A hybrid model based on discrete wavelet transform (DWT) and bidirectional recurrent neural networks for wind speed prediction.

Wind speed is the main driver of wind power output, but its inherent fluctuations and deviations present significant challenges for power system security and power quality. Accurate short-term wind power forecasting is necessary to ensure the stability and seamless integration of wind energy into the grid, thereby bolstering grid reliability, optimizing power flow management, and minimizing disruptions, ultimately contributing to a more sustainable and efficient energy ecosystem. Non-stationarity is a major challenge in analyzing wind speed data, and change-point detection is essential for optimal resource allocation. This paper addresses the issue of short-term wind power forecasting for stable and effective wind energy system operation. To predict non-stationary data and detect change points, non-stationary data must first be transformed into stationary data. Discrete wavelet transform (DWT) is used to decompose wind speed traces into low- and high-frequency components for more accurate predictions using deep learning algorithms. The proposed approach utilizes a combination of DWT and recurrent neural network (RNN) models, including Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM) and Bidirectional Gated Recurrent Unit (BiGRU), complementing each other to efficiently predict short-term and long-term dependencies in wind speed data and achieve the most accurate prediction results. Experimental results substantiate the consistent superiority of the proposed approach over the baseline method, showcasing a significant enhancement in prediction accuracy, with improvements spanning from 11.36% to 16.63% for MAPE, 16.67%–26.47% for RMSE, and 21.74%–30.77% for MAE. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]