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Joint probability distribution of weather factors: a neural network approach for environmental science.

Authors :
Yang, Yong
Li, Dongsheng
Li, Haibin
Li, Daizhou
Source :
Stochastic Environmental Research & Risk Assessment. Nov2023, Vol. 37 Issue 11, p4385-4397. 13p.
Publication Year :
2023

Abstract

This study introduces methodologies for constructing joint probability distribution functions utilizing the Copula function and neural networks, and evaluates their efficacy in marine and civil engineering projects. Through an analytical comparison of both models using a numerical example, it is revealed that the neural network model exhibits superior adaptability to large sample sizes. This adaptability is attributed to the neural network's ability to learn complex relationships within the data, which is especially beneficial when dealing with large datasets. The neural network model also demonstrates higher accuracy in constructing joint probability distribution functions compared to the Copula function model. In marine and civil engineering, the adaptability and accuracy of neural networks are of paramount importance due to the variable and complex nature of weather patterns. A practical engineering application is presented, wherein a joint probabilistic distribution neural network model of wind velocity and rain intensity is established for the Lanzhou–Xinjiang high-speed railroad in China. This model illustrates the promising application of neural networks in engineering projects where weather factors play a critical role. Subsequent to the construction of the joint probability distribution functions, a feature importance analysis is incorporated to quantify the contribution of different weather parameters such as wind velocity and rain intensity to the joint distribution function. This analysis provides an objective assessment of the relative importance of various weather factors and offers data-driven insights that are essential for engineering applications where weather conditions are a significant consideration. The study concludes by highlighting the potential benefits of neural network models in marine and civil engineering, suggesting areas for future exploration. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
14363240
Volume :
37
Issue :
11
Database :
Academic Search Index
Journal :
Stochastic Environmental Research & Risk Assessment
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
172442837
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-023-02513-1