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The russian military aggression and the related socio-economic and environmental consequences have significantly affected the climate and production of ecosystem services through damage to forests, ecosystems, landscape fires and emissions of gases into the atmosphere. The study aims to estimate carbon dioxide emissions due to landscape fires in Ukraine during the year 2022. The OroraTech wildfire monitoring technology was used to detect fires, while perimeters of burned areas were delineated with Sentinel 2 time series. The Copernicus Dynamic Land Cover map was used to extract burned land covers. Emissions were calculated based on the intensity of fires (dNBR) with the share of burned biomass in different types of land cover. Biomass models were selected considering the dominant tree species within a specific region and the species structure of the sown areas of croplands. The volume of biomass losses was estimated as a result of fires of different severities. It was estimated that during in 2022, landscape fires burned 749.5 thousand hectares thereof: croplands - 419.1 thousand hectares; other natural vegetation - 273.8 thousand hectares; conifer forests - 31.1 thousand hectares; other forests - 25.5 thousand hectares. The impact of the war on landscape fires is confirmed by the large proportion of fires in the 60-kilometre buffer zone along the frontline - 68.9% of the total area of fire. Among all fires, 42.5% of fires occurred in the occupied territory. Total CO2 emissions from all types of landscape fires reached 5.20 million tons and other greenhouse gases - 0.28 million tons. It is the first detailed mapping of landscape fires with an analysis of each polygon for the whole territory of Ukraine. The results provide important information for assessing the loss of ecosystem services and estimating carbon dioxide emissions as well as for confirming the impact of hostilities on landscape fires. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Wildfires in the Chornobyl Exclusion Zone (CEZ) and other radioactively contaminated areas threaten human health and well-being with the potential to resuspend radionuclides. Wildfire behavior simulation is a necessary tool to examine the efficiency of fuel treatments in the CEZ, but it requires systematically updated maps of fuel types and canopy metrics. The objective of this study was to demonstrate an effective approach for mapping fuel types, canopy height (CH), and canopy cover (CC) in territories contaminated by radionuclides using Landsat time series (LTS) and Global Ecosystem Dynamics Investigation (GEDI) LiDAR observations. We combined LTS and GEDI data to map fuel types and canopy metrics used in wildfire simulations within the CEZ. Our classification model showed an adequate overall accuracy (75%) in mapping land covers and associated fuel types. The phenology metrics extracted from LTS reliably distinguished spectrally similar vegetation types (such as grasslands and croplands) which exhibit different flammability through the year. We also predicted a suite of relative heights metrics and CC at Landsat 30-m pixel level (R 2 = 0.23–0.26) using the nearest neighbor technique. The imputed maps adequately captured the dynamics of CH and CC in the CEZ after recent large wildfires occurred in 2015, 2020, and 2022. Thus, we illustrate a LTS processing approach to produce wall-to-wall maps of canopy characteristics that are important for wildfire simulations. We conclude that continuous updating of land cover and canopy fuel data is crucial to ensure relevant fire management of radioactively contaminated landscapes and support local decision-making. • Wildfire risk assessment in the Chornobyl Exclusion Zone needs updated fuel data. • We demonstrated a workflow to map fuels using Landsat time series and GEDI data. • Temporal trends in Landsat observations contributed to accurate fuel type mapping. • Canopy metrics used in wildfire simulation were fitted from GEDI data. • This study promotes the use of optical and GEDI data in wildfire simulation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Evaluation of forest fire severity is a basis of post-fire forest management. Remote sensing-based methods enable reliable delineation of fire perimeters, however, assessments of the degree of forest damage need to be verified and adjusted through field sampling. The forest damage assessment conducted in this study is useful for practitioners to understand and justify the design of clear cuts for restoration purposes. Thus, the aim of the study is to verify the different approaches to field assessment of forest fire severity. In this paper, the authors present a site-specific assessment of large wildfires in Luhansk oblast, Ukraine occurred in 2020 using field-based burn severity indices. The Composite Burn Index (CBI) and the Geometrically Structured Composite Burn Index (GeoCBI) were used to estimate the extent of forest damage. The Burned Area Emergency Response (BAER) methodology was also tested to assess the extent of soil damage. The authors used PlanetScope images to delineate perimeters of burned areas. These perimeters were overlaid over a forest inventory database to extract forest attributes and site characteristics for all forested and unforested areas affected by fires. Within the fire perimeters, the burned area was stratified into six strata to independently account for forest damage in diverse