely to have non-ST-segment elevation MI and lower Killip class than those who provided tissue. After adjustment for age, sex, hypertension, ST-segment elevation, Killip class, and comorbidities, participation was not associated with outcome. Participants who provided blood specimens were less likely to have heart failure (hazard ratio, 0.49; 95% confidence interval, 0.40-0.59; P<.01) or to die (hazard ratio, 0.16; 95% confidence interval, 0.12-0.21; P<.01) than those who provided tissue.Conclusion: A variety of sources can be used to assemble community specimen repositories. Baseline characteristics differed between participants and nonparticipants and, among participants, by specimen source. Participants who provided blood specimens had better outcomes than those who provided tissue specimens. No survival advantage was observed for participants after combining blood and tissue specimens. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract The human-animal bond has been a fundamental feature of mankind's history for millennia. The first, and strongest of these, man's relationship with the dog, is believed to pre-date even agriculture, going back as far as 30,000 years. It remains at least as powerful today. Fed by the changing nature of the interactions between people and their dogs worldwide and the increasing tendency towards close domesticity, the health of dogs has never played a more important role in family life. Thanks to developments in scientific understanding and diagnostic techniques, as well as changing priorities of pet owners, veterinarians are now able, and indeed expected, to play a fundamental role in the prevention and treatment of canine disease, including canine vector-borne diseases (CVBDs). The CVBDs represent a varied and complex group of diseases, including anaplasmosis, babesiosis, bartonellosis, borreliosis, dirofilariosis, ehrlichiosis, leishmaniosis, rickettsiosis and thelaziosis, with new syndromes being uncovered every year. Many of these diseases can cause serious, even life-threatening clinical conditions in dogs, with a number having zoonotic potential, affecting the human population. Today, CVBDs pose a growing global threat as they continue their spread far from their traditional geographical and temporal restraints as a result of changes in both climatic conditions and pet dog travel patterns, exposing new populations to previously unknown infectious agents and posing unprecedented challenges to veterinarians. In response to this growing threat, the CVBD World Forum, a multidisciplinary group of experts in CVBDs from around the world which meets on an annual basis, gathered in Nice (France) in 2011 to share the latest research on CVBDs and discuss the best approaches to managing these diseases around the world. As a result of these discussions, we, the members of the CVBD Forum have developed the following recommendations to veterinarians for the management of CVBDs.

Objectives: The purpose of this study was to determine the lifetime burden and risk factors for hospitalization after heart failure (HF) diagnosis in the community.Background: Hospitalizations in patients with HF represent a major public health problem; however, the cumulative burden of hospitalizations after HF diagnosis is unknown, and no consistent risk factors for hospitalization have been identified.Methods: We validated a random sample of all incident HF cases in Olmsted County, Minnesota, from 1987 to 2006 and evaluated all hospitalizations after HF diagnosis through 2007. International Classification of Diseases-9th Revision codes were used to determine the primary reason for hospitalization. To account for repeated events, Andersen-Gill models were used to determine the predictors of hospitalization after HF diagnosis. Patients were censored at death or last follow-up.Results: Among 1,077 HF patients (mean age 76.8 years, 582 [54.0%] female), 4,359 hospitalizations occurred over a mean follow-up of 4.7 years. Hospitalizations were common after HF diagnosis, with 895 (83.1%) patients hospitalized at least once, and 721 (66.9%), 577 (53.6%), and 459 (42.6%) hospitalized > or =2, > or =3, and > or =4 times, respectively. The reason for hospitalization was HF in 713 (16.5%) hospitalizations and other cardiovascular in 936 (21.6%), whereas over one-half (n = 2,679, 61.9%) were noncardiovascular. Male sex, diabetes mellitus, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, anemia, and creatinine clearance <30 ml/min were independent predictors of hospitalization (p < 0.05 for each).Conclusions: Multiple hospitalizations are common after HF diagnosis, though less than one-half are due to cardiovascular causes. Comorbid conditions are strongly associated with hospitalizations, and this information could be used to define effective interventions to prevent hospitalizations in HF patients. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

OBJECTIVE: To examine the use of tests that measure ejection fraction (EF) and the use of coronary angiography among patients with an initial diagnosis of heart failure (HF). PATIENTS AND METHODS: All potential cases of incident HF in Olmsted County, Minnesota, between 1979 and 1999 were identifled. In a random sample of cases validated with the Framingham criteria, we examined the frequency of tests that measure EF (echocardiography, radionuclide ventriculography, and left ventricular angiography) and coronary angiography within 90 days after diagnosis. RESULTS: A total of 655 patients with incident HF were included in the analysis. The use of tests that measure EF and coronary angiography increased early in the study period but stabilized thereafter. In the most recent years (1995-1999), EF was measured in 65% of the patients and coronary angiography performed in 12%. After adjustment for year of diagnosis, body mass index, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, smoking, hyperlipidemia, comorbidity, prior myocardial infarction, and prior angina, men were more likely than women to have EF measured (odds ratio [OR], 1.47; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-2.16) and coronary angiography (OR, 2.61; 95% CI, 1.43-4.76). Increasing age was associated with less use of tests (OR, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.76-0.91; for EF measurement; OR, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.63-0.82; for coronary angiography for every 5-year increase in age). CONCLUSION: Among patients with HF, tests that measure EF are used substantially less than recommended, and coronary angiograms are used infrequently. Use was particularly low in women and elderly patients. Given the potential benefits of such tests, including more appropriate therapy and more objective monitoring of ventricular function, outcomes in persons with HF may be improved with more consistent use. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective: To examine possible adverse effects of sulfonylureas on survival among patients with diabetes mellitus (DM) who experience a myocardial infarction (MI).Patients and Methods: Residents of Olmsted County, Minnesota, with an MI that met standardized criteria from January 1, 1985, through December 31, 2002, were followed up for mortality.Results: Among 2189 patients with MI (mean+/-SD age, 68+/-14 years; 1237 men [57%]), 409 (19%) had DM. The 23 patients treated with first-generation sulfonylureas, biguanides, or thiazolidinediones were excluded from analyses. Among the remaining 386 patients with DM, 120 (31%) were taking second-generation sulfonylureas, 180 (47%) were taking insulin, and 86 (22%) were receiving nonpharmacological treatment. Patients with DM treated with second-generation sulfonylureas were more likely to be men and have higher creatinine clearance than those treated with insulin. After adjusting for age, sex, Killip class, duration of DM, creatinine clearance, and reperfusion therapy or revascularization, patients treated with second-generation sulfonylureas had a lower risk of death than did diabetic patients receiving insulin (hazard ratio, 0.41; 95% confidence interval, 0.21-0.80; P=.009).Conclusion: These population-based data do not support the concern about an adverse effect of second-generation sulfonylureas on survival after MI and underscore the importance of population-based studies of surveillance of drug safety. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

OBJECTIVE: To compare the characteristics and survival of participants and nonparticipants in a community-based study of myocardial infarction (MI). PARTICIPANTS AND METHODS: Residents of Olmsted County, MN, who presented with elevated cardiac troponin T levels from September 1, 2002, through December 31, 2005, were prospectively enrolled and classified with standardized criteria for MI. With specific Institutional Review Board approval, the medical records of patients with MI who did not provide consent but who had given general research authorization were reviewed, as was done for their consenting peers. RESULTS: During the study period, 2277 individuals with elevated cardiac troponin T levels were approached, of whom 1863 (82 percent) consented to participate. Among the 414 nonparticipants, 375 (91 percent) had general research authorization. Of the 558 with general research authorization who met the criteria for incident (ie, first-ever) MI, 67 (12 percent) refused to participate. These participants tended to be older (mean plus or minus SD age, 71 plus or minus 14 vs 67 plus or minus 15 years; P equals .04), were more likely to be of races other than white (9 percent vs 2 percent; P equals .01), and had more comorbidities, including peripheral vascular disease (P equals .02), chronic pulmonary disease (P equals .06), heart failure (P equals .07), and impaired creatinine clearance (P equals .02). No significant differences were detected in cardiovascular risk factors or MI characteristics. During a median follow-up of 517 days, nonparticipants experienced increased mortality rates compared with participants (hazard ratio, 1.97; 95 percent confidence interval, 1.21 to 3.20), which was largely attributable to their older age and excess comorbidities (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.43; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.86 to 2.35). CONCLUSION: In this community-based study of MI, nonparticipants experienced worse survival rates than participants largely because of differences in demographic and clinical characteristics. These differences should be kept in mind when interpreting study results, particularly if participation is low. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

OBJECTIVES: To examine secular trends in the use of evidence-based therapies in a geographically defined cohort of patients with myocardial infarction (MI) and to test the hypotheses that baseline use is increasing and that disparities in use are diminishing, PATIENTS AND METHODS: All consecutively hospitalized patients who were dismissed from Olmsted County, Minnesota, hospitals between 1979 and 1998 with a diagnosis of MI were identified using standardized criteria (biomarkers, cardiac pain, and electrocardiography). The entire community medical record, available via the Rochester Epidemiology Project, was reviewed to ascertain baseline characteristics including comorbidity, presence of ST-segment elevation on electrocardiography, and treatment. Logistic regression models were used to examine the association of treatment with age and sex, independent of other baseline characteristics. RESULTS: Between 1979 and 1998, 2317 incident MIs (patient mean +/- SD age, 67+/-14 years; 43% women; 57% aged > or = 65 years) occurred in Olmsted County. The use of all evidence-based therapies increased over time, primarily reflecting the introduction of these medications at the time of Index MI. Between 1989 and 1998, age was not independently associated with use of aspirin or ACE inhibitors. Disparities in use persisted for reperfusion therapy and beta-blockers. Reperfusion therapy or revascularization was used less frequently in older persons, particularly in elderly women (P<.001). Use of beta-blockers decreased 16% among persons aged 65 years or older, independent of measurable differences in baseline characteristics and MI severity (hazard ratio, 0.84; 95% confidence interval, 0.74-0.93). CONCLUSIONS: The use of all evidence-based therapies for MI increased markedly over time; however, residual gaps in use were noted. Reperfusion therapy or revascularization is used less frequently in women and elderly persons, and beta-blockers are used less frequently in elderly persons. These differences are not explained by measurable differences in baseline characteristics. Women and elderly persons represent an increasing proportion of patients with MIs in the community; therefore, these findings define therapeutic opportunities. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective: Infectious mononucleosis (IM) or mono is typically caused by primary infection with Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) and may have a months-long, complicated course. We utilized population-based data to add to the limited literature on health care utilization following EBV infection., Methods: The Rochester Epidemiology Project includes medical records for ∼60% of residents living in 27 counties of Minnesota (MN) and Wisconsin (WI). Persons meeting a case definition of recent EBV infection from 1 January 1998 to 31 December 2021 were compared to three persons not meeting the definition, matched on case's sex, age, and index date. Emergency department (ED) visits and hospitalizations in the two groups were compared during 5-years' follow-up divided into three periods (short-term ≤3 months, mid-term >3 months-1 year, long-term >1-5 years). Adjusted hazard ratios (AHR) were estimated to account for the potential influence of confounding variables., Results: In total, 6,423 persons had a recent EBV infection and were matched to 19,269 comparators. The risk of an ED visit was significantly higher among cases in the short-term period (24.3% vs referents: 7.6%, p  <.001; AHR = 3.71, 95% CI = 3.41-4.03). Cases also had an increased risk of hospitalization in the short-term (5.2% vs 1.6%: referents, p  <.001; AHR = 3.53, 95% CI = 2.94-4.24). For ED visits but not hospitalization, the excess risk persisted into the mid-term follow-up period. Persons without a concurrent clinical diagnosis of IM continued to have an increased risk of hospitalizations up to 1 year after index date (AHR = 1.45, 95% CI = 1.09-1.91) and an increased risk of ED visits up to 5 years after the index date (AHR = 1.29, 95% CI = 1.14-1.46)., Conclusion: There is a substantial short- and mid-term increased risk of serious health care encounters associated with recent EBV infection. Mid- and long-term risks are increased in patients who do not have a concomitant diagnosis of IM.

YcjN is a putative substrate binding protein expressed from a cluster of genes involved in carbohydrate import and metabolism in Escherichia coli. Here, we determine the crystal structure of YcjN to a resolution of 1.95 Å, revealing that its three-dimensional structure is similar to substrate binding proteins in subcluster D-I, which includes the well-characterized maltose binding protein. Furthermore, we found that recombinant overexpression of YcjN results in the formation of a lipidated form of YcjN that is posttranslationally diacylated at cysteine 21. Comparisons of size-exclusion chromatography profiles and dynamic light scattering measurements of lipidated and nonlipidated YcjN proteins suggest that lipidated YcjN aggregates in solution via its lipid moiety. Additionally, bioinformatic analysis indicates that YcjN-like proteins may exist in both Bacteria and Archaea, potentially in both lipidated and nonlipidated forms. Together, our results provide a better understanding of the aggregation properties of recombinantly expressed bacterial lipoproteins in solution and establish a foundation for future studies that aim to elucidate the role of these proteins in bacterial physiology., Competing Interests: Conflict of interest The authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest with the contents of this article., (Copyright © 2024 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Multimorbidity and functional limitation are associated with poor outcomes in heart failure (HF). However, the individual and combined effect of these on health-related quality of life in patients with HF is not well understood., Methods: Patients aged ≥30 years with two or more HF diagnostic codes and one or more HF-related prescription drugs from four U.S. institutions were mailed a survey to measure patient-centric factors including functional status (activities of daily living [ADLs]) and health-related quality of life (PROMIS-29 Health Profile). Patients with HF from January 1, 2013 to February 1, 2018 were included. Multimorbidity was defined as ≥2 non-cardiovascular comorbidities; functional limitation as any limitation in at least one of eight ADLs. Patients were categorized into four groups by multimorbidity (Yes/No) and functional limitation (Yes/No). We dichotomized the PROMIS-29 sub-scale scores at the median and calculated odd ratios for the four multimorbidity/functional limitation groups., Results: A total of 3330 patients with HF returned the survey (response rate 31%); 3020 completed the questions of interest and were retained. Among these patients (45% female; mean age 73 [standard deviation: 12] years), 29% had neither multimorbidity nor functional limitation, 24% had multimorbidity only, 22% had functional limitation only, and 25% had both. After adjustment, having functional limitation only was associated with higher anxiety (odds ratio [OR]: 3.44, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.66-4.45), depression (OR: 3.11, 95% CI: 2.39-4.06), and fatigue (OR: 4.19, 95% CI: 3.25-5.40); worse sleep (OR: 2.14, 95% CI: 1.69-2.72) and pain (OR: 6.73, 95% CI: 5.15-8.78); and greater difficulty with social activities (OR: 9.40, 95% CI: 7.19-12.28) compared with having neither. Results were similar for having both multimorbidity and functional limitation., Conclusion: Patients with only functional limitation have similar poor health-related quality of life scores as those with both multimorbidity and functional limitation, underscoring the important role that physical functioning plays in the well-being of patients with HF., (© 2024 The American Geriatrics Society.)

