Stochastic MPC based double-time-scale voltage regulation for unbalanced distribution networks with distributed generators.

• Propose a SMPC based voltage regulation scheme to coordinate DG, OLTC, SVR and CBs considering uncertainty of DG outputs. • Use the time-correlated scenario generation method in the proposed SMPC framework. • Consider the single-phase regulation effect of OLTC, DGs and CBs. With the increasing penetration of renewable energy resources, the uncertainty of renewable energy resources output introduces challenges to voltage control in distribution networks (DNs). To solve these problems, this paper proposes a double-time-scale voltage control scheme for unbalanced DNs based on stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) to coordinate multiple voltage control devices. In fast-time-scale control, the active and reactive power outputs of distributed generators (DGs) are optimized to minimize voltage deviation, active power curtailment and reactive power fluctuation. In the slow-time-scale control, optimal tap changes of on-load tap changers (OLTC), step voltage regulators (SVR), and switched capacitor banks (CBs) are calculated to reduce voltage deviation and tap operations. Additionally, in the fast-time-scale control, the SMPC-based scheme adopts a scenario generation approach to represent the uncertainty of DG output. Considering the temporal correlation of the DG output, different prediction scenarios and scenario probabilities are obtained by the empirical cumulative distribution function fitted by the historical measurement data. In this paper, the effectiveness of the proposed double-time-scale voltage control scheme is verified by the unbalanced IEEE123 node system. The case study demonstrates that the proposed voltage scheme can effectively keep the three-phase voltages in unbalanced DN within the secure operation range and achieve better voltage profiles. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]