Predicted thresholds for natural vegetation cover to safeguard pollinator services in agricultural landscapes.

• We predict fairly abrupt thresholds in the relationships between crop pollination service and the amount of surrounding natural vegetation cover. • Pollination service by bees diminished strongly as the proportional natural vegetation cover in surrounding crop fields fell below a threshold. • Our modelling provides a basis for landscape-scale management to prevent pollination-limitation in bee-attractive crops. The conversion of natural vegetation into cultivated land can cause pollinator declines and thereby degrade pollination services to crops and wildflowers. The effect of landscape composition on pollinator abundance is well established, but its impact on pollination intensity and crop yield is not fully resolved. We therefore studied pollination of two crops in India, brinjal (Solanum melongena) and mustard (Brassica nigra), along a landscape-scale gradient in habitat transformation from forest-dominated natural vegetation to intensive cultivation. We quantified the pollination requirements (pollen receipt-seed set relationships) of the crops and the levels of pollen delivery by their principal pollinators, bees. Combining these with field surveys of pollinator abundance, we modelled the levels of pollination service to fields along the landscape gradient. Projected pollination services declined as the area occupied by natural vegetation decreased. We identified thresholds at which bee pollination no longer supported maximum seed set, which were landscapes with approximately one quarter (27 %) of nearby natural vegetation for brinjal fields and one fifth (18 %) for mustard. Our findings indicate that preserving or restoring the cover of natural habitats above these minimum thresholds could be a valuable strategy for maintaining pollinator abundance and safeguarding yield in these bee-pollinated crops. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]