National or statewide estimates of excess deaths have limited value to understanding the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic regionally. We assessed excess deaths in a 9-county geographically defined population that had low rates of COVID-19 and widescale availability of testing early in the pandemic, well-annotated clinical data, and coverage by 2 medical examiner's offices. We compared mortality rates (MRs) per 100,000 person-years in 2020 and 2021 with those in the 2019 reference period and MR ratios (MRRs). In 2020 and 2021, 177 and 219 deaths, respectively, were attributed to COVID-19 (MR = 52 and 66 per 100,000 person-years, respectively). COVID-19 MRs were highest in males, older persons, those living in rural areas, and those with 7 or more chronic conditions. Compared with 2019, we observed a 10% excess death rate in 2020 (MRR = 1.10 [95% CI, 1.04 to 1.15]), with excess deaths in females, older adults, and those with 7 or more chronic conditions. In contrast, we did not observe excess deaths overall in 2021 compared with 2019 (MRR = 1.04 [95% CI, 0.99 to 1.10]). However, those aged 18 to 39 years (MRR = 1.36 [95% CI, 1.03 to 1.80) and those with 0 or 1 chronic condition (MRR = 1.28 [95% CI, 1.05 to 1.56]) or 7 or more chronic conditions (MRR = 1.09 [95% CI, 1.03 to 1.15]) had increased mortality compared with 2019. This work highlights the value of leveraging regional populations that experienced a similar pandemic wave timeline, mitigation strategies, testing availability, and data quality., (Copyright © 2023 Mayo Foundation for Medical Education and Research. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

A robust and heterogenous secretory phenotype is a core feature of most senescent cells. In addition to mediators of age-related pathology, components of the senescence associated secretory phenotype (SASP) have been studied as biomarkers of senescent cell burden and, in turn, biological age. Therefore, we hypothesized that circulating concentrations of candidate senescence biomarkers, including chemokines, cytokines, matrix remodeling proteins, and growth factors, could predict mortality in older adults. We assessed associations between plasma levels of 28 SASP proteins and risk of mortality over a median follow-up of 6.3 years in 1923 patients 65 years of age or older with zero or one chronic condition at baseline. Overall, the five senescence biomarkers most strongly associated with an increased risk of death were GDF15, RAGE, VEGFA, PARC, and MMP2, after adjusting for age, sex, race, and the presence of one chronic condition. The combination of biomarkers and clinical and demographic covariates exhibited a significantly higher c-statistic for risk of death (0.79, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.76-0.82) than the covariates alone (0.70, CI: 0.67-0.74) (p < 0.001). Collectively, these findings lend further support to biomarkers of cellular senescence as informative predictors of clinically important health outcomes in older adults, including death., (© 2023 Mayo Clinic. Aging Cell published by Anatomical Society and John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Background Heart failure (HF) is a complex disease that contributes to a high number of hospitalizations, deaths, and economic health care costs each year. However, among patients with HF, there is a lack of awareness of their HF diagnosis that has not been fully examined. Methods and Results Residents from 3 counties of southeast Minnesota with a first-ever International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision ( ICD-9 ) code 428 or Tenth Revision ( ICD-10 ) code I50 between January 1, 2013 and March 31, 2016 (N=2461) were prospectively surveyed to measure HF self-awareness. A total of 1114 patients returned the survey (response rate, 45%), and 787 had validated HF upon medical record review. Among these 787 patients with HF (mean age, 76 years; 53% men), 37% (n=293) were aware of their HF diagnosis. After adjustment, being a woman (odds ratio [OR], 1.56 [95% CI, 1.10-2.22]), having HF with reduced ejection fraction (OR, 1.58 [95% CI, 1.13-2.22]), attending the HF clinic (OR, 4.07 [95% CI, 2.25-7.36]), and having coronary artery disease (OR, 1.65 [95% CI, 1.16-2.37]) were all associated with increased awareness of an HF diagnosis. Conversely, having diabetes was associated with decreased awareness of an HF diagnosis (adjusted OR, 0.69 [95% CI, 0.50-0.95]). Conclusions Awareness of an HF diagnosis is low in a community population of patients with HF. Strategies to improve patient awareness of their diagnosis should be implemented to improve self-care behaviors and outcomes in patients with HF.

Background Among patients with heart failure (HF), social risk factors (SRFs) are associated with poor outcomes. However, less is known about how co-occurrence of SRFs affect all-cause health care utilization for patients with HF. The objective was to address this gap using a novel approach to classify co-occurrence of SRFs. Methods and Results This was a cohort study of residents living in an 11-county region of southeast Minnesota, aged ≥18 years with a first-ever diagnosis for HF between January 2013 and June 2017. SRFs, including education, health literacy, social isolation, and race and ethnicity, were obtained via surveys. Area-deprivation index and rural-urban commuting area codes were determined from patient addresses. Associations between SRFs and outcomes (emergency department visits and hospitalizations) were assessed using Andersen-Gill models. Latent class analysis was used to identify subgroups of SRFs; associations with outcomes were examined. A total of 3142 patients with HF (mean age, 73.4 years; 45% women) had SRF data available. The SRFs with the strongest association with hospitalizations were education, social isolation, and area-deprivation index. We identified 4 groups using latent class analysis, with group 3, characterized by more SRFs, at increased risk of emergency department visits (hazard ratio [HR], 1.33 [95% CI, 1.23-1.45]) and hospitalizations (HR, 1.42 [95% CI, 1.28-1.58]). Conclusions Low educational attainment, high social isolation, and high area-deprivation index had the strongest associations. We identified meaningful subgroups with respect to SRFs, and these subgroups were associated with outcomes. These findings suggest that it is possible to apply latent class analysis to better understand the co-occurrence of SRFs among patients with HF.

Objective: To compare the 1-year health care utilization and mortality in persons living with heart failure (HF) before and during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic., Patients and Methods: Residents of a 9-county area in southeastern Minnesota aged 18 years or older with a HF diagnosis on January 1, 2019; January 1, 2020; and January 1, 2021, were identified and followed up for 1-year for vital status, emergency department (ED) visits, and hospitalizations., Results: We identified 5631 patients with HF (mean age, 76 years; 53% men) on January 1, 2019, 5996 patients (mean age, 76 years; 52% men) on January 1, 2020, and 6162 patients (mean age, 75 years; 54% men) on January 1, 2021. After adjustment for comorbidities and risk factors, patients with HF in 2020 and patients with HF in 2021 experienced similar risks of mortality compared with those in 2019. After adjustment, patients with HF in 2020 and 2021 were less likely to experience all-cause hospitalizations (2020: rate ratio [RR], 0.88; 95% CI, 0.81-0.95; 2021: RR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.83-0.97) compared with patients in 2019. Patients with HF in 2020 were also less likely to experience ED visits (RR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.80-0.92)., Conclusion: In this large population-based study in southeastern Minnesota, we observed an approximately 10% decrease in hospitalizations among patients with HF in 2020 and 2021 and a 15% decrease in ED visits in 2020 compared with those in 2019. Despite the change in health care utilization, we found no difference in the 1-year mortality between patients with HF in 2020 and those in 2021 compared with those in 2019. It is unknown whether any longer-term consequences will be observed., Competing Interests: Given his role as an Editorial Board Member, Dr Paul Takahashi, was not involved in the peer-review of this article and had no access to information regarding its peer-review. All other authors report no potential competing interests., (© 2023 The Authors.)

Objective: Ceramides have been associated with several ageing-related conditions but have not been studied as a general biomarker of multimorbidity (MM). Therefore, we determined whether ceramide levels are associated with the rapid development of MM., Design: Retrospective cohort study., Setting: Mayo Clinic Biobank., Participants: 1809 persons in the Mayo Clinic Biobank ≥65 years without MM at the time of enrolment, and with ceramide levels assayed from stored plasma., Primary Outcome Measure: Persons were followed for a median of 5.7 years through their medical records to identify new diagnoses of 20 chronic conditions. The number of new conditions was divided by the person-years of follow-up to calculate the rate of accumulation of new chronic conditions., Results: Higher levels of C18:0 and C20:0 were associated with a more rapid rate of accumulation of chronic conditions (C18:0 z score RR: 1.30, 95% CI: 1.10 to 1.53; C20:0 z score RR: 1.26, 95% CI: 1.07 to 1.49). Higher C18:0 and C20:0 levels were also associated with an increased risk of hypertension and coronary artery disease., Conclusions: C18:0 and C20:0 were associated with an increased risk of cardiometabolic conditions. When combined with biomarkers specific to other diseases of ageing, these ceramides may be a useful component of a biomarker panel for predicting accelerated ageing., Competing Interests: Competing interests: None declared., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2023. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)

Background: The Framingham Heart Study Dementia Risk Score (FDRS) was developed in a general population of older persons. It is unknown how the FDRS variables predict Alzheimer's disease and Alzheimer's disease-related dementias (AD/ADRD) in heart failure and atrial fibrillation populations. We aimed to evaluate the predictive ability of the FDRS variables in population-based cohorts of heart failure and atrial fibrillation and to determine whether the addition of other comorbidities and risk factors improves risk prediction for AD/ADRD., Methods: Residents aged ≥50 years from 7 southeastern Minnesota counties with a first diagnosis of heart failure or atrial fibrillation between January 1, 2013, and December 31, 2017, were identified. Patients with AD/ADRD before or within 6 months after index atrial fibrillation or heart failure and patients who died within 6 months after index were excluded. For both cohorts, models were constructed to predict AD/ADRD after index including the variables in the FDRS. Additional comorbidities and risk factors were added to the models. For all models, c-statistics using 5-fold cross-validation were calculated., Results: Among 3052 patients with heart failure (mean age 75 years, 53% male), 626 developed AD/ADRD; among 4107 patients with atrial fibrillation (mean age 74 years, 57% male), 736 developed AD/ADRD. Among patients with heart failure, the FDRS variables predicted AD/ADRD with c-statistic = 0.69. Adding comorbidities and risk factors improved the c-statistic slightly to 0.70. The FDRS variables also performed well (c-statistic = 0.73) in patients with atrial fibrillation; adding comorbidities and risk factors slightly improved performance (c-statistic = 0.75)., Conclusions: The variables from the FDRS predict AD/ADRD well in both heart failure and atrial fibrillation populations. The addition of comorbidities and risk factors only modestly improved prediction, indicating that the FDRS variables are appropriate to predict AD/ADRD in patients with heart failure and atrial fibrillation., (Copyright © 2022 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Heart failure (HF) with an ejection fraction (EF) of 41%-49% is recognized as HF with a mildly reduced EF (HFmrEF). However, existing knowledge of the HFmrEF phenotype is based on HF clinical trial and registry cohorts that may be limited by multiple forms of bias., Methods and Results: In a community-based, retrospective cohort study, adult residents of Olmsted County, Minnesota, with validated (Framingham criteria) incident HF from 2007 to 2015 were categorized by echocardiographic EF at first HF diagnosis. Among 2035 adults with incident HF, 12.5% had HFmrEF, 29.9% had HF with reduced EF (HFrEF), and 57.6% had HF with preserved EF (HFpEF). Mean age and sex varied by EF group, with HFmrEF (75.6 years, 45.3% female), HFrEF (70.9 years, 36.5% female), and HFpEF (76.9 years, 59.7% female). Most comorbid conditions were more common in HFmrEF vs HFrEF, but similar in HFmrEF and HFpEF. After a mean follow-up of 4.6 ± 3.5 years, adjusting for age, sex, and comorbidities, the risks of hospitalization and cardiovascular mortality did not differ by EF category. Of patients who began as HFmrEF, 26.9% declined to an EF of 40% or less and 44.8% improved to an EF of 50% or greater., Conclusions: In this community cohort of incident HF, 12.5% have HFmrEF. Clinical characteristics in HFmrEF resemble HFpEF more than HFrEF. Adjusted hospitalization and mortality risks did not vary by EF group. Patients with incident HFmrEF usually transitioned to a different EF category on follow-up., (Copyright © 2022 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Postoperative atrial fibrillation (AF) after noncardiac surgery confers increased risks for ischemic stroke and transient ischemic attack (TIA). How outcomes for postoperative AF after noncardiac surgery compare with those for AF occurring outside of the operative setting is unknown., Objective: To compare the risks for ischemic stroke or TIA and other outcomes in patients with postoperative AF versus those with incident AF not associated with surgery., Design: Cohort study., Setting: Olmsted County, Minnesota., Participants: Patients with incident AF between 2000 and 2013., Measurements: Patients were categorized as having AF occurring within 30 days of a noncardiac surgery (postoperative AF) or having AF unrelated to surgery (nonoperative AF)., Results: Of 4231 patients with incident AF, 550 (13%) had postoperative AF as their first-ever documented AF presentation. Over a mean follow-up of 6.3 years, 486 patients had an ischemic stroke or TIA and 2462 had subsequent AF; a total of 2565 deaths occurred. The risk for stroke or TIA was similar between those with postoperative AF and nonoperative AF (absolute risk difference [ARD] at 5 years, 0.1% [95% CI, -2.9% to 3.1%]; hazard ratio [HR], 1.01 [CI, 0.77 to 1.32]). A lower risk for subsequent AF was seen for patients with postoperative AF (ARD at 5 years, -13.4% [CI, -17.8% to -9.0%]; HR, 0.68 [CI, 0.60 to 0.77]). Finally, no difference was seen for cardiovascular death or all-cause death between patients with postoperative AF and nonoperative AF., Limitation: The population consisted predominantly of White patients; caution should be used when extrapolating the results to more racially diverse populations., Conclusion: Postoperative AF after noncardiac surgery is associated with similar risk for thromboembolism compared with nonoperative AF. Our findings have potentially important implications for the early postsurgical and subsequent management of postoperative AF., Primary Funding Source: National Institute on Aging.

Background: Cognitive function is essential to effective self-management of heart failure (HF). Alzheimer's disease and Alzheimer's disease-related dementias (AD/ADRD) can coexist with HF, but its exact prevalence and impact on health care utilization and death are not well defined., Methods: Residents from 7 southeast Minnesota counties with a first-ever diagnosis code for HF between January 1, 2013 and December 31, 2018 were identified. Clinically diagnosed AD/ADRD was ascertained using the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid (CMS) Chronic Conditions Data Warehouse algorithm. Patients were followed through March 31, 2020. Cox and Andersen-Gill models were used to examine associations between AD/ADRD (before and after HF) and death and hospitalizations, respectively., Results: Among 6336 patients with HF (mean age [SD] 75 years [14], 48% female), 644 (10%) carried a diagnosis of AD/ADRD at index HF diagnosis. The 3-year cumulative incidence of AD/ADRD after HF diagnosis was 17%. During follow-up (mean [SD] 3.2 [1.9] years), 2618 deaths and 15,475 hospitalizations occurred. After adjustment, patients with AD/ADRD before HF had nearly a 2.7 times increased risk of death, but no increased risk of hospitalization compared to those without AD/ADRD. When AD/ADRD was diagnosed after the index HF date, patients experienced a 3.7 times increased risk of death and a 73% increased risk of hospitalization compared to those who remain free of AD/ADRD., Conclusions: In a large, community cohort of patients with incident HF, the burden of AD/ADRD is quite high as more than one-fourth of patients with HF received a diagnosis of AD/ADRD either before or after HF diagnosis. AD/ADRD markedly increases the risk of adverse outcomes in HF underscoring the need for future studies focused on holistic approaches to improve outcomes., (© 2022 The American Geriatrics Society.)

Background: Some patients with heart failure (HF) will go on to develop advanced HF, characterized by severe HF symptoms despite attempts to optimize medical therapy. The goals of this study were to examine the risk of developing advanced HF in patients with newly diagnosed HF, identify risk factors for developing advanced HF, and evaluate the impact of advanced HF on outcomes., Methods: This was a population-based, retrospective cohort study of Olmsted County, Minnesota, residents with a new clinical diagnosis of HF between 2007 and 2017. Risk factors for the development of advanced HF (2018 European Society of Cardiology criteria) were examined using cause-specific Cox proportional hazard regression models. The associations of development of advanced HF with risks of hospitalization and mortality were examined using the Andersen-Gill and Cox models, respectively., Results: There were 4597 residents with incident HF from 2007 to 2017. The cumulative incidence of advanced HF was 11.5% (95% CI, 10.5%-12.5%) at 6 years after incident HF diagnosis overall and was 14.4% (95% CI, 12.3%-16.9%), 11.4% (95% CI, 8.9%-14.6%), and 11.7% (95% CI, 10.3%-13.2%) in patients with incident HF with reduced, mildly reduced, and preserved ejection fraction, respectively. Key demographics, comorbidities, and echocardiographic characteristics were independently associated with the development of advanced HF. Development of advanced HF was associated with increased risks of all-cause hospitalization (adjusted hazard ratio, 3.0 [95% CI, 2.7-3.4]; P <0.001), HF hospitalization (hazard ratio, 10.2 [95% CI, 8.7-12.1]), all-cause mortality (hazard ratio, 5.0 [95% CI, 4.5-5.6]; P <0.001), and cardiovascular mortality (hazard ratio, 7.8 [95% CI, 6.7-9.1])., Conclusions: In this population-based study, development of advanced HF was common and was associated with markedly increased morbidity and mortality.

Background Electronic medical records are increasingly used to identify disease cohorts; however, computable phenotypes using electronic medical record data are often unable to distinguish between prevalent and incident cases. Methods and Results We identified all Olmsted County, Minnesota residents aged ≥18 with a first-ever International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision (ICD-9) diagnostic code for atrial fibrillation or atrial flutter from 2000 to 2014 (N=6177), and a random sample with an International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision (ICD-10) code from 2016 to 2018 (N=200). Trained nurse abstractors reviewed all medical records to validate the events and ascertain the date of onset (incidence date). Various algorithms based on number and types of codes (inpatient/outpatient), medications, and procedures were evaluated. Positive predictive value (PPV) and sensitivity of the algorithms were calculated. The lowest PPV was observed for 1 code (64.4%), and the highest PPV was observed for 2 codes (any type) >7 days apart but within 1 year (71.6%). Requiring either 1 inpatient or 2 outpatient codes separated by >7 days but within 1 year had the best balance between PPV (69.9%) and sensitivity (95.5%). PPVs were slightly higher using ICD-10 codes. Requiring an anticoagulant or antiarrhythmic prescription or electrical cardioversion in addition to diagnostic code(s) modestly improved the PPVs at the expense of large reductions in sensitivity. Conclusions We developed simple, exportable, computable phenotypes for atrial fibrillation using structured electronic medical record data. However, use of diagnostic codes to identify incident atrial fibrillation is prone to some misclassification. Further study is warranted to determine whether more complex phenotypes, including unstructured data sources or using machine learning techniques, may improve the accuracy of identifying incident atrial fibrillation.

Objective: To study associations between the Minnesota coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) mitigation strategies on incidence rates of acute myocardial infarction (MI) or revascularization among residents of Southeast Minnesota., Methods: Using the Rochester Epidemiology Project, all adult residents of a nine-county region of Southeast Minnesota who had an incident MI or revascularization between January 1, 2015, and December 31, 2020, were identified. Events were defined as primary in-patient diagnosis of MI or undergoing revascularization. We estimated age- and sex-standardized incidence rates and incidence rate ratios (IRRs) stratified by key factors, comparing 2020 to 2015-2019. We also calculated IRRs by periods corresponding to Minnesota's COVID-19 mitigation timeline: "Pre-lockdown" (January 1-March 11, 2020), "First lockdown" (March 12-May 31, 2020), "Between lockdowns" (June 1-November 20, 2020), and "Second lockdown" (November 21-December 31, 2020)., Results: The incidence rate in 2020 was 32% lower than in 2015-2019 (24 vs 36 events/100,000 person-months; IRR, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.62-0.74). Incidence rates were lower in 2020 versus 2015-2019 during the first lockdown (IRR, 0.54; 95% CI, 0.44-0.66), in between lockdowns (IRR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.61-0.79), and during the second lockdown (IRR, 0.54; 95% CI, 0.41-0.72). April had the lowest IRR (IRR 0.48; 95% CI, 0.34-0.68), followed by August (IRR, 0.55; 95% CI, 0.40-0.76) and December (IRR, 0.56; 95% CI, 0.41-0.77). Similar declines were observed across sex and all age groups, and in both urban and rural residents., Conclusion: Mitigation measures for COVID-19 were associated with a reduction in hospitalizations for acute MI and revascularization in Southeast Minnesota. The reduction was most pronounced during the lockdown periods but persisted between lockdowns., (© 2021 The Authors.)

