1. Genomic profiling and spatial SEIR modeling of COVID-19 transmission in Western New York.
- Author
-
Bard JE, Jiang N, Emerson J, Bartz M, Lamb NA, Marzullo BJ, Pohlman A, Boccolucci A, Nowak NJ, Yergeau DA, Crooks AT, and Surtees JA
- Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic has prompted an unprecedented global effort to understand and mitigate the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 virus. In this study, we present a comprehensive analysis of COVID-19 in Western New York (WNY), integrating individual patient-level genomic sequencing data with a spatially informed agent-based disease Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered (SEIR) computational model. The integration of genomic and spatial data enables a multi-faceted exploration of the factors influencing the transmission patterns of COVID-19, including genetic variations in the viral genomes, population density, and movement dynamics in New York State (NYS). Our genomic analyses provide insights into the genetic heterogeneity of SARS-CoV-2 within a single lineage, at region-specific resolutions, while our population analyses provide models for SARS-CoV-2 lineage transmission. Together, our findings shed light on localized dynamics of the pandemic, revealing potential cross-county transmission networks. This interdisciplinary approach, bridging genomics and spatial modeling, contributes to a more comprehensive understanding of COVID-19 dynamics. The results of this study have implications for future public health strategies, including guiding targeted interventions and resource allocations to control the spread of similar viruses., Competing Interests: The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest., (Copyright © 2024 Bard, Jiang, Emerson, Bartz, Lamb, Marzullo, Pohlman, Boccolucci, Nowak, Yergeau, Crooks and Surtees.)
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF