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Bayesian Decision Theory and Stochastic Independence.

Authors :
Mongin, Philippe
Source :
Philosophy of Science. Jan2020, Vol. 87 Issue 1, p152-178. 27p.
Publication Year :
2020

Abstract

As stochastic independence is essential to the mathematical development of probability theory, it seems that any foundational work on probability should be able to account for this property. Bayesian decision theory appears to be wanting in this respect. Savage's postulates on preferences under uncertainty entail a subjective expected utility representation, and this asserts only the existence and uniqueness of a subjective probability measure, regardless of its properties. What is missing is a preference condition corresponding to stochastic independence. To fill this significant gap, the article axiomatizes Bayesian decision theory afresh and proves several representation theorems in this novel framework. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
00318248
Volume :
87
Issue :
1
Database :
Academic Search Index
Journal :
Philosophy of Science
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
141433198
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1086/706083