Objectives: The goal of this study was to evaluate the prevalence, characteristics, and outcomes of patients with advanced heart failure (HF) in a geographically defined population., Background: Some patients with HF progress to advanced HF, characterized by debilitating HF symptoms refractory to therapy. Limited data are available on the epidemiology and outcomes of patients with advanced HF., Methods: This was a population-based cohort study of all Olmsted County, Minnesota, adults with and without HF from 2007 to 2017. The 2018 European Society of Cardiology advanced HF diagnostic criteria were operationalized and applied to all patients with HF. Hospitalization and mortality in advanced HF, overall and according to ejection fraction (EF) type (reduced EF <40% [HFrEF], mid-range EF 40%-49% [HFmrEF], and preserved EF ≥50% [HFpEF]) were examined using Andersen-Gill and Cox models., Results: Of 6,836 adults with HF, 936 (13.7%) met criteria for advanced HF. The prevalence of advanced HF increased with age and was higher in men. At advanced HF diagnosis, 396 (42.3%) patients had HFrEF, 134 (14.3%) had HFmrEF, and 406 (43.4%) had HFpEF. The median (interquartile range) time from advanced HF diagnosis to death was 12.2 months (3.7-29.9 months). The mean rate of hospitalization was 2.91 (95% CI: 2.78-3.06) per person-year in the first year after advanced HF diagnosis. There were no differences in risks of all-cause mortality or hospitalization by EF. Patients with advanced HFpEF were at lower risk for cardiovascular mortality compared with advanced HFrEF (HR: 0.79; 95% CI: 0.65-0.97)., Conclusions: In this population-based study, more than one-half of patients with advanced HF had mid-range or preserved EF, and survival was poor regardless of EF., Competing Interests: Funding Support and Author Disclosures This study was funded by the National Institutes of Health (R01 HL144529; Principal Investigator: Dr Dunlay) and made possible by using the resources of the Rochester Epidemiology Project, which is supported by the National Institute on Aging of the National Institutes of Health (R01 AG034676). The authors have reported that they have no relationships relevant to the contents of this paper to disclose., (Copyright © 2021 American College of Cardiology Foundation. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: The rate of decline in cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality has lessened nationally. How these findings apply to specific states or causes of CVD deaths is not known. Examining these trends at the state level is important to plan local interventions., Methods: We analyzed CVD mortality trends in Minnesota (MN) using the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Wide-ranging ONline Data for Epidemiologic Research (WONDER). Trends were analyzed by age, sex, type of CVD and location of death., Results: CVD mortality rates in MN declined in 2000-2009 and then leveled off in 2010-2018, paralleling national rates. Age- and sex-adjusted CVD mortality decreased by 3.7% per year in 2000-2009 (average annual percent changes [AAPC]: -3.7; 95% CI: - 4.8, - 2.6) with no change observed in 2010-2018. Those aged 65-84 years had the most rapid early decline in CVD mortality (AAPC: -5.9, 95% CI: - 6.2, - 5.7) and had less improvement in 2010-2018 (AAPC: -1.8, 95% CI: - 2.2, - 1.5), and the younger age group (25-64 years) now experiences the most adverse trends (AAPC: 1.2, 95% CI: 0.7-1.8). Coronary heart disease (CHD) and cerebrovascular disease had the largest relative decreases in mortality in 2000-2009 (CHD AAPC: -5.2; 95% CI: - 6.5,-3.9; cerebrovascular disease AAPC: -4.4, 95% CI: - 5.2, - 3.6) with no change 2010-2018. Heart failure (HF)/cardiomyopathy followed similar trends with a 2.5% decrease (AAPC 95% CI: - 3.5, - 1.5) per year in 2000-2009 and no change in 2010-2018. Deaths from other CVD also decreased in the early time period (AAPC: -1.6, 95% CI: - 2.7, - 0.5) but increased in 2010-2018 (AAPC: 1.9, 95% CI: 0.5, 3.3). In- and out-of-hospital death rates improved in 2000-2009 with a slowing in improvement for in-hospital death and no further improvement for out-of-hospital death in 2010-2018., Conclusion: Concerning CVD mortality trends occurred in MN. In the most recent decade (2010-2018) mortality from all CVD subtypes plateaued or even increased. CVD mortality among the younger age groups increased as well. These data are congruent with adverse national trends supporting their generalizability. These adverse trends underscore the urgent need for CVD prevention and treatment, as well as continued surveillance to assess progress at the state and national level.

Objective: To evaluate the trends in incident premature myocardial infarction (MI) and prevalence of cardiac risk factors in a population-based cohort., Methods: We studied a population-based cohort of incident premature MIs among residents (MI in men aged 18-55 years and women aged 18-65 years) in Olmsted County, Minnesota, during a 26-year period from January 1, 1987 through December 31, 2012. Recurrent MI and death after incident premature MI were enumerated through September 30, 2018., Results: Of 3276 MI cases, 850 were premature events (37.9% [322/850] women). Age-adjusted premature MI incidence rates (2012 vs 1987) declined by 39% in men (rate ratio, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.46 to 0.81]) and 61% in women (rate ratio, 0.39; 95% CI, 0.27 to 0.57). Among men with premature MI, the prevalence of hypertension, diabetes, and hyperlipidemia increased over time, whereas in women, only the prevalence of hyperlipidemia increased. During a mean follow-up of 13.3 years, there was no temporal decline in recurrent MI in men and women. Women showed 66% decreased risk for mortality (hazard ratio, 0.34; 95% CI, 0.17 to 0.68) over time, whereas men showed no change., Conclusion: The incidence of premature MI declined over a 26-year period for both men and women. The risk factor profile of persons presenting with MI worsened over time, especially in men. Death following incident MI declined only in women. These results underscore the importance of primary prevention in young adults and of sex-specific approaches., (© 2021 Mayo Foundation for Medical Education and Research. Published by Elsevier Inc.)

Background Prior reports indicate that living in a rural area may be associated with worse health outcomes. However, data on rurality and heart failure (HF) outcomes are scarce. Methods and Results Residents from 6 southeastern Minnesota counties with a first-ever code for HF ( International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision [ ICD-9 ], code 428, and International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision [ ICD-10 ] code I50) between January 1, 2013 and December 31, 2016, were identified. Resident address was classified according to the rural-urban commuting area codes. Rurality was defined as living in a nonmetropolitan area. Cox regression was used to analyze the association between living in a rural versus urban area and death; Andersen-Gill models were used for hospitalization and emergency department visits. Among 6003 patients with HF (mean age 74 years, 48% women), 43% lived in a rural area. Rural patients were older and had a lower educational attainment and less comorbidity compared with patients living in urban areas ( P <0.001). After a mean (SD) follow-up of 2.8 (1.7) years, 2440 deaths, 20 506 emergency department visits, and 11 311 hospitalizations occurred. After adjustment, rurality was independently associated with an increased risk of death (hazard ratio [HR], 1.18; 95% CI, 1.09-1.29) and a reduced risk of emergency department visits (HR, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.82-0.97) and hospitalizations (HR, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.73-0.84). Conclusions Among patients with HF, living in a rural area is associated with an increased risk of death and fewer emergency department visits and hospitalizations. Further study to identify and address the mechanisms through which rural residence influences mortality and healthcare utilization in HF is needed in order to reduce disparities in rural health.

