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The Tokyo Metropolitan Area Convection Study for Extreme Weather Resilient Cities (TOMACS) began as a Japanese domestic research project in 2010 and aimed to elucidate the mechanisms behind local high-impact weather (LHIW) in urban areas, to improve forecasting techniques for LHIW, and to provide high-resolution weather information to end-users (local governments, private companies, and the general public) through social experiments. Since 2013, the project has been expanded as an international Research and Development Project (RDP) of the World Weather Research Programme (WWRP) of the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). Through this project, the following results were obtained: 1) observation data for LHIW around Tokyo were recorded using a dense network of X-band radars, a C-band polarimetric radar, a Ku-band fast-scanning radar, coherent Doppler lidars, and the Global Navigation Satellite System; 2) quantitative precipitation estimation algorithms for X-band polarimetric radars have been developed as part of an international collaboration; 3) convection initiation by the interaction of sea breezes and urban impacts on the occurrence of heavy precipitation around Tokyo were elucidated by a dense observation network, high-resolution numerical simulations, and different urban surface models; 4) an “imminent” nowcast system based on the vertically integrated liquid water derived from the X-band polarimetric radar network has been developed; 5) assimilation methods for data from advanced observation instruments such as coherent Doppler lidars and polarimetric radars were developed; and 6) public use of high-resolution radar data were promoted through the social experiments.

The present paper describes background, mission, research topics, and preliminary results of the research project “Tokyo Metropolitan Area Convection Study for Extreme Weather Resilient Cities (TOMACS)”. TOMACS is one of the research projects of “Social System Reformation Program for Adaption to Climate Change” which has been started since July 2010 under the “Special Coordination Funds for Promoting Science and Technology” of the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology (MEXT). TOMACS aims to understand the processes and mechanisms of extreme weather, using dense meteorological observation networks designed in the Tokyo metropolitan district, to develop a monitoring and predicting system of extreme phenomena (MPSEP), and to implement social experiments on extreme weather resilient cities in collaboration with related government institutions, local governments, private companies, and residents. More than 25 organizations and over 100 people participate in the present research projects. One of unique features of TOMACS is utilization of dense meteorological instruments in the Tokyo Metropolitan area which is one of the most urbanized areas in the world. The field campaign in the Tokyo metropolitan area, using research instruments and operational meteorological networks is planned by MRI and thirteen groups in the summers of 2011-2013 to target the tropospheric environment, boundary layer, initiation of convections and lifecycle of thunderstorms. Observation on environmental conditions of convections are carried out using radio sonde, wind profiler, GPS network, unmanned air viecle, and network of automated weather stations. Generation and development of convective precipitations are investigated by observations using Doppler lidar, rapid scan geostationary satellite, Kuband polarimetric radar, X-band polarimetric radar network (X-NET) and C-band research polarimetric radar and C-band operational Doppler radars. Several thunderstorms were captured by the dense meteorological network during 2011 campaign observations. The present paper shows preliminary results of the analysis. Social experiments on extreme weather resilient city using radar networks are also presented.

During the rainy season over the East China Sea, convective rainfalls often show melting layer (ML) characteristics in polarimetric radar variables. In this research, the appearance ratio of the ML (the ratio of rainfall area accompanied by polarimetric ML signatures) and the variation in height of the level of the ML signature maximum (MLSM level; defined by the level of the ρhv minimum in the ML) in a convective rainfall region in a rainfall system over the East China Sea observed on 2 June 2006 were studied using C-band polarimetric radar (COBRA). For this analysis, a method of rainfall type classification that evaluates the presence of an ML in addition to providing conventional convective–stratiform classification using range–height indicator (RHI) observation data was developed. This rainfall type classification includes two steps: conventional convective–stratiform separation using the horizontal distribution of Zh at 2-km altitude, and ML detection using the vertical profile of ρhv at each horizontal grid point. Using a combination of these two classifications, the following four rainfall types were identified: 1) convective rainfall with an ML, 2) convective rainfall with no ML, 3) stratiform rainfall with an ML, and 4) stratiform rainfall with no ML. An ML was detected in 53.9% of the convective region in the rainfall system. Using the same definition, an ML was detected in 83.1% of the stratiform region. The ML in the convective region showed a marked decrease in ρhv coincident with an increase in ZDR around the ambient 0°C level, as did that in the stratiform region. Melting aggregated snow was the likely cause of the ML signature in the convective region. The average height of the MLSM level in the convective region was 4.64 km, which is 0.46 km higher than that in the stratiform region (4.18 km) and 0.27 km higher than the ambient 0°C level (4.37 km).

