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Bridging the gap using energy services: Demonstrating a novel framework for soft linking top-down and bottom-up models.
- Source :
-
Energy . Feb2019, Vol. 169, p277-293. 17p. - Publication Year :
- 2019
-
Abstract
- Abstract Giving policy advice related to climate mitigation requires insights that take both sectoral and technology effects (and their interactions) into account. This paper develops a novel soft-linking method for bridging the gap between sectoral top-down and technology rich bottom-up models. A unique feature of the approach is the explicit modelling of energy service demand in the top-down model, which creates a direct correspondence to the energy service production in the bottom-up model. This correspondence allows us, unlike previous work, to capture the macroeconomic impact of energy system investment flows. The paper illustrates the full-scale application of the method in the Danish IntERACT model, considering the unilateral introduction of coal carbon capture and storage in the Danish concrete sector. The policy leads to a reduction in the Danish concrete production, and in turn, a carbon leakage effect of 88%. Results also underscores the importance of accounting for the macroeconomic impact of energy system investment flows, as this is the source of approximately half of the policy-induced reduction in macroeconomic activity. Highlights • Introduces energy service demands in a computable general equilibrium model. • Identifies a highly consistent method for soft linking a top-down and a bottom-up model. • Highlights the full scale implementation of the method in the Danish IntERACT model. • Demonstrates the impact of energy system investments on the macro economy. • Shows that climate mitigation technologies may lead to significant carbon leakage. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 03605442
- Volume :
- 169
- Database :
- Academic Search Index
- Journal :
- Energy
- Publication Type :
- Academic Journal
- Accession number :
- 134574925
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2018.11.153