Purpose: Prior studies observed that women experienced worse outcomes than men after myocardial infarction but did not convincingly establish an independent effect of female sex on outcomes, thus failing to impact clinical practice. Current data remain sparse and information on long-term nonfatal outcomes is lacking. To address these gaps in knowledge, we examined outcomes after incident myocardial infarction for women compared with men., Methods: We studied a population-based myocardial infarction incidence cohort in Olmsted County, Minnesota, between 2000 and 2012. Patients were followed for recurrent myocardial infarction, heart failure, and death. A propensity score was constructed to balance the clinical characteristics between men and women; Cox models were weighted using inverse probabilities of the propensity scores., Results: Among 1959 patients with incident myocardial infarction (39% women; mean age 73.8 and 64.2 for women and men, respectively), 347 recurrent myocardial infarctions, 464 heart failure episodes, 836 deaths, and 367 cardiovascular deaths occurred over a mean follow-up of 6.5 years. Women experienced a higher occurrence of each adverse event (all P <0.01). After propensity score weighting, women had a 28% increased risk of recurrent myocardial infarction (hazard ratio: 1.28, 95% confidence interval: 1.03-1.59), and there was no difference in risk for any other outcomes (all P >0.05)., Conclusion: After myocardial infarction, women experience a large excess risk of recurrent myocardial infarction but not of heart failure or death independently of clinical characteristics. Future studies are needed to understand the mechanisms driving this association., (Copyright © 2020 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

The purpose of this analysis was to develop and validate computable phenotypes for heart failure (HF) with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) using claims-type measures using the Rochester Epidemiology Project. This retrospective study utilized an existing cohort of Olmsted County, Minnesota residents aged ≥ 20 years diagnosed with HF between 2007 and 2015. The gold standard definition of HFpEF included meeting the validated Framingham criteria for HF and having an LVEF ≥ 50%. Computable phenotypes of claims-type data elements (including ICD-9/ICD-10 diagnostic codes and lab test codes) both individually and in combinations were assessed via sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) with respect to the gold standard. In the Framingham-validated cohort, 2,035 patients had HF; 1,172 (58%) had HFpEF. One in-patient or two out-patient diagnosis codes of ICD-9 428.3X or ICD-10 I50.3X had 46% sensitivity, 88% specificity, 84% PPV, and 54% NPV. The addition of a BNP/NT-proBNP test code reduced sensitivity to 35% while increasing specificity to 91% (PPV = 84%, NPV = 51%). Broadening the diagnostic codes to ICD-9 428.0, 428.3X, and 428.9/ICD-10 I50.3X and I50.9 increased sensitivity at the expense of decreasing specificity (diagnostic code-only model: 87% sensitivity, 8% specificity, 56% PPV, 30% NPV; diagnostic code and BNP lab code model: 61% sensitivity, 43% specificity, 60% PPV, 45% NPV). In an analysis conducted to mimic real-world use of the computable phenotypes, any one in-patient or out-patient code of ICD-9 428/ICD-10 150 among the broader population (N = 3,755) resulted in lower PPV values compared with the Framingham cohort. However, one in-patient or two out-patient instances of ICD-9 428.0, 428.9, or 428.3X/ICD-10 150.3X or 150.9 brought the PPV values from the two cohorts closer together. While some misclassification remains, the computable phenotypes defined here may be used in claims databases to identify HFpEF patients and to gain a greater understanding of the characteristics of patients with HFpEF., (© 2020 The Authors. Pharmacology Research & Perspectives published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd, British Pharmacological Society and American Society for Pharmacology and Experimental Therapeutics.)

Objectives: To measure the impact of patient-centered communication on mortality and hospitalization among patients with heart failure (HF)., Study Design: This was a survey study of 6208 residents of 11 counties in southeast Minnesota with incident HF (first-ever International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision code 428 or International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision code I50) between January 1, 2013, and March 31, 2016., Methods: Perceived patient-centered communication was assessed with the health care subscale of the Chronic Illness Resources Survey and measured as a composite score on three 5-point scales. We divided our cohort into tertiles and defined them as having fair/poor (score < 12), good (score of 12 or 13), and excellent (score ≥ 14) patient-centered communication. The survey was returned by 2868 participants (response rate: 45%), and those with complete data were retained for analysis (N = 2398). Cox and Andersen-Gill models were used to determine the association of patient-centered communication with death and hospitalization, respectively., Results: Among 2398 participants (median age, 75 years; 54% men), 233 deaths and 1194 hospitalizations occurred after a mean (SD) follow-up of 1.3 (0.6) years. Compared with patients with fair/poor patient-centered communication, those with good (HR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.51-0.97) and excellent (HR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.51-0.96) patient-centered communication experienced lower risks of death after adjustment for various confounders (Ptrend = .020). Patient-centered communication was not associated with hospitalization., Conclusions: Among community patients living with HF, excellent and good patient-centered communication is associated with a reduced risk of death. Patient-centered communication can be easily assessed, and consideration should be given toward implementation in clinical practice.

Importance: Outcomes of postoperative atrial fibrillation (AF) after noncardiac surgery are not well defined., Objective: To determine the association of new-onset postoperative AF vs no AF after noncardiac surgery with risk of nonfatal and fatal outcomes., Design, Setting, and Participants: Retrospective cohort study in Olmsted County, Minnesota, involving 550 patients who had their first-ever documented AF within 30 days after undergoing a noncardiac surgery (postoperative AF) between 2000 and 2013. Of these patients, 452 were matched 1:1 on age, sex, year of surgery, and type of surgery to patients with noncardiac surgery who were not diagnosed with AF within 30 days following the surgery (no AF). The last date of follow-up was December 31, 2018., Exposures: Postoperative AF vs no AF after noncardiac surgery., Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA). Secondary outcomes included subsequent documented AF, all-cause mortality, and cardiovascular mortality., Results: The median age of the 452 matched patients was 75 years (IQR, 67-82 years) and 51.8% of patients were men. Patients with postoperative AF had significantly higher CHA2DS2-VASc scores than those in the no AF group (median, 4 [IQR, 2-5] vs 3 [IQR, 2-5]; P < .001). Over a median follow-up of 5.4 years (IQR, 1.4-9.2 years), there were 71 ischemic strokes or TIAs, 266 subsequent documented AF episodes, and 571 deaths, of which 172 were cardiovascular related. Patients with postoperative AF exhibited a statistically significantly higher risk of ischemic stroke or TIA (incidence rate, 18.9 vs 10.0 per 1000 person-years; absolute risk difference [RD] at 5 years, 4.7%; 95% CI, 1.0%-8.4%; HR, 2.69; 95% CI, 1.35-5.37) compared with those with no AF. Patients with postoperative AF had statistically significantly higher risks of subsequent documented AF (incidence rate 136.4 vs 21.6 per 1000 person-years; absolute RD at 5 years, 39.3%; 95% CI, 33.6%-45.0%; HR, 7.94; 95% CI, 4.85-12.98), and all-cause death (incidence rate, 133.2 vs 86.8 per 1000 person-years; absolute RD at 5 years, 9.4%; 95% CI, 4.9%-13.7%; HR, 1.66; 95% CI, 1.32-2.09). No significant difference in the risk of cardiovascular death was observed for patients with and without postoperative AF (incidence rate, 42.5 vs 25.0 per 1000 person-years; absolute RD at 5 years, 6.2%; 95% CI, 2.2%-10.4%; HR, 1.51; 95% CI, 0.97-2.34)., Conclusions and Relevance: Among patients undergoing noncardiac surgery, new-onset postoperative AF compared with no AF was associated with a significant increased risk of stroke or TIA. However, the implications of these findings for the management of postoperative AF, such as the need for anticoagulation therapy, require investigation in randomized trials.