Dimension characteristics in precipitation properties of cumulonimbus clouds are basic parameters in understanding the vertical transport of water vapor in the atmosphere. In this study, the dimension characteristics and precipitation efficiency of cumulonimbus clouds observed in the Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment (GEWEX) Asian Monsoon Experiment (GAME) Huaihe River Basin Experiment (HUBEX) are studied using data from X-band Doppler radars and upper-air soundings. The maximum echo area (EAmax) of the cumulonimbus clouds ranged from 0.5 to 470 km2, and the maximum echo top (ETmax) ranged from 2 to 19 km. The total number of cells (TNC) within the cumulonimbus clouds over their lifetime was from 1 to 25. The ETmax, TNC, area time integral (ATI), and total rainfall amount (Rtot) strongly correlate with the EAmax of the cumulonimbus clouds. The cell-averaged ATI (ATIcell = ATI/TNC), maximum rainfall intensity (RImax), and cell-averaged rainfall amount (Rcell = Rtot/TNC) increase when the EAmax is smaller than 100 km2. On the other hand, they are almost constant when the EAmax is larger than 100 km2. The rain productivity of small clouds (100 km2 in EAmax) increases by the increase of the TNC rather than by the intensification of cells. In the present study, precipitation efficiency (ɛp) is defined as the ratio of the total rainfall amount (Rtot) to the total water vapor amount ingested into the cloud through the cloud base (Vtot). The ɛp was calculated for six clouds whose vertical velocity data at the cloud-base level were deduced by dual-Doppler analysis throughout their lifetime. The ɛp ranged from 0.03% to 9.31% and exhibited a strong positive correlation with the EAmax. This indicates that more than 90% of the water vapor that enters the clouds through the cloud base is consumed to moisten the atmosphere and less than 10% is converted to precipitation and returned to the ground. The cumulonimbus clouds in the region far south from the mei-yu front over the eastern Asian continent efficiently transport water vertically and humidify the upper troposphere.

The structure and evolution of deeply developed convective cells within a long-lived multicellular cumulonimbus cloud that developed over the Huaihe River Basin in China on 13 July 1998 during the GAME/HUBEX were studied,mainly using the observational data of Doppler radars. The lifetime of the cumulonimbus cloud was longer than 3.5 hours, and its maximum echo-top height was 19 km AGL. The atmospheric condition was characterized by a large CAPE (2300 J kg - 1 ), and weak vertical wind shear (1.6 m s - 1 km - 1 toward the north-northeast below 5 km AGL). In the mature stage of the cloud, a large radar-echo region stronger than 40 dBZ was observed. It was almost upright, and showed almost the same horizontal areas between 5 and 15 km AGL. Two strong updrafts existed around the upshear and downshear parts of the strong echo region, and they tilted toward the downshear and upshear sides, respectively. A downdraft developed in the eastern part of the cloud, where a cell-relative northeasterly wind was present at the low and middle levels; however, the wind was not observed in the synoptic-scale environment. The downdraft was located between the two updrafts. A descending northeasterly airflow continuously lifted the low-level air coming into the upshear-side updraft from the southwestern (upshear) side. The downdraft, and its surface outflow, did not cut off the supply of low-level air coming into the downshear-side updraft from the northern (downshear) side. The vigorous development of the cumulonimbus cloud in the mature stage was caused by the development of these adjacent convective cells. Significant processes in the formation of the mature structure are the maintenance of the upshear-side convective cell, and the change of the downshear-side updraft from downshear-tilting to upshear-tilting in association with the intensification of the downdraft in the cell-relative northeasterly wind.