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Establishing an accurate predictive model for response parameters is the foundation of control parameter optimization for tunnel boring machines (TBMs). However, existing research mostly focuses on mean values during stable stages, and lacks real-time prediction throughout the entire process, failing to meet the demand for fine-tuned parameter recommendations. This paper proposes the weight matrix method for feature selection, which provides specific numerical values and rankings of each feature's contribution. A deep learning model based on temporal convolutional network (TCN) is proposed to achieve real-time prediction of cutterhead torque (T) and total thrust (F), which is compared with the gated recurrent unit (GRU) and long short-term memory (LSTM). The proposed method was validated on the Yinchao project, and the results demonstrated that (1) the weight matrix method outperforms the Pearson coefficient method in terms of model accuracy, and (2) the TCN model performs better than GRU and LSTM. The method proposed in this paper achieves high precision in predicting T and F , and holds promise as a core algorithm for automatic control in TBM and providing crucial support for TBM's advancement into the era of autonomous driving. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Surface electromyography (sEMG) signals reflect the local electrical activity of muscle fibers and the synergistic action of the overall muscle group, making them useful for gesture control of myoelectric manipulators. In recent years, deep learning methods have increasingly been applied to sEMG gesture recognition due to their powerful automatic feature extraction capabilities. sEMG signals contain rich local details and global patterns, but single-scale convolutional networks are limited in their ability to capture both comprehensively, which restricts model performance. This paper proposes a deep learning model based on multi-scale feature fusion—MS-CLSTM (MS Block-ResCBAM-Bi-LSTM). The MS Block extracts local details, global patterns, and inter-channel correlations in sEMG signals using convolutional kernels of different scales. The ResCBAM, which integrates CBAM and Simple-ResNet, enhances attention to key gesture information while alleviating overfitting issues common in small-sample datasets. Experimental results demonstrate that the MS-CLSTM model achieves recognition accuracies of 86.66% and 83.27% on the Ninapro DB2 and DB4 datasets, respectively, and the accuracy can reach 89% in real-time myoelectric manipulator gesture prediction experiments. The proposed model exhibits superior performance in sEMG gesture recognition tasks, offering an effective solution for applications in prosthetic hand control, robotic control, and other human–computer interaction fields. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Following triple La Niña events during 2020–2022, the future evolution of climate conditions over the tropical Pacific has been a focused interest in ENSO-related communities. Observations and modeling studies indicate that an El Niño event is occurring in 2023; however, large uncertainties remain in terms of its detailed evolution, and the factors affecting its resultant amplitude remain to be understood. Here, a novel deep learning-based Transformer model is adopted to make real-time predictions for the 2023–2024 climate conditions in the tropical Pacific. Several key fields vital to the El Niño and Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in the tropical Pacific are collectively and simultaneously utilized in model training and in making predictions; therefore, this purely data-driven model is configured in both training and predicting procedures such that the coupled ocean-atmosphere interactions are adequately represented. Also similar to dynamic models, the prediction procedure is executed in a rolling manner to allow ocean-atmosphere anomaly exchanges month by month; the related key fields during multi-month time intervals (TIs) prior to prediction target months are taken as input predictors, serving as initial conditions to precondition the future evolution more effectively. Real-time predictions indicate that the climate conditions in the tropical Pacific are surely to develop into an El Niño state in late 2023. Furthermore, sensitivity experiments are conducted to examine how prediction skills are affected by the input predictor specifications, including TIs during which information on initial conditions is retained for making predictions. A comparison with other dynamic coupled models is also made to demonstrate the prediction performance for the 2023–2024 El Niño event. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

With the increasing integration of renewable energy sources into the power grid and the continuous expansion of grid infrastructure, real-time preventive control becomes crucial. This article proposes a real-time prediction and correction method based on the extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) algorithm. The XGBoost algorithm is utilized to evaluate the real-time stability of grid static voltage, with the voltage stability L-index as the prediction target. A correction model is established with the objective of minimizing correction costs while considering the operational constraints of the grid. When the L-index exceeds the warning value, the XGBoost algorithm can obtain the importance of each feature of the system and calculate the sensitivity approximation of highly important characteristics. The model corrects these characteristics to maintain the system's operation within a reasonably secure range. The methodology is demonstrated using the IEEE-14 and IEEE-118 systems. The results show that the XGBoost algorithm has higher prediction accuracy and computational efficiency in assessing the static voltage stability of the power grid. It is also shown that the proposed approach has the potential to greatly improve the operational dependability of the power grid. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Development of digital twins is emerging rapidly in geotechnical engineering, and it often requires real-time updating of numerical models (e.g., finite element model) using multiple sources of monitoring data (e.g., settlement and pore water pressure data). Conventional model updating, or calibration, often involves repeated executions of the numerical model, using monitoring data from a specific source or at limited spatial locations only. This leads to a critical research need of real-time model updating and predictions using a numerical model improved continuously by multi-source monitoring data. To address this need, a physics-informed machine learning method called multi-source sparse dictionary learning (MS-SDL) is proposed in this study. Originated from signal decomposition and compression, MS-SDL utilizes results from a suite of numerical models as basis functions, or dictionary atoms, and employs multi-source monitoring data to select a limited number of important atoms for predicting multiple, spatiotemporally varying geotechnical responses. As monitoring data are collected sequentially, no repeated evaluations of computational numerical models are needed, and an automatic and real-time model calibration is achieved for continuously improving model predictions. A real project in Hong Kong is presented to illustrate the proposed approach. Effect of monitoring data from different sources is also investigated. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract The array of complex and evolving patient data has limited clinical decision making in the emergency department (ED). This study introduces an advanced deep learning algorithm designed to enhance real-time prediction accuracy for integration into a novel Clinical Decision Support System (CDSS). A retrospective study was conducted using data from a level 1 tertiary hospital. The algorithm’s predictive performance was evaluated based on in-hospital cardiac arrest, inotropic circulatory support, advanced airway, and intensive care unit admission. We developed an artificial intelligence (AI) algorithm for CDSS that integrates multiple data modalities, including vitals, laboratory, and imaging results from electronic health records. The AI model was trained and tested on a dataset of 237,059 ED visits. The algorithm’s predictions, based solely on triage information, significantly outperformed traditional logistic regression models, with notable improvements in the area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC). Additionally, predictive accuracy improved with the inclusion of continuous data input at shorter intervals. This study suggests the feasibility of using AI algorithms in diverse clinical scenarios, particularly for earlier detection of clinical deterioration. Future work should focus on expanding the dataset and enhancing real-time data integration across multiple centers to further optimize its application within the novel CDSS.