Background: Differences in comorbid conditions in patients with heart failure compared with population controls, and whether differences exist by type of heart failure or age, have not been well documented., Methods: The prevalence of 17 chronic conditions were obtained in 2643 patients with incident heart failure from 2000 to 2013 and controls matched 1:1 on sex and age from Olmsted County, Minnesota. Logistic regression determined associations of each condition with heart failure., Results: Among 2643 matched pairs (mean age 76.2 years, 45.6% men), the comorbidities with the largest attributable risk of heart failure were arrhythmia (48.7%), hypertension (28.4%), and coronary artery disease (33.9%); together these explained 73.0% of heart failure. Similar associations were observed for patients with reduced and preserved ejection fraction, with the exception of hypertension. The risk of heart failure attributable to hypertension was 2-fold higher in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (38.7%) than in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (17.8%). Hypertension, coronary artery disease, arrhythmia, and diabetes were more strongly associated with heart failure in younger (≤75 years) compared to older (>75 years) persons., Conclusions: Patients with heart failure have a higher prevalence of many chronic conditions than controls. Similar associations were observed in patients with reduced and preserved ejection fraction, with the exception of hypertension, which was more strongly associated with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction. Finally, some cardiometabolic risk factors were more strongly associated with heart failure in younger persons, highlighting the importance of optimizing prevention and treatment of risk factors and, in particular, cardiometabolic risk factors., (Copyright © 2019 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Objective: To identify differences between participants and nonparticipants in a survey of physical and psychosocial aspects of health among a population-based sample of patients with heart failure (HF)., Patients and Methods: Residents from 11 Minnesota counties with a first-ever code for HF (International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision 428 and Tenth Revision I50) between January 1, 2013, and December 31, 2016, were identified. Participants completed a questionnaire by mail or telephone. Characteristics and outcomes were extracted from medical records and compared between participants and nonparticipants. Response rate was calculated using guidelines of the American Association for Public Opinion Research. The association between nonparticipation and outcomes was examined using Cox proportional hazards regression for death and Andersen-Gill modeling for hospitalizations., Results: Among 7911 patients, 3438 responded to the survey (American Association for Public Opinion Research response rate calculated using formula 2 = 43%). Clinical and demographic differences between participants and nonparticipants were noted, particularly for education, marital status, and neuropsychiatric conditions. After a mean ± SD of 1.5±1.0 years after survey administration, 1575 deaths and 5857 hospitalizations occurred. Nonparticipation was associated with a 2-fold increased risk for death (hazard ratio, 2.29; 95% CI, 2.05-2.56) and 11% increased risk for hospitalization (hazard ratio, 1.11; 95% CI, 1.02-1.22) after adjusting for age, sex, time from HF diagnosis to index date, marital status, coronary disease, arrhythmia, hyperlipidemia, diabetes, cancer, chronic kidney disease, arthritis, osteoporosis, depression, and anxiety., Conclusion: In a large survey of patients with HF, participation was associated with notable differences in clinical and demographic characteristics and outcomes. Examining the impact of participation is critical to draw inference from studies of patient-reported measures., (Copyright © 2019 Mayo Foundation for Medical Education and Research. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background Temporal declines in cardiac stress tests results, coronary revascularization, and cardiovascular mortality have suggested a decline in the population burden of coronary disease until the 2000s. However, recent data indicate these favorable trends could be ending. We aimed to assess the evolution of the population burden of coronary disease in the community by examining trends in angiography and revascularization. Methods and Results We analyzed age- and sex-adjusted trends from all coronary angiographic diagnostic procedures and revascularizations performed in Olmsted County, MN from 2000 to 2018. A total of 12 981 invasive angiograms were performed among 9049 individuals (64% men; 55% aged ≥65 years). Adjusted angiography rates decreased by 30% (95% CI, 25%-34%) between 2000 and 2009 and leveled off thereafter. Including computed tomography, angiography uncovered an increase in angiography use in recent years (risk ratio=1.15 [95% CI, 1.07-1.23] for 2018 versus 2014) and a decline in the prevalence of anatomic CAD from 2000 to 2018. CAD severity declined substantially from 2000 to 2009, followed by a plateau. Among 6570 revascularizations (72% men; 57% aged ≥65 years), 77% were percutaneous coronary interventions and 23% coronary artery bypass graft surgeries. The adjusted revascularization rates declined by 34% (95% CI, 27%-39%) from 2000 to 2009, followed by a plateau (risk ratio=1.10 [95% CI, 1.00-1.22]). Conclusions Between 2000 and 2018 in the community, coronary angiography use declined initially, leveled off, and then increased. Trends in CAD severity and revascularization use decreased then plateaued. The most recent trends are concerning as they suggest the burden of coronary disease is no longer declining. This warrants reinvigorated primary prevention and population surveillance.

The purpose of this study is to describe lipid-lowering therapy (LLT) prescriptions and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) monitoring in patients with diabetes mellitus (DM) with or without concomitant cardiovascular disease (CVD). Olmsted County, Minnesota residents with a first-ever diagnosis of DM or CVD (ischemic stroke/transient ischemic attack, myocardial infarction, unstable angina pectoris, or revascularization procedure) between 2005 and 2012 were classified as having DM only, CVD only, or CVD + DM. All LLT prescriptions and LDL-C measurements were obtained for 2 years after diagnosis. A total of 4,186, 2,368, and 724 patients had DM, CVD, and CVD + DM, respectively. Rates of LDL-C measurement were 1.31, 1.66, and 1.88 per person-year and 14%, 32%, and 42% of LDL-C measurements were <70 mg/dl in those with DM, CVD, and CVD + DM. Within 3 months after diagnosis, 47%, 71%, and 78% of patients with DM, CVD, and CVD + DM were prescribed LLT. Most prescriptions were for moderate-intensity statins. Under one-fifth of patients with CVD and CVD + DM were prescribed high-intensity statins. Predictors of high-intensity statin prescriptions included male sex, having CVD or CVD + DM, increasing LDL-C, and LDL-C measured more recently (2012 to 2014 vs before 2012). In conclusion, a large proportion of patients at high CVD risk are not adequately treated with LLT. Despite often being considered a risk equivalent, patients with DM have substantially lower rates of LLT prescriptions and lesser controlled LDL-C than those with CVD or CVD + DM., (Copyright © 2019 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

This study describes subsequent cardiovascular events and deaths by low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) level in patients with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) receiving moderate- to high-intensity statins. Olmsted County, Minnesota residents with index ASCVD (myocardial infarction, unstable angina, coronary revascularization, ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack) occurring between 2005 and 2012 were identified, and those with a prescription for a moderate- or high-intensity statin and an LDL-C measurement in the 90 days after index were included. Cox regression models were used to examine associations between LDL-C, modeled as a time-dependent variable, and a composite outcome of subsequent cardiovascular events or all-cause death. Among 1,854 patients with ASCVD (mean [SD] age 66.0 [13.3] years, 63.6% male), a total of 1,241 events were observed from index ASCVD through follow-up (median of 5.9 years). The rate (95% confidence interval) per 100 person-years was 11.26 (10.64 to 11.91). Starting follow-up 90 days after index ASCVD event, the rates per 100 person-years were 10.51 (9.57 to 11.52), 9.57 (8.66 to 10.55), and 11.40 (9.96 to 12.98) for LDL-C <70, 70-<100 and ≥100 mg/dl, respectively. After adjustment for age, sex, and previous diagnoses of ASCVD, diabetes, hypertension, heart failure, and chronic kidney disease, the hazard ratio for cardiovascular event and/or death was significantly higher for patients with LDL-C ≥100 mg/dl than those with LDL-C <70 mg/dl (1.31 [1.08 to 1.59]). In conclusion, in patients with ASCVD, subsequent cardiovascular events occur at a high rate and the rates are highest in patients with LDL-C ≥100 mg/dl suggesting unmet treatment needs even in patients receiving moderate- to high-intensity statins., (Copyright © 2019 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)