Image-based model for dynamic apparent gas permeability in Organic-rich shales.

• A DAGP model is proposed based on shale geostatistical and petrophysical data. • A representative model is constructed by fractal organic matter particles. • DAGP exhibits different patterns, depending on a high or low matrix Young's modulus. • The impact of OM pores development degree on DAGP can be ignored at TOC < 5%. Current shale gas apparent permeability models often fail to integrate morphological properties of multiple storage spaces and various transport mechanisms. To deal with this, we propose a comprehensive model for estimating the dynamic apparent gas permeability (DAGP) during depressurization based on a representative model. First, dual fractal characteristics of organic matter (OM) particles and inorganic matter (IOM)/OM pores along with morphological information of OM particles from scanning electron microscope (SEM) images are considered to establish the representative model conditioned to a total organic carbon (TOC) content. Next, multiple transport mechanisms and a pore size change due to a poromechanical response and desorption-induced volumetric strain are incorporated in the DAGP calculation. Results reveal that the controlling factor of the DAGP comes from pore size shrinkage owing to a poromechanical response to gas transport mechanisms during depressurization at a high Young's modulus, while the DAGP is totally controlled by a poromechanical response at a low Young's modulus. The critical TOC content is determined to be about 5% at which the influence of the degree of OM pore development can be neglected. This work provides a practical method to estimate the DAGP from both geostatistical and petrophysical perspectives, which effectively decreases the uncertainty during productivity prediction in shale gas reservoirs and other unconventional reservoirs. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]