Abstract Roll force prediction plays a significant role in rolling schedule and optimization. For a specific steel grade, the roll force can be determined by the aid of several factors: rolling speed, initial thickness, ratio of thickness reduction, the starting temperature of the strip, and the friction coefficient in the contact region. Roll force prediction mathematical models are sometimes rare and inaccurate. This paper presents a new approach to predict roll separating force using semi-supervised support vector regression (SSSVR). The parameters affecting the sensitivity of the SSSVR were optimized using the genetic algorithm to maximize the r-squared accuracy score. The intelligent system is evaluated using two quality metrics: the root mean square error (RMSE) and the mean absolute error calculated between the measured force from the industrial rolling field and the predicted force using the proposed system from one side, and the measured force and the calculated force from another side. Obtained results show the improvement while using the intelligent predictive system. The reduction in RMSE was achieved by the proposed system by 66.9% and 32.1% for oval and round shape passes, respectively in comparison to the conventional calculation method.

Over the last decades, an expansion of the underground network has been taking place to cope with the increasing amount of moving people and freight. As a consequence, it is of vital importance to guarantee the full functionality of the tunnel network by means of preventive maintenance and the monitoring of the tunnel lining state over time. A new method has been developed for the real-time prediction of the utilization level in tunnel segmental linings based on input monitoring data. The new concept is founded on a framework, which encompasses an offline and an online stage. In the former, the generation of feedforward neural networks is accomplished by employing synthetically produced data. Finite element simulations of the lining structure are conducted to analyze the structural response under multiple loading conditions. The scenarios are generated by assuming ranges of variation of the model input parameters to account for the uncertainty due to the not fully determined in situ conditions. Input and target quantities are identified to better assess the structural utilization of the lining. The latter phase consists in the application of the methodological framework on input monitored data, which allows for a real-time prediction of the physical quantities deployed for the estimation of the lining utilization. The approach is validated on a full-scale test of segmental lining, where the predicted quantities are compared with the actual measurements. Finally, it is investigated the influence of artificial noise added to the training data on the overall prediction performances and the benefits along with the limits of the concept are set out.

Roll force prediction plays a significant role in rolling schedule and optimization. For a specific steel grade, the roll force can be determined by the aid of several factors: rolling speed, initial thickness, ratio of thickness reduction, the starting temperature of the strip, and the friction coefficient in the contact region. Roll force prediction mathematical models are sometimes rare and inaccurate. This paper presents a new approach to predict roll separating force using semi-supervised support vector regression (SSSVR). The parameters affecting the sensitivity of the SSSVR were optimized using the genetic algorithm to maximize the r-squared accuracy score. The intelligent system is evaluated using two quality metrics: the root mean square error (RMSE) and the mean absolute error calculated between the measured force from the industrial rolling field and the predicted force using the proposed system from one side, and the measured force and the calculated force from another side. Obtained results show the improvement while using the intelligent predictive system. The reduction in RMSE was achieved by the proposed system by 66.9% and 32.1% for oval and round shape passes, respectively in comparison to the conventional calculation method. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Air environmental information plays an important role during plant growth and reproduction, prompt and accurate prediction of atmospheric environmental data is helpful for agricultural robots to make a timely decision. For efficiency, an online learning method for predicting air environmental information was presented in this work. This method combines the advantages of convolutional neural network (CNN) and experience replay technique: CNN is used to extract features from raw data and predict atmospheric environmental information, experience replay technique can store environmental data over some time and update the hyperparameters of CNN. To validate the effects of this method, this online method was compared with three different predictive methods (including random forest, multi-layer perceptron, and support vector regression) using a public dataset (Jena). According to results, a suitable sample sequence size (e.g., 16) has a smaller number of training sessions and stable results, a larger replay memory size (e.g., 200) can provide enough samples to capture useful features, and 6 d of historical information is the best setting for training predictor. Compared with traditional methods, the method proposed in this study is the only method applied for various conditions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Urban traffic congestion represents a complex challenge influenced by many dynamic factors. Peak periods typically exacerbate congestion, while bad weather can slow vehicle movements and increase travel times. Accidents and road closures cause sudden and unexpected disruptions, making traffic management a constant challenge. Using a dataset of over 66,000 GTFS records with machine learning classifiers like Random Forest, XGBoost, CatBoost, and Decision Tree models, the study seeks to forecast traffic conditions. SMOTE is used to ensure greater representation of minority classes in order to solve the dataset's intrinsic imbalance, and feature scaling enhances model convergence. With an accuracy of 98.8%, Random Forest was the most accurate model for this challenge. The outcomes demonstrate that the system is able to precisely forecast traffic in real-time, which aids in route planning, traffic control, and enhancing urban mobility. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Over the last decades, an expansion of the underground network has been taking place to cope with the increasing amount of moving people and freight. As a consequence, it is of vital importance to guarantee the full functionality of the tunnel network by means of preventive maintenance and the monitoring of the tunnel lining state over time. A new method has been developed for the real-time prediction of the utilization level in tunnel segmental linings based on input monitoring data. The new concept is founded on a framework, which encompasses an offline and an online stage. In the former, the generation of feedforward neural networks is accomplished by employing synthetically produced data. Finite element simulations of the lining structure are conducted to analyze the structural response under multiple loading conditions. The scenarios are generated by assuming ranges of variation of the model input parameters to account for the uncertainty due to the not fully determined in situ conditions. Input and target quantities are identified to better assess the structural utilization of the lining. The latter phase consists in the application of the methodological framework on input monitored data, which allows for a real-time prediction of the physical quantities deployed for the estimation of the lining utilization. The approach is validated on a full-scale test of segmental lining, where the predicted quantities are compared with the actual measurements. Finally, it is investigated the influence of artificial noise added to the training data on the overall prediction performances and the benefits along with the limits of the concept are set out. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In the construction of super high-rise buildings, building machines (BMs) are increasingly replacing traditional climbing frames. Building machine jacking operation (BMJO) is a high-difficulty and high-risk stage in the construction of the top mold system. To guarantee the operational safety of the BMJO and to enhance its intelligent control level, a digital twin (DT)-based monitoring method for the operation status of the BMJO is proposed. Firstly, a DT framework for monitoring the operation status of the BMJO is presented, taking into account the operational characteristics of the BM and the requirements of real-time monitoring. The functions of each part are then elaborated in detail. Secondly, the virtual twin model is created using Blender's geometric node group function; artificial neural network technology is used to enable online prediction of the structural performance of the BMJO and a motion model is established to realize a real-time state mapping of the BMJO. Finally, taking a BM project as an example, the DT system is established in conjunction with the project to verify the feasibility of the DT framework for monitoring the state of the BMJO. It is proved that the prediction results have high accuracy and fast analysis speed, thus providing a new way of thinking for monitoring and controlling the safe operation of the BMJO. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Pulp quality significantly affects paper products, necessitating a balance between brightness, strength, and environmental sustainability. The bleaching process, which includes delignification and brightening stages, is crucial for achieving high pulp brightness. Current pulp bleaching research emphasizes optimizing processes and developing predictive models for better quality control, yet real-time pulp brightness monitoring remains a challenge. This research developed a MATLAB program to predict pulp brightness and consistency in real-time during bleaching, conducted entirely without incurring any financial costs. Empirical models for predicting pulp consistency at the extraction-oxidative-peroxide (EOP) and D1 stages were created using second-order polynomial equations, incorporating production rate and inlet pressure as variables. Brightness increment correlations were formulated based on temperature, chemical flow rate, residence time, pH, and inlet pressure, with specific models for the preceding chlorine dioxide (DA), EOP, and second chlorine dioxide (D1) stages. Data normalization ensured efficient processing by standardizing parameter scales. Results showed relationships between brightness increment and parameters for each sub-stage such as DA is linear for pH, quadratic for chlorine dioxide (ClO2) flow rate, cubic for temperature and residence time; EOP is linear for hydrogen peroxide (H2O2) flow rate, quadratic for temperature, cubic for inlet pressure, residence time, and pH; D1 is linear for pH, quadratic for ClO2 flow rate and residence time, cubic for inlet pressure and temperature. The coefficient of determination (R2) for the DA, EOP, and D1 sub-stages are 0.85313, 0.86526, and 0.86322, respectively. Parameters with the highest contributions in each stage were identified, such as inlet pressure in the D1 substage yielding the highest brightness gain. This system offers an alternative approach for analyzing pulp quality issues and is adaptable to future mill operational needs.