types of land cover. In total 73 test plots were proportionally distributed among different classes of land cover to assess fire severity using CBI, GeoCBI, and BAER approaches. It was found that the fire’s footprints covered 39,782 hectares. Among that area, 21.2% were forested lands. About 78% of burned forests were pine plantations. The highest fire intensity levels were estimated within pure pine plantations that were grown in very dry sites, while the lowest ones were associated with hardwoods forests in moisture site conditions. The average estimates of fire severity using the field-based indices varied within strata (CBI>GeoCBI) which could be an issue for assessing burn severity using remote sensing-based approaches. The authors also concluded that the BAER methodology contributed less to assessing the fire intensity because soil burn severity is not directly related to vegetation damage. This work creates a foundation for further assessment of fire severity using satellite imagery. As a result of this study, a spatial data set of sample plots was proposed that can facilitate calibrating approaches used to map fire severity in the region. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Since 24 February 2022, Ukraine has experienced full-scale military aggression initiated by the Russian Federation. The war has had a major negative impact on vegetation cover of war-affected regions. We explored interactions between pre-war forest management and the impacts of military activities in three of the most forested Ukrainian areas of interest (AOI), affected by the war. These were forests lying between Kharkiv and Luhansk cities (AOI ‘East’), forests along the Dnipro River delta (AOI ‘Kherson’), and those of the Chornobyl Exclusion Zone (AOI CEZ). We used Sentinel satellite imagery to create damaged forest cover masks for the year 2022. We mapped forests with elevated fire hazard, which was defined as a degree of exposure to the fire-supporting land use (mostly an agricultural land, a common source of ignitions in Ukraine). We evaluated the forest disturbance rate in 2022, as compared to pre-war rates. We documented significant increases in non-stand replacing disturbances (low severity fires and non-fire disturbances) for all three of the AOIs. Damaged forest cover varied among the AOIs (24,180 ± 4,715 ha, or 9.3% ± 1.8% in the ‘East’ AOI; 7,293 ± 1,925 ha, or 15.7% ± 4.1% in the ‘Kherson’ AOI; 7,116 ± 1,274 ha, or 5.0% ± 0.9% in the CEZ AOI). Among the forests damaged in 2022, the ‘Kherson’ AOI will likely have the highest proportion of an area with elevated fire hazard in the coming decades, as compared to other regions (89% vs. 70% in the ‘East’ and CEZ AOIs respectively). Future fire risks and extensive war-related disturbance of forest cover call for forest management to develop strategies explicitly addressing these factors. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper examines the issue of radionuclide resuspension from wildland fires in areas contaminated by the Chernobyl Nuclear Power Plant explosion in 1986. This work originated from a scientific exchange among scientists from the USDA Forest Service, Ukraine and Belarus that was organized to assess science and technology gaps related to wildfire risk management. A wildfire risk modeling system was developed to predict likely hotspots for large fires and where wildfire ignitions will most likely result in significant radionuclide (Cesium, 137Cs) resuspension. The system was also designed to examine the effect of fuel breaks in terms of reducing both burn probability and resuspension. Results showed substantial spatial variation in fire likelihood, size, intensity, and potential resuspension within the contaminated areas. The potential for a large wildfire and resuspension was highest in the Belorussian Polesie Reserve, but the likelihood of such an event was higher in the Ukrainian Chernobyl Exclusion Zone due to a higher predicted probability of ignition. Fuel breaks were most effective in terms of reducing potential resuspension when located near areas that had both high ignition probability and high levels of 137Cs contamination. Simulation outputs highlighted how human activities shape the fire regime and likelihood of a large fire in the contaminated areas. We discuss how the results can be used to develop a fire management strategy that integrates ignition prevention, detection, effective suppression response, and fuel breaks. Specifically, the modeling system can now be used to explore a wide range of fire management scenarios for the contaminated areas and contribute to a comprehensive fire management strategy that targets specific drivers of fire by leveraging multiple tools including fire prevention and long-term fuel management. Wildfire-caused emissions of radionuclides in Belarus, Ukraine, and Russia are a socio-ecological problem that will require defragmenting existing risk management systems and leveraging multiple short- and long-term mitigation measures. Unlabelled Image • Wildfires are of growing concern in Chernobyl contaminated areas. • Resuspension of radionuclides from wildfires has potential adverse health effects. • We built a wildfire simulation system to predict risk of fires and resuspension. • The results revealed hotspots for fire ignitions and resuspension. • Targeted fuel breaks and ignition prevention could reduce future resuspension. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]