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Construction of a survival prediction model for high-and low -grade UTUC after tumor resection based on "SEER database": a multicenter study.

Authors :
Wang, Mengmeng
Ren, Xin
Wang, Ge
Sun, Xiaomin
Tang, Shifeng
Zhang, Baogang
Xing, Xiaoming
Zhang, Wenfeng
Gao, Guojun
Du, Jing
Zhang, Shukun
Liu, Lijuan
Zheng, Xia
Zhang, Zhenkun
Sun, Changgang
Source :
BMC Cancer. 9/7/2021, Vol. 21 Issue 1, p1-16. 16p.
Publication Year :
2021

Abstract

<bold>Background: </bold>There are differences in survival between high-and low-grade Upper Tract Urothelial Carcinoma (UTUC). Our study aimed to develop a nomogram to predict overall survival (OS) of patients with high- and low-grade UTUC after tumor resection, and to explore the difference between high- and low-grade patients.<bold>Methods: </bold>Patients confirmed to have UTUC between 2004 and 2015 were selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. The UTUCs were identified and classified as high- and low-grade, and 1-, 3- and 5-year nomograms were established. The nomogram was then validated using the Chinese multicenter dataset (patients diagnosed in Shandong, China between January 2010 and October 2020).<bold>Results: </bold>In the high-grade UTUC patients, nine important factors related to survival after tumor resection were identified to construct nomogram. The C index of training dataset was 0.740 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.727-0.754), showing good calibration. The C index of internal validation dataset was 0.729(95% CI:0.707-0.750). On the other hand, Two independent predictors were identified to construct nomogram of low-grade UTUC. The C index was 0.714 (95% CI: 0.671-0.758) for the training set,0.731(95% CI:0.670-0.791) for the internal validation dataset. Encouragingly, the nomogram was clinically useful and had a good discriminative ability to identify patients at high risk.<bold>Conclusion: </bold>We constructed a nomogram and a corresponding risk classification system predicting the OS of patients with an initial diagnosis of high-and low-grade UTUC. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
14712407
Volume :
21
Issue :
1
Database :
Academic Search Index
Journal :
BMC Cancer
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
152316880
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1186/s12885-021-08742-3