This study introduces a novel approach to tackle urban noise pollution in Vijayawada city by leveraging Machine Learning (ML) and Internet of Things (IoT) technologies. The aim is to predict real-time noise pollution levels, with a particular emphasis on the impact of road traffic. The methodology integrates four regression models (Decision Tree, Gradient Boosting, Support Vector, Linear Regression with Grid Search) and three forecasting models (ARIMA, Holt-Winters Exponential Smoothing, SARIMA), utilizing data collected from IoT acoustic sensors across diverse landscape configurations. This research underscores the importance of ML and IoT in addressing urban noise pollution challenges and implications for urban planning and policy making, acknowledging both strengths and limitations of the proposed approach. In Existing models there is no real time data used for prediction. But this case study includes real time data collected from IOT sound sensor which give better results. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Transcranial magnetic stimulation (TMS) is a device-based neuromodulation technique increasingly used to treat brain diseases. Electric field (E-field) modeling is an important technique in several TMS clinical applications, including the precision stimulation of brain targets with accurate stimulation density for the treatment of mental disorders and the localization of brain function areas for neurosurgical planning. Classical methods for E-field modeling usually take a long computation time. Fast algorithms are usually developed with significantly lower spatial resolutions that reduce the prediction accuracy and limit their usage in real-time or near real-time TMS applications. This review paper discusses several modern algorithms for real-time or near real-time TMS E-field modeling and their advantages and limitations. The reviewed methods include techniques such as basis representation techniques and deep neural-network-based methods. This paper also provides a review of software tools that can integrate E-field modeling with navigated TMS, including a recent software for real-time navigated E-field mapping based on deep neural-network models. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Summary: During horizontal drilling operations, real‐time prediction of drilling pressure during the drilling process can help the drilling team cope with the complex and changing working environment downhole, adjust the parameters of the drilling rig promptly, make correct decisions, reduce the probability of drilling accidents, and avoid affecting the duration and cost of the project. This study provides a method for real‐time prediction of the drilling pressure of horizontal drilling rigs. A deep learning model based on a convolutional Transformer is trained for accurate real‐time prediction by extracting real‐time operating data of the horizontal drilling rig from the data acquisition system. The method proposed in this study can be a useful tool to improve the performance of horizontal drilling rigs and can assist the drilling team in operating horizontal drilling rigs. The results of the case study show that: (1) the proposed convolutional Transformer model provides reliable real‐time prediction with an MAE of 0.304 MPa and an RMSE of 0.508 MPa; (2) the proposed method can quickly and accurately predict the trend of drilling pressure change in the next period based on the current change of drilling pressure, and grasp the dynamics of drilling pressure of horizontal drilling rigs in advance. Further research could focus on assisted decision‐making and intelligent optimization to provide solutions for preventing drilling accidents and improving horizontal rig performance based on the prediction. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

High-precision and efficient structural response prediction is essential for intelligent disaster prevention and mitigation in building structures, including post-earthquake damage assessment, structural health monitoring, and seismic resilience assessment of buildings. To improve the accuracy and efficiency of structural response prediction, this study proposes a novel physics-informed deep-learning-based real-time structural response prediction method that can predict a large number of nodes in a structure through a data-driven training method and an autoregressive training strategy. The proposed method includes a Phy-Seisformer model that incorporates the physical information of the structure into the model, thereby enabling higher-precision predictions. Experiments were conducted on a four-story masonry structure, an eleven-story reinforced concrete irregular structure, and a twenty-one-story reinforced concrete frame structure to verify the accuracy and efficiency of the proposed method. In addition, the effectiveness of the structure in the Phy-Seisformer model was verified using an ablation study. Furthermore, by conducting a comparative experiment, the impact of the range of seismic wave amplitudes on the prediction accuracy was studied. The experimental results show that the method proposed in this paper can achieve very high accuracy and at least 5000 times faster calculation speed than finite element calculations for different types of building structures.

Abstract Background Predicting patient mortality risk facilitates early intervention in intensive care unit (ICU) patients at greater risk of disease progression. This study applies machine learning methods to multidimensional clinical data to dynamically predict mortality risk in ICU patients. Methods A total of 33,798 patients in the MIMIC-III database were collected. An integrated model NIMRF (Network Integrating Memory Module and Random Forest) based on multidimensional variables such as vital sign variables and laboratory variables was developed to predict the risk of death for ICU patients in four non overlapping time windows of 0–1 h, 1–3 h, 3–6 h, and 6–12 h. Mortality risk in four nonoverlapping time windows of 12 h was externally validated on data from 889 patients in the respiratory critical care unit of the Chinese PLA General Hospital and compared with LSTM, random forest and time-dependent cox regression model (survival analysis) methods. We also interpret the developed model to obtain important factors for predicting mortality risk across time windows. The code can be found in https://github.com/wyuexiao/NIMRF . Results The NIMRF model developed in this study could predict the risk of death in four nonoverlapping time windows (0–1 h, 1–3 h, 3–6 h, 6–12 h) after any time point in ICU patients, and in internal data validation, it is suggested that the model is more accurate than LSTM, random forest prediction and time-dependent cox regression model (area under receiver operating characteristic curve, or AUC, 0–1 h: 0.8015 [95% CI 0.7725–0.8304] vs. 0.7144 [95%] CI 0.6824–0.7464] vs. 0.7606 [95% CI 0.7300–0.7913] vs 0.3867 [95% CI 0.3573–0.4161]; 1–3 h: 0.7100 [95% CI 0.6777–0.7423] vs. 0.6389 [95% CI 0.6055–0.6723] vs. 0.6992 [95% CI 0.6667–0.7318] vs 0.3854 [95% CI 0.3559–0.4150]; 3–6 h: 0.6760 [95% CI 0.6425–0.7097] vs. 0.5964 [95% CI 0.5622–0.6306] vs. 0.6760 [95% CI 0.6427–0.7099] vs 0.3967 [95% CI 0.3662–0.4271]; 6–12 h: 0.6380 [0.6031–0.6729] vs. 0.6032 [0.5705–0.6406] vs. 0.6055 [0.5682–0.6383] vs 0.4023 [95% CI 0.3709–0.4337]). External validation was performed on the data of patients in the respiratory critical care unit of the Chinese PLA General Hospital. Compared with LSTM, random forest and time-dependent cox regression model, the NIMRF model was still the best, with an AUC of 0.9366 [95% CI 0.9157–0.9575 for predicting death risk in 0–1 h]. The corresponding AUCs of LSTM, random forest and time-dependent cox regression model were 0.9263 [95% CI 0.9039–0.9486], 0.7437 [95% CI 0.7083–0.7791] and 0.2447 [95% CI 0.2202–0.2692], respectively. Interpretation of the model revealed that vital signs (systolic blood pressure, heart rate, diastolic blood pressure, respiratory rate, and body temperature) were highly correlated with events of death. Conclusion Using the NIMRF model can integrate ICU multidimensional variable data, especially vital sign variable data, to accurately predict the death events of ICU patients. These predictions can assist clinicians in choosing more timely and precise treatment methods and interventions and, more importantly, can reduce invasive procedures and save medical costs.

