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A tale of two elections: information, motivated reasoning, and the economy in the 2011 and 2015 Portuguese elections.
- Source :
-
Analise Social . 2017, Vol. 52 Issue 225, p736-758. 23p. - Publication Year :
- 2017
-
Abstract
- Economic performance is thought to be a powerful driver of incumbent electoral performance, and gdp growth and unemployment to be the "big two" factors involved. However, while in the 2011 elections, under a profound economic recession and growing unemployment, the Socialist incumbents lost about one-fourth of the electorate, the center-right coalition experienced losses of similar magnitude in 2015 under a recovering economy and growing employment. Why has this happened? I explore three hypotheses: (1) the economy became a less salient issue in 2015; (2) responsibility for economic outcomes became more blurred in 2015; and (3) national economic evaluations were more contaminated by partisanship and affected by cognitive resources and personal economic experiences in 2015. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 00032573
- Volume :
- 52
- Issue :
- 225
- Database :
- Academic Search Index
- Journal :
- Analise Social
- Publication Type :
- Academic Journal
- Accession number :
- 133512192