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A simple mathematical model for Ebola in Africa.

Authors :
Berge, T.
Lubuma, J.M.-S.
Moremedi, G.M.
Morris, N.
Kondera-Shava, R.
Source :
Journal of Biological Dynamics. Mar2017, Vol. 11 Issue 1, p42-74. 33p. 4 Charts, 4 Graphs.
Publication Year :
2017

Abstract

We deal with the following question: Can the consumption of contaminated bush meat, the funeral practices and the environmental contamination explain the recurrence and persistence of Ebola virus disease outbreaks in Africa? We develop an SIR-type model which, incorporates both the direct and indirect transmissions in such a manner that there is a provision of Ebola viruses. We prove that the full model has one (endemic) equilibrium which is locally asymptotically stable whereas, it is globally asymptotically stable in the absence of the Ebola virus shedding in the environment. For the sub-model without the provision of Ebola viruses, the disease dies out or stabilizes globally at an endemic equilibrium. At the endemic level, the number of infectious is larger for the full model than for the sub-model without provision of Ebola viruses. We design a nonstandard finite difference scheme, which preserves the dynamics of the model. Numerical simulations are provided. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
17513758
Volume :
11
Issue :
1
Database :
Academic Search Index
Journal :
Journal of Biological Dynamics
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
175161032
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1080/17513758.2016.1229817