With the fact that the main operational parameters of the construction process in mechanized tunneling are currently selected based on monitoring data and engineering experience without exploiting the advantages of computer methods, the focus of this work is to develop a simulation-based real-time assistant system to support the selection of operational parameters. The choice of an appropriate set of these parameters (i.e., the face support pressure, the grouting pressure, and the advance speed) during the operation of tunnel boring machines (TBM) is determined by evaluating different tunneling-induced soil-structure interactions such as the surface settlement, the associated risks on existing structures and the tunnel lining behavior. To evaluate soil-structure behavior, an advanced process-oriented numerical simulation model based on the finite cell method is utilized. To enable the real-time prediction capability of the simulation model for a practical application during the advancement of TBMs, surrogate models based on the Proper Orthogonal Decomposition and Radial Basis Functions (POD-RBF) are adopted. The proposed approach is demonstrated through several synthetic numerical examples inspired by the data of real tunnel projects. The developed methods are integrated into a user-friendly application called SMART to serve as a support platform for tunnel engineers at construction sites. Corresponding to each user adjustment of the input parameters, i.e., each TBM driving scenario, approximately two million outputs of soil-structure interactions are quickly predicted and visualized in seconds, which can provide the site engineers with a rough estimation of the impacts of the chosen scenario on structural responses of the tunnel and above ground structures.

With the increasing integration of renewable energy sources into the power grid and the continuous expansion of grid infrastructure, real-time preventive control becomes crucial. This article proposes a real-time prediction and correction method based on the extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) algorithm. The XGBoost algorithm is utilized to evaluate the real-time stability of grid static voltage, with the voltage stability L-index as the prediction target. A correction model is established with the objective of minimizing correction costs while considering the operational constraints of the grid. When the L-index exceeds the warning value, the XGBoost algorithm can obtain the importance of each feature of the system and calculate the sensitivity approximation of highly important characteristics. The model corrects these characteristics to maintain the system’s operation within a reasonably secure range. The methodology is demonstrated using the IEEE-14 and IEEE-118 systems. The results show that the XGBoost algorithm has higher prediction accuracy and computational efficiency in assessing the static voltage stability of the power grid. It is also shown that the proposed approach has the potential to greatly improve the operational dependability of the power grid.

It is difficult to characterize complex variations of biological processes, often longitudinally measured using biomarkers that yield noisy data. While joint modeling with a longitudinal submodel for the biomarker measurements and a survival submodel for assessing the hazard of events can alleviatemeasurement errorissues, the continuouslongitudinalsubmodel often usesrandomintercepts and slopesto estimate both betweenandwithin-patient heterogeneity in biomarkertrajectories.To overcome longitudinalsubmodel challenges,we replace randomslopeswith scaled integrated fractional Brownian motion (IFBM). As a more generalized version of integrated Brownian motion, IFBM reasonably depicts noisily measured biological processes. From thislongitudinal IFBM model, we derive novel target functionsto monitorthe risk ofrapid disease progression as real-time predictive probabilities. Predicted biomarker values from the IFBM submodel are used as inputs in a Coxsubmodel to estimate event hazard. This two-stage approach to fit the submodels is performed via Bayesian posterior computation and inference. We use the proposed approach to predict dynamic lung disease progression and mortality in women with a rare disease called lymphangioleiomyomatosis who were followed in a national patient registry. We compare our approach to those using integrated Ornstein-Uhlenbeck or conventional random intercepts-and-slopes terms for the longitudinal submodel. In the comparative analysis, the IFBM model consistently demonstrated superior predictive performance. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

