1. Self-exciting point process modelling of crimes on linear networks.
- Author
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D'Angelo, Nicoletta, Payares, David, Adelfio, Giada, and Mateu, Jorge
- Subjects
- *
POINT processes , *NONPARAMETRIC estimation , *CRIME analysis , *CRIME , *SPATIOTEMPORAL processes - Abstract
Although there are recent developments for the analysis of first and second-order characteristics of point processes on networks, there are very few attempts in introducing models for network data. Motivated by the analysis of crime data in Bucaramanga (Colombia), we propose a spatiotemporal Hawkes point process model adapted to events living on linear networks. We first consider a non-parametric modelling strategy, for which we follow a non-parametric estimation of both the background and the triggering components. Then we consider a semi-parametric version, including a parametric estimation of the background based on covariates, and a non-parametric one of the triggering effects. Our model can be easily adapted to multi-type processes. Our network model outperforms a planar version, improving the fitting of the self-exciting point process model. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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