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Causal loop modelling of residential solar and battery adoption dynamics: A case study of Queensland, Australia.
- Source :
-
Journal of Cleaner Production . Jan2018, Vol. 172, p2363-2373. 11p. - Publication Year :
- 2018
-
Abstract
- Residential photovoltaic systems with battery energy storage could help accelerate the transition to a more efficient, secure and reliable electricity supply. Understanding and managing the risks associated with this complex, consumer-led transformation will be critical to minimize disruption and achieve effective integration. In this paper, we use a case study of Queensland Australia and causal loop modelling, underpinned by qualitative data sourced from extensive interviews with expert stakeholders, to consider how residential battery energy storage deployed at-scale could erode the dominance of the traditional centralized electricity supply model. With feedback loops highlighting the primacy of the consumer in coming years, our modelling suggests that a failure by incumbent utilities and policy makers to respond to consumer needs, or subvert access to battery technology, will ultimately reinforce consumer drivers for self-sufficiency and grid independence. Our analysis highlights that energy policy should address consumers’ non-financial motivations for grid independence while concurrently incentivizing the strategic management of home battery energy storage to achieve beneficial whole-of-system outcomes. The development of price-based signals that assign fair-value along the supply chain could help achieve both of these objectives. Our analysis highlights the importance of taking a long-term, systems-based view of residential battery deployment to avoid negative outcomes along the supply chain and to help achieve the most efficient integration. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 09596526
- Volume :
- 172
- Database :
- Academic Search Index
- Journal :
- Journal of Cleaner Production
- Publication Type :
- Academic Journal
- Accession number :
- 126871791
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2017.11.174