An operational scheme for predicting the symmetric R30 and R50 of tropical cyclones (TCs) in the western North Pacific was developed using a statistical regression method and track pattern clustering (four clusters). The statistical–dynamical model employs multiple linear regressions of two to eight variables at each cluster and forecast lead time. The dependent variable for prediction was the change in the 5‐kt wind radius (R5)—a proxy of TC size—relative to the initial time. The performance of the model was compared for the training (2008–2016) and testing (2017–2018) periods. The effect of clustering on TC size prediction was evaluated by comparing the performance of the non‐clustering and clustering models. The clustering model improved the prediction of TC size by 3%–24% at all lead times during the training period, especially with a significant improvement of up to 43% in Cluster 2. In Cluster 2, because most TCs tend to develop strongly and continue to increase in size, it greatly reduced the variability in TC size through clustering, allowed for smarter predictor selection, and ultimately improved TC size prediction. In the real‐time R30 and R50 predictions for the 2017 and 2018 TCs, the error of the clustered model was 18%–19% less than that of the non‐clustered model. The analysis results revealed that the real‐time prediction errors of the current model increase when the TC tracks are difficult to classify into specific clusters, the predicted environments and TC tracks are inaccurate, and the size and intensity of a TC rapidly increase. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Featured Application: In this study, we introduce an approach for quickly profiling the nutritional content of fruit juices by using a portable Fourier transform mid-infrared (FT-IR) device. This method enables real-time prediction and simultaneous analysis of key components, such as sugars and acids in fruit juices, addressing concerns about obesity and other health risks. The portability of the FT-IR sensor makes it a valuable tool for food processors, providing a convenient out-of-the-laboratory solution. This application detects deviations in sugar and ascorbic acid levels compared to nutritional labels, helping consumers to make healthier decisions. Furthermore, applying portable FT-IR devices by the fruit juice industry will streamline quality control processes and represents a shift towards more efficient, non-destructive, and high-throughput analytical methods. Fruit juices (FJ) have gained widespread global consumption, driven by their perceived health benefits. The accuracy of nutrition information is essential for consumers assessing FJ quality, especially with increasing concerns about added sugars and obesity risk. Conversely, ascorbic acid (Vitamin C), found in nature in many fruits and vegetables, is often lost due to its susceptibility to light, air, and heat, and it undergoes fortification during FJ production. Current analytical methods for determining FJ components are time-consuming and labor-intensive, prompting the need for rapid analytical tools. This study employed a field-deployable portable FT-IR device, requiring no sample preparation, to simultaneously predict multiple quality traits in 68 FJ samples from US markets. Using partial least square regression (PLSR) models, a strong correlation (RCV ≥ 0.93) between FT-IR predictions and reference values was obtained, with a low standard error of prediction. Remarkably, 21% and 37% of FJs deviated from nutrition label values for sugars and ascorbic acid, respectively. Portable FT-IR devices offer non-destructive, simultaneous, simple, and high-throughput approaches for chemical profiling and real-time prediction of sugars and acid levels in FJs. Their handiness and ruggedness can provide food processors with a valuable "out-of-the-laboratory" analytical tool. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

With the fact that the main operational parameters of the construction process in mechanized tunneling are currently selected based on monitoring data and engineering experience without exploiting the advantages of computer methods, the focus of this work is to develop a simulation-based real-time assistant system to support the selection of operational parameters. The choice of an appropriate set of these parameters (i.e., the face support pressure, the grouting pressure, and the advance speed) during the operation of tunnel boring machines (TBM) is determined by evaluating different tunneling-induced soil-structure interactions such as the surface settlement, the associated risks on existing structures and the tunnel lining behavior. To evaluate soil-structure behavior, an advanced process-oriented numerical simulation model based on the finite cell method is utilized. To enable the real-time prediction capability of the simulation model for a practical application during the advancement of TBMs, surrogate models based on the Proper Orthogonal Decomposition and Radial Basis Functions (POD-RBF) are adopted. The proposed approach is demonstrated through several synthetic numerical examples inspired by the data of real tunnel projects. The developed methods are integrated into a user-friendly application called SMART to serve as a support platform for tunnel engineers at construction sites. Corresponding to each user adjustment of the input parameters, i.e., each TBM driving scenario, approximately two million outputs of soil-structure interactions are quickly predicted and visualized in seconds, which can provide the site engineers with a rough estimation of the impacts of the chosen scenario on structural responses of the tunnel and above ground structures. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Predicting an abnormally rapid decline in battery capacity in low-temperature environments is important for maintaining battery stability and performance. This study introduces a method that integrates cycling tests under various current conditions with deep neural network algorithms to identify and predict in real-time the trend of battery capacity reduction in low-temperature conditions ( $- 10~^{\circ }$ C). For this method, 18 feature data points were included, consisting of the test environment and conditions, as well as geometric and statistical features. The importance of these features was analyzed using the Random Forest (RF) algorithm, and the top 12 feature data points were selected to improve the efficiency and accuracy of the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model. Furthermore, we applied a sequential ensemble technique that uses the output of the LSTM model as the input for the particle filter, significantly improving the performance of the prediction model. The approach was used to predict the capacity of the tested battery using C-rate transformation based on the WLTC. The results showed an error rate of 0.9% and an RMSE of 0.0048, representing a 25% decrease in the error rate and a 48% reduction in the RMSE compared with those predicted by the LSTM model.

To overcome the challenges posed by the complex structure and large parameter requirements of existing classification models, the authors propose an improved extreme learning machine (ELM) classifier for human locomotion intent recognition in this study, resulting in enhanced classification accuracy. The structure of the ELM algorithm is enhanced using the logistic regression (LR) algorithm, significantly reducing the number of hidden layer nodes. Hence, this algorithm can be adopted for real-time human locomotion intent recognition on portable devices with only 234 parameters to store. Additionally, a hybrid grey wolf optimization and slime mould algorithm (GWO-SMA) is proposed to optimize the hidden layer bias of the improved ELM classifier. Numerical results demonstrate that the proposed model successfully recognizes nine daily motion modes including low-, mid-, and fast-speed level ground walking, ramp ascent/descent, sit/stand, and stair ascent/descent. Specifically, it achieves 96.75% accuracy with 5-fold cross-validation while maintaining a real-time prediction time of only 2 ms. These promising findings highlight the potential of onboard real-time recognition of continuous locomotion modes based on our model for the high-level control of powered knee prostheses.

Malaysia is currently going towards Industrial Revolution (IR) 4.0 which makes Science, Technology, Engineering and Mathematics (STEM) subjects become more crucial. IR 4.0 covers a lot of aspects especially in digital transformation in manufacturing, and this certainly requires strong mathematical knowledge. To achieve this goal, students need to have a good foundation in Mathematics subject. However, due to the increased number of students nowadays, teachers are facing challenges to track students’ progress efficiently. In this study, a predictive model has been developed that aims to assist Mathematics teachers in monitoring their students. The prototype, called MathVision, can track students’ progress effectively in each topic and subtopic of Mathematics subject and predict the grades that students will obtain based on the history result. A total of 207 instances was collected among Form 5 students from a government school to represent the samples for the modelling task. The Multiclass Decision Forest algorithm appeared to be the best predictive model with 95.16% accuracy, as compared to Boosted Decision Tree, Logistic Regression, and Neural Network. Flutter framework and Firebase services were used for front-end and back-end system respectively, and Microsoft Power BI was used for data visualization. The result of prototype testing showed that MathVision could predict students’ grade for Quiz 2 based on Quiz 1 performance. MathVision is also capable for real-time prediction that guarantees an immediate response time which can help Mathematics teachers to support students who need further assistance in this subject based on the prediction given. For MathVision’s future improvement, the number of instances needs to increase, and more significant variables need to be added.

Accurate prediction of multiphase flowing bottom-hole pressure (FBHP) in wellbores is an important factor required for optimal tubing design and production optimization. Existing empirical correlations and mechanistic models provide inaccurate FBHP predictions when applied to real-time field datasets because they were developed with laboratory-dependent parameters. Most machine learning (ML) models for FBHP prediction are developed with real-time field data but presented as black-box models. In addition, these ML models cannot be reproduced by other users because the dataset used for training the machine learning algorithm is not open source. These make using the ML models on new datasets difficult. This study presents an artificial neural network (ANN) visible mathematical model for real-time multiphase FBHP prediction in wellbores. A total of 1001 normalized real-time field data points were first used in developing an ANN black-box model. The data points were randomly divided into three different sets; 70% for training, 15% for validation, and the remaining 15% for testing. Statistical analysis showed that using the Levenberg-Marquardt training optimization algorithm (trainlm), hyperbolic tangent activation function (tansig), and three hidden layers with 20, 15 and 15 neurons in the first, second and third hidden layers respectively achieved the best performance. The trained ANN model was then translated into an ANN visible mathematical model by extracting the tuned weights and biases. Trend analysis shows that the new model produced the expected effects of physical attributes on FBHP. Furthermore, statistical and graphical error analysis results show that the new model outperformed existing empirical correlations, mechanistic models, and an ANN white-box model. Training of the ANN on a larger dataset containing new data points covering a wider range of each input parameter can broaden the applicability domain of the proposed ANN visible mathematical model.

Abstract An operational scheme for predicting the symmetric R30 and R50 of tropical cyclones (TCs) in the western North Pacific was developed using a statistical regression method and track pattern clustering (four clusters). The statistical–dynamical model employs multiple linear regressions of two to eight variables at each cluster and forecast lead time. The dependent variable for prediction was the change in the 5‐kt wind radius (R5)—a proxy of TC size—relative to the initial time. The performance of the model was compared for the training (2008–2016) and testing (2017–2018) periods. The effect of clustering on TC size prediction was evaluated by comparing the performance of the non‐clustering and clustering models. The clustering model improved the prediction of TC size by 3%–24% at all lead times during the training period, especially with a significant improvement of up to 43% in Cluster 2. In Cluster 2, because most TCs tend to develop strongly and continue to increase in size, it greatly reduced the variability in TC size through clustering, allowed for smarter predictor selection, and ultimately improved TC size prediction. In the real‐time R30 and R50 predictions for the 2017 and 2018 TCs, the error of the clustered model was 18%–19% less than that of the non‐clustered model. The analysis results revealed that the real‐time prediction errors of the current model increase when the TC tracks are difficult to classify into specific clusters, the predicted environments and TC tracks are inaccurate, and the size and intensity of a TC rapidly increase.

Long non‐coding RNAs (lncRNAs) play a significant role in various biological processes. Hence, it is utmost important to elucidate their functions in order to understand the molecular mechanism of a complex biological system. This versatile RNA molecule has diverse modes of interaction, one of which constitutes lncRNA–mRNA interaction. Hence, identifying its target mRNA is essential to understand the function of an lncRNA explicitly. Existing lncRNA target prediction tools mainly adopt thermodynamics approach. Large execution time and inability to perform real‐time prediction limit their usage. Further, lack of negative training dataset has been a hindrance in the path of developing machine learning (ML) based lncRNA target prediction tools. In this work, we have developed a ML‐based lncRNA–mRNA target prediction model‐ 'LncRTPred'. Here we have addressed the existing problems by generating reliable negative dataset and creating robust ML models. We have identified the non‐interacting lncRNA and mRNAs from the unlabelled dataset using BLAT. It is further filtered to get a reliable set of outliers. LncRTPred provides a cumulative_model_score as the final output against each query. In terms of prediction accuracy, LncRTPred outperforms other popular target prediction protocols like LncTar. Further, we have tested its performance against experimentally validated disease‐specific lncRNA–mRNA interactions. Overall, performance of LncRTPred is heavily dependent on the size of the training dataset, which is highly reflected by the difference in its performance for human and mouse species. Its performance for human species shows better as compared to that for mouse when applied on an unknown data due to smaller size of the training dataset in case of mouse compared to that of human. Availability of increased number of lncRNA–mRNA interaction data for mouse will improve the performance of LncRTPred in future. Both webserver and standalone versions of LncRTPred are available. Web server link: http://bicresources.jcbose.ac.in/zhumur/lncrtpred/index.html. Github Link: https://github.com/zglabDIB/LncRTPred. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Polishing torque holds significance in monitoring the chemical mechanical polishing (CMP) process due to its close correlation with material removal. This study introduces a new model-based technique for estimating the material removal rate (MRR) using in-process data from CMP machines. The proposed method employs either the sequential least squares method or Kalman filter for real-time state estimation. Real-time estimation of MRR enables material removal control without relying on conventional endpoint detection (EDP) technologies. The accuracy of the proposed approach is validated through oxide CMP experiments, demonstrating precise estimation of the center-slowed MRR profile towards the end of the pad life. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The optimization design of roller path is critical in conventional spinning as the roller path greatly influences the spinning status and forming quality. In this research, an innovative online intelligent method for roller path design was developed, which can capture the dynamic change of the spinning status under flexible roller path and greedily optimize the roller movement track progressively to achieve the design of whole roller path. In tandem with these, an online intelligent design system for roller path was developed with the aid of intelligent sensing, learning, optimization and execution. It enables the multi-functional of spinning condition monitoring, real-time prediction of spinning status, online dynamic processing optimization, and autonomous execution of the optimal processing. Through system implementation and verification by case studies, the results show that the intelligent processing optimization and self-adaptive control of the spinning process can be efficiently realized. The optimal roller path and matching spinning parameters (mandrel speed, feed ratio) can be efficiently obtained by only one simulation of the spinning process and no traditional trial-and-error is needed. Moreover, the optimized process can compromise the multi-objectives, including forming qualities (wall thickness reduction and flange fluctuation) and forming efficiency. The developed methodology can be generalized to handle other incremental forming processes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Fatigue failure is a typical failure mode of welded structures. It is of great engineering significance to predict the remaining fatigue life of structures after a certain period of service. In this paper, a two-stage hybrid deep learning approach is proposed only using the response of structures under fatigue loading to predict the remaining fatigue life. In the first stage, a combination of convolutional neural network (CNN), squeeze-and-excitation (SE) block, and long short-term memory (LSTM) network is employed to calculate health indicator values based on the current measured data sequence. In the second stage, a particle filtering-based algorithm is utilized to predict the remaining fatigue life using the previously calculated health indicators. Experimental results on different welded specimens under the same loading conditions demonstrate that the hybrid deep learning approach achieves superior prediction accuracy and generalization ability compared to CNN, LSTM, or CNN-LSTM models in the first stage. Moreover, the average relative deviation between the predicted and actual fatigue life is less than 6% during the final quarter of the crack propagation and fracture stage. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract The analysis of data streams offers a great opportunity for development of new methodologies and applications in the area of Intelligent Transportation Systems. In this paper, we propose two new incremental learning approaches for the travel time prediction problem for taxi GPS data streams in different scenarios and compare the same with three other existing methods. An extensive performance evaluation using four real life datasets indicate that when the training data size is small the Support Vector Regression method is the best choice considering both prediction accuracy and total computation time. However when the training data size is large to moderate then the Randomized K-Nearest Neighbor Regression with Spherical Distance (RKNNRSD) and the Incremental Polynomial Regression become the methods of choice. When continuous prediction of remaining travel time along the trajectory of a trip is considered we find that the RKNNRSD is the method of choice. A Real-time Speeding Alert System (RSAS) and a Driver Suspected Speeding Scorecard (DSSS) using the RKNNRSD method are proposed which have great potential for improving travel safety.

In the construction of super high-rise buildings, building machines (BMs) are increasingly replacing traditional climbing frames. Building machine jacking operation (BMJO) is a high-difficulty and high-risk stage in the construction of the top mold system. To guarantee the operational safety of the BMJO and to enhance its intelligent control level, a digital twin (DT)-based monitoring method for the operation status of the BMJO is proposed. Firstly, a DT framework for monitoring the operation status of the BMJO is presented, taking into account the operational characteristics of the BM and the requirements of real-time monitoring. The functions of each part are then elaborated in detail. Secondly, the virtual twin model is created using Blender’s geometric node group function; artificial neural network technology is used to enable online prediction of the structural performance of the BMJO and a motion model is established to realize a real-time state mapping of the BMJO. Finally, taking a BM project as an example, the DT system is established in conjunction with the project to verify the feasibility of the DT framework for monitoring the state of the BMJO. It is proved that the prediction results have high accuracy and fast analysis speed, thus providing a new way of thinking for monitoring and controlling the safe operation